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LIPOCINE INC (LPCN) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:LPCN - Nasdaq - US53630X2036 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

3.2  0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to LPCN. LPCN was compared to 195 industry peers in the Pharmaceuticals industry. LPCN has a great financial health rating, but its profitability evaluates not so good. LPCN shows excellent growth, but is valued quite expensive already.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year LPCN was profitable.
LPCN had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years LPCN reported 4 times negative net income.
In the past 5 years LPCN always reported negative operating cash flow.
LPCN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLPCN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -5M -10M -15M -20M

1.2 Ratios

LPCN has a Return On Assets (-26.20%) which is in line with its industry peers.
LPCN has a better Return On Equity (-27.97%) than 65.13% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -26.2%
ROE -27.97%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-33.24%
ROA(5y)-36.72%
ROE(3y)-36.81%
ROE(5y)-49.69%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
LPCN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLPCN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -50 -100 -150 -200

1.3 Margins

LPCN does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin and Gross Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
LPCN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLPCN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -2K -4K -6K -8K

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7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

LPCN does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
LPCN has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for LPCN has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
There is no outstanding debt for LPCN. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
LPCN Yearly Shares OutstandingLPCN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1M 2M 3M 4M 5M
LPCN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLPCN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M

2.2 Solvency

LPCN has an Altman-Z score of -5.62. This is a bad value and indicates that LPCN is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
LPCN's Altman-Z score of -5.62 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. LPCN is outperformed by 64.10% of its industry peers.
LPCN has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -5.62
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC10.01%
LPCN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLPCN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20M 40M

2.3 Liquidity

LPCN has a Current Ratio of 15.64. This indicates that LPCN is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of LPCN (15.64) is better than 88.21% of its industry peers.
LPCN has a Quick Ratio of 15.64. This indicates that LPCN is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
LPCN's Quick ratio of 15.64 is amongst the best of the industry. LPCN outperforms 88.21% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 15.64
Quick Ratio 15.64
LPCN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLPCN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M 40M

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7

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 130.99% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 213.46% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
Looking at the last year, LPCN shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -22.03% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, LPCN shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 133.89% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)130.99%
EPS 3Y213.46%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-153.03%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-22.03%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.47%
Revenue growth 5Y133.89%
Sales Q2Q%1132.27%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -39.74% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
The Revenue is expected to grow by 37.92% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y-222.53%
EPS Next 2Y-72.06%
EPS Next 3Y-39.74%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-85.43%
Revenue Next 2Y-68.57%
Revenue Next 3Y-51.19%
Revenue Next 5Y37.92%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
LPCN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLPCN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 20M 40M 60M 80M
LPCN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLPCN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 -5 -10 -15 -20 -25

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2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 6.04, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of LPCN.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of LPCN indicates a rather cheap valuation: LPCN is cheaper than 95.90% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.46. LPCN is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
The Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for LPCN. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 6.04
Fwd PE N/A
LPCN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLPCN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
LPCN Per share dataLPCN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 -1 2 3

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A cheap valuation may be justified as LPCN's earnings are expected to decrease with -39.74% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-72.06%
EPS Next 3Y-39.74%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

LPCN does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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LIPOCINE INC

NASDAQ:LPCN (6/4/2025, 4:30:01 PM)

3.2

0 (0%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorHealth Care
GICS IndustryGroupPharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life Sciences
GICS IndustryPharmaceuticals
Earnings (Last)05-08 2025-05-08/bmo
Earnings (Next)08-06 2025-08-06
Inst Owners9.16%
Inst Owner Change6.33%
Ins Owners2.91%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap17.12M
Analysts82.86
Price Target6.89 (115.31%)
Short Float %1.64%
Short Ratio2.44
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)278.92%
Min EPS beat(2)1.96%
Max EPS beat(2)555.88%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)150.83%
Min EPS beat(4)1.96%
Max EPS beat(4)555.88%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)87.37%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)56.86%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)139.3%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)13037%
Min Revenue beat(2)30.95%
Max Revenue beat(2)26043%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)6476.07%
Min Revenue beat(4)-100%
Max Revenue beat(4)26043%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-32.5%
EPS NQ rev (1m)4.88%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-25.81%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-23.33%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-38.33%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-20.85%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 6.04
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 4.66
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 0.89
P/tB 0.89
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)0.53
EY16.56%
EPS(NY)-1.48
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-1.06
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-1.05
OCFYN/A
SpS0.69
BVpS3.59
TBVpS3.59
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -26.2%
ROE -27.97%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-33.24%
ROA(5y)-36.72%
ROE(3y)-36.81%
ROE(5y)-49.69%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.18
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 15.64
Quick Ratio 15.64
Altman-Z -5.62
F-Score3
WACC10.01%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)521.74%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)9.09%
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)130.99%
EPS 3Y213.46%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-153.03%
EPS Next Y-222.53%
EPS Next 2Y-72.06%
EPS Next 3Y-39.74%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-22.03%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.47%
Revenue growth 5Y133.89%
Sales Q2Q%1132.27%
Revenue Next Year-85.43%
Revenue Next 2Y-68.57%
Revenue Next 3Y-51.19%
Revenue Next 5Y37.92%
EBIT growth 1Y37.64%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y53.03%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y53.39%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A