MONRO INC (MNRO) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:MNRO - US6102361010 - Common Stock
17.03 USD
+0.38 (+2.28%)
16.97 USD
-0.06 (-0.35%)
Taking everything into account, MNRO scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. MNRO was compared to 122 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. MNRO may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. MNRO has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth. MNRO also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
MNRO had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year MNRO had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years MNRO 4 years were profitable.
In the past 5 years MNRO always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
MNRO has a Return On Assets (-1.29%) which is in line with its industry peers.
MNRO has a Return On Equity of -3.39%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MNRO outperforms 48.36% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.29% | ||
| ROE | -3.39% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)1.31%
ROA(5y)1.81%
ROE(3y)3.35%
ROE(5y)4.47%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MNRO has declined.
MNRO has a Gross Margin of 34.61%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MNRO outperforms 45.90% of its industry peers.
MNRO's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for MNRO so they could not be analyzed.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 34.61% |
OM growth 3Y-48.06%
OM growth 5Y-33.7%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.48%
GM growth 5Y-1.63%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
MNRO does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for MNRO remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, MNRO has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, MNRO has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
MNRO has an Altman-Z score of 1.37. This is a bad value and indicates that MNRO is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.37, MNRO is not doing good in the industry: 66.39% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
MNRO has a debt to FCF ratio of 6.29. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as MNRO would need 6.29 years to pay back of all of its debts.
MNRO's Debt to FCF ratio of 6.29 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MNRO outperforms 62.30% of its industry peers.
MNRO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.44. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
MNRO's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.44 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MNRO outperforms 54.92% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.44 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.29 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.37 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC8.48%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.48 indicates that MNRO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.48, MNRO is doing worse than 93.44% of the companies in the same industry.
MNRO has a Quick Ratio of 0.48. This is a bad value and indicates that MNRO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.16, MNRO is doing worse than 92.62% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.48 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.16 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for MNRO have decreased strongly by -46.46% in the last year.
MNRO shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -23.90% yearly.
Looking at the last year, MNRO shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -2.58% in the last year.
The Revenue has been decreasing by -0.99% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-46.46%
EPS 3Y-35.89%
EPS 5Y-23.9%
EPS Q2Q%23.53%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.58%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.19%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.99%
Sales Q2Q%-4.14%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, MNRO will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 20.50% on average per year.
MNRO is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 0.62% yearly.
EPS Next Y16.16%
EPS Next 2Y20.5%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-0.99%
Revenue Next 2Y0.62%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 32.13, MNRO can be considered very expensive at the moment.
MNRO's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.51. MNRO is valued slightly more expensive when compared to this.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 23.94, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of MNRO.
MNRO's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
MNRO is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 34.98, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 32.13 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.94 |
4.2 Price Multiples
MNRO's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of MNRO indicates a rather cheap valuation: MNRO is cheaper than 84.43% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 10.54 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.92 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates MNRO does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as MNRO's earnings are expected to grow with 20.50% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.99
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y20.5%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.53%, MNRO is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 5.60, MNRO pays a better dividend. On top of this MNRO pays more dividend than 95.90% of the companies listed in the same industry.
MNRO's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.44.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.53% |
5.2 History
The dividend of MNRO has a limited annual growth rate of 5.46%.
MNRO has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
MNRO has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.46%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years11
5.3 Sustainability
MNRO has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
The dividend of MNRO is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP-170.95%
EPS Next 2Y20.5%
EPS Next 3YN/A
17.03
+0.38 (+2.28%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners112.99%
Inst Owner Change6.24%
Ins Owners0.76%
Ins Owner Change9.12%
Market Cap510.56M
Revenue(TTM)1.19B
Net Income(TTM)-20.43M
Analysts76.36
Price Target17.68 (3.82%)
Short Float %20.52%
Short Ratio6.54
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.53% |
Yearly Dividend1.17
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.46%
DP-170.95%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years11
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)31.13%
Min EPS beat(2)15.92%
Max EPS beat(2)46.33%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-97.34%
Min EPS beat(4)-415.13%
Max EPS beat(4)46.33%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)379.35%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)244.95%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)180.91%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.55%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.75%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.34%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.21%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.1%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.67%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.77%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.64%
PT rev (1m)8.33%
PT rev (3m)10.64%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-34.38%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-32.39%
EPS NY rev (1m)-9.56%
EPS NY rev (3m)-23.2%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.01%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.17%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.56%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.74%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 32.13 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.94 | ||
| P/S | 0.43 | ||
| P/FCF | 10.54 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.89 | ||
| P/B | 0.85 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.92 |
EPS(TTM)0.53
EY3.11%
EPS(NY)0.71
Fwd EY4.18%
FCF(TTM)1.62
FCFY9.48%
OCF(TTM)2.47
OCFY14.52%
SpS39.72
BVpS20.07
TBVpS-4.8
PEG (NY)1.99
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number15.47
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.29% | ||
| ROE | -3.39% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 34.61% | ||
| FCFM | 4.07% |
ROA(3y)1.31%
ROA(5y)1.81%
ROE(3y)3.35%
ROE(5y)4.47%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)4.3%
ROCE(5y)4.85%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-48.06%
OM growth 5Y-33.7%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.48%
GM growth 5Y-1.63%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.75
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.44 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.29 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.6 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 39.53% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.16% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | 128.24% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.48 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.16 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.37 |
F-Score4
WACC8.48%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)41.31%
Cap/Depr(5y)45.01%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.38%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.76%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-46.46%
EPS 3Y-35.89%
EPS 5Y-23.9%
EPS Q2Q%23.53%
EPS Next Y16.16%
EPS Next 2Y20.5%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.58%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.19%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.99%
Sales Q2Q%-4.14%
Revenue Next Year-0.99%
Revenue Next 2Y0.62%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-112.39%
EBIT growth 3Y-50.24%
EBIT growth 5Y-34.36%
EBIT Next Year143.2%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-69.34%
FCF growth 3Y-10.25%
FCF growth 5Y10.05%
OCF growth 1Y-61.6%
OCF growth 3Y-8.78%
OCF growth 5Y1.69%
MONRO INC / MNRO FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of MONRO INC (MNRO) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to MNRO.
What is the valuation status of MONRO INC (MNRO) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to MONRO INC (MNRO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is MONRO INC (MNRO) stock?
MONRO INC (MNRO) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for MONRO INC (MNRO) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MONRO INC (MNRO) is expected to grow by 16.16% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for MNRO stock?
The dividend rating of MONRO INC (MNRO) is 8 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -170.95%.