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MAGELLAN MIDSTREAM PARTNERS (MMP)

US5590801065

69  +0.46 (+0.67%)

After market: 69.01 +0.01 (+0.01%)

Fundamental Rating

4

MMP gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 216 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. There are concerns on the financial health of MMP while its profitability can be described as average. While showing a medium growth rate, MMP is valued expensive at the moment. Finally MMP also has an excellent dividend rating.



6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

MMP had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year MMP had a positive cash flow from operations.
MMP had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years MMP always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.

1.2 Ratios

MMP has a Return On Assets of 13.50%. This is in the better half of the industry: MMP outperforms 61.75% of its industry peers.
MMP's Return On Equity of 60.05% is amongst the best of the industry. MMP outperforms 88.48% of its industry peers.
MMP has a Return On Invested Capital of 13.04%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MMP outperforms 54.84% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for MMP is significantly below the industry average of 56.97%.
The 3 year average ROIC (10.07%) for MMP is below the current ROIC(13.04%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 13.5%
ROE 60.05%
ROIC 13.04%
ROA(3y)11.88%
ROA(5y)12.99%
ROE(3y)49.55%
ROE(5y)47.34%
ROIC(3y)10.07%
ROIC(5y)10.4%

1.3 Margins

MMP has a Profit Margin of 29.55%. This is in the better half of the industry: MMP outperforms 64.06% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MMP has remained more or less at the same level.
MMP's Operating Margin of 32.92% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MMP outperforms 52.07% of its industry peers.
MMP's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
MMP has a Gross Margin of 48.28%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MMP outperforms 46.54% of its industry peers.
MMP's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 32.92%
PM (TTM) 29.55%
GM 48.28%
OM growth 3Y-7.86%
OM growth 5Y-4.63%
PM growth 3Y-4.7%
PM growth 5Y-1.36%
GM growth 3Y-4.92%
GM growth 5Y-2.39%

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), MMP is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, MMP has less shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for MMP has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, MMP has a worse debt to assets ratio.

2.2 Solvency

The Debt to FCF ratio of MMP is 3.79, which is a good value as it means it would take MMP, 3.79 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
MMP's Debt to FCF ratio of 3.79 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MMP outperforms 56.68% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 2.91 is on the high side and indicates that MMP has dependencies on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 2.91, MMP is not doing good in the industry: 84.79% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.91
Debt/FCF 3.79
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACC1.54
WACC8.46%

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.08 indicates that MMP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.08, MMP is in line with its industry, outperforming 44.70% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.60 indicates that MMP may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
MMP has a worse Quick ratio (0.60) than 76.96% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.08
Quick Ratio 0.6

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

MMP shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 7.49%.
Measured over the past 5 years, MMP shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 5.82% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, MMP shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 19.66% in the last year.
MMP shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.00% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.49%
EPS 3Y3.54%
EPS 5Y5.82%
EPS growth Q2Q-29.34%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)19.66%
Revenue growth 3Y5.47%
Revenue growth 5Y5%
Revenue growth Q2Q11.24%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 4.58% on average over the next years.
Based on estimates for the next years, MMP will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.20% on average per year.
EPS Next Y4.81%
EPS Next 2Y3.83%
EPS Next 3Y3.33%
EPS Next 5Y4.58%
Revenue Next Year12.86%
Revenue Next 2Y7.1%
Revenue Next 3Y5.56%
Revenue Next 5Y4.2%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 13.75, MMP is valued correctly.
64.52% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than MMP, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
MMP's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 24.69.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.93 indicates a correct valuation of MMP.
MMP's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 19.79, MMP is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.75
Fwd PE 12.93

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, MMP is valued a bit more expensive than 73.73% of the companies in the same industry.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as MMP.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 10.6
EV/EBITDA 13.08

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates MMP does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
MMP has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.86
PEG (5Y)2.36
EPS Next 2Y3.83%
EPS Next 3Y3.33%

8

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.07%, MMP is a good candidate for dividend investing.
MMP's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 6.67.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.63, MMP pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.07%

5.2 History

The dividend of MMP has a limited annual growth rate of 3.51%.
MMP has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
MMP has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.51%
Div Incr Years16
Div Non Decr Years16

