LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
Canada - TSX:LUG - CA5503711080 - Common Stock
95.77 CAD
-2.24 (-2.29%)
Overall LUG gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. We evaluated LUG against 809 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. LUG scores excellent points on both the profitability and health parts. This is a solid base for a good stock. LUG is valued quite cheap, while showing a decent growth score. This is a good combination! With these ratings, LUG could be worth investigating further for value and quality investing!.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
LUG had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year LUG had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years LUG 4 years were profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years LUG had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of LUG (37.99%) is better than 98.26% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of LUG (47.16%) is better than 98.14% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 41.17%, LUG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 99.75% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for LUG is significantly above the industry average of 11.97%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (41.17%) for LUG is above the 3 year average (22.93%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 37.99% | ||
| ROE | 47.16% | ||
| ROIC | 41.17% |
ROA(3y)14.84%
ROA(5y)10.91%
ROE(3y)20.81%
ROE(5y)16.32%
ROIC(3y)22.93%
ROIC(5y)18.45%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of LUG (41.73%) is better than 97.89% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of LUG has grown nicely.
The Operating Margin of LUG (59.06%) is better than 99.25% of its industry peers.
LUG's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of LUG (65.54%) is better than 97.52% of its industry peers.
LUG's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 59.06% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 41.73% | ||
| GM | 65.54% |
OM growth 3Y5.36%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y5.75%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.72%
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
LUG has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, LUG has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, LUG has more shares outstanding
There is no outstanding debt for LUG. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 35.57 indicates that LUG is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
LUG has a Altman-Z score of 35.57. This is in the better half of the industry: LUG outperforms 79.75% of its industry peers.
LUG has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 35.57 |
ROIC/WACC4.63
WACC8.89%
2.3 Liquidity
LUG has a Current Ratio of 3.32. This indicates that LUG is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
LUG has a better Current ratio (3.32) than 62.98% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 2.95 indicates that LUG has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 2.95, LUG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.99% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.32 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.95 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 160.20% over the past year.
LUG shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 18.19% yearly.
Looking at the last year, LUG shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 58.50%.
The Revenue has been growing by 17.61% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)160.2%
EPS 3Y18.19%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%97.56%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)58.5%
Revenue growth 3Y17.61%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%50.24%
3.2 Future
LUG is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -4.25% yearly.
LUG is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.41% yearly.
EPS Next Y63.64%
EPS Next 2Y31.3%
EPS Next 3Y16.51%
EPS Next 5Y-4.25%
Revenue Next Year37.47%
Revenue Next 2Y20.38%
Revenue Next 3Y10.79%
Revenue Next 5Y4.41%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 26.83, which means the current valuation is very expensive for LUG.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, LUG is valued cheaper than 90.19% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.91. LUG is around the same levels.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.69, LUG is valued on the expensive side.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, LUG is valued cheaply inside the industry as 88.82% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.92. LUG is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26.83 | ||
| Fwd PE | 22.69 |
4.2 Price Multiples
LUG's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LUG is cheaper than 91.93% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, LUG is valued cheaper than 95.28% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 21.52 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.21 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of LUG may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as LUG's earnings are expected to grow with 16.50% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.42
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y31.3%
EPS Next 3Y16.51%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.57%, LUG has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 12.58, LUG pays a better dividend. On top of this LUG pays more dividend than 97.52% of the companies listed in the same industry.
LUG's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 2.32.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.57% |
5.2 History
LUG has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
LUG has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
61.14% of the earnings are spent on dividend by LUG. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP61.14%
EPS Next 2Y31.3%
EPS Next 3Y16.51%
TSX:LUG (10/24/2025, 7:00:00 PM)
95.77
-2.24 (-2.29%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners25.87%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.82%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap23.11B
Revenue(TTM)1.47B
Net Income(TTM)615.09M
Analysts52.63
Price Target69.02 (-27.93%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.57% |
Yearly Dividend0.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP61.14%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)13.17%
Min EPS beat(2)9.06%
Max EPS beat(2)17.27%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)12.02%
Min EPS beat(4)7.12%
Max EPS beat(4)17.27%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)5.18%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-3.38%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)1.58%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)9.82%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.87%
Max Revenue beat(2)15.76%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)6.92%
Min Revenue beat(4)1.66%
Max Revenue beat(4)15.76%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.62%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)5.37%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.6%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)11.92%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.35%
EPS NQ rev (3m)9.25%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)30.32%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)3.05%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.42%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.24%
Revenue NY rev (3m)16.14%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26.83 | ||
| Fwd PE | 22.69 | ||
| P/S | 11.2 | ||
| P/FCF | 21.52 | ||
| P/OCF | 19.13 | ||
| P/B | 12.66 | ||
| P/tB | 12.66 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.21 |
EPS(TTM)3.57
EY3.73%
EPS(NY)4.22
Fwd EY4.41%
FCF(TTM)4.45
FCFY4.65%
OCF(TTM)5.01
OCFY5.23%
SpS8.55
BVpS7.56
TBVpS7.56
PEG (NY)0.42
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number24.65
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 37.99% | ||
| ROE | 47.16% | ||
| ROCE | 63.26% | ||
| ROIC | 41.17% | ||
| ROICexc | 64.17% | ||
| ROICexgc | 64.17% | ||
| OM | 59.06% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 41.73% | ||
| GM | 65.54% | ||
| FCFM | 52.07% |
ROA(3y)14.84%
ROA(5y)10.91%
ROE(3y)20.81%
ROE(5y)16.32%
ROIC(3y)22.93%
ROIC(5y)18.45%
ROICexc(3y)30.94%
ROICexc(5y)24.1%
ROICexgc(3y)30.94%
ROICexgc(5y)24.1%
ROCE(3y)35.24%
ROCE(5y)28.35%
ROICexgc growth 3Y30%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y30%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y5.36%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y5.75%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.72%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.91
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 72.16% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.49% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 86.06% | ||
| Profit Quality | 124.8% | ||
| Current Ratio | 3.32 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.95 | ||
| Altman-Z | 35.57 |
F-Score8
WACC8.89%
ROIC/WACC4.63
Cap/Depr(3y)45.6%
Cap/Depr(5y)59.18%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.29%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.61%
Profit Quality(3y)302.21%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)160.2%
EPS 3Y18.19%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%97.56%
EPS Next Y63.64%
EPS Next 2Y31.3%
EPS Next 3Y16.51%
EPS Next 5Y-4.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)58.5%
Revenue growth 3Y17.61%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%50.24%
Revenue Next Year37.47%
Revenue Next 2Y20.38%
Revenue Next 3Y10.79%
Revenue Next 5Y4.41%
EBIT growth 1Y112.89%
EBIT growth 3Y23.92%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year62.1%
EBIT Next 3Y17.37%
EBIT Next 5Y-4.03%
FCF growth 1Y55.07%
FCF growth 3Y17.41%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y58.44%
OCF growth 3Y16.84%
OCF growth 5YN/A
LUNDIN GOLD INC / LUG.CA FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to LUG.CA.
What is the valuation status of LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) stock?
LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
How financially healthy is LUNDIN GOLD INC?
The financial health rating of LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) is 8 / 10.
How sustainable is the dividend of LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) stock?
The dividend rating of LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 61.14%.