MGP INGREDIENTS INC (MGPI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:MGPI • US55303J1060
Current stock price
18.77 USD
-0.14 (-0.74%)
At close:
18.77 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This MGPI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. MGPI Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- MGPI had positive earnings in the past year.
- MGPI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- MGPI had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- MGPI had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- With a Return On Assets value of -8.62%, MGPI is not doing good in the industry: 73.53% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- MGPI has a worse Return On Equity (-14.83%) than 70.59% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 4.42%, MGPI is doing worse than 67.65% of the companies in the same industry.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for MGPI is below the industry average of 11.81%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -8.62% | ||
| ROE | -14.83% | ||
| ROIC | 4.42% |
ROA(3y)0.49%
ROA(5y)3.91%
ROE(3y)0.6%
ROE(5y)6.08%
ROIC(3y)7.95%
ROIC(5y)8.98%
1.3 Margins
- MGPI has a Operating Margin (10.81%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MGPI has declined.
- MGPI's Gross Margin of 37.18% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MGPI is outperformed by 76.47% of its industry peers.
- MGPI's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.81% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 37.18% |
OM growth 3Y-17.19%
OM growth 5Y-4.63%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.72%
GM growth 5Y8.28%
2. MGPI Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- MGPI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for MGPI has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for MGPI has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for MGPI has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- MGPI has an Altman-Z score of 1.87. This is not the best score and indicates that MGPI is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.87, MGPI is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- MGPI has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.32. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as MGPI would need 3.32 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 3.32, MGPI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.35% of the companies in the same industry.
- MGPI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.34. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- MGPI has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.34. This is in the better half of the industry: MGPI outperforms 64.71% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.34 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.32 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.87 |
ROIC/WACC0.7
WACC6.29%
2.3 Liquidity
- MGPI has a Current Ratio of 2.61. This indicates that MGPI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a decent Current ratio value of 2.61, MGPI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 79.41% of the companies in the same industry.
- MGPI has a Quick Ratio of 2.61. This is a bad value and indicates that MGPI is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- MGPI has a Quick ratio (0.70) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.61 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.7 |
3. MGPI Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- MGPI shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -50.18%.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 2.28% on average over the past years.
- MGPI shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -23.77%.
- Measured over the past years, MGPI shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 6.28% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-50.18%
EPS 3Y-16.98%
EPS 5Y2.28%
EPS Q2Q%-59.87%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-23.77%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.82%
Revenue growth 5Y6.28%
Sales Q2Q%-23.5%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, MGPI will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -2.99% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.57% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-42.36%
EPS Next 2Y-13.9%
EPS Next 3Y-2.99%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-8.32%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.83%
Revenue Next 3Y0.57%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. MGPI Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- MGPI is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 6.68.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MGPI is valued cheaply inside the industry as 91.18% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of MGPI to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.78), we can say MGPI is valued rather cheaply.
- MGPI is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.59.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MGPI is valued a bit cheaper than 79.41% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.54, MGPI is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.68 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.59 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- 88.24% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MGPI, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
- 100.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MGPI, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 5.27 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.73 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- MGPI's earnings are expected to decrease with -2.99% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.92
EPS Next 2Y-13.9%
EPS Next 3Y-2.99%
5. MGPI Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- MGPI has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.54%.
- In the last 3 months the price of MGPI has falen by -24.19%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.75, MGPI pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- MGPI's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 1.83.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.54% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of MGPI has a limited annual growth rate of 0.12%.
