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MP MATERIALS CORP (MP) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:MP - US5533681012 - Common Stock

59.04 USD
+3.77 (+6.82%)
Last: 11/24/2025, 8:14:07 PM
58.74 USD
-0.3 (-0.51%)
Pre-Market: 11/25/2025, 5:14:33 AM
Fundamental Rating

3

MP gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 153 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While MP seems to be doing ok healthwise, there are quite some concerns on its profitability. MP shows excellent growth, but is valued quite expensive already.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

MP had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year MP has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: MP reported negative net income in multiple years.
In the past 5 years MP always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
MP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M -100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of MP (-4.34%) is worse than 61.44% of its industry peers.
MP's Return On Equity of -10.03% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MP is outperformed by 63.40% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -4.34%
ROE -10.03%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)3.72%
ROA(5y)3.25%
ROE(3y)5.87%
ROE(5y)5.69%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
MP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

MP has a Gross Margin (11.29%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MP has declined.
MP does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 11.29%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-58.54%
GM growth 5Y-17%
MP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

MP does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for MP has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, MP has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for MP is higher compared to a year ago.
MP Yearly Shares OutstandingMP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M
MP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 5.15 indicates that MP is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
MP has a better Altman-Z score (5.15) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
MP has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.86. This is a neutral value indicating MP is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
MP has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.86. This is amonst the worse of the industry: MP underperforms 84.31% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.86
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 5.15
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.11%
MP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 3.60 indicates that MP has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
MP has a Current ratio of 3.60. This is in the better half of the industry: MP outperforms 69.28% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 3.12 indicates that MP has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
MP has a better Quick ratio (3.12) than 70.59% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.6
Quick Ratio 3.12
MP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

7

3. Growth

3.1 Past

MP shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -51.43%.
MP shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 26.44%.
The Revenue has been growing by 22.67% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-51.43%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%16.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)26.44%
Revenue growth 3Y-15%
Revenue growth 5Y22.67%
Sales Q2Q%-14.9%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, MP will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 51.71% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, MP will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 45.42% on average per year.
EPS Next Y21.23%
EPS Next 2Y99.09%
EPS Next 3Y68.61%
EPS Next 5Y51.71%
Revenue Next Year52.73%
Revenue Next 2Y95.31%
Revenue Next 3Y67.22%
Revenue Next 5Y45.42%

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
MP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 500M 1B 1.5B
MP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 0 1 2 3 4 5

1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for MP. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 66.81 indicates a quite expensive valuation of MP.
MP's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 34.45, MP is valued quite expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 66.81
MP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 50 -50 -100

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
MP Per share dataMP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as MP's earnings are expected to grow with 68.61% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y99.09%
EPS Next 3Y68.61%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

MP does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

MP MATERIALS CORP

NYSE:MP (11/24/2025, 8:14:07 PM)

Premarket: 58.74 -0.3 (-0.51%)

59.04

+3.77 (+6.82%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)11-06 2025-11-06/amc
Earnings (Next)02-18 2026-02-18/amc
Inst Owners75.98%
Inst Owner Change-7.15%
Ins Owners8.65%
Ins Owner Change-11.09%
Market Cap10.46B
Revenue(TTM)232.74M
Net Income(TTM)-101.38M
Analysts80.91
Price Target81.46 (37.97%)
Short Float %16.17%
Short Ratio1.47
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)6.62%
Min EPS beat(2)6.26%
Max EPS beat(2)6.98%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)7.62%
Min EPS beat(4)6.26%
Max EPS beat(4)8.79%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)488.69%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)346.7%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)268.13%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)7.42%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.31%
Max Revenue beat(2)22.14%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)20.8%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.31%
Max Revenue beat(4)52.21%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)5.23%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)5.14%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)7.71%
PT rev (1m)11.16%
PT rev (3m)47.82%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-16.25%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)37.43%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-6.99%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.25%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 66.81
P/S 43.22
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 10.35
P/tB 10.42
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-0.53
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.88
Fwd EY1.5%
FCF(TTM)-1.08
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.24
OCFYN/A
SpS1.37
BVpS5.7
TBVpS5.66
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -4.34%
ROE -10.03%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 11.29%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)3.72%
ROA(5y)3.25%
ROE(3y)5.87%
ROE(5y)5.69%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-58.54%
GM growth 5Y-17%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.1
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.86
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 176.47%
Cap/Sales 60.95%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 3.6
Quick Ratio 3.12
Altman-Z 5.15
F-Score4
WACC9.11%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)827.98%
Cap/Depr(5y)663.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)85.57%
Cap/Sales(5y)62.14%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-51.43%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%16.67%
EPS Next Y21.23%
EPS Next 2Y99.09%
EPS Next 3Y68.61%
EPS Next 5Y51.71%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)26.44%
Revenue growth 3Y-15%
Revenue growth 5Y22.67%
Sales Q2Q%-14.9%
Revenue Next Year52.73%
Revenue Next 2Y95.31%
Revenue Next 3Y67.22%
Revenue Next 5Y45.42%
EBIT growth 1Y-35.39%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year108.47%
EBIT Next 3Y71.04%
EBIT Next 5Y54.52%
FCF growth 1Y-31.49%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-122.86%
OCF growth 3Y-49.23%
OCF growth 5YN/A

MP MATERIALS CORP / MP FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for MP stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to MP.


Can you provide the valuation status for MP MATERIALS CORP?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to MP MATERIALS CORP (MP). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of MP stock?

MP MATERIALS CORP (MP) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for MP stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MP MATERIALS CORP (MP) is expected to grow by 21.23% in the next year.