LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
TSX:LUG - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA5503711080 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD
Taking everything into account, LUG scores 7 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. LUG was compared to 794 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. LUG has outstanding health and profitabily ratings, belonging to the best of the industry. This is a solid base for any company. LUG has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively. This makes LUG very considerable for quality investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year LUG was profitable.
LUG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
LUG had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years LUG had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
LUG has a Return On Assets of 37.99%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LUG outperforms 97.98% of its industry peers.
LUG has a Return On Equity of 47.16%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LUG outperforms 98.11% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of LUG (41.17%) is better than 99.87% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for LUG is significantly above the industry average of 11.36%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (41.17%) for LUG is above the 3 year average (22.93%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 37.99% | ||
| ROE | 47.16% | ||
| ROIC | 41.17% |
ROA(3y)14.84%
ROA(5y)10.91%
ROE(3y)20.81%
ROE(5y)16.32%
ROIC(3y)22.93%
ROIC(5y)18.45%
1.3 Margins
LUG has a Profit Margin of 41.73%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LUG outperforms 97.73% of its industry peers.
LUG's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
LUG has a Operating Margin of 59.06%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LUG outperforms 99.12% of its industry peers.
LUG's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 65.54%, LUG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.61% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LUG has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 59.06% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 41.73% | ||
| GM | 65.54% |
OM growth 3Y5.36%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y5.75%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.72%
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), LUG is creating value.
LUG has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
LUG has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
There is no outstanding debt for LUG. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 29.86 indicates that LUG is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
LUG's Altman-Z score of 29.86 is amongst the best of the industry. LUG outperforms 81.74% of its industry peers.
LUG has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 29.86 |
ROIC/WACC4.2
WACC9.8%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 3.32 indicates that LUG has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
LUG has a Current ratio of 3.32. This is in the better half of the industry: LUG outperforms 66.50% of its industry peers.
LUG has a Quick Ratio of 2.95. This indicates that LUG is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 2.95, LUG is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.86% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.32 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.95 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
LUG shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 160.20%, which is quite impressive.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 18.19% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
The Revenue has grown by 58.50% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
The Revenue has been growing by 17.61% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)160.2%
EPS 3Y18.19%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%97.56%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)58.5%
Revenue growth 3Y17.61%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%50.24%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 0.55% on average over the next years.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.41% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y25.57%
EPS Next 2Y11.18%
EPS Next 3Y4.36%
EPS Next 5Y0.55%
Revenue Next Year32.18%
Revenue Next 2Y16.58%
Revenue Next 3Y8.84%
Revenue Next 5Y4.41%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 22.59, LUG is valued on the expensive side.
89.55% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LUG, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.87. LUG is around the same levels.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 26.65, LUG can be considered very expensive at the moment.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, LUG is valued cheaper than 87.28% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 35.34, LUG is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.59 | ||
| Fwd PE | 26.65 |
4.2 Price Multiples
91.44% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LUG, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, LUG is valued cheaply inside the industry as 94.46% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 18.12 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.22 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of LUG may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.88
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y11.18%
EPS Next 3Y4.36%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.92%, LUG has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 18.29, LUG pays a better dividend. On top of this LUG pays more dividend than 97.48% of the companies listed in the same industry.
LUG's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.36.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.92% |
5.2 History
LUG has been paying a dividend for less than 5 years, so it still needs to build a track record.
LUG has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
61.14% of the earnings are spent on dividend by LUG. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP61.14%
EPS Next 2Y11.18%
EPS Next 3Y4.36%
TSX:LUG (8/15/2025, 7:00:00 PM)
79.51
-0.55 (-0.69%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners26.96%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.82%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap19.18B
Analysts52.22
Price Target64.94 (-18.32%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.92% |
Yearly Dividend0.83
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP61.14%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)13.17%
Min EPS beat(2)9.06%
Max EPS beat(2)17.27%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)12.02%
Min EPS beat(4)7.12%
Max EPS beat(4)17.27%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)5.18%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-3.38%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)1.58%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)9.82%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.87%
Max Revenue beat(2)15.76%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)6.92%
Min Revenue beat(4)1.66%
Max Revenue beat(4)15.76%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.62%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)5.37%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.6%
PT rev (1m)13.42%
PT rev (3m)32%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.86%
EPS NQ rev (3m)32.56%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.61%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)17.14%
Revenue NY rev (1m)11.67%
Revenue NY rev (3m)11.67%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.59 | ||
| Fwd PE | 26.65 | ||
| P/S | 9.44 | ||
| P/FCF | 18.12 | ||
| P/OCF | 16.11 | ||
| P/B | 10.67 | ||
| P/tB | 10.67 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.22 |
EPS(TTM)3.52
EY4.43%
EPS(NY)2.98
Fwd EY3.75%
FCF(TTM)4.39
FCFY5.52%
OCF(TTM)4.94
OCFY6.21%
SpS8.43
BVpS7.46
TBVpS7.46
PEG (NY)0.88
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 37.99% | ||
| ROE | 47.16% | ||
| ROCE | 63.26% | ||
| ROIC | 41.17% | ||
| ROICexc | 64.17% | ||
| ROICexgc | 64.17% | ||
| OM | 59.06% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 41.73% | ||
| GM | 65.54% | ||
| FCFM | 52.07% |
ROA(3y)14.84%
ROA(5y)10.91%
ROE(3y)20.81%
ROE(5y)16.32%
ROIC(3y)22.93%
ROIC(5y)18.45%
ROICexc(3y)30.94%
ROICexc(5y)24.1%
ROICexgc(3y)30.94%
ROICexgc(5y)24.1%
ROCE(3y)35.24%
ROCE(5y)28.35%
ROICexcg growth 3Y30%
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y30%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y5.36%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y5.75%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.72%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.91
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 72.16% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.49% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 86.06% | ||
| Profit Quality | 124.8% | ||
| Current Ratio | 3.32 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.95 | ||
| Altman-Z | 29.86 |
F-Score8
WACC9.8%
ROIC/WACC4.2
Cap/Depr(3y)45.6%
Cap/Depr(5y)59.18%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.29%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.61%
Profit Quality(3y)302.21%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)160.2%
EPS 3Y18.19%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%97.56%
EPS Next Y25.57%
EPS Next 2Y11.18%
EPS Next 3Y4.36%
EPS Next 5Y0.55%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)58.5%
Revenue growth 3Y17.61%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%50.24%
Revenue Next Year32.18%
Revenue Next 2Y16.58%
Revenue Next 3Y8.84%
Revenue Next 5Y4.41%
EBIT growth 1Y112.89%
EBIT growth 3Y23.92%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year47.99%
EBIT Next 3Y12.28%
EBIT Next 5Y1.45%
FCF growth 1Y55.07%
FCF growth 3Y17.41%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y58.44%
OCF growth 3Y16.84%
OCF growth 5YN/A