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LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - Toronto Stock Exchange - TSX:LUG - CA5503711080 - Common Stock

112.93 CAD
-2.49 (-2.16%)
Last: 11/25/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

7

LUG gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 796 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. LUG has outstanding health and profitabily ratings, belonging to the best of the industry. This is a solid base for any company. LUG may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth With these ratings, LUG could be worth investigating further for value and quality investing!.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

9

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

LUG had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year LUG had a positive cash flow from operations.
LUG had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years LUG always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
LUG.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLUG.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

With an excellent Return On Assets value of 41.91%, LUG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 98.12% of the companies in the same industry.
LUG's Return On Equity of 51.96% is amongst the best of the industry. LUG outperforms 98.24% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 45.27%, LUG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 99.75% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for LUG is significantly above the industry average of 12.57%.
The 3 year average ROIC (22.93%) for LUG is below the current ROIC(45.27%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 41.91%
ROE 51.96%
ROIC 45.27%
ROA(3y)14.84%
ROA(5y)10.91%
ROE(3y)20.81%
ROE(5y)16.32%
ROIC(3y)22.93%
ROIC(5y)18.45%
LUG.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLUG.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 42.98%, LUG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 97.74% of the companies in the same industry.
LUG's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
LUG's Operating Margin of 60.07% is amongst the best of the industry. LUG outperforms 99.25% of its industry peers.
LUG's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
LUG has a Gross Margin of 66.84%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LUG outperforms 97.61% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LUG has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 60.07%
PM (TTM) 42.98%
GM 66.84%
OM growth 3Y5.36%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y5.75%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.72%
GM growth 5YN/A
LUG.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLUG.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40

8

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), LUG is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for LUG has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
LUG has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
LUG has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
LUG.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingLUG.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M
LUG.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLUG.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

LUG has an Altman-Z score of 40.13. This indicates that LUG is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
LUG has a better Altman-Z score (40.13) than 81.16% of its industry peers.
There is no outstanding debt for LUG. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Altman-Z 40.13
ROIC/WACC4.97
WACC9.11%
LUG.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLUG.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 3.23 indicates that LUG has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
LUG has a better Current ratio (3.23) than 61.31% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 2.88 indicates that LUG has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
LUG has a Quick ratio (2.88) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.23
Quick Ratio 2.88
LUG.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLUG.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 111.11% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, LUG shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 18.19% on average per year.
LUG shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 53.38%.
The Revenue has been growing by 17.61% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)111.11%
EPS 3Y18.19%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%53.57%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)53.38%
Revenue growth 3Y17.61%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%38.39%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 3.31% on average over the next years.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.41% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y73.21%
EPS Next 2Y43.03%
EPS Next 3Y22.58%
EPS Next 5Y3.31%
Revenue Next Year41.19%
Revenue Next 2Y25.13%
Revenue Next 3Y14.67%
Revenue Next 5Y4.41%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
LUG.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLUG.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 500M 1B 1.5B
LUG.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLUG.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 1 2 3

7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

LUG is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 28.09.
LUG's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LUG is cheaper than 89.45% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of LUG to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.15), we can say LUG is valued inline with the index average.
LUG is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.35.
LUG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LUG is cheaper than 88.82% of the companies in the same industry.
LUG is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 36.12, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 28.09
Fwd PE 22.35
LUG.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLUG.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

91.08% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LUG, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
LUG's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LUG is cheaper than 93.97% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 24.81
EV/EBITDA 17.21
LUG.CA Per share dataLUG.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

LUG's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of LUG may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as LUG's earnings are expected to grow with 22.58% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.38
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y43.03%
EPS Next 3Y22.58%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.61%, LUG has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
LUG's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 12.10. LUG pays more dividend than 97.61% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.41, LUG is paying slightly less dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.61%

5.2 History

LUG has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
LUG has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
LUG.CA Yearly Dividends per shareLUG.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2022 2023 2024 2025 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

