MP MATERIALS CORP (MP) Forecast, Price Target & Analyst Ratings

NYSE:MP • US5533681012

Current stock price

66.63 USD
+0.59 (+0.89%)
At close:
66.69 USD
+0.06 (+0.09%)
After Hours:

Analyst forecast overview

View the latest analyst price targets, stock forecast, EPS estimates, revenue projections, revisions, full estimates, rating distribution and upgrades/downgrades for MP MATERIALS CORP (MP).

Forecast Snapshot

Consensus Price Target

Price Target
$79.03
+ 18.61% Upside
→ Price target details

Next Earnings Forecast

Earnings Estimate
Release Date
May 7, 2026
Period
Q1 / 2026
EPS Estimate
-$0.01
Revenue Estimate
78.759M
→ Full earnings forecast details

ChartMill Buy Consensus

Rating
84.80%
Weighted Analyst Rating Score
→ Analyst Ratings details

Price Target Details & History

Consensus Price Target and Range

Mean target
$79.03
Upside
+ 18.61%
From current price of $66.63 to mean target of $79.03, Based on 25 analyst forecasts
Low
$62.62
Median
$81.09
High
$94.50

Price Target Revisions

1 Month
-0.54%
3 Months
-1.09%

Price Target Summary

25 Wall Street analysts provided a forecast for the next 12 months for MP. The average price target is 79.03 USD. This implies a price increase of 18.61% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 66.63.
The average price target has been revised downward by 1.09% in the past 3 months.
→ Find peer stocks trading 30% below analyst price target

Analyst Ratings & History

Current Analyst Ratings

MP Current Analyst RatingMP Current Analyst Buy, Sell and Hold Ratings.Current Analyst Rating Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell 5 10

Analyst Ratings History

MP Historical Analyst RatingsMP Historical Analyst Buy, Sell and Hold Ratings and number of analysts.Historical Monthly Analyst Rating -19 -17 -15 -13 -11 -9 -7 -5 -3 -1 5 10 15 20

Analyst Ratings Consensus

ChartMill Buy Consensus
84.80%
MP was analyzed by 25 analysts. The buy percentage consensus is at 85. So analysts seem to be very confident about MP.
In the previous month the buy percentage consensus was at a similar level.
MP was analyzed by 25 analysts, which should be a sufficient number of analysts to have a meaningful average consensus rating.
→ Find peer stocks with a buy consensus above 85%

Recent Upgrades & Downgrades

DateFirmActionFrom → To
2026-04-20WedbushInitiate Outperform
2026-04-09Morgan StanleyMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2026-03-11DA DavidsonMaintains Buy -> Buy
2026-02-18DA DavidsonMaintains Buy -> Buy
2026-01-13William BlairInitiate Outperform
2025-12-05Morgan StanleyUpgrade Equal-Weight -> Overweight
2025-11-24BMO CapitalUpgrade Market Perform -> Outperform
2025-11-20DA DavidsonMaintains Buy -> Buy
2025-11-19Goldman SachsInitiate Buy
2025-11-14JP MorganUpgrade Neutral -> Overweight
2025-11-10Deutsche BankUpgrade Hold -> Buy
2025-11-07DA DavidsonMaintains Buy -> Buy
2025-10-15B of A SecuritiesMaintains Buy -> Buy
2025-10-09BMO CapitalReiterate Market Perform
2025-09-23Daiwa CapitalInitiate Outperform
2025-09-02DA DavidsonMaintains Buy -> Buy
2025-08-08Canaccord GenuityMaintains Buy -> Buy
2025-07-31Morgan StanleyReiterate Equal-Weight
2025-07-23BairdMaintains Outperform -> Outperform
2025-07-21JP MorganMaintains Neutral -> Neutral
2025-07-17Deutsche BankMaintains Hold -> Hold
2025-07-16Canaccord GenuityMaintains Buy -> Buy
2025-07-11Canaccord GenuityMaintains Buy -> Buy
2025-07-07JefferiesDowngrade Buy -> Hold
2025-06-17BairdMaintains Outperform -> Outperform

Next Earnings Forecast Details

Next Earnings Details

Release Date
May 7, 2026
Period
Q1 / 2026
EPS Estimate
-$0.01
Revenue Estimate
78.759M
Revenue Q2Q
29.52%
EPS Q2Q
94.18%
Number of Analysts
16

Next Earnings Revisions

Revenue (1 Month)
-4.98%
Revenue (3 Months)
-31.00%
EPS (1 Month)
-132.09%
EPS (3 Months)
-109.26%

