LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
TSX:LUG • CA5503711080
Current stock price
90.34 CAD
+0.29 (+0.32%)
Last:
This LUG.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. LUG.CA Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- LUG had positive earnings in the past year.
- LUG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In the past 5 years LUG has always been profitable.
- In the past 5 years LUG always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of LUG (44.32%) is better than 98.63% of its industry peers.
- With an excellent Return On Equity value of 58.07%, LUG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 98.88% of the companies in the same industry.
- LUG's Return On Invested Capital of 54.26% is amongst the best of the industry. LUG outperforms 99.88% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for LUG is significantly above the industry average of 13.35%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (36.09%) for LUG is below the current ROIC(54.26%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 44.32% | ||
| ROE | 58.07% | ||
| ROIC | 54.26% |
ROA(3y)28.15%
ROA(5y)20.4%
ROE(3y)37.29%
ROE(5y)29.54%
ROIC(3y)36.09%
ROIC(5y)28.73%
1.3 Margins
- LUG's Profit Margin of 44.43% is amongst the best of the industry. LUG outperforms 97.88% of its industry peers.
- LUG's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- With an excellent Operating Margin value of 61.83%, LUG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 99.25% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LUG has grown nicely.
- The Gross Margin of LUG (68.78%) is better than 98.01% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LUG has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 61.83% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 44.43% | ||
| GM | 68.78% |
OM growth 3Y14.62%
OM growth 5Y7.85%
PM growth 3Y70.16%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y14.91%
GM growth 5Y7.4%
2. LUG.CA Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- LUG has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
- The number of shares outstanding for LUG has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, LUG has more shares outstanding
- There is no outstanding debt for LUG. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 26.61 indicates that LUG is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 26.61, LUG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 74.72% of the companies in the same industry.
- LUG has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 26.61 |
ROIC/WACC4.5
WACC12.07%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 2.53 indicates that LUG has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- With a Current ratio value of 2.53, LUG perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 53.80% of the companies in the same industry.
- LUG has a Quick Ratio of 2.29. This indicates that LUG is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 2.29, LUG is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.42% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.29 |
3. LUG.CA Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- LUG shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 86.86%, which is quite impressive.
- LUG shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 48.03% yearly.
- The Revenue has grown by 49.44% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
- Measured over the past years, LUG shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 37.85% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)86.86%
EPS 3Y82.27%
EPS 5Y48.03%
EPS Q2Q%77.78%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)49.44%
Revenue growth 3Y29.78%
Revenue growth 5Y37.85%
Sales Q2Q%54.07%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, LUG will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 2.18% on average per year.
- LUG is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -4.09% yearly.
EPS Next Y43.78%
EPS Next 2Y22.84%
EPS Next 3Y2.81%
EPS Next 5Y2.18%
Revenue Next Year41.23%
Revenue Next 2Y16.01%
Revenue Next 3Y8.6%
Revenue Next 5Y-4.09%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. LUG.CA Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- LUG is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 20.21.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, LUG is valued cheaper than 90.78% of the companies in the same industry.
- LUG is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.64, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.06 indicates a correct valuation of LUG.
