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MP MATERIALS CORP (MP) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:MP - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US5533681012 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

76.58  +1.18 (+1.56%)

After market: 76.3 -0.28 (-0.37%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Overall MP gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated MP against 156 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While MP seems to be doing ok healthwise, there are quite some concerns on its profitability. MP is valued quite expensive, but it does show an excellent growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

MP had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year MP has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
In multiple years MP reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
MP had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
MP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M -100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

MP has a worse Return On Assets (-4.42%) than 60.26% of its industry peers.
MP has a worse Return On Equity (-10.09%) than 61.54% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -4.42%
ROE -10.09%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)3.72%
ROA(5y)3.25%
ROE(3y)5.87%
ROE(5y)5.69%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
MP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

MP has a Gross Margin of 4.70%. This is in the lower half of the industry: MP underperforms 63.46% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MP has declined.
MP does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 4.7%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-58.54%
GM growth 5Y-17%
MP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50

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5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

MP does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for MP has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
MP has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, MP has a worse debt to assets ratio.
MP Yearly Shares OutstandingMP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M
MP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 6.46 indicates that MP is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 6.46, MP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.56% of the companies in the same industry.
MP has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.82. This is a neutral value indicating MP is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.82, MP is not doing good in the industry: 83.33% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.82
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 6.46
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.64%
MP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 4.12 indicates that MP has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 4.12, MP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 74.36% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 3.58 indicates that MP has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 3.58, MP is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.72% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 4.12
Quick Ratio 3.58
MP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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7

3. Growth

3.1 Past

MP shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -189.47%.
The Revenue has grown by 39.43% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
Measured over the past years, MP shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 22.67% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-189.47%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-11.76%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)39.43%
Revenue growth 3Y-15%
Revenue growth 5Y22.67%
Sales Q2Q%83.61%

3.2 Future

MP is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 34.36% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 43.14% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y-25.89%
EPS Next 2Y45.76%
EPS Next 3Y48.77%
EPS Next 5Y34.36%
Revenue Next Year46.5%
Revenue Next 2Y80.25%
Revenue Next 3Y61.23%
Revenue Next 5Y43.14%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
MP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 200M 400M 600M 800M
MP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 0.5 -0.5 1 1.5

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1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

MP reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
MP is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 1365.71.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MP indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: MP is more expensive than 62.18% of the companies listed in the same industry.
MP is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 35.31, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 1365.71
MP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 500 1K

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
MP Per share dataMP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as MP's earnings are expected to grow with 48.77% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y45.76%
EPS Next 3Y48.77%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

MP does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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MP MATERIALS CORP

NYSE:MP (8/14/2025, 5:56:36 PM)

After market: 76.3 -0.28 (-0.37%)

76.58

+1.18 (+1.56%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)08-07 2025-08-07/amc
Earnings (Next)11-05 2025-11-05/amc
Inst Owners71.21%
Inst Owner Change-0.4%
Ins Owners8.74%
Ins Owner Change-3.69%
Market Cap13.56B
Analysts81
Price Target55.11 (-28.04%)
Short Float %19.14%
Short Ratio1.79
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)7.53%
Min EPS beat(2)6.26%
Max EPS beat(2)8.79%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)-14.15%
Min EPS beat(4)-80.11%
Max EPS beat(4)8.79%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)493.08%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)348.18%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)269.55%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.42%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.31%
Max Revenue beat(2)16.14%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)8.95%
Min Revenue beat(4)-25.23%
Max Revenue beat(4)52.21%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.7%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.98%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)7.65%
PT rev (1m)86.55%
PT rev (3m)98.92%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-7.55%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-119.77%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-85.73%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.37%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-32.19%
Revenue NY rev (1m)12.25%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-14.44%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 1365.71
P/S 62.78
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 13.09
P/tB 13.18
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-0.55
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.06
Fwd EY0.07%
FCF(TTM)-0.98
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.05
OCFYN/A
SpS1.22
BVpS5.85
TBVpS5.81
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -4.42%
ROE -10.09%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 4.7%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)3.72%
ROA(5y)3.25%
ROE(3y)5.87%
ROE(5y)5.69%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-58.54%
GM growth 5Y-17%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.09
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.82
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 203.62%
Cap/Sales 76.42%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 4.12
Quick Ratio 3.58
Altman-Z 6.46
F-Score4
WACC9.64%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)827.98%
Cap/Depr(5y)663.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)85.57%
Cap/Sales(5y)62.14%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-189.47%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-11.76%
EPS Next Y-25.89%
EPS Next 2Y45.76%
EPS Next 3Y48.77%
EPS Next 5Y34.36%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)39.43%
Revenue growth 3Y-15%
Revenue growth 5Y22.67%
Sales Q2Q%83.61%
Revenue Next Year46.5%
Revenue Next 2Y80.25%
Revenue Next 3Y61.23%
Revenue Next 5Y43.14%
EBIT growth 1Y-196.85%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year95.05%
EBIT Next 3Y71.12%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-154.79%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-103.14%
OCF growth 3Y-49.23%
OCF growth 5YN/A