MAGELLAN MIDSTREAM PARTNERS (MMP) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:MMP - US5590801065
69 USD
+0.46 (+0.67%)
69.01 USD
+0.01 (+0.01%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to MMP. MMP was compared to 209 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. There are concerns on the financial health of MMP while its profitability can be described as average. While showing a medium growth rate, MMP is valued expensive at the moment. Finally MMP also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year MMP was profitable.
In the past year MMP had a positive cash flow from operations.
MMP had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years MMP always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 13.50%, MMP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.75% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 60.05%, MMP belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 88.48% of the companies in the same industry.
MMP has a Return On Invested Capital (13.04%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MMP is significantly below the industry average of 20.87%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (13.04%) for MMP is above the 3 year average (10.07%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 13.5% | ||
| ROE | 60.05% | ||
| ROIC | 13.04% |
ROA(3y)11.88%
ROA(5y)12.99%
ROE(3y)49.55%
ROE(5y)47.34%
ROIC(3y)10.07%
ROIC(5y)10.4%
1.3 Margins
MMP has a Profit Margin of 29.55%. This is in the better half of the industry: MMP outperforms 64.06% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MMP has remained more or less at the same level.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 32.92%, MMP is in line with its industry, outperforming 52.07% of the companies in the same industry.
MMP's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
MMP has a Gross Margin (48.28%) which is in line with its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MMP has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 32.92% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 29.55% | ||
| GM | 48.28% |
OM growth 3Y-7.86%
OM growth 5Y-4.63%
PM growth 3Y-4.7%
PM growth 5Y-1.36%
GM growth 3Y-4.92%
GM growth 5Y-2.39%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MMP is still creating some value.
MMP has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
MMP has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
The Debt to FCF ratio of MMP is 3.79, which is a good value as it means it would take MMP, 3.79 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
MMP has a Debt to FCF ratio of 3.79. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MMP outperforms 56.68% of its industry peers.
MMP has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.91. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 2.91, MMP is doing worse than 84.79% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.91 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.79 | ||
| Altman-Z | N/A |
ROIC/WACC1.54
WACC8.46%
2.3 Liquidity
MMP has a Current Ratio of 1.08. This is a normal value and indicates that MMP is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of MMP (1.08) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
MMP has a Quick Ratio of 1.08. This is a bad value and indicates that MMP is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
MMP has a Quick ratio of 0.60. This is in the lower half of the industry: MMP underperforms 76.96% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.08 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.6 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.49% over the past year.
Measured over the past 5 years, MMP shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 5.82% on average per year.
MMP shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 19.66%.
MMP shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.00% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.49%
EPS 3Y3.54%
EPS 5Y5.82%
EPS Q2Q%-29.34%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)19.66%
Revenue growth 3Y5.47%
Revenue growth 5Y5%
Sales Q2Q%11.24%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 4.58% on average over the next years.
Based on estimates for the next years, MMP will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.20% on average per year.
EPS Next Y4.81%
EPS Next 2Y3.83%
EPS Next 3Y3.33%
EPS Next 5Y4.58%
Revenue Next Year12.86%
Revenue Next 2Y7.1%
Revenue Next 3Y5.56%
Revenue Next 5Y4.2%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 13.75, MMP is valued correctly.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MMP is valued a bit more expensive than 64.52% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.28, MMP is valued a bit cheaper.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.93 indicates a correct valuation of MMP.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MMP is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.52, MMP is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.75 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.93 |
4.2 Price Multiples
MMP's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. MMP is more expensive than 73.73% of the companies in the same industry.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as MMP.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 10.6 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.08 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates MMP does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
MMP has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.86
PEG (5Y)2.36
EPS Next 2Y3.83%
EPS Next 3Y3.33%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.07%, MMP is a good candidate for dividend investing.
MMP's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 5.71.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.31, MMP pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.07% |
5.2 History
The dividend of MMP has a limited annual growth rate of 3.51%.
