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LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - Toronto Stock Exchange - TSX:LUG - CA5503711080 - Common Stock

120.46 CAD
+6.77 (+5.95%)
Last: 12/22/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

7

Overall LUG gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. We evaluated LUG against 814 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making LUG a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on LUG. This makes LUG very considerable for value and quality investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

9

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

LUG had positive earnings in the past year.
LUG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years LUG 4 years were profitable.
LUG had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
LUG.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLUG.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 41.91%, LUG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 97.91% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of LUG (51.96%) is better than 98.28% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of LUG (45.27%) is better than 99.75% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for LUG is significantly above the industry average of 12.95%.
The 3 year average ROIC (22.93%) for LUG is below the current ROIC(45.27%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 41.91%
ROE 51.96%
ROIC 45.27%
ROA(3y)14.84%
ROA(5y)10.91%
ROE(3y)20.81%
ROE(5y)16.32%
ROIC(3y)22.93%
ROIC(5y)18.45%
LUG.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLUG.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20

1.3 Margins

LUG has a Profit Margin of 42.98%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LUG outperforms 97.91% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of LUG has grown nicely.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 60.07%, LUG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 99.14% of the companies in the same industry.
LUG's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 66.84%, LUG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.54% of the companies in the same industry.
LUG's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 60.07%
PM (TTM) 42.98%
GM 66.84%
OM growth 3Y5.36%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y5.75%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.72%
GM growth 5YN/A
LUG.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLUG.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40

9

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

LUG has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
LUG has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
LUG has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
LUG has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
LUG.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingLUG.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M
LUG.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLUG.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 43.57 indicates that LUG is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
LUG has a better Altman-Z score (43.57) than 80.71% of its industry peers.
LUG has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Altman-Z 43.57
ROIC/WACC4.61
WACC9.82%
LUG.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLUG.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 3.23 indicates that LUG has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of LUG (3.23) is better than 62.16% of its industry peers.
LUG has a Quick Ratio of 2.88. This indicates that LUG is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of LUG (2.88) is better than 60.69% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.23
Quick Ratio 2.88
LUG.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLUG.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

LUG shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 111.11%, which is quite impressive.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 18.19% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
LUG shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 53.38%.
LUG shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 17.61% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)111.11%
EPS 3Y18.19%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%53.57%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)53.38%
Revenue growth 3Y17.61%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%38.39%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 3.31% on average over the next years.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.41% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y82.12%
EPS Next 2Y46.78%
EPS Next 3Y25.95%
EPS Next 5Y3.31%
Revenue Next Year45.41%
Revenue Next 2Y29.71%
Revenue Next 3Y18.25%
Revenue Next 5Y4.41%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
LUG.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLUG.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
LUG.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLUG.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 1 2 3

7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 30.73, LUG can be considered very expensive at the moment.
LUG's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LUG is cheaper than 89.43% of the companies in the same industry.
LUG is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.61, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 23.21, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of LUG.
LUG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LUG is cheaper than 89.07% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.01, LUG is valued at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 30.73
Fwd PE 23.21
LUG.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLUG.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, LUG is valued cheaply inside the industry as 91.28% of the companies are valued more expensively.
94.72% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LUG, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 27.14
EV/EBITDA 18.87
LUG.CA Per share dataLUG.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

LUG's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
LUG has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as LUG's earnings are expected to grow with 25.95% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.37
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y46.78%
EPS Next 3Y25.95%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

LUG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.46%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
LUG's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 0.61. LUG pays more dividend than 97.79% of the companies in the same industry.
LUG's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 1.87.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.46%

5.2 History

LUG has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
LUG has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
LUG.CA Yearly Dividends per shareLUG.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2022 2023 2024 2025 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

75.50% of the earnings are spent on dividend by LUG. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP75.5%
EPS Next 2Y46.78%
EPS Next 3Y25.95%
LUG.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendLUG.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M -400M
LUG.CA Dividend Payout.LUG.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.LUG.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