- MGPI has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- MGPI has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.12%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years15
5.3 Sustainability
- MGPI has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-9.69%
EPS Next 2Y-13.9%
EPS Next 3Y-2.99%
MGPI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
18.77
-0.14 (-0.74%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryBeverages
Earnings (Last)02-25 2026-02-25/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-30 2026-04-30
Inst Owners72.53%
Inst Owner Change-0.03%
Ins Owners15.75%
Ins Owner Change4.38%
Market Cap400.93M
Revenue(TTM)536.38M
Net Income(TTM)-106.51M
Analysts80
Price Target29.38 (56.53%)
Short Float %8.32%
Short Ratio3.79
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.54% |
Yearly Dividend0.49
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.12%
DP-9.69%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years15
Ex-Date03-13 2026-03-13 (0.12)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)30.56%
Min EPS beat(2)22.85%
Max EPS beat(2)38.27%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)25.7%
Min EPS beat(4)-2.9%
Max EPS beat(4)44.56%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)15.2%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)9.14%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)14.31%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.39%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.27%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.52%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.28%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.01%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.52%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.06%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.31%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.86%
PT rev (1m)-17.24%
PT rev (3m)-23.54%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-68%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-90.75%
EPS NY rev (1m)-9.77%
EPS NY rev (3m)-40.22%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-8.81%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.35%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.68 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.59 | ||
| P/S | 0.75 | ||
| P/FCF | 5.27 | ||
| P/OCF | 3.3 | ||
| P/B | 0.56 | ||
| P/tB | 1.12 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.73 |
EPS(TTM)2.81
EY14.97%
EPS(NY)1.62
Fwd EY8.63%
FCF(TTM)3.56
FCFY18.97%
OCF(TTM)5.69
OCFY30.31%
SpS25.11
BVpS33.63
TBVpS16.76
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.92
Graham Number46.11
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -8.62% | ||
| ROE | -14.83% | ||
| ROCE | 5.6% | ||
| ROIC | 4.42% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.5% | ||
| ROICexgc | 6.98% | ||
| OM | 10.81% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 37.18% | ||
| FCFM | 14.18% |
ROA(3y)0.49%
ROA(5y)3.91%
ROE(3y)0.6%
ROE(5y)6.08%
ROIC(3y)7.95%
ROIC(5y)8.98%
ROICexc(3y)8.09%
ROICexc(5y)9.22%
ROICexgc(3y)14.11%
ROICexgc(5y)16.52%
ROCE(3y)10.07%
ROCE(5y)11.37%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-30.69%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-13.83%
ROICexc growth 3Y-27.28%
ROICexc growth 5Y-21.05%
OM growth 3Y-17.19%
OM growth 5Y-4.63%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.72%
GM growth 5Y8.28%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.43
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.34 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.32 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 188.86% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8.48% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 6.16 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 148.04% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.61 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.7 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.87 |
F-Score4
WACC6.29%
ROIC/WACC0.7
Cap/Depr(3y)254.17%
Cap/Depr(5y)244.39%
Cap/Sales(3y)8.4%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.71%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-50.18%
EPS 3Y-16.98%
EPS 5Y2.28%
EPS Q2Q%-59.87%
EPS Next Y-42.36%
EPS Next 2Y-13.9%
EPS Next 3Y-2.99%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-23.77%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.82%
Revenue growth 5Y6.28%
Sales Q2Q%-23.5%
Revenue Next Year-8.32%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.83%
Revenue Next 3Y0.57%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-60.92%
EBIT growth 3Y-26.98%
EBIT growth 5Y1.37%
EBIT Next Year8.94%
EBIT Next 3Y13.54%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y144.53%
FCF growth 3Y20.35%
FCF growth 5Y17.77%
OCF growth 1Y18.82%
OCF growth 3Y10.97%
OCF growth 5Y17.94%
MGP INGREDIENTS INC / MGPI Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for MGPI stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to MGPI.
What is the valuation status of MGP INGREDIENTS INC (MGPI) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to MGP INGREDIENTS INC (MGPI). This can be considered as Undervalued.
What is the profitability of MGPI stock?
MGP INGREDIENTS INC (MGPI) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for MGPI stock?
The financial health rating of MGP INGREDIENTS INC (MGPI) is 6 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for MGP INGREDIENTS INC (MGPI) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MGP INGREDIENTS INC (MGPI) is expected to decline by -42.36% in the next year.