GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC (LOPE) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:LOPE - Nasdaq - US38526M1062 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
LOPE gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 73 industry peers in the Diversified Consumer Services industry. LOPE scores excellent points on both the profitability and health parts. This is a solid base for a good stock. LOPE is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate. These ratings could make LOPE a good candidate for quality investing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year LOPE was profitable.
In the past year LOPE had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years LOPE has always been profitable.
In the past 5 years LOPE always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
LOPE's Return On Assets of 22.21% is amongst the best of the industry. LOPE outperforms 97.26% of its industry peers.
LOPE has a Return On Equity of 28.86%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LOPE outperforms 90.41% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 24.02%, LOPE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 95.89% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for LOPE is significantly above the industry average of 11.99%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 22.21% | ||
| ROE | 28.86% | ||
| ROIC | 24.02% |
ROA(3y)22.14%
ROA(5y)20.33%
ROE(3y)28.79%
ROE(5y)25.52%
ROIC(3y)24.24%
ROIC(5y)20.99%
1.3 Margins
LOPE has a Profit Margin of 21.90%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LOPE outperforms 97.26% of its industry peers.
LOPE's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Operating Margin value of 26.95%, LOPE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 98.63% of the companies in the same industry.
LOPE's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
LOPE has a better Gross Margin (52.70%) than 65.75% of its industry peers.
LOPE's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 26.95% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 21.9% | ||
| GM | 52.7% |
OM growth 3Y-5.17%
OM growth 5Y-4.93%
PM growth 3Y-8.97%
PM growth 5Y-8.03%
GM growth 3Y-2.85%
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), LOPE is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, LOPE has less shares outstanding
LOPE has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
There is no outstanding debt for LOPE. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 19.22 indicates that LOPE is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 19.22, LOPE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 94.52% of the companies in the same industry.
There is no outstanding debt for LOPE. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 19.22 |
ROIC/WACC2.66
WACC9.04%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 3.78 indicates that LOPE has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 3.78, LOPE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.67% of the companies in the same industry.
LOPE has a Quick Ratio of 3.78. This indicates that LOPE is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of LOPE (3.78) is better than 87.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.78 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.78 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 14.35% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.60% on average over the past years.
LOPE shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 7.50%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.82% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)14.35%
EPS 3Y9.93%
EPS 5Y7.6%
EPS Q2Q%6.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.5%
Revenue growth 3Y4.84%
Revenue growth 5Y5.82%
Sales Q2Q%5.13%
3.2 Future
LOPE is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 9.98% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.14% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y9.48%
EPS Next 2Y9.98%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year5.61%
Revenue Next 2Y6.14%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
LOPE is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 23.14.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, LOPE is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 65.75% of the companies are valued more expensively.
LOPE's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 28.18.
LOPE is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.13.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of LOPE indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: LOPE is cheaper than 63.01% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.81, LOPE is valued at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.14 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.13 |
4.2 Price Multiples
LOPE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of LOPE indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: LOPE is cheaper than 71.23% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 20.99 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.78 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates LOPE does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
The decent profitability rating of LOPE may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.44
PEG (5Y)3.04
EPS Next 2Y9.98%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
LOPE does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
186.25
+7.28 (+4.07%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryDiversified Consumer Services
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners96.93%
Inst Owner Change0.36%
Ins Owners2.16%
Ins Owner Change-4.56%
Market Cap5.30B
Analysts86.67
Price Target207.06 (11.17%)
Short Float %1.6%
Short Ratio1.9
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.4%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.52%
Max EPS beat(2)-1.29%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)3.5%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.52%
Max EPS beat(4)13.19%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)4.76%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)4.52%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)3.08%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.74%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.54%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.95%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.19%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.54%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.17%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.14%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.28%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.6%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)12.99%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.14%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.48%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.12%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.54%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.14 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.13 | ||
| P/S | 5.13 | ||
| P/FCF | 20.99 | ||
| P/OCF | 18.26 | ||
| P/B | 6.76 | ||
| P/tB | 11.43 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.78 |
EPS(TTM)8.05
EY4.32%
EPS(NY)8.81
Fwd EY4.73%
FCF(TTM)8.87
FCFY4.76%
OCF(TTM)10.2
OCFY5.48%
SpS36.33
BVpS27.57
TBVpS16.29
PEG (NY)2.44
PEG (5Y)3.04
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 22.21% | ||
| ROE | 28.86% | ||
| ROCE | 30.68% | ||
| ROIC | 24.02% | ||
| ROICexc | 37.4% | ||
| ROICexgc | 83.17% | ||
| OM | 26.95% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 21.9% | ||
| GM | 52.7% | ||
| FCFM | 24.42% |
ROA(3y)22.14%
ROA(5y)20.33%
ROE(3y)28.79%
ROE(5y)25.52%
ROIC(3y)24.24%
ROIC(5y)20.99%
ROICexc(3y)34.71%
ROICexc(5y)32.22%
ROICexgc(3y)81.65%
ROICexgc(5y)77.73%
ROCE(3y)30.95%
ROCE(5y)26.8%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-12.63%
ROICexcg growth 5Y33.74%
ROICexc growth 3Y-4.05%
ROICexc growth 5Y20.74%
OM growth 3Y-5.17%
OM growth 5Y-4.93%
PM growth 3Y-8.97%
PM growth 5Y-8.03%
GM growth 3Y-2.85%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1.01
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 103.03% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.65% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 69599 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 92.06% | ||
| Profit Quality | 111.52% | ||
| Current Ratio | 3.78 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.78 | ||
| Altman-Z | 19.22 |
F-Score8
WACC9.04%
ROIC/WACC2.66
Cap/Depr(3y)119.8%
Cap/Depr(5y)287.03%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.09%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.84%
Profit Quality(3y)102.83%
Profit Quality(5y)84.76%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)14.35%
EPS 3Y9.93%
EPS 5Y7.6%
EPS Q2Q%6.5%
EPS Next Y9.48%
EPS Next 2Y9.98%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.5%
Revenue growth 3Y4.84%
Revenue growth 5Y5.82%
Sales Q2Q%5.13%
Revenue Next Year5.61%
Revenue Next 2Y6.14%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y11.69%
EBIT growth 3Y-0.58%
EBIT growth 5Y0.6%
EBIT Next Year24.6%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y27.28%
FCF growth 3Y39.11%
FCF growth 5Y17.26%
OCF growth 1Y19%
OCF growth 3Y-2.53%
OCF growth 5Y-1.09%