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LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:LUG - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA5503711080 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

72.45  +0.59 (+0.82%)

Fundamental Rating

7

Taking everything into account, LUG scores 7 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. LUG was compared to 797 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. LUG has outstanding health and profitabily ratings, belonging to the best of the industry. This is a solid base for any company. LUG is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate. This makes LUG very considerable for quality investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

9

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year LUG was profitable.
LUG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years LUG 4 years were profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years LUG had a positive operating cash flow.
LUG.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLUG.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

LUG has a Return On Assets of 33.32%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LUG outperforms 98.12% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 41.30%, LUG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 97.99% of the companies in the same industry.
LUG's Return On Invested Capital of 34.97% is amongst the best of the industry. LUG outperforms 99.62% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for LUG is significantly above the industry average of 12.25%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (34.97%) for LUG is above the 3 year average (22.93%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 33.32%
ROE 41.3%
ROIC 34.97%
ROA(3y)14.84%
ROA(5y)10.91%
ROE(3y)20.81%
ROE(5y)16.32%
ROIC(3y)22.93%
ROIC(5y)18.45%
LUG.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLUG.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 40.65%, LUG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 97.62% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of LUG has grown nicely.
LUG has a Operating Margin of 56.24%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LUG outperforms 99.12% of its industry peers.
LUG's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
LUG's Gross Margin of 62.28% is amongst the best of the industry. LUG outperforms 97.74% of its industry peers.
LUG's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 56.24%
PM (TTM) 40.65%
GM 62.28%
OM growth 3Y5.36%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y5.75%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.72%
GM growth 5YN/A
LUG.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLUG.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40

9

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), LUG is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, LUG has more shares outstanding
LUG has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
There is no outstanding debt for LUG. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
LUG.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingLUG.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M
LUG.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLUG.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

LUG has an Altman-Z score of 27.74. This indicates that LUG is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of LUG (27.74) is better than 81.56% of its industry peers.
There is no outstanding debt for LUG. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Altman-Z 27.74
ROIC/WACC3.64
WACC9.62%
LUG.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLUG.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

LUG has a Current Ratio of 3.40. This indicates that LUG is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
LUG has a better Current ratio (3.40) than 68.00% of its industry peers.
LUG has a Quick Ratio of 3.02. This indicates that LUG is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
LUG's Quick ratio of 3.02 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. LUG outperforms 66.37% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.4
Quick Ratio 3.02
LUG.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLUG.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

LUG shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 162.20%, which is quite impressive.
LUG shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 18.19% yearly.
LUG shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 51.59%.
Measured over the past years, LUG shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 17.61% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)162.2%
EPS 3Y18.19%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%166.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)51.59%
Revenue growth 3Y17.61%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%57.16%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -4.12% on average over the next years.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 7.04% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y25.57%
EPS Next 2Y11.18%
EPS Next 3Y4.36%
EPS Next 5Y-4.12%
Revenue Next Year18.36%
Revenue Next 2Y9.02%
Revenue Next 3Y3.69%
Revenue Next 5Y7.04%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
LUG.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLUG.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 500M 1B 1.5B
LUG.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLUG.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 0.5 -0.5 1 1.5 2

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

LUG is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 24.81.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of LUG indicates a rather cheap valuation: LUG is cheaper than 89.46% of the companies listed in the same industry.
LUG's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 27.29.
LUG is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.64.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, LUG is valued cheaper than 87.45% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.74, LUG is valued at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.81
Fwd PE 24.64
LUG.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLUG.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

LUG's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LUG is cheaper than 91.22% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, LUG is valued cheaper than 93.98% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 19.4
EV/EBITDA 13.96
LUG.CA Per share dataLUG.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

LUG's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of LUG may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.97
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y11.18%
EPS Next 3Y4.36%

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

LUG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.94%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
LUG's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 13.23. LUG pays more dividend than 97.62% of the companies in the same industry.
LUG's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.37.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.94%

5.2 History

LUG has been paying a dividend for less than 5 years, so it still needs to build a track record.
LUG has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
LUG.CA Yearly Dividends per shareLUG.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

35.84% of the earnings are spent on dividend by LUG. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP35.84%
EPS Next 2Y11.18%
EPS Next 3Y4.36%
LUG.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendLUG.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M -400M
LUG.CA Dividend Payout.LUG.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.LUG.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

LUNDIN GOLD INC

TSX:LUG (7/4/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

72.45

+0.59 (+0.82%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)05-08 2025-05-08/amc
Earnings (Next)08-07 2025-08-07/amc
Inst Owners26.96%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.82%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap17.45B
Analysts64.71
Price Target57.26 (-20.97%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.94%
Yearly Dividend0.82
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP35.84%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date06-10 2025-06-10 (0.205188)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.09%
Min EPS beat(2)7.12%
Max EPS beat(2)9.06%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)6.85%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.41%
Max EPS beat(4)14.63%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)1.19%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-9.74%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)2.11%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.76%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.66%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.87%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)3.07%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.36%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.4%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.36%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.74%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.43%
PT rev (1m)16.39%
PT rev (3m)42.6%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.02%
EPS NQ rev (3m)49.1%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)11.56%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)13.92%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)6.47%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.81
Fwd PE 24.64
P/S 9.71
P/FCF 19.4
P/OCF 17.05
P/B 9.86
P/tB 9.86
EV/EBITDA 13.96
EPS(TTM)2.92
EY4.03%
EPS(NY)2.94
Fwd EY4.06%
FCF(TTM)3.73
FCFY5.15%
OCF(TTM)4.25
OCFY5.86%
SpS7.46
BVpS7.35
TBVpS7.35
PEG (NY)0.97
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 33.32%
ROE 41.3%
ROCE 53.74%
ROIC 34.97%
ROICexc 51.92%
ROICexgc 51.92%
OM 56.24%
PM (TTM) 40.65%
GM 62.28%
FCFM 50.02%
ROA(3y)14.84%
ROA(5y)10.91%
ROE(3y)20.81%
ROE(5y)16.32%
ROIC(3y)22.93%
ROIC(5y)18.45%
ROICexc(3y)30.94%
ROICexc(5y)24.1%
ROICexgc(3y)30.94%
ROICexgc(5y)24.1%
ROCE(3y)35.24%
ROCE(5y)28.35%
ROICexcg growth 3Y30%
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y30%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y5.36%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y5.75%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.72%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.82
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 68.45%
Cap/Sales 6.89%
Interest Coverage 2.94
Cash Conversion 85.83%
Profit Quality 123.05%
Current Ratio 3.4
Quick Ratio 3.02
Altman-Z 27.74
F-Score8
WACC9.62%
ROIC/WACC3.64
Cap/Depr(3y)45.6%
Cap/Depr(5y)59.18%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.29%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.61%
Profit Quality(3y)302.21%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)162.2%
EPS 3Y18.19%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%166.67%
EPS Next Y25.57%
EPS Next 2Y11.18%
EPS Next 3Y4.36%
EPS Next 5Y-4.12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)51.59%
Revenue growth 3Y17.61%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%57.16%
Revenue Next Year18.36%
Revenue Next 2Y9.02%
Revenue Next 3Y3.69%
Revenue Next 5Y7.04%
EBIT growth 1Y103.23%
EBIT growth 3Y23.92%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year47.99%
EBIT Next 3Y12.28%
EBIT Next 5Y-3.97%
FCF growth 1Y68.03%
FCF growth 3Y17.41%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y69.82%
OCF growth 3Y16.84%
OCF growth 5YN/A