LUCERO ENERGY CORP (LOU.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

TSX-V:LOU • CA54947L1067

0.42 CAD
0 (0%)
Last: Mar 10, 2025, 07:00 PM
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This LOU.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

6

We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to LOU. LOU was compared to 212 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. LOU has outstanding health and profitabily ratings, belonging to the best of the industry. This is a solid base for any company. LOU may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth These ratings could make LOU a good candidate for value and quality investing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. LOU.CA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • LOU had positive earnings in the past year.
  • LOU had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In multiple years LOU reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years LOU had a positive operating cash flow.
LOU.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLOU.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M -100M

1.2 Ratios

  • LOU's Return On Assets of 6.30% is amongst the best of the industry. LOU outperforms 87.33% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 7.51%, LOU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.54% of the companies in the same industry.
  • LOU's Return On Invested Capital of 6.20% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. LOU outperforms 73.76% of its industry peers.
  • LOU had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 10.00%. This is above the industry average of 6.67%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.3%
ROE 7.51%
ROIC 6.2%
ROA(3y)7.67%
ROA(5y)2.65%
ROE(3y)9.63%
ROE(5y)-1.7%
ROIC(3y)10%
ROIC(5y)N/A
LOU.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLOU.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 100

1.3 Margins

  • LOU has a Profit Margin of 24.61%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LOU outperforms 88.24% of its industry peers.
  • LOU's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • LOU has a Operating Margin of 31.76%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LOU outperforms 83.26% of its industry peers.
  • LOU's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • With an excellent Gross Margin value of 81.86%, LOU belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 94.57% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LOU has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 31.76%
PM (TTM) 24.61%
GM 81.86%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y1.46%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-0.39%
GM growth 3Y9.2%
GM growth 5Y0.73%
LOU.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLOU.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 -50

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8

2. LOU.CA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so LOU is still creating some value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for LOU has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for LOU has been reduced compared to a year ago.
LOU.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingLOU.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M
LOU.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLOU.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M

2.2 Solvency

  • LOU has an Altman-Z score of 2.39. This is not the best score and indicates that LOU is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With a decent Altman-Z score value of 2.39, LOU is doing good in the industry, outperforming 74.66% of the companies in the same industry.
  • LOU has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.28. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.28 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • LOU has a better Debt to FCF ratio (0.28) than 96.83% of its industry peers.
  • LOU has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • LOU's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.00 is amongst the best of the industry. LOU outperforms 80.54% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.28
Altman-Z 2.39
ROIC/WACC0.8
WACC7.74%
LOU.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLOU.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M 400M

2.3 Liquidity

  • LOU has a Current Ratio of 2.64. This indicates that LOU is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of LOU (2.64) is better than 83.71% of its industry peers.
  • LOU has a Quick Ratio of 2.64. This indicates that LOU is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • LOU has a better Quick ratio (2.64) than 84.62% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.64
Quick Ratio 2.64
LOU.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLOU.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. LOU.CA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • LOU shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -33.08%.
  • Measured over the past years, LOU shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -10.71% on average per year.
  • LOU shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -27.39%.
  • Measured over the past years, LOU shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 17.44% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-33.08%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-10.71%
EPS Q2Q%-50%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.39%
Revenue growth 3Y27.47%
Revenue growth 5Y17.44%
Sales Q2Q%-31.27%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, LOU will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 12.49% on average per year.
  • LOU is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 13.32% yearly.
EPS Next Y-44.44%
EPS Next 2Y-5.72%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year12.58%
Revenue Next 2Y13.32%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
LOU.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLOU.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
LOU.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLOU.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2018 2019 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 0.05 0.1

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7

4. LOU.CA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 7.00, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of LOU.
  • 86.88% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LOU, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.45. LOU is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 5.10, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of LOU.
  • 87.33% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LOU, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • LOU's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 24.65.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7
Fwd PE 5.1
LOU.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLOU.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of LOU indicates a rather cheap valuation: LOU is cheaper than 97.29% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as LOU.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 63.74
EV/EBITDA 1.9
LOU.CA Per share dataLOU.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • LOU has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as LOU's earnings are expected to grow with 12.49% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-5.72%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. LOU.CA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • LOU does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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LOU.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

LUCERO ENERGY CORP

TSX-V:LOU (3/10/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

0.42

0 (0%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)11-06
Earnings (Next)03-19
Inst Owners0.23%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners26.49%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap267.82M
Revenue(TTM)162.93M
Net Income(TTM)40.10M
Analysts80
Price Target0.56 (33.33%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-27.18%
Min EPS beat(2)-51.46%
Max EPS beat(2)-2.91%
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-30.81%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-50%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-7.27%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7
Fwd PE 5.1
P/S 1.64
P/FCF 63.74
P/OCF 2.59
P/B 0.5
P/tB 0.5
EV/EBITDA 1.9
EPS(TTM)0.06
EY14.29%
EPS(NY)0.08
Fwd EY19.62%
FCF(TTM)0.01
FCFY1.57%
OCF(TTM)0.16
OCFY38.59%
SpS0.26
BVpS0.84
TBVpS0.84
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.3%
ROE 7.51%
ROCE 8.58%
ROIC 6.2%
ROICexc 7.09%
ROICexgc 7.09%
OM 31.76%
PM (TTM) 24.61%
GM 81.86%
FCFM 2.58%
ROA(3y)7.67%
ROA(5y)2.65%
ROE(3y)9.63%
ROE(5y)-1.7%
ROIC(3y)10%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)10.73%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)10.73%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)13.84%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y12.84%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y12.84%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y1.46%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-0.39%
GM growth 3Y9.2%
GM growth 5Y0.73%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.26
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.28
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 197.11%
Cap/Sales 60.85%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 101.28%
Profit Quality 10.48%
Current Ratio 2.64
Quick Ratio 2.64
Altman-Z 2.39
F-Score6
WACC7.74%
ROIC/WACC0.8
Cap/Depr(3y)152.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)203%
Cap/Sales(3y)40.16%
Cap/Sales(5y)66.71%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-33.08%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-10.71%
EPS Q2Q%-50%
EPS Next Y-44.44%
EPS Next 2Y-5.72%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.39%
Revenue growth 3Y27.47%
Revenue growth 5Y17.44%
Sales Q2Q%-31.27%
Revenue Next Year12.58%
Revenue Next 2Y13.32%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-43.89%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y19.16%
EBIT Next Year63.73%
EBIT Next 3Y48.38%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-93.4%
FCF growth 3Y10%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-30.22%
OCF growth 3Y25.01%
OCF growth 5Y14.49%

LUCERO ENERGY CORP / LOU.CA FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of LUCERO ENERGY CORP (LOU.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to LOU.CA.


What is the valuation status for LOU stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to LUCERO ENERGY CORP (LOU.CA). This can be considered as Undervalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for LUCERO ENERGY CORP?

LUCERO ENERGY CORP (LOU.CA) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


How financially healthy is LUCERO ENERGY CORP?

The financial health rating of LUCERO ENERGY CORP (LOU.CA) is 8 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for LUCERO ENERGY CORP (LOU.CA) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of LUCERO ENERGY CORP (LOU.CA) is expected to decline by -44.44% in the next year.