LUCERO ENERGY CORP (LOU.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

TSX-V:LOU • CA54947L1067

Current stock price

0.42 CAD
0 (0%)
Last:

This LOU.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. LOU.CA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • LOU had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year LOU had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: LOU reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • LOU had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
LOU.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLOU.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M -100M

1.2 Ratios

  • LOU's Return On Assets of 6.30% is amongst the best of the industry. LOU outperforms 87.33% of its industry peers.
  • With a decent Return On Equity value of 7.51%, LOU is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.54% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 6.20%, LOU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.76% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for LOU is above the industry average of 6.67%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.3%
ROE 7.51%
ROIC 6.2%
ROA(3y)7.67%
ROA(5y)2.65%
ROE(3y)9.63%
ROE(5y)-1.7%
ROIC(3y)10%
ROIC(5y)N/A
LOU.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLOU.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 100

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of LOU (24.61%) is better than 88.24% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of LOU has remained more or less at the same level.
  • The Operating Margin of LOU (31.76%) is better than 83.26% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LOU has remained more or less at the same level.
  • The Gross Margin of LOU (81.86%) is better than 94.57% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LOU has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 31.76%
PM (TTM) 24.61%
GM 81.86%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y1.46%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-0.39%
GM growth 3Y9.2%
GM growth 5Y0.73%
LOU.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLOU.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 -50

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8

2. LOU.CA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so LOU is still creating some value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for LOU has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • LOU has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
LOU.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingLOU.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M
LOU.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLOU.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.39 indicates that LOU is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • LOU's Altman-Z score of 2.39 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. LOU outperforms 74.66% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of LOU is 0.28, which is an excellent value as it means it would take LOU, only 0.28 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of LOU (0.28) is better than 96.83% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00 indicates that LOU is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • LOU has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.00. This is amongst the best in the industry. LOU outperforms 80.54% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.28
Altman-Z 2.39
ROIC/WACC0.8
WACC7.74%
LOU.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLOU.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M 400M

2.3 Liquidity

  • LOU has a Current Ratio of 2.64. This indicates that LOU is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of LOU (2.64) is better than 83.71% of its industry peers.
  • LOU has a Quick Ratio of 2.64. This indicates that LOU is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • LOU's Quick ratio of 2.64 is amongst the best of the industry. LOU outperforms 84.62% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.64
Quick Ratio 2.64
LOU.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLOU.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M

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5

3. LOU.CA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • LOU shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -33.08%.
  • LOU shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -10.71% yearly.
  • The Revenue for LOU has decreased by -27.39% in the past year. This is quite bad
  • LOU shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 17.44% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-33.08%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-10.71%
EPS Q2Q%-50%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.39%
Revenue growth 3Y27.47%
Revenue growth 5Y17.44%
Sales Q2Q%-31.27%

3.2 Future

  • LOU is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 12.49% yearly.
  • LOU is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 13.32% yearly.
EPS Next Y-44.44%
EPS Next 2Y-5.72%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year12.58%
Revenue Next 2Y13.32%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
LOU.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLOU.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
LOU.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLOU.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2018 2019 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 0.05 0.1

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7

4. LOU.CA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 7.00, the valuation of LOU can be described as very cheap.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, LOU is valued cheaper than 86.88% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.70. LOU is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 5.10 indicates a rather cheap valuation of LOU.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of LOU indicates a rather cheap valuation: LOU is cheaper than 87.33% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • LOU is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.84, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7
Fwd PE 5.1
LOU.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLOU.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, LOU is valued cheaper than 97.29% of the companies in the same industry.
  • LOU's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 63.74
EV/EBITDA 1.9
LOU.CA Per share dataLOU.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The decent profitability rating of LOU may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • LOU's earnings are expected to grow with 12.49% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-5.72%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. LOU.CA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for LOU!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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LOU.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

LUCERO ENERGY CORP

TSX-V:LOU (3/10/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

0.42

0 (0%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)11-06
Earnings (Next)03-19
Inst Owners0.23%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners26.49%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap267.82M
Revenue(TTM)162.93M
Net Income(TTM)40.10M
Analysts80
Price Target0.56 (33.33%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-27.18%
Min EPS beat(2)-51.46%
Max EPS beat(2)-2.91%
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-30.81%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-50%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-7.27%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7
Fwd PE 5.1
P/S 1.64
P/FCF 63.74
P/OCF 2.59
P/B 0.5
P/tB 0.5
EV/EBITDA 1.9
EPS(TTM)0.06
EY14.29%
EPS(NY)0.08
Fwd EY19.62%
FCF(TTM)0.01
FCFY1.57%
OCF(TTM)0.16
OCFY38.59%
SpS0.26
BVpS0.84
TBVpS0.84
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.3%
ROE 7.51%
ROCE 8.58%
ROIC 6.2%
ROICexc 7.09%
ROICexgc 7.09%
OM 31.76%
PM (TTM) 24.61%
GM 81.86%
FCFM 2.58%
ROA(3y)7.67%
ROA(5y)2.65%
ROE(3y)9.63%
ROE(5y)-1.7%
ROIC(3y)10%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)10.73%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)10.73%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)13.84%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y12.84%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y12.84%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y1.46%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-0.39%
GM growth 3Y9.2%
GM growth 5Y0.73%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.26
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.28
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 197.11%
Cap/Sales 60.85%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 101.28%
Profit Quality 10.48%
Current Ratio 2.64
Quick Ratio 2.64
Altman-Z 2.39
F-Score6
WACC7.74%
ROIC/WACC0.8
Cap/Depr(3y)152.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)203%
Cap/Sales(3y)40.16%
Cap/Sales(5y)66.71%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-33.08%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-10.71%
EPS Q2Q%-50%
EPS Next Y-44.44%
EPS Next 2Y-5.72%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.39%
Revenue growth 3Y27.47%
Revenue growth 5Y17.44%
Sales Q2Q%-31.27%
Revenue Next Year12.58%
Revenue Next 2Y13.32%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-43.89%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y19.16%
EBIT Next Year63.73%
EBIT Next 3Y48.38%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-93.4%
FCF growth 3Y10%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-30.22%
OCF growth 3Y25.01%
OCF growth 5Y14.49%

LUCERO ENERGY CORP / LOU.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of LUCERO ENERGY CORP (LOU.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to LOU.CA.


What is the valuation status for LOU stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to LUCERO ENERGY CORP (LOU.CA). This can be considered as Undervalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for LUCERO ENERGY CORP?

LUCERO ENERGY CORP (LOU.CA) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


How financially healthy is LUCERO ENERGY CORP?

The financial health rating of LUCERO ENERGY CORP (LOU.CA) is 8 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for LUCERO ENERGY CORP (LOU.CA) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of LUCERO ENERGY CORP (LOU.CA) is expected to decline by -44.44% in the next year.