LOYALTY VENTURES INC (LYLT) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:LYLT • US54911Q1076

0.218 USD
+0.13 (+153.78%)
At close: Mar 20, 2023
0.1699 USD
-0.05 (-22.06%)
After Hours: 3/20/2023, 8:22:13 PM
Fundamental Rating

2

Overall LYLT gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. We evaluated LYLT against 91 industry peers in the Media industry. Both the profitability and financial health of LYLT have multiple concerns. LYLT has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year LYLT has reported negative net income.
  • In the past year LYLT had a positive cash flow from operations.
LYLT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLYLT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 50M 100M 150M 200M

1.2 Ratios

  • LYLT has negative profitability rations, so we won't be analyzing them here.
  • LYLT has a better Return On Invested Capital (12.72%) than 92.00% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for LYLT is significantly above the industry average of 7.02%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (12.72%) for LYLT is well below the 3 year average (32.01%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that LYLT had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROIC 12.72%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)32.01%
ROIC(5y)N/A
LYLT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLYLT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2 4 6 8

1.3 Margins

  • LYLT's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 8.24%, LYLT is in line with its industry, outperforming 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LYLT has grown nicely.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 16.41%, LYLT is doing worse than 85.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • LYLT's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.24%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 16.41%
OM growth 3Y1.76%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-73.69%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.2%
GM growth 5YN/A
LYLT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLYLT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 5 10 15 20

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so LYLT is creating value.
  • LYLT has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, LYLT has a worse debt to assets ratio.
LYLT Yearly Shares OutstandingLYLT Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 5M 10M 15M 20M
LYLT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLYLT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.12, we must say that LYLT is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 0.12, LYLT is not doing good in the industry: 68.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.12
ROIC/WACC8.48
WACC1.5%
LYLT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLYLT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • LYLT has a Current Ratio of 0.98. This is a bad value and indicates that LYLT is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • LYLT has a worse Current ratio (0.98) than 68.00% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.78 indicates that LYLT may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of LYLT (0.78) is worse than 72.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.98
Quick Ratio 0.78
LYLT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLYLT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 500M 1B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for LYLT have decreased strongly by -789.18% in the last year.
  • The earnings per share for LYLT have been decreasing by -76.78% on average. This is quite bad
  • Looking at the last year, LYLT shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 0.02% in the last year.
  • The Revenue for LYLT have been decreasing by -11.71% on average. This is quite bad
EPS 1Y (TTM)-789.18%
EPS 3Y-76.78%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-101.03%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.02%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.71%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-4.07%

3.2 Future

  • LYLT is expected to show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -19.63% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.10% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-781.42%
EPS Next 2Y-45.32%
EPS Next 3Y-19.63%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-7.91%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.63%
Revenue Next 3Y0.1%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
LYLT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLYLT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
LYLT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLYLT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -5 -10 -15

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for LYLT. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 0.27, the valuation of LYLT can be described as very cheap.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, LYLT is valued cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of LYLT to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.02), we can say LYLT is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 0.27
LYLT Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLYLT Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, LYLT is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 78.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 5.79
LYLT Per share dataLYLT EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 -10 20 -20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • LYLT's earnings are expected to decrease with -19.63% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-45.32%
EPS Next 3Y-19.63%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • LYLT does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

LOYALTY VENTURES INC

NASDAQ:LYLT (3/20/2023, 8:22:13 PM)

After market: 0.1699 -0.05 (-22.06%)

0.218

+0.13 (+153.78%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryMedia
Earnings (Last)11-08
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst OwnersN/A
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners19.38%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap5.37M
Revenue(TTM)727.71M
Net Income(TTM)-496.79M
Analysts82.22
Price Target6.12 (2707.34%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-4579.88%
Min EPS beat(2)-9048%
Max EPS beat(2)-111.76%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-2290.57%
Min EPS beat(4)-9048%
Max EPS beat(4)68.07%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.62%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.17%
Max Revenue beat(2)9.41%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.66%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.48%
Max Revenue beat(4)9.41%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-10%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 0.27
P/S 0.01
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 0.38
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 5.79
EPS(TTM)-17.39
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.8
Fwd EY366.51%
FCF(TTM)-0.46
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.58
OCFY266.47%
SpS29.57
BVpS-15.83
TBVpS-23.14
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROCE N/A
ROIC 12.72%
ROICexc 15.83%
ROICexgc 39.67%
OM 8.24%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 16.41%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)32.01%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)7.72%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y1.76%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-73.69%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.2%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.46
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 6.5
Cap/Depr 73.01%
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.98
Quick Ratio 0.78
Altman-Z 0.12
F-Score3
WACC1.5%
ROIC/WACC8.48
Cap/Depr(3y)112.71%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)2207.43%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-789.18%
EPS 3Y-76.78%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-101.03%
EPS Next Y-781.42%
EPS Next 2Y-45.32%
EPS Next 3Y-19.63%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.02%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.71%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-4.07%
Revenue Next Year-7.91%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.63%
Revenue Next 3Y0.1%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-41.71%
EBIT growth 3Y-10.16%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year6.43%
EBIT Next 3Y9.2%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-27.68%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-16.98%
OCF growth 3Y40.02%
OCF growth 5YN/A

LOYALTY VENTURES INC / LYLT FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for LYLT stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 1 / 10 to LYLT.


What is the valuation status of LOYALTY VENTURES INC (LYLT) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to LOYALTY VENTURES INC (LYLT). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for LOYALTY VENTURES INC?

LOYALTY VENTURES INC (LYLT) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for LOYALTY VENTURES INC (LYLT) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of LOYALTY VENTURES INC (LYLT) is expected to decline by -781.42% in the next year.