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MEG Energy Corp (MEG.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - Toronto Stock Exchange - TSX:MEG - CA5527041084 - Common Stock

30.89 CAD
+0.22 (+0.72%)
Last: 11/14/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

7

MEG gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 215 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. MEG gets an excellent profitability rating and is at the same time showing great financial health properties. MEG is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate. With these ratings, MEG could be worth investigating further for quality investing!.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

MEG had positive earnings in the past year.
MEG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years MEG 4 years were profitable.
MEG had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
MEG.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMEG.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B

1.2 Ratios

MEG has a Return On Assets of 7.78%. This is amongst the best in the industry. MEG outperforms 90.09% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 11.41%, MEG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.08% of the companies in the same industry.
MEG has a better Return On Invested Capital (10.05%) than 91.98% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for MEG is significantly above the industry average of 6.53%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.78%
ROE 11.41%
ROIC 10.05%
ROA(3y)9.53%
ROA(5y)5.48%
ROE(3y)14.76%
ROE(5y)8.31%
ROIC(3y)13.52%
ROIC(5y)N/A
MEG.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMEG.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20 -20 -30

1.3 Margins

MEG's Profit Margin of 12.79% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MEG outperforms 74.06% of its industry peers.
MEG's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
MEG's Operating Margin of 20.16% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MEG outperforms 74.06% of its industry peers.
MEG's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
MEG's Gross Margin of 39.44% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MEG outperforms 54.72% of its industry peers.
MEG's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 20.16%
PM (TTM) 12.79%
GM 39.44%
OM growth 3Y-6.62%
OM growth 5Y13.34%
PM growth 3Y14.56%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.24%
GM growth 5Y-0.34%
MEG.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMEG.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40 -60

8

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

MEG has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, MEG has less shares outstanding
MEG has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
MEG has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
MEG.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingMEG.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
MEG.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMEG.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 3.22 indicates that MEG is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 3.22, MEG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 81.60% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of MEG is 2.58, which is a good value as it means it would take MEG, 2.58 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 2.58, MEG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 87.26% of the companies in the same industry.
MEG has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.22. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.22, MEG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 62.74% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.22
Debt/FCF 2.58
Altman-Z 3.22
ROIC/WACC1.33
WACC7.55%
MEG.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMEG.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.73 indicates that MEG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of MEG (1.73) is better than 75.94% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.17 indicates that MEG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of MEG (1.17) is better than 67.92% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.73
Quick Ratio 1.17
MEG.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMEG.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 13.51% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, MEG shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 13.92% on average per year.
The Revenue for MEG has decreased by -22.02% in the past year. This is quite bad
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.55% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.51%
EPS 3Y25.99%
EPS 5Y13.92%
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-22.02%
Revenue growth 3Y6.02%
Revenue growth 5Y5.55%
Sales Q2Q%-6.64%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, MEG will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 26.02% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.72% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y1.09%
EPS Next 2Y-8.37%
EPS Next 3Y4.57%
EPS Next 5Y26.02%
Revenue Next Year-5.5%
Revenue Next 2Y3.07%
Revenue Next 3Y5.27%
Revenue Next 5Y5.72%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
MEG.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMEG.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2B 4B 6B
MEG.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMEG.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 2 -2 4 6

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

MEG is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 14.71.
66.04% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MEG, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of MEG to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.15), we can say MEG is valued slightly cheaper.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 19.57, the valuation of MEG can be described as rather expensive.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MEG is on the same level as its industry peers.
MEG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 36.22.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.71
Fwd PE 19.57
MEG.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMEG.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, MEG is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 79.72% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, MEG is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 64.15% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 18.8
EV/EBITDA 6.87
MEG.CA Per share dataMEG.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of MEG may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)13.55
PEG (5Y)1.06
EPS Next 2Y-8.37%
EPS Next 3Y4.57%

2

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

MEG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.42%.
MEG's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 5.88.
Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.32, MEG is paying slightly less dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.42%

5.2 History

MEG does not have a reliable dividend history as it only pays dividend since a couple or years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
MEG.CA Yearly Dividends per shareMEG.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2024 2025 0.1 0.2 0.3

5.3 Sustainability

MEG pays out 19.34% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP19.34%
EPS Next 2Y-8.37%
EPS Next 3Y4.57%
MEG.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMEG.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B -1B 1.5B
MEG.CA Dividend Payout.MEG.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MEG.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

