MAGELLAN MIDSTREAM PARTNERS (MMP) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:MMP - US5590801065
69 USD
+0.46 (+0.67%)
69.01 USD
+0.01 (+0.01%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to MMP. MMP was compared to 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. There are concerns on the financial health of MMP while its profitability can be described as average. MMP is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate. MMP also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
MMP had positive earnings in the past year.
MMP had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
MMP had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years MMP always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
MMP's Return On Assets of 13.50% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MMP outperforms 61.75% of its industry peers.
MMP's Return On Equity of 60.05% is amongst the best of the industry. MMP outperforms 88.48% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 13.04%, MMP perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.84% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for MMP is significantly below the industry average of 21.78%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (13.04%) for MMP is above the 3 year average (10.07%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 13.5% | ||
| ROE | 60.05% | ||
| ROIC | 13.04% |
ROA(3y)11.88%
ROA(5y)12.99%
ROE(3y)49.55%
ROE(5y)47.34%
ROIC(3y)10.07%
ROIC(5y)10.4%
1.3 Margins
MMP has a better Profit Margin (29.55%) than 64.06% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MMP has remained more or less at the same level.
The Operating Margin of MMP (32.92%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MMP has declined.
MMP has a Gross Margin of 48.28%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MMP outperforms 46.54% of its industry peers.
MMP's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 32.92% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 29.55% | ||
| GM | 48.28% |
OM growth 3Y-7.86%
OM growth 5Y-4.63%
PM growth 3Y-4.7%
PM growth 5Y-1.36%
GM growth 3Y-4.92%
GM growth 5Y-2.39%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MMP is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, MMP has less shares outstanding
MMP has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
MMP has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.79. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as MMP would need 3.79 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 3.79, MMP is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.68% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 2.91 is on the high side and indicates that MMP has dependencies on debt financing.
MMP's Debt to Equity ratio of 2.91 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MMP is outperformed by 84.79% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.91 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.79 | ||
| Altman-Z | N/A |
ROIC/WACC1.54
WACC8.46%
2.3 Liquidity
MMP has a Current Ratio of 1.08. This is a normal value and indicates that MMP is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of MMP (1.08) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
MMP has a Quick Ratio of 1.08. This is a bad value and indicates that MMP is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.60, MMP is not doing good in the industry: 76.96% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.08 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.6 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
MMP shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 7.49%.
MMP shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 5.82% yearly.
Looking at the last year, MMP shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 19.66% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, MMP shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 5.00% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.49%
EPS 3Y3.54%
EPS 5Y5.82%
EPS Q2Q%-29.34%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)19.66%
Revenue growth 3Y5.47%
Revenue growth 5Y5%
Sales Q2Q%11.24%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 4.58% on average over the next years.
Based on estimates for the next years, MMP will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.20% on average per year.
EPS Next Y4.81%
EPS Next 2Y3.83%
EPS Next 3Y3.33%
EPS Next 5Y4.58%
Revenue Next Year12.86%
Revenue Next 2Y7.1%
Revenue Next 3Y5.56%
Revenue Next 5Y4.2%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 13.75, the valuation of MMP can be described as correct.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MMP is valued a bit more expensive than 64.52% of the companies in the same industry.
MMP's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 25.67.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.93, MMP is valued correctly.
MMP's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 31.86, MMP is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.75 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.93 |
4.2 Price Multiples
73.73% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than MMP, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
MMP's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 10.6 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.08 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates MMP does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
The decent profitability rating of MMP may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.86
PEG (5Y)2.36
EPS Next 2Y3.83%
EPS Next 3Y3.33%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
MMP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.07%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.81, MMP pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.40, MMP pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.07% |
5.2 History
The dividend of MMP has a limited annual growth rate of 3.51%.