75.50% of the earnings are spent on dividend by LUG. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP75.5%
EPS Next 2Y43.03%
EPS Next 3Y22.58%
LUG.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendLUG.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M -400M
LUG.CA Dividend Payout.LUG.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.LUG.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

LUNDIN GOLD INC

TSX:LUG (11/25/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

112.93

-2.49 (-2.16%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)11-06 2025-11-06/amc
Earnings (Next)02-18 2026-02-18/amc
Inst Owners25.87%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.82%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap27.25B
Revenue(TTM)1.60B
Net Income(TTM)686.95M
Analysts52.63
Price Target95.54 (-15.4%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.61%
Yearly Dividend0.85
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP75.5%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date12-05 2025-12-05 (1.12928)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)18.89%
Min EPS beat(2)17.27%
Max EPS beat(2)20.52%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)13.49%
Min EPS beat(4)7.12%
Max EPS beat(4)20.52%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)8.29%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)3.62%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)0.63%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)11.48%
Min Revenue beat(2)7.19%
Max Revenue beat(2)15.76%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)7.12%
Min Revenue beat(4)1.66%
Max Revenue beat(4)15.76%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)5.82%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)6%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.31%
PT rev (1m)38.42%
PT rev (3m)40.32%
EPS NQ rev (1m)11.95%
EPS NQ rev (3m)20.41%
EPS NY rev (1m)5.85%
EPS NY rev (3m)5.85%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)4.08%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)7.04%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.71%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.96%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 28.09
Fwd PE 22.35
P/S 12.08
P/FCF 24.81
P/OCF 22.44
P/B 14.61
P/tB 14.61
EV/EBITDA 17.21
EPS(TTM)4.02
EY3.56%
EPS(NY)5.05
Fwd EY4.47%
FCF(TTM)4.55
FCFY4.03%
OCF(TTM)5.03
OCFY4.46%
SpS9.35
BVpS7.73
TBVpS7.73
PEG (NY)0.38
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number26.44
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 41.91%
ROE 51.96%
ROCE 69.57%
ROIC 45.27%
ROICexc 70.54%
ROICexgc 70.54%
OM 60.07%
PM (TTM) 42.98%
GM 66.84%
FCFM 48.7%
ROA(3y)14.84%
ROA(5y)10.91%
ROE(3y)20.81%
ROE(5y)16.32%
ROIC(3y)22.93%
ROIC(5y)18.45%
ROICexc(3y)30.94%
ROICexc(5y)24.1%
ROICexgc(3y)30.94%
ROICexgc(5y)24.1%
ROCE(3y)35.24%
ROCE(5y)28.35%
ROICexgc growth 3Y30%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y30%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y5.36%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y5.75%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.72%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.98
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 61.78%
Cap/Sales 5.16%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 78.71%
Profit Quality 113.29%
Current Ratio 3.23
Quick Ratio 2.88
Altman-Z 40.13
F-Score7
WACC9.11%
ROIC/WACC4.97
Cap/Depr(3y)45.6%
Cap/Depr(5y)59.18%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.29%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.61%
Profit Quality(3y)301.9%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)111.11%
EPS 3Y18.19%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%53.57%
EPS Next Y73.21%
EPS Next 2Y43.03%
EPS Next 3Y22.58%
EPS Next 5Y3.31%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)53.38%
Revenue growth 3Y17.61%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%38.39%
Revenue Next Year41.19%
Revenue Next 2Y25.13%
Revenue Next 3Y14.67%
Revenue Next 5Y4.41%
EBIT growth 1Y89%
EBIT growth 3Y23.92%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year62.1%
EBIT Next 3Y17.37%
EBIT Next 5Y5.08%
FCF growth 1Y52.54%
FCF growth 3Y17.15%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y53.62%
OCF growth 3Y16.61%
OCF growth 5YN/A

LUNDIN GOLD INC / LUG.CA FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to LUG.CA.


What is the valuation status of LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA). This can be considered as Undervalued.


How profitable is LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) stock?

LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.


How financially healthy is LUNDIN GOLD INC?

The financial health rating of LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) is 8 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) stock?

The dividend rating of LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 75.5%.