CONTANGO OIL & GAS (MCF) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSEARCA:MCF

Current stock price

3.22
+0.11 (+3.54%)
At close:
3.22
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This MCF fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

0

1. MCF Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year MCF has reported negative net income.
MCF Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMCF Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 0 -50M -100M -150M

1.2 Ratios

Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -13.5%
ROE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
MCF Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMCF Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 -200 -400 -600 -800 -1K

1.3 Margins

Industry RankSector Rank
OM 26.03%
PM (TTM) -28.38%
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
MCF Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMCF Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 0 50 -50 -100 -150 -200

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0

2. MCF Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • Compared to 1 year ago, MCF has more shares outstanding
  • MCF has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
MCF Yearly Shares OutstandingMCF Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 50M 100M 150M
MCF Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMCF Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

  • MCF has an Altman-Z score of -0.21. This is a bad value and indicates that MCF is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • MCF has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.31. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.31
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -0.21
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
MCF Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMCF Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 0 50M 100M 150M 200M

2.3 Liquidity

  • MCF has a Current Ratio of 0.45. This is a bad value and indicates that MCF is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.44 indicates that MCF may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.45
Quick Ratio 0.44
MCF Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMCF Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. MCF Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 81.98% over the past year.
  • MCF shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 125.43%.
  • MCF shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -0.62% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)81.98%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-47.71%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)125.43%
Revenue growth 3Y12.86%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.62%
Sales Q2Q%218.77%

3.2 Future

  • MCF is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 25.46% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 140.64% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y200%
EPS Next 2Y78.89%
EPS Next 3Y44.93%
EPS Next 5Y25.46%
Revenue Next Year1200.02%
Revenue Next 2Y460.68%
Revenue Next 3Y207.72%
Revenue Next 5Y140.64%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
MCF Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMCF Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B
MCF Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMCF Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -2 -4 -6 -8

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4

4. MCF Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for MCF. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 5.90, the valuation of MCF can be described as very cheap.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MCF to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.42), we can say MCF is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 5.9
MCF Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMCF Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 7.09
MCF Per share dataMCF EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 0.5 1

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • MCF's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • MCF's earnings are expected to grow with 44.93% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y78.89%
EPS Next 3Y44.93%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. MCF Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for MCF!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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MCF Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CONTANGO OIL & GAS

NYSEARCA:MCF (12/7/2021, 8:08:43 PM)

After market: 3.22 0 (0%)

3.22

+0.11 (+3.54%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)11-15
Earnings (Next)03-09
Inst Owners0.01%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners1.31%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap641.22M
Revenue(TTM)272.67M
Net Income(TTM)-77.38M
Analysts45
Price Target5.1 (58.39%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)N/A
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)N/A
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 5.9
P/S 2.35
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 12.25
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 7.09
EPS(TTM)-0.4
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.55
Fwd EY16.94%
FCF(TTM)N/A
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)N/A
OCFYN/A
SpS1.37
BVpS0.26
TBVpSN/A
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -13.5%
ROE N/A
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM 26.03%
PM (TTM) -28.38%
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y0%
ROICexgc growth 5Y0%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.48
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.31
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.45
Quick Ratio 0.44
Altman-Z -0.21
F-Score5
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)81.98%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-47.71%
EPS Next Y200%
EPS Next 2Y78.89%
EPS Next 3Y44.93%
EPS Next 5Y25.46%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)125.43%
Revenue growth 3Y12.86%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.62%
Sales Q2Q%218.77%
Revenue Next Year1200.02%
Revenue Next 2Y460.68%
Revenue Next 3Y207.72%
Revenue Next 5Y140.64%
EBIT growth 1YN/A
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1YN/A
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1YN/A
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

CONTANGO OIL & GAS / MCF Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CONTANGO OIL & GAS (MCF) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to MCF.


What is the valuation status of CONTANGO OIL & GAS (MCF) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to CONTANGO OIL & GAS (MCF). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of MCF stock?

CONTANGO OIL & GAS (MCF) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


What is the financial health of CONTANGO OIL & GAS (MCF) stock?

The financial health rating of CONTANGO OIL & GAS (MCF) is 1 / 10.