Logo image of MODN

Model N Inc (MODN) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:MODN - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US6075251024 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

30  +0.03 (+0.1%)

After market: 30.002 +0 (+0.01%)

Fundamental Rating

4

MODN gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 282 industry peers in the Software industry. While MODN seems to be doing ok healthwise, there are quite some concerns on its profitability. MODN is growing strongly while it is still valued neutral. This is a good combination!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

Quickly go to:

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year MODN was profitable.
In the past year MODN had a positive cash flow from operations.
MODN had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years MODN always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
MODN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMODN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20M -20M

1.2 Ratios

MODN has a Return On Assets of 0.05%. This is in the better half of the industry: MODN outperforms 64.86% of its industry peers.
MODN has a Return On Equity of 0.19%. This is in the better half of the industry: MODN outperforms 67.03% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.05%
ROE 0.19%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-7.41%
ROA(5y)-7.58%
ROE(3y)-24.88%
ROE(5y)-24.45%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
MODN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMODN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 -20 -40 -60 -80

1.3 Margins

MODN's Profit Margin of 0.10% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MODN outperforms 65.58% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 57.06%, MODN is doing worse than 64.13% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MODN has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) 0.1%
GM 57.06%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.57%
GM growth 5Y-0.41%
MODN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMODN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 40

More info and screens

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

MODN does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
Compared to 1 year ago, MODN has more shares outstanding
MODN has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
MODN has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
MODN Yearly Shares OutstandingMODN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M
MODN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMODN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.15 indicates that MODN is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of MODN (2.15) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
MODN has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.68. This is a neutral value as MODN would need 4.68 years to pay back of all of its debts.
MODN has a Debt to FCF ratio (4.68) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
MODN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.05. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
MODN has a Debt to Equity ratio of 2.05. This is amonst the worse of the industry: MODN underperforms 83.33% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.05
Debt/FCF 4.68
Altman-Z 2.15
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.78%
MODN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMODN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 3.86 indicates that MODN has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
MODN's Current ratio of 3.86 is amongst the best of the industry. MODN outperforms 81.16% of its industry peers.
MODN has a Quick Ratio of 3.86. This indicates that MODN is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
With an excellent Quick ratio value of 3.86, MODN belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 81.16% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.86
Quick Ratio 3.86
MODN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMODN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M

More info and screens

7

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 34.09% over the past year.
MODN shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 94.38% yearly.
Looking at the last year, MODN shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 8.57% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, MODN shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 10.05% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)34.09%
EPS 3Y32.24%
EPS 5Y94.38%
EPS Q2Q%9.09%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.57%
Revenue growth 3Y15.7%
Revenue growth 5Y10.05%
Sales Q2Q%4%

3.2 Future

MODN is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 19.28% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, MODN will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 8.98% on average per year.
EPS Next Y17.87%
EPS Next 2Y17.26%
EPS Next 3Y19.28%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year6.15%
Revenue Next 2Y7.69%
Revenue Next 3Y8.98%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
MODN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMODN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 100M 200M 300M
MODN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMODN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 0.5 -0.5 1 1.5

More info and screens

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 25.42, which means the current valuation is very expensive for MODN.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MODN is valued a bit cheaper than 77.54% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of MODN to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.51), we can say MODN is valued inline with the index average.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 19.66, MODN is valued on the expensive side.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MODN indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: MODN is cheaper than 79.35% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MODN to the average of the S&P500 Index (35.58), we can say MODN is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 25.42
Fwd PE 19.66
MODN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMODN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

MODN's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
MODN's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. MODN is cheaper than 85.14% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 19.69
EV/EBITDA 223.88
MODN Per share dataMODN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

MODN's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
MODN's earnings are expected to grow with 19.28% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.42
PEG (5Y)0.27
EPS Next 2Y17.26%
EPS Next 3Y19.28%

More info and screens

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for MODN!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

More info and screens

Model N Inc

NYSE:MODN (6/26/2024, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 30.002 +0 (+0.01%)

30

+0.03 (+0.1%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)05-06 2024-05-06/bmo
Earnings (Next)08-06 2024-08-06/amc
Inst Owners10.07%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners11.38%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap1.18B
Analysts50
Price Target30.6 (2%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-11.08%
Min EPS beat(2)-15.94%
Max EPS beat(2)-6.22%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)5.42%
Min EPS beat(4)-15.94%
Max EPS beat(4)40.97%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)12.91%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)91.22%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)99.56%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.41%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.94%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.12%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.06%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.94%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.64%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.65%
Revenue beat(12)10
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.8%
Revenue beat(16)14
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.12%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-5.83%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.19%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.38%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.02%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.33%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 25.42
Fwd PE 19.66
P/S 4.61
P/FCF 19.69
P/OCF 19.47
P/B 8.63
P/tB 26.54
EV/EBITDA 223.88
EPS(TTM)1.18
EY3.93%
EPS(NY)1.53
Fwd EY5.09%
FCF(TTM)1.52
FCFY5.08%
OCF(TTM)1.54
OCFY5.14%
SpS6.5
BVpS3.48
TBVpS1.13
PEG (NY)1.42
PEG (5Y)0.27
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.05%
ROE 0.19%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) 0.1%
GM 57.06%
FCFM 23.43%
ROA(3y)-7.41%
ROA(5y)-7.58%
ROE(3y)-24.88%
ROE(5y)-24.45%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.57%
GM growth 5Y-0.41%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.48
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.05
Debt/FCF 4.68
Debt/EBITDA 55.75
Cap/Depr 8.72%
Cap/Sales 0.26%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion 1204.2%
Profit Quality 22664.5%
Current Ratio 3.86
Quick Ratio 3.86
Altman-Z 2.15
F-Score7
WACC9.78%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)9.93%
Cap/Depr(5y)8.89%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.39%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.35%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)34.09%
EPS 3Y32.24%
EPS 5Y94.38%
EPS Q2Q%9.09%
EPS Next Y17.87%
EPS Next 2Y17.26%
EPS Next 3Y19.28%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.57%
Revenue growth 3Y15.7%
Revenue growth 5Y10.05%
Sales Q2Q%4%
Revenue Next Year6.15%
Revenue Next 2Y7.69%
Revenue Next 3Y8.98%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y79.94%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year33.6%
EBIT Next 3Y26.48%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y220.67%
FCF growth 3Y18.73%
FCF growth 5Y59.11%
OCF growth 1Y213.25%
OCF growth 3Y17.87%
OCF growth 5Y56.42%