MMP has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
MMP has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.51%
Div Incr Years16
Div Non Decr Years16
5.3 Sustainability
MMP pays out 83.00% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of MMP is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP83%
EPS Next 2Y3.83%
EPS Next 3Y3.33%
69
+0.46 (+0.67%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners0.02%
Inst Owner Change-99.99%
Ins Owners0.42%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap13.94B
Revenue(TTM)3.48B
Net Income(TTM)1.03B
Analysts65
Price Target65.85 (-4.57%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.07% |
Yearly Dividend4.19
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.51%
DP83%
Div Incr Years16
Div Non Decr Years16
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.41%
Min EPS beat(2)5.32%
Max EPS beat(2)11.5%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)5.84%
Min EPS beat(4)-30.04%
Max EPS beat(4)36.57%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)10.3%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.59%
Max Revenue beat(2)19.01%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)9.1%
Min Revenue beat(4)1.59%
Max Revenue beat(4)19.01%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0.16%
PT rev (3m)2.39%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.08%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.61%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.98%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.81%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)3.22%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.21%
Revenue NY rev (1m)4.04%
Revenue NY rev (3m)10.85%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.75 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.93 | ||
| P/S | 4 | ||
| P/FCF | 10.6 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.3 | ||
| P/B | 8.13 | ||
| P/tB | 8.58 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.08 |
EPS(TTM)5.02
EY7.28%
EPS(NY)5.34
Fwd EY7.73%
FCF(TTM)6.51
FCFY9.43%
OCF(TTM)7.42
OCFY10.76%
SpS17.24
BVpS8.48
TBVpS8.04
PEG (NY)2.86
PEG (5Y)2.36
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 13.5% | ||
| ROE | 60.05% | ||
| ROCE | 16.51% | ||
| ROIC | 13.04% | ||
| ROICexc | 13.29% | ||
| ROICexgc | 13.46% | ||
| OM | 32.92% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 29.55% | ||
| GM | 48.28% | ||
| FCFM | 37.76% |
ROA(3y)11.88%
ROA(5y)12.99%
ROE(3y)49.55%
ROE(5y)47.34%
ROIC(3y)10.07%
ROIC(5y)10.4%
ROICexc(3y)10.08%
ROICexc(5y)10.49%
ROICexgc(3y)10.21%
ROICexgc(5y)10.63%
ROCE(3y)12.75%
ROCE(5y)13.16%
ROICexgc growth 3Y0.46%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.67%
ROICexc growth 3Y0.46%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.6%
OM growth 3Y-7.86%
OM growth 5Y-4.63%
PM growth 3Y-4.7%
PM growth 5Y-1.36%
GM growth 3Y-4.92%
GM growth 5Y-2.39%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.46
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.91 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.79 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.47 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 63.64% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.3% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | 127.77% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.08 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.6 | ||
| Altman-Z | N/A |
F-Score8
WACC8.46%
ROIC/WACC1.54
Cap/Depr(3y)98.33%
Cap/Depr(5y)177.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.67%
Cap/Sales(5y)16.63%
Profit Quality(3y)93.88%
Profit Quality(5y)75.72%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.49%
EPS 3Y3.54%
EPS 5Y5.82%
EPS Q2Q%-29.34%
EPS Next Y4.81%
EPS Next 2Y3.83%
EPS Next 3Y3.33%
EPS Next 5Y4.58%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)19.66%
Revenue growth 3Y5.47%
Revenue growth 5Y5%
Sales Q2Q%11.24%
Revenue Next Year12.86%
Revenue Next 2Y7.1%
Revenue Next 3Y5.56%
Revenue Next 5Y4.2%
EBIT growth 1Y28.59%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.82%
EBIT growth 5Y0.13%
EBIT Next Year37.09%
EBIT Next 3Y12.31%
EBIT Next 5Y8.33%
FCF growth 1Y42.63%
FCF growth 3Y36.82%
FCF growth 5Y11.03%
OCF growth 1Y31.92%
OCF growth 3Y-4.76%
OCF growth 5Y0.18%
MAGELLAN MIDSTREAM PARTNERS / MMP FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for MMP stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to MMP.
Can you provide the valuation status for MAGELLAN MIDSTREAM PARTNERS?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to MAGELLAN MIDSTREAM PARTNERS (MMP). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for MAGELLAN MIDSTREAM PARTNERS?
MAGELLAN MIDSTREAM PARTNERS (MMP) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for MMP stock?
The financial health rating of MAGELLAN MIDSTREAM PARTNERS (MMP) is 3 / 10.
Is the dividend of MAGELLAN MIDSTREAM PARTNERS sustainable?
The dividend rating of MAGELLAN MIDSTREAM PARTNERS (MMP) is 8 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 83%.