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MP MATERIALS CORP (MP) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:MP - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US5533681012 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

31.84  -0.53 (-1.64%)

After market: 31.76 -0.08 (-0.25%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Overall MP gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated MP against 154 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. MP scores quite bad on profitability, while its financial health is fine. Not spectacular, but in line with the averages. While showing a medium growth rate, MP is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year MP has reported negative net income.
MP had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years MP reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In the past 5 years MP always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
MP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M -100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of MP (-4.42%) is worse than 61.04% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Equity value of -10.09%, MP is not doing good in the industry: 62.99% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -4.42%
ROE -10.09%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)3.72%
ROA(5y)3.25%
ROE(3y)5.87%
ROE(5y)5.69%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
MP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

With a Gross Margin value of 4.70%, MP is not doing good in the industry: 64.29% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MP has declined.
MP does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 4.7%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-58.54%
GM growth 5Y-17%
MP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50

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4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

MP does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
Compared to 1 year ago, MP has less shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, MP has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, MP has a worse debt to assets ratio.
MP Yearly Shares OutstandingMP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M
MP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

MP has an Altman-Z score of 2.79. This is not the best score and indicates that MP is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.79, MP is in line with its industry, outperforming 54.55% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.82 indicates that MP is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.82, MP is doing worse than 85.06% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.82
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 2.79
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC8.3%
MP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 4.12 indicates that MP has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
MP has a better Current ratio (4.12) than 76.62% of its industry peers.
MP has a Quick Ratio of 3.58. This indicates that MP is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
MP's Quick ratio of 3.58 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MP outperforms 77.27% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 4.12
Quick Ratio 3.58
MP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for MP have decreased strongly by -857.14% in the last year.
Looking at the last year, MP shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 4.65% in the last year.
MP shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 22.67% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-857.14%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-200%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.65%
Revenue growth 3Y-15%
Revenue growth 5Y22.67%
Sales Q2Q%24.91%

3.2 Future

MP is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 34.36% yearly.
MP is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 43.14% yearly.
EPS Next Y-32.76%
EPS Next 2Y41.72%
EPS Next 3Y48.77%
EPS Next 5Y34.36%
Revenue Next Year27.18%
Revenue Next 2Y56.05%
Revenue Next 3Y48.1%
Revenue Next 5Y43.14%

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
MP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 200M 400M 600M 800M
MP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 0.5 -0.5 1 1.5

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1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

MP reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8243.37, the valuation of MP can be described as expensive.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MP is valued a bit more expensive than 63.64% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MP to the average of the S&P500 Index (21.90), we can say MP is valued expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 8243.37
MP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 2K 4K 6K 8K

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
MP Per share dataMP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

MP's earnings are expected to grow with 48.77% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y41.72%
EPS Next 3Y48.77%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

MP does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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MP MATERIALS CORP

NYSE:MP (7/3/2025, 7:50:49 PM)

After market: 31.76 -0.08 (-0.25%)

31.84

-0.53 (-1.64%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)05-08 2025-05-08/amc
Earnings (Next)07-30 2025-07-30/amc
Inst Owners77.11%
Inst Owner Change4.49%
Ins Owners9.47%
Ins Owner Change3.24%
Market Cap5.20B
Analysts83
Price Target29.54 (-7.22%)
Short Float %23.03%
Short Ratio3.18
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)7.53%
Min EPS beat(2)6.26%
Max EPS beat(2)8.79%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)-14.15%
Min EPS beat(4)-80.11%
Max EPS beat(4)8.79%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)493.08%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)348.18%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)269.55%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.42%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.31%
Max Revenue beat(2)16.14%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)8.95%
Min Revenue beat(4)-25.23%
Max Revenue beat(4)52.21%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.7%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.98%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)7.65%
PT rev (1m)6.63%
PT rev (3m)13.53%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-33.34%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-122.64%
EPS NY rev (1m)-34.88%
EPS NY rev (3m)-161.69%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-17.7%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-28.33%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-15.38%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-25.21%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 8243.37
P/S 24.1
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 5.02
P/tB 5.06
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-0.53
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0
Fwd EY0.01%
FCF(TTM)-1.06
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.05
OCFYN/A
SpS1.32
BVpS6.34
TBVpS6.3
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -4.42%
ROE -10.09%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 4.7%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)3.72%
ROA(5y)3.25%
ROE(3y)5.87%
ROE(5y)5.69%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-58.54%
GM growth 5Y-17%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.09
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.82
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 203.62%
Cap/Sales 76.42%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 4.12
Quick Ratio 3.58
Altman-Z 2.79
F-Score4
WACC8.3%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)827.98%
Cap/Depr(5y)663.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)85.57%
Cap/Sales(5y)62.14%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-857.14%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-200%
EPS Next Y-32.76%
EPS Next 2Y41.72%
EPS Next 3Y48.77%
EPS Next 5Y34.36%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.65%
Revenue growth 3Y-15%
Revenue growth 5Y22.67%
Sales Q2Q%24.91%
Revenue Next Year27.18%
Revenue Next 2Y56.05%
Revenue Next 3Y48.1%
Revenue Next 5Y43.14%
EBIT growth 1Y-196.85%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year87.86%
EBIT Next 3Y52.26%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-154.79%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-103.14%
OCF growth 3Y-49.23%
OCF growth 5YN/A