LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:LYB - NL0009434992 - Common Stock
43.35 USD
+0.19 (+0.44%)
43.45 USD
+0.1 (+0.23%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to LYB. LYB was compared to 82 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. LYB may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. LYB has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
LYB had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year LYB had a positive cash flow from operations.
LYB had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years LYB had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
LYB has a Return On Assets of -3.59%. This is in the lower half of the industry: LYB underperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
LYB has a worse Return On Equity (-11.44%) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of LYB (3.64%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
LYB had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 10.69%. This is above the industry average of 6.05%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (3.64%) for LYB is well below the 3 year average (10.69%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that LYB had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.59% | ||
| ROE | -11.44% | ||
| ROIC | 3.64% |
ROA(3y)6.72%
ROA(5y)7.89%
ROE(3y)19.31%
ROE(5y)24.61%
ROIC(3y)10.69%
ROIC(5y)11.69%
1.3 Margins
LYB's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
LYB has a worse Operating Margin (3.65%) than 65.43% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LYB has declined.
LYB has a Gross Margin of 9.19%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: LYB underperforms 83.95% of its industry peers.
LYB's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.65% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 9.19% |
OM growth 3Y-24.61%
OM growth 5Y-10.5%
PM growth 3Y-34.85%
PM growth 5Y-19.21%
GM growth 3Y-15.85%
GM growth 5Y-6.35%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so LYB is still creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for LYB remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for LYB has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
LYB has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
LYB has an Altman-Z score of 1.89. This is not the best score and indicates that LYB is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.89, LYB is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.09% of the companies in the same industry.
LYB has a debt to FCF ratio of 16.07. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as LYB would need 16.07 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 16.07, LYB perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.32% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.02 is on the high side and indicates that LYB has dependencies on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of LYB (1.02) is worse than 64.20% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.02 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 16.07 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.89 |
ROIC/WACC0.48
WACC7.59%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.57 indicates that LYB should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
LYB has a worse Current ratio (1.57) than 69.14% of its industry peers.
LYB has a Quick Ratio of 1.57. This is a bad value and indicates that LYB is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
LYB's Quick ratio of 0.93 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. LYB is outperformed by 66.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.57 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.93 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
LYB shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -61.51%.
LYB shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -7.75% yearly.
LYB shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -20.07%.
LYB shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.02% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-61.51%
EPS 3Y-29.4%
EPS 5Y-7.75%
EPS Q2Q%-46.28%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-20.07%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.43%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-25.14%
3.2 Future
LYB is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 5.03% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -6.25% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-58.57%
EPS Next 2Y-25.01%
EPS Next 3Y-8.72%
EPS Next 5Y5.03%
Revenue Next Year-25.46%
Revenue Next 2Y-13.66%
Revenue Next 3Y-9.54%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.25%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 16.00, which indicates a correct valuation of LYB.
LYB's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. LYB is cheaper than 62.96% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.49, LYB is valued a bit cheaper.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.05, the valuation of LYB can be described as correct.
LYB's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. LYB is cheaper than 70.37% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.69. LYB is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.05 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of LYB indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: LYB is cheaper than 62.96% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, LYB is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 67.90% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 18.91 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.26 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A cheap valuation may be justified as LYB's earnings are expected to decrease with -8.72% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-25.01%
EPS Next 3Y-8.72%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
LYB has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 12.70%, which is a nice return.
The stock price of LYB dropped by -21.30% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.98, LYB pays a better dividend. On top of this LYB pays more dividend than 98.77% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.31, LYB pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 12.7% |
5.2 History
The dividend of LYB has a limited annual growth rate of 5.17%.
LYB has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
LYB has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.17%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
The earnings of LYB are negative and hence is the payout ratio. LYB will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
The dividend of LYB is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP-144.93%
EPS Next 2Y-25.01%
EPS Next 3Y-8.72%
43.35
+0.19 (+0.44%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners71.57%
Inst Owner Change-5.98%
Ins Owners0.18%
Ins Owner Change-0.03%
Market Cap13.95B
Revenue(TTM)32.56B
Net Income(TTM)-1.21B
Analysts63.08
Price Target54.71 (26.21%)
Short Float %7.94%
Short Ratio4.07
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 12.7% |
Yearly Dividend5.31
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.17%
DP-144.93%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)0.36%
Min EPS beat(2)-23.45%
Max EPS beat(2)24.17%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-4.8%
Min EPS beat(4)-23.45%
Max EPS beat(4)24.17%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.26%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)5.26%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)2.78%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.76%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.27%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.93%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.76%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.27%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.64%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.64%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.42%
PT rev (1m)-6.82%
PT rev (3m)-16.81%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-17.37%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-30.18%
EPS NY rev (1m)6.77%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.62%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.15%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.68%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.35%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.17%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.05 | ||
| P/S | 0.43 | ||
| P/FCF | 18.91 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.23 | ||
| P/B | 1.32 | ||
| P/tB | 1.48 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.26 |
EPS(TTM)2.71
EY6.25%
EPS(NY)3.6
Fwd EY8.3%
FCF(TTM)2.29
FCFY5.29%
OCF(TTM)8.3
OCFY19.14%
SpS101.16
BVpS32.93
TBVpS29.32
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number44.81
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.59% | ||
| ROE | -11.44% | ||
| ROCE | 4.41% | ||
| ROIC | 3.64% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.89% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.08% | ||
| OM | 3.65% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 9.19% | ||
| FCFM | 2.27% |
ROA(3y)6.72%
ROA(5y)7.89%
ROE(3y)19.31%
ROE(5y)24.61%
ROIC(3y)10.69%
ROIC(5y)11.69%
ROICexc(3y)11.83%
ROICexc(5y)12.68%
ROICexgc(3y)12.95%
ROICexgc(5y)13.92%
ROCE(3y)12.98%
ROCE(5y)14.24%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-25.81%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-9.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-25.6%
ROICexc growth 5Y-8.64%
OM growth 3Y-24.61%
OM growth 5Y-10.5%
PM growth 3Y-34.85%
PM growth 5Y-19.21%
GM growth 3Y-15.85%
GM growth 5Y-6.35%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.96
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.02 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 16.07 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.18 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 138.59% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.93% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 103.45% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.57 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.93 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.89 |
F-Score3
WACC7.59%
ROIC/WACC0.48
Cap/Depr(3y)123.27%
Cap/Depr(5y)130.2%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.01%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.66%
Profit Quality(3y)139.02%
Profit Quality(5y)124.38%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-61.51%
EPS 3Y-29.4%
EPS 5Y-7.75%
EPS Q2Q%-46.28%
EPS Next Y-58.57%
EPS Next 2Y-25.01%
EPS Next 3Y-8.72%
EPS Next 5Y5.03%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-20.07%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.43%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-25.14%
Revenue Next Year-25.46%
Revenue Next 2Y-13.66%
Revenue Next 3Y-9.54%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.25%
EBIT growth 1Y-60.92%
EBIT growth 3Y-27.96%
EBIT growth 5Y-7.79%
EBIT Next Year-7.69%
EBIT Next 3Y7.39%
EBIT Next 5Y10.29%
FCF growth 1Y-79.05%
FCF growth 3Y-29.85%
FCF growth 5Y-2.67%
OCF growth 1Y-47.04%
OCF growth 3Y-20.83%
OCF growth 5Y-5.1%
LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A / LYB FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to LYB.
What is the valuation status for LYB stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) stock?
LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) is 16 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.32.
How sustainable is the dividend of LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) stock?
The dividend rating of LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -144.93%.