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MP MATERIALS CORP (MP) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:MP - US5533681012 - Common Stock

54.97 USD
+4.45 (+8.81%)
Last: 1/2/2026, 6:54:58 PM
55.08 USD
+0.11 (+0.2%)
After Hours: 1/2/2026, 6:54:58 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to MP. MP was compared to 156 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. MP scores quite bad on profitability, while its financial health is fine. Not spectacular, but in line with the averages. MP is valued quite expensive, but it does show an excellent growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

MP had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year MP has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: MP reported negative net income in multiple years.
In the past 5 years MP always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
MP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M -100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

MP has a Return On Assets (-3.10%) which is in line with its industry peers.
MP has a Return On Equity (-4.95%) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -3.1%
ROE -4.95%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)3.72%
ROA(5y)3.25%
ROE(3y)5.87%
ROE(5y)5.69%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
MP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

MP has a Gross Margin (11.49%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
MP's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
MP does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 11.49%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-58.54%
GM growth 5Y-17%
MP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50

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5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

MP does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
MP has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
MP has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, MP has a worse debt to assets ratio.
MP Yearly Shares OutstandingMP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M
MP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

MP has an Altman-Z score of 4.40. This indicates that MP is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
MP has a Altman-Z score of 4.40. This is in the better half of the industry: MP outperforms 60.26% of its industry peers.
MP has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.40. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
MP has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.40. This is in the lower half of the industry: MP underperforms 69.23% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.4
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 4.4
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.9%
MP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

MP has a Current Ratio of 8.05. This indicates that MP is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 8.05, MP belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 85.90% of the companies in the same industry.
MP has a Quick Ratio of 7.51. This indicates that MP is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
With an excellent Quick ratio value of 7.51, MP belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 85.90% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 8.05
Quick Ratio 7.51
MP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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7

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for MP have decreased strongly by -51.43% in the last year.
MP shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 26.44%.
Measured over the past years, MP shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 22.67% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-51.43%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%16.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)26.44%
Revenue growth 3Y-15%
Revenue growth 5Y22.67%
Sales Q2Q%-14.9%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, MP will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 51.71% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 45.42% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y34.46%
EPS Next 2Y93.24%
EPS Next 3Y69.87%
EPS Next 5Y51.71%
Revenue Next Year42.56%
Revenue Next 2Y87.16%
Revenue Next 3Y62.06%
Revenue Next 5Y45.42%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
MP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 500M 1B 1.5B
MP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 0 1 2 3 4 5

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1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for MP. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
MP is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 70.43.
MP's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
MP's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 23.23.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 70.43
MP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 50 -50 -100

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
MP Per share dataMP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as MP's earnings are expected to grow with 69.87% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y93.24%
EPS Next 3Y69.87%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for MP!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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MP MATERIALS CORP

NYSE:MP (1/2/2026, 6:54:58 PM)

After market: 55.08 +0.11 (+0.2%)

54.97

+4.45 (+8.81%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)11-06 2025-11-06/amc
Earnings (Next)02-18 2026-02-18/amc
Inst Owners62.08%
Inst Owner Change-7.3%
Ins Owners8.59%
Ins Owner Change-13.51%
Market Cap9.74B
Revenue(TTM)232.74M
Net Income(TTM)-117.64M
Analysts83.33
Price Target80.05 (45.62%)
Short Float %17.05%
Short Ratio2.37
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)26.02%
Min EPS beat(2)6.98%
Max EPS beat(2)45.06%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)16.77%
Min EPS beat(4)6.26%
Max EPS beat(4)45.06%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)-3.62%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)348.97%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)267.27%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)8.41%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.33%
Max Revenue beat(2)22.14%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)6.41%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.31%
Max Revenue beat(4)22.14%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.7%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)4.41%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)5.44%
PT rev (1m)-1.73%
PT rev (3m)9.93%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-18.92%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-65.28%
EPS NY rev (1m)16.8%
EPS NY rev (3m)22.01%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)3.34%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-9.98%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-6.66%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.85%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 70.43
P/S 41.86
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 4.1
P/tB 4.11
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-0.53
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.78
Fwd EY1.42%
FCF(TTM)-1.3
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.44
OCFYN/A
SpS1.31
BVpS13.42
TBVpS13.38
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -3.1%
ROE -4.95%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 11.49%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)3.72%
ROA(5y)3.25%
ROE(3y)5.87%
ROE(5y)5.69%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-58.54%
GM growth 5Y-17%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.06
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.4
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 174.73%
Cap/Sales 65.14%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 8.05
Quick Ratio 7.51
Altman-Z 4.4
F-Score3
WACC9.9%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)827.98%
Cap/Depr(5y)663.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)85.57%
Cap/Sales(5y)62.14%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-51.43%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%16.67%
EPS Next Y34.46%
EPS Next 2Y93.24%
EPS Next 3Y69.87%
EPS Next 5Y51.71%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)26.44%
Revenue growth 3Y-15%
Revenue growth 5Y22.67%
Sales Q2Q%-14.9%
Revenue Next Year42.56%
Revenue Next 2Y87.16%
Revenue Next 3Y62.06%
Revenue Next 5Y45.42%
EBIT growth 1Y-19.68%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year111.05%
EBIT Next 3Y71.94%
EBIT Next 5Y54.52%
FCF growth 1Y-17.61%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-174.26%
OCF growth 3Y-49.23%
OCF growth 5YN/A

MP MATERIALS CORP / MP FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for MP stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to MP.


What is the valuation status of MP MATERIALS CORP (MP) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to MP MATERIALS CORP (MP). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of MP stock?

MP MATERIALS CORP (MP) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for MP MATERIALS CORP?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MP MATERIALS CORP (MP) is expected to grow by 34.46% in the next year.