CONTANGO OIL & GAS (MCF) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSEARCA:MCF

3.22
+0.11 (+3.54%)
At close: Dec 7, 2021
3.22
0 (0%)
After Hours: 12/7/2021, 8:08:43 PM
Fundamental Rating

2

We assign a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10 to MCF. MCF was compared to 206 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. MCF may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. MCF is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

0

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • MCF had negative earnings in the past year.
MCF Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMCF Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 0 -50M -100M -150M

1.2 Ratios

Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -13.5%
ROE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
MCF Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMCF Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 -200 -400 -600 -800 -1K

1.3 Margins

Industry RankSector Rank
OM 26.03%
PM (TTM) -28.38%
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
MCF Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMCF Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 0 50 -50 -100 -150 -200

0

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • Compared to 1 year ago, MCF has more shares outstanding
  • MCF has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
MCF Yearly Shares OutstandingMCF Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 50M 100M 150M
MCF Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMCF Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of -0.21, we must say that MCF is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 2.31 is on the high side and indicates that MCF has dependencies on debt financing.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.31
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -0.21
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
MCF Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMCF Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 0 50M 100M 150M 200M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.45 indicates that MCF may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • MCF has a Quick Ratio of 0.45. This is a bad value and indicates that MCF is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.45
Quick Ratio 0.44
MCF Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMCF Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • MCF shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 81.98%, which is quite impressive.
  • Looking at the last year, MCF shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 125.43%.
  • MCF shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -0.62% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)81.98%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-47.71%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)125.43%
Revenue growth 3Y12.86%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.62%
Sales Q2Q%218.77%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, MCF will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 25.46% on average per year.
  • MCF is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 140.64% yearly.
EPS Next Y200%
EPS Next 2Y78.89%
EPS Next 3Y44.93%
EPS Next 5Y25.46%
Revenue Next Year1200.02%
Revenue Next 2Y460.68%
Revenue Next 3Y207.72%
Revenue Next 5Y140.64%

3.3 Evolution

  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
MCF Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMCF Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B
MCF Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMCF Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -2 -4 -6 -8

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • MCF reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 5.90 indicates a rather cheap valuation of MCF.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 28.06. MCF is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 5.9
MCF Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMCF Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 7.09
MCF Per share dataMCF EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 0.5 1

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • MCF's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as MCF's earnings are expected to grow with 44.93% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y78.89%
EPS Next 3Y44.93%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • MCF does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

CONTANGO OIL & GAS

NYSEARCA:MCF (12/7/2021, 8:08:43 PM)

After market: 3.22 0 (0%)

3.22

+0.11 (+3.54%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)11-15
Earnings (Next)03-09
Inst Owners0.01%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners1.31%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap641.22M
Revenue(TTM)272.67M
Net Income(TTM)-77.38M
Analysts45
Price Target5.1 (58.39%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)N/A
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)N/A
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 5.9
P/S 2.35
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 12.25
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 7.09
EPS(TTM)-0.4
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.55
Fwd EY16.94%
FCF(TTM)N/A
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)N/A
OCFYN/A
SpS1.37
BVpS0.26
TBVpSN/A
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -13.5%
ROE N/A
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM 26.03%
PM (TTM) -28.38%
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y0%
ROICexgc growth 5Y0%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.48
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.31
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.45
Quick Ratio 0.44
Altman-Z -0.21
F-Score5
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)81.98%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-47.71%
EPS Next Y200%
EPS Next 2Y78.89%
EPS Next 3Y44.93%
EPS Next 5Y25.46%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)125.43%
Revenue growth 3Y12.86%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.62%
Sales Q2Q%218.77%
Revenue Next Year1200.02%
Revenue Next 2Y460.68%
Revenue Next 3Y207.72%
Revenue Next 5Y140.64%
EBIT growth 1YN/A
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1YN/A
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1YN/A
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

CONTANGO OIL & GAS / MCF FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CONTANGO OIL & GAS (MCF) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to MCF.


What is the valuation status of CONTANGO OIL & GAS (MCF) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to CONTANGO OIL & GAS (MCF). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of MCF stock?

CONTANGO OIL & GAS (MCF) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


What is the financial health of CONTANGO OIL & GAS (MCF) stock?

The financial health rating of CONTANGO OIL & GAS (MCF) is 1 / 10.