MEG Energy Corp

TSX:MEG (11/14/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

30.89

+0.22 (+0.72%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)11-10 2025-11-10/amc
Earnings (Next)02-25 2026-02-25/amc
Inst Owners47.35%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.51%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap7.86B
Revenue(TTM)4.25B
Net Income(TTM)543.00M
Analysts70.77
Price Target30.22 (-2.17%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.42%
Yearly Dividend0.1
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP19.34%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date09-12 2025-09-12 (0.11)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)52.46%
Min EPS beat(2)24.26%
Max EPS beat(2)80.65%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)22.54%
Min EPS beat(4)-34.35%
Max EPS beat(4)80.65%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.68%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-3.64%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-0.57%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.34%
Min Revenue beat(2)-13.03%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.34%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-6.5%
Min Revenue beat(4)-16.34%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.01%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)3.61%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.44%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.55%
PT rev (1m)3.17%
PT rev (3m)3.74%
EPS NQ rev (1m)7.47%
EPS NQ rev (3m)7.47%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.55%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.3%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.23%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.23%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.41%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.42%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.71
Fwd PE 19.57
P/S 1.85
P/FCF 18.8
P/OCF 7.3
P/B 1.65
P/tB 1.65
EV/EBITDA 6.87
EPS(TTM)2.1
EY6.8%
EPS(NY)1.58
Fwd EY5.11%
FCF(TTM)1.64
FCFY5.32%
OCF(TTM)4.23
OCFY13.69%
SpS16.7
BVpS18.71
TBVpS18.7
PEG (NY)13.55
PEG (5Y)1.06
Graham Number29.73
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.78%
ROE 11.41%
ROCE 13.26%
ROIC 10.05%
ROICexc 10.25%
ROICexgc 10.26%
OM 20.16%
PM (TTM) 12.79%
GM 39.44%
FCFM 9.84%
ROA(3y)9.53%
ROA(5y)5.48%
ROE(3y)14.76%
ROE(5y)8.31%
ROIC(3y)13.52%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)13.9%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)13.91%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)17.84%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y0.59%
ROICexgc growth 5Y23.57%
ROICexc growth 3Y0.6%
ROICexc growth 5Y23.59%
OM growth 3Y-6.62%
OM growth 5Y13.34%
PM growth 3Y14.56%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.24%
GM growth 5Y-0.34%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.61
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.22
Debt/FCF 2.58
Debt/EBITDA 0.82
Cap/Depr 154.46%
Cap/Sales 15.49%
Interest Coverage 17.47
Cash Conversion 83.93%
Profit Quality 76.98%
Current Ratio 1.73
Quick Ratio 1.17
Altman-Z 3.22
F-Score8
WACC7.55%
ROIC/WACC1.33
Cap/Depr(3y)79.29%
Cap/Depr(5y)69.56%
Cap/Sales(3y)8.24%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.78%
Profit Quality(3y)160.67%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.51%
EPS 3Y25.99%
EPS 5Y13.92%
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y1.09%
EPS Next 2Y-8.37%
EPS Next 3Y4.57%
EPS Next 5Y26.02%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-22.02%
Revenue growth 3Y6.02%
Revenue growth 5Y5.55%
Sales Q2Q%-6.64%
Revenue Next Year-5.5%
Revenue Next 2Y3.07%
Revenue Next 3Y5.27%
Revenue Next 5Y5.72%
EBIT growth 1Y-0.12%
EBIT growth 3Y-1.01%
EBIT growth 5Y19.63%
EBIT Next Year60.45%
EBIT Next 3Y19.45%
EBIT Next 5Y13.54%
FCF growth 1Y-52.93%
FCF growth 3Y30.18%
FCF growth 5Y12.84%
OCF growth 1Y-19.64%
OCF growth 3Y24.76%
OCF growth 5Y16.26%

MEG Energy Corp / MEG.CA FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for MEG stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to MEG.CA.


What is the valuation status of MEG Energy Corp (MEG.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to MEG Energy Corp (MEG.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of MEG stock?

MEG Energy Corp (MEG.CA) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of MEG Energy Corp (MEG.CA) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for MEG Energy Corp (MEG.CA) is 14.71 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.65.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for MEG stock?

The dividend rating of MEG Energy Corp (MEG.CA) is 2 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 19.34%.