MMP has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
MMP has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.51%
Div Incr Years16
Div Non Decr Years16
5.3 Sustainability
MMP pays out 83.00% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of MMP is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP83%
EPS Next 2Y3.83%
EPS Next 3Y3.33%
69
+0.46 (+0.67%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners0.02%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.42%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap13.94B
Revenue(TTM)3.48B
Net Income(TTM)1.03B
Analysts65
Price Target65.85 (-4.57%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.07% |
Yearly Dividend4.19
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.51%
DP83%
Div Incr Years16
Div Non Decr Years16
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.41%
Min EPS beat(2)5.32%
Max EPS beat(2)11.5%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)5.84%
Min EPS beat(4)-30.04%
Max EPS beat(4)36.57%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)10.3%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.59%
Max Revenue beat(2)19.01%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)9.1%
Min Revenue beat(4)1.59%
Max Revenue beat(4)19.01%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0.16%
PT rev (3m)2.39%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.08%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.61%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.98%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.81%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)3.22%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.21%
Revenue NY rev (1m)4.04%
Revenue NY rev (3m)10.85%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.75 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.93 | ||
| P/S | 4 | ||
| P/FCF | 10.6 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.3 | ||
| P/B | 8.13 | ||
| P/tB | 8.58 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.08 |
EPS(TTM)5.02
EY7.28%
EPS(NY)5.34
Fwd EY7.73%
FCF(TTM)6.51
FCFY9.43%
OCF(TTM)7.42
OCFY10.76%
SpS17.24
BVpS8.48
TBVpS8.04
PEG (NY)2.86
PEG (5Y)2.36
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 13.5% | ||
| ROE | 60.05% | ||
| ROCE | 16.51% | ||
| ROIC | 13.04% | ||
| ROICexc | 13.29% | ||
| ROICexgc | 13.46% | ||
| OM | 32.92% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 29.55% | ||
| GM | 48.28% | ||
| FCFM | 37.76% |
ROA(3y)11.88%
ROA(5y)12.99%
ROE(3y)49.55%
ROE(5y)47.34%
ROIC(3y)10.07%
ROIC(5y)10.4%
ROICexc(3y)10.08%
ROICexc(5y)10.49%
ROICexgc(3y)10.21%
ROICexgc(5y)10.63%
ROCE(3y)12.75%
ROCE(5y)13.16%
ROICexgc growth 3Y0.46%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.67%
ROICexc growth 3Y0.46%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.6%
OM growth 3Y-7.86%
OM growth 5Y-4.63%
PM growth 3Y-4.7%
PM growth 5Y-1.36%
GM growth 3Y-4.92%
GM growth 5Y-2.39%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.46
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.91 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.79 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.47 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 63.64% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.3% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | 127.77% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.08 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.6 | ||
| Altman-Z | N/A |
F-Score8
WACC8.46%
ROIC/WACC1.54
Cap/Depr(3y)98.33%
Cap/Depr(5y)177.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.67%
Cap/Sales(5y)16.63%
Profit Quality(3y)93.88%
Profit Quality(5y)75.72%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.49%
EPS 3Y3.54%
EPS 5Y5.82%
EPS Q2Q%-29.34%
EPS Next Y4.81%
EPS Next 2Y3.83%
EPS Next 3Y3.33%
EPS Next 5Y4.58%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)19.66%
Revenue growth 3Y5.47%
Revenue growth 5Y5%
Sales Q2Q%11.24%
Revenue Next Year12.86%
Revenue Next 2Y7.1%
Revenue Next 3Y5.56%
Revenue Next 5Y4.2%
EBIT growth 1Y28.59%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.82%
EBIT growth 5Y0.13%
EBIT Next Year37.09%
EBIT Next 3Y12.31%
EBIT Next 5Y8.33%
FCF growth 1Y42.63%
FCF growth 3Y36.82%
FCF growth 5Y11.03%
OCF growth 1Y31.92%
OCF growth 3Y-4.76%
OCF growth 5Y0.18%
MAGELLAN MIDSTREAM PARTNERS / MMP FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for MMP stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to MMP.
Can you provide the valuation status for MAGELLAN MIDSTREAM PARTNERS?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to MAGELLAN MIDSTREAM PARTNERS (MMP). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for MAGELLAN MIDSTREAM PARTNERS?
MAGELLAN MIDSTREAM PARTNERS (MMP) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for MMP stock?
The financial health rating of MAGELLAN MIDSTREAM PARTNERS (MMP) is 3 / 10.
Is the dividend of MAGELLAN MIDSTREAM PARTNERS sustainable?
The dividend rating of MAGELLAN MIDSTREAM PARTNERS (MMP) is 8 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 83%.