LUCERO ENERGY CORP (LOU.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
TSX-V:LOU - TSX Venture Exchange - CA54947L1067 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD
We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to LOU. LOU was compared to 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. LOU scores excellent points on both the profitability and health parts. This is a solid base for a good stock. LOU may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth These ratings could make LOU a good candidate for value and quality investing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
LOU had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year LOU had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: LOU reported negative net income in multiple years.
Each year in the past 5 years LOU had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
LOU has a Return On Assets of 6.30%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LOU outperforms 87.33% of its industry peers.
LOU's Return On Equity of 7.51% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. LOU outperforms 61.54% of its industry peers.
LOU has a better Return On Invested Capital (6.20%) than 73.76% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for LOU is above the industry average of 7.31%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.3% | ||
| ROE | 7.51% | ||
| ROIC | 6.2% |
ROA(3y)7.67%
ROA(5y)2.65%
ROE(3y)9.63%
ROE(5y)-1.7%
ROIC(3y)10%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With an excellent Profit Margin value of 24.61%, LOU belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 88.24% of the companies in the same industry.
LOU's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of LOU (31.76%) is better than 83.26% of its industry peers.
LOU's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 81.86%, LOU belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 94.57% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LOU has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 31.76% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 24.61% | ||
| GM | 81.86% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y1.46%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-0.39%
GM growth 3Y9.2%
GM growth 5Y0.73%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), LOU is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, LOU has less shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, LOU has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, LOU has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.39 indicates that LOU is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of LOU (2.39) is better than 74.66% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of LOU is 0.28, which is an excellent value as it means it would take LOU, only 0.28 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
LOU has a Debt to FCF ratio of 0.28. This is amongst the best in the industry. LOU outperforms 96.83% of its industry peers.
LOU has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
LOU has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.00. This is amongst the best in the industry. LOU outperforms 80.54% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.28 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.39 |
ROIC/WACC0.8
WACC7.74%
2.3 Liquidity
LOU has a Current Ratio of 2.64. This indicates that LOU is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
LOU's Current ratio of 2.64 is amongst the best of the industry. LOU outperforms 83.71% of its industry peers.
LOU has a Quick Ratio of 2.64. This indicates that LOU is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
With an excellent Quick ratio value of 2.64, LOU belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 84.62% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.64 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.64 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
LOU shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -33.08%.
Measured over the past years, LOU shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -10.71% on average per year.
LOU shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -27.39%.
LOU shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 17.44% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-33.08%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-10.71%
EPS Q2Q%-50%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.39%
Revenue growth 3Y27.47%
Revenue growth 5Y17.44%
Sales Q2Q%-31.27%
3.2 Future
LOU is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 12.49% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, LOU will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 13.32% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-44.44%
EPS Next 2Y-5.72%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year12.58%
Revenue Next 2Y13.32%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 7.00, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of LOU.
86.88% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LOU, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
LOU's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.28.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 5.10, the valuation of LOU can be described as very cheap.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of LOU indicates a rather cheap valuation: LOU is cheaper than 87.33% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of LOU to the average of the S&P500 Index (21.76), we can say LOU is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7 | ||
| Fwd PE | 5.1 |
4.2 Price Multiples
97.29% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LOU, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
LOU's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 63.74 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 1.9 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
LOU has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as LOU's earnings are expected to grow with 12.49% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-5.72%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for LOU!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
TSX-V:LOU (3/10/2025, 7:00:00 PM)
0.42
0 (0%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners0.23%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners26.49%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap267.82M
Analysts80
Price Target0.56 (33.33%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-27.18%
Min EPS beat(2)-51.46%
Max EPS beat(2)-2.91%
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-30.81%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-50%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-7.27%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7 | ||
| Fwd PE | 5.1 | ||
| P/S | 1.64 | ||
| P/FCF | 63.74 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.59 | ||
| P/B | 0.5 | ||
| P/tB | 0.5 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 1.9 |
EPS(TTM)0.06
EY14.29%
EPS(NY)0.08
Fwd EY19.62%
FCF(TTM)0.01
FCFY1.57%
OCF(TTM)0.16
OCFY38.59%
SpS0.26
BVpS0.84
TBVpS0.84
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.3% | ||
| ROE | 7.51% | ||
| ROCE | 8.58% | ||
| ROIC | 6.2% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.09% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.09% | ||
| OM | 31.76% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 24.61% | ||
| GM | 81.86% | ||
| FCFM | 2.58% |
ROA(3y)7.67%
ROA(5y)2.65%
ROE(3y)9.63%
ROE(5y)-1.7%
ROIC(3y)10%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)10.73%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)10.73%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)13.84%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y12.84%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y12.84%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y1.46%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-0.39%
GM growth 3Y9.2%
GM growth 5Y0.73%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.26
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 197.11% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 60.85% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 101.28% | ||
| Profit Quality | 10.48% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.64 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.64 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.39 |
F-Score6
WACC7.74%
ROIC/WACC0.8
Cap/Depr(3y)152.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)203%
Cap/Sales(3y)40.16%
Cap/Sales(5y)66.71%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-33.08%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-10.71%
EPS Q2Q%-50%
EPS Next Y-44.44%
EPS Next 2Y-5.72%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.39%
Revenue growth 3Y27.47%
Revenue growth 5Y17.44%
Sales Q2Q%-31.27%
Revenue Next Year12.58%
Revenue Next 2Y13.32%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-43.89%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y19.16%
EBIT Next Year63.73%
EBIT Next 3Y48.38%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-93.4%
FCF growth 3Y10%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-30.22%
OCF growth 3Y25.01%
OCF growth 5Y14.49%