LUNDIN GOLD INC

TSX:LUG (12/22/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

120.46

+6.77 (+5.95%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)11-06 2025-11-06/amc
Earnings (Next)02-18 2026-02-18/amc
Inst Owners27.22%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.79%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap29.08B
Revenue(TTM)1.60B
Net Income(TTM)686.95M
Analysts52.63
Price Target96.53 (-19.87%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.46%
Yearly Dividend0.83
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP75.5%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date12-05 2025-12-05 (1.111)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)18.89%
Min EPS beat(2)17.27%
Max EPS beat(2)20.52%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)13.49%
Min EPS beat(4)7.12%
Max EPS beat(4)20.52%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)8.29%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)3.62%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)0.63%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)11.48%
Min Revenue beat(2)7.19%
Max Revenue beat(2)15.76%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)7.12%
Min Revenue beat(4)1.66%
Max Revenue beat(4)15.76%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)5.82%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)6%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.31%
PT rev (1m)10.74%
PT rev (3m)39.86%
EPS NQ rev (1m)4.07%
EPS NQ rev (3m)21.27%
EPS NY rev (1m)5.14%
EPS NY rev (3m)11.29%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)7.21%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.99%
Revenue NY rev (3m)6.03%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 30.73
Fwd PE 23.21
P/S 13.22
P/FCF 27.14
P/OCF 24.54
P/B 15.98
P/tB 15.98
EV/EBITDA 18.87
EPS(TTM)3.92
EY3.25%
EPS(NY)5.19
Fwd EY4.31%
FCF(TTM)4.44
FCFY3.68%
OCF(TTM)4.91
OCFY4.07%
SpS9.11
BVpS7.54
TBVpS7.54
PEG (NY)0.37
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number25.79
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 41.91%
ROE 51.96%
ROCE 69.57%
ROIC 45.27%
ROICexc 70.54%
ROICexgc 70.54%
OM 60.07%
PM (TTM) 42.98%
GM 66.84%
FCFM 48.7%
ROA(3y)14.84%
ROA(5y)10.91%
ROE(3y)20.81%
ROE(5y)16.32%
ROIC(3y)22.93%
ROIC(5y)18.45%
ROICexc(3y)30.94%
ROICexc(5y)24.1%
ROICexgc(3y)30.94%
ROICexgc(5y)24.1%
ROCE(3y)35.24%
ROCE(5y)28.35%
ROICexgc growth 3Y30%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y30%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y5.36%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y5.75%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.72%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.98
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 61.78%
Cap/Sales 5.16%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 78.71%
Profit Quality 113.29%
Current Ratio 3.23
Quick Ratio 2.88
Altman-Z 43.57
F-Score7
WACC9.82%
ROIC/WACC4.61
Cap/Depr(3y)45.6%
Cap/Depr(5y)59.18%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.29%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.61%
Profit Quality(3y)301.9%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)111.11%
EPS 3Y18.19%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%53.57%
EPS Next Y82.12%
EPS Next 2Y46.78%
EPS Next 3Y25.95%
EPS Next 5Y3.31%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)53.38%
Revenue growth 3Y17.61%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%38.39%
Revenue Next Year45.41%
Revenue Next 2Y29.71%
Revenue Next 3Y18.25%
Revenue Next 5Y4.41%
EBIT growth 1Y89%
EBIT growth 3Y23.92%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year63.22%
EBIT Next 3Y28.04%
EBIT Next 5Y5.08%
FCF growth 1Y52.54%
FCF growth 3Y17.15%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y53.62%
OCF growth 3Y16.61%
OCF growth 5YN/A

LUNDIN GOLD INC / LUG.CA FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to LUG.CA.


What is the valuation status of LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA). This can be considered as Undervalued.


How profitable is LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) stock?

LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.


How financially healthy is LUNDIN GOLD INC?

The financial health rating of LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) is 9 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) stock?

The dividend rating of LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 75.5%.