- LUG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LUG is cheaper than 90.91% of the companies in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 21.36. LUG is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.21 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.06 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- LUG's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LUG is cheaper than 92.65% of the companies in the same industry.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, LUG is valued cheaper than 96.01% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 17.06 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.36 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- LUG's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- LUG has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.46
PEG (5Y)0.42
EPS Next 2Y22.84%
EPS Next 3Y2.81%
5. LUG.CA Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- LUG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.28%, which is a nice return.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.85, LUG pays a better dividend. On top of this LUG pays more dividend than 98.88% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, LUG pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.28% |
5.2 History
- LUG has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
- LUG has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
- LUG pays out 83.80% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP83.8%
EPS Next 2Y22.84%
EPS Next 3Y2.81%
LUG.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
TSX:LUG (5/1/2026, 7:00:00 PM)
90.34
+0.29 (+0.32%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Industry Strength84.25
Industry Growth23.13
Earnings (Last)02-19 2026-02-19/amc
Earnings (Next)05-06 2026-05-06
Inst Owners25.52%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.82%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap21.85B
Revenue(TTM)1.78B
Net Income(TTM)792.15M
Analysts53.68
Price Target116.15 (28.57%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.28% |
Yearly Dividend3.77
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP83.8%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date03-11 2026-03-11 (1.1536)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)11.24%
Min EPS beat(2)1.96%
Max EPS beat(2)20.52%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)12.2%
Min EPS beat(4)1.96%
Max EPS beat(4)20.52%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)9.22%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)3.97%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-4.62%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)6.91%
Min Revenue beat(2)6.62%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.19%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)8.36%
Min Revenue beat(4)3.87%
Max Revenue beat(4)15.76%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)7.35%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)6.01%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.83%
PT rev (1m)0.9%
PT rev (3m)13.57%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.09%
EPS NQ rev (3m)29.7%
EPS NY rev (1m)3.07%
EPS NY rev (3m)25.99%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-5.95%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)32.12%
Revenue NY rev (1m)3.43%
Revenue NY rev (3m)22.81%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.21 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.06 | ||
| P/S | 8.96 | ||
| P/FCF | 17.06 | ||
| P/OCF | 15.62 | ||
| P/B | 11.72 | ||
| P/tB | 11.72 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.36 |
EPS(TTM)4.47
EY4.95%
EPS(NY)6.43
Fwd EY7.11%
FCF(TTM)5.3
FCFY5.86%
OCF(TTM)5.78
OCFY6.4%
SpS10.08
BVpS7.71
TBVpS7.71
PEG (NY)0.46
PEG (5Y)0.42
Graham Number27.8474 (-69.17%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 44.32% | ||
| ROE | 58.07% | ||
| ROCE | 78.82% | ||
| ROIC | 54.26% | ||
| ROICexc | 98.76% | ||
| ROICexgc | 98.76% | ||
| OM | 61.83% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 44.43% | ||
| GM | 68.78% | ||
| FCFM | 52.56% |
ROA(3y)28.15%
ROA(5y)20.4%
ROE(3y)37.29%
ROE(5y)29.54%
ROIC(3y)36.09%
ROIC(5y)28.73%
ROICexc(3y)56.77%
ROICexc(5y)43.49%
ROICexgc(3y)56.77%
ROICexgc(5y)43.49%
ROCE(3y)52.43%
ROCE(5y)41.72%
ROICexgc growth 3Y54.74%
ROICexgc growth 5Y62.35%
ROICexc growth 3Y54.74%
ROICexc growth 5Y62.35%
OM growth 3Y14.62%
OM growth 5Y7.85%
PM growth 3Y70.16%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y14.91%
GM growth 5Y7.4%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 63.62% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.82% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 82.67% | ||
| Profit Quality | 118.29% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.29 | ||
| Altman-Z | 26.61 |
F-Score7
WACC12.07%
ROIC/WACC4.5
Cap/Depr(3y)53.02%
Cap/Depr(5y)50.68%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.69%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.29%
Profit Quality(3y)172.7%
Profit Quality(5y)237.38%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)86.86%
EPS 3Y82.27%
EPS 5Y48.03%
EPS Q2Q%77.78%
EPS Next Y43.78%
EPS Next 2Y22.84%
EPS Next 3Y2.81%
EPS Next 5Y2.18%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)49.44%
Revenue growth 3Y29.78%
Revenue growth 5Y37.85%
Sales Q2Q%54.07%
Revenue Next Year41.23%
Revenue Next 2Y16.01%
Revenue Next 3Y8.6%
Revenue Next 5Y-4.09%
EBIT growth 1Y75.03%
EBIT growth 3Y48.76%
EBIT growth 5Y48.67%
EBIT Next Year65.4%
EBIT Next 3Y15.83%
EBIT Next 5Y4.72%
FCF growth 1Y61.56%
FCF growth 3Y36.05%
FCF growth 5Y76.44%
OCF growth 1Y54.45%
OCF growth 3Y33.9%
OCF growth 5Y55.2%
LUNDIN GOLD INC / LUG.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 8 / 10 to LUG.CA.
Can you provide the valuation status for LUNDIN GOLD INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA). This can be considered as Undervalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for LUNDIN GOLD INC?
LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) has a profitability rating of 10 / 10.
What is the valuation of LUNDIN GOLD INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) is 20.21 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 11.72.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for LUG stock?
The dividend rating of LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 83.8%.