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SOUTHWEST AIRLINES CO (LUV) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:LUV - US8447411088 - Common Stock

40.86 USD
-0.48 (-1.16%)
Last: 1/28/2026, 8:04:00 PM
43.2052 USD
+2.35 (+5.74%)
After Hours: 1/28/2026, 8:04:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

LUV gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 22 industry peers in the Passenger Airlines industry. LUV has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. LUV is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year LUV was profitable.
  • LUV had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Of the past 5 years LUV 4 years were profitable.
  • Of the past 5 years LUV 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
LUV Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLUV Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B 4B -4B

1.2 Ratios

  • LUV has a better Return On Assets (1.34%) than 68.18% of its industry peers.
  • With a decent Return On Equity value of 4.87%, LUV is doing good in the industry, outperforming 68.18% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With a Return On Invested Capital value of 1.38%, LUV perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 45.45% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for LUV is significantly below the industry average of 20.53%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.34%
ROE 4.87%
ROIC 1.38%
ROA(3y)1.39%
ROA(5y)-0.4%
ROE(3y)4.65%
ROE(5y)-2.26%
ROIC(3y)1.77%
ROIC(5y)N/A
LUV Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLUV Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20

1.3 Margins

  • LUV's Profit Margin of 1.38% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. LUV outperforms 68.18% of its industry peers.
  • LUV's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • LUV's Operating Margin of 1.14% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. LUV outperforms 40.91% of its industry peers.
  • LUV's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • LUV has a Gross Margin of 73.50%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LUV outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LUV has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 1.14%
PM (TTM) 1.38%
GM 73.5%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-38.41%
PM growth 3Y-35.09%
PM growth 5Y-30.26%
GM growth 3Y0.9%
GM growth 5Y-0.77%
LUV Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLUV Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40 60

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so LUV is destroying value.
  • LUV has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
LUV Yearly Shares OutstandingLUV Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M
LUV Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLUV Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.19 indicates that LUV is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of LUV (2.19) is better than 86.36% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.52 indicates that LUV is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • LUV has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.52) than 90.91% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.52
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 2.19
ROIC/WACC0.16
WACC8.86%
LUV Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLUV Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.49 indicates that LUV may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • LUV's Current ratio of 0.49 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. LUV is outperformed by 63.64% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.42 indicates that LUV may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of LUV (0.42) is worse than 63.64% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.49
Quick Ratio 0.42
LUV Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLUV Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • LUV shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 6.45%.
  • Measured over the past years, LUV shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -3.45% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.45%
EPS 3Y-3.45%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%3.57%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%5.61%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, LUV will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 53.42% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, LUV will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.16% on average per year.
EPS Next Y227.77%
EPS Next 2Y104.03%
EPS Next 3Y63.4%
EPS Next 5Y53.42%
Revenue Next Year9.22%
Revenue Next 2Y7.21%
Revenue Next 3Y6.33%
Revenue Next 5Y6.16%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
LUV Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLUV Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 10B 20B 30B
LUV Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLUV Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 2 -2 4 -4 -6

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 41.27, which means the current valuation is very expensive for LUV.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of LUV is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 28.60. LUV is valued slightly more expensive when compared to this.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.59 indicates a correct valuation of LUV.
  • LUV's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 25.83, LUV is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 41.27
Fwd PE 12.59
LUV Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLUV Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, LUV is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 63.64% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 11.56
LUV Per share dataLUV EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30 40 50

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • LUV's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • LUV's earnings are expected to grow with 63.40% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.18
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y104.03%
EPS Next 3Y63.4%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.74%, LUV has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.84, LUV pays a better dividend. On top of this LUV pays more dividend than 81.82% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • LUV's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.74%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of LUV has a limited annual growth rate of 0.82%.
  • LUV has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.82%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
LUV Yearly Dividends per shareLUV Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2024 2025 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

5.3 Sustainability

  • LUV pays out 105.01% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • LUV's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP105.01%
EPS Next 2Y104.03%
EPS Next 3Y63.4%
LUV Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendLUV Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B
LUV Dividend Payout.LUV Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.LUV Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

SOUTHWEST AIRLINES CO / LUV FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for SOUTHWEST AIRLINES CO?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to LUV.


What is the valuation status of SOUTHWEST AIRLINES CO (LUV) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to SOUTHWEST AIRLINES CO (LUV). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of LUV stock?

SOUTHWEST AIRLINES CO (LUV) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


How financially healthy is SOUTHWEST AIRLINES CO?

The financial health rating of SOUTHWEST AIRLINES CO (LUV) is 3 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for SOUTHWEST AIRLINES CO (LUV) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SOUTHWEST AIRLINES CO (LUV) is expected to grow by 227.77% in the next year.