5.3 Sustainability

MMP pays out 83.00% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of MMP is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP83%
EPS Next 2Y3.83%
EPS Next 3Y3.33%

MAGELLAN MIDSTREAM PARTNERS

NYSE:MMP (9/22/2023, 7:13:22 PM)

After market: 69.01 +0.01 (+0.01%)

69

+0.46 (+0.67%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)08-03 2023-08-03/bmo
Earnings (Next)10-25 2023-10-25/bmo
Inst Owners1.52%
Inst Owner Change-97.24%
Ins Owners0.3%
Ins Owner Change-91.22%
Market Cap13.94B
Analysts65
Price Target65.85 (-4.57%)
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.07%
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.51%
DP83%
Div Incr Years16
Div Non Decr Years16
Ex-Date09-20 2023-09-20 (0.25)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.41%
Min EPS beat(2)5.32%
Max EPS beat(2)11.5%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)5.84%
Min EPS beat(4)-30.04%
Max EPS beat(4)36.57%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)10.3%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.59%
Max Revenue beat(2)19.01%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)9.1%
Min Revenue beat(4)1.59%
Max Revenue beat(4)19.01%
PT rev (1m)0.16%
PT rev (3m)2.39%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.08%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.61%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.98%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.81%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)3.22%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.21%
Revenue NY rev (1m)4.04%
Revenue NY rev (3m)10.85%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.75
Fwd PE 12.93
P/S 4
P/FCF 10.6
P/OCF 9.3
P/B 8.13
P/tB 8.58
EV/EBITDA 13.08
EPS(TTM)5.02
EY7.28%
EPS(NY)5.34
Fwd EY7.73%
FCF(TTM)6.51
FCFY9.43%
OCF(TTM)7.42
OCFY10.76%
SpS17.24
BVpS8.48
TBVpS8.04
PEG (NY)2.86
PEG (5Y)2.36
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 13.5%
ROE 60.05%
ROCE 16.51%
ROIC 13.04%
ROICexc 13.29%
ROICexgc 13.46%
OM 32.92%
PM (TTM) 29.55%
GM 48.28%
FCFM 37.76%
ROA(3y)11.88%
ROA(5y)12.99%
ROE(3y)49.55%
ROE(5y)47.34%
ROIC(3y)10.07%
ROIC(5y)10.4%
ROICexc(3y)10.08%
ROICexc(5y)10.49%
ROICexgc(3y)10.21%
ROICexgc(5y)10.63%
ROCE(3y)12.75%
ROCE(5y)13.16%
ROICexcg growth 3Y0.46%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-1.67%
ROICexc growth 3Y0.46%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.6%
OM growth 3Y-7.86%
OM growth 5Y-4.63%
PM growth 3Y-4.7%
PM growth 5Y-1.36%
GM growth 3Y-4.92%
GM growth 5Y-2.39%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.46
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.91
Debt/FCF 3.79
Debt/EBITDA 3.47
Cap/Depr 63.64%
Cap/Sales 5.3%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality 127.77%
Current Ratio 1.08
Quick Ratio 0.6
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score8
WACC8.46%
ROIC/WACC1.54
Cap/Depr(3y)98.33%
Cap/Depr(5y)177.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.67%
Cap/Sales(5y)16.63%
Profit Quality(3y)93.88%
Profit Quality(5y)75.72%
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.49%
EPS 3Y3.54%
EPS 5Y5.82%
EPS growth Q2Q-29.34%
EPS Next Y4.81%
EPS Next 2Y3.83%
EPS Next 3Y3.33%
EPS Next 5Y4.58%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)19.66%
Revenue growth 3Y5.47%
Revenue growth 5Y5%
Revenue growth Q2Q11.24%
Revenue Next Year12.86%
Revenue Next 2Y7.1%
Revenue Next 3Y5.56%
Revenue Next 5Y4.2%
EBIT growth 1Y28.59%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.82%
EBIT growth 5Y0.13%
EBIT Next Year37.09%
EBIT Next 3Y12.31%
EBIT Next 5Y8.33%
FCF growth 1Y42.63%
FCF growth 3Y36.82%
FCF growth 5Y11.03%
OCF growth 1Y31.92%
OCF growth 3Y-4.76%
OCF growth 5Y0.18%