Next Earnings Summary

MP is expected to report earnings on 5/7/2026. The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings is -0.01 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 78.76M USD.
The next earnings revenue estimate has been revised downward by 31% in the past 3 months. Downward revisions are a negative sign and indicate that analysts are more pessimistic about the next earnings compared to 3 months ago.
→ Find peers expecting at least 20% revenue growth next quarter

Full Analyst Estimates 2026 - 2033

Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT, EBITDA and Operating Margin Analyst Estimates

2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033
Revenue
YoY % growth
MP revenue by date.MP revenue by date.
253.445M
-51.95%		203.855M
-19.57%		275.457M
35.12%		552.33M
100.51%		885.99M
60.41%		1.155B
30.36%		1.217B
5.37%		1.799B
47.82%		1.482B
-17.62%		1.482B1.482B
EBITDA
YoY % growth
MP ebitda by date.MP ebitda by date.
77.081M
-77.76%		-73.899M
-195.87%		-19.131M
74.11%		218.74M
1,243.38%		486.3M
122.32%		578.12M
18.88%		809.69M
40.06%		1.192B
47.22%		N/AN/AN/A
EBIT
YoY % growth
MP ebit by date.MP ebit by date.
21.372M
-93.49%		-151.956M
-811.01%		-108.398M
28.66%		35.746M
132.98%		282.2M
689.46%		354.16M
25.50%		815.87M
130.37%		1.095B
34.21%		1.276B
16.53%		N/AN/A
Operating Margin
MP operating margin by date.MP operating margin by date.
8.43%-74.54%-39.35%6.47%31.85%30.66%67.04%60.87%86.10%N/AN/A
EPS
YoY % growth
MP eps by date.MP eps by date.
0.38
-77.78%		-0.45
-218.42%		-0.26
42.22%		0.37
241.30%		1.25
240.93%		1.82
44.96%		2.32
27.83%		3.28
41.13%		1.12
-65.72%		1.14
1.83%		N/A

All data in USD

Quarterly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT and EBITDA Analyst Estimates

Q1 / 26 Q2 / 26 Q3 / 26 Q4 / 26 Q1 / 27 Q2 / 27 Q3 / 27 Q4 / 27 Q1 / 28 Q2 / 28 Q3 / 28 Q4 / 28
EPS
Q2Q % growth		-0.01
94.18%		0.10
174.03%		0.16
257.08%		0.18
101.86%		0.26
3,753.54%		0.32
229.35%		0.36
127.26%		0.38
110.34%		0.01
-97.58%		0.60
90.76%		0.75
110.92%		0.75
96.77%
Revenue
Q2Q % growth		78.759M
29.52%		113.07M
97.01%		142.7M
166.46%		167.26M
217.47%		180.14M
128.72%		194.26M
71.81%		201.37M
41.11%		222.16M
32.82%		241.95M
34.31%		241.95M
24.55%		241.95M
20.15%		246.07M
10.76%
EBITDA
Q2Q % growth		29.315M
386.90%		47.559M
1,396.98%		65.258M
199.39%		79.118M
-16.11%		112.4M
283.42%		120.47M
153.31%		135.7M
107.94%		133.57M
68.82%		156.78M
39.48%		164.6M
36.63%		200.65M
47.86%		200.65M
50.22%
EBIT
Q2Q % growth		-30.16M
4.56%		-16.686M
57.20%		-8.253M
80.75%		8.899M
76.25%		8.395M
127.84%		26.832M
260.80%		31.827M
485.66%		46.659M
424.32%		N/AN/AN/AN/A

All data in USD

Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS) and Revenue Trends vs Historical Data

MP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 500M 1B 1.5B
MP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 0 1 2 3

Long Term Forward Growth Forecast Summary

Long Term EPS Growth (CAGR)

EPS Next 3 Year
107.88%
EPS Next 5 Year
70.95%

Long Term Revenue Growth (CAGR)

Revenue Next 3 Year
65.68%
Revenue Next 5 Year
47.93%

Long Term EBIT Growth (CAGR)

EBIT Next 3 Year
85.81%
EBIT Next 5 Year
61.84%
→ Find peers expecting at least 20% CAGR revenue growth over the next 3 years

MP MATERIALS CORP / MP Forecast FAQ

What is the price target for MP stock?

25 analysts have analysed MP and the average price target is 79.03 USD. This implies a price increase of 18.61% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 66.63.

When does MP MATERIALS CORP (MP) report earnings?

MP MATERIALS CORP (MP) will report earnings on 2026-05-07, after the market close.

What are the consensus estimates for MP MATERIALS CORP (MP) next earnings?

The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings of MP MATERIALS CORP (MP) is -0.01 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 78.76M USD.

Can you provide the analyst count for MP MATERIALS CORP stock?

The number of analysts covering MP MATERIALS CORP (MP) is 25.