GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC (LOPE) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:LOPE - Nasdaq - US38526M1062 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Taking everything into account, LOPE scores 7 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. LOPE was compared to 72 industry peers in the Diversified Consumer Services industry. LOPE has outstanding health and profitabily ratings, belonging to the best of the industry. This is a solid base for any company. LOPE has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively. These ratings would make LOPE suitable for quality investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
LOPE had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year LOPE had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years LOPE has always been profitable.
LOPE had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of LOPE (22.28%) is better than 97.22% of its industry peers.
LOPE's Return On Equity of 29.44% is amongst the best of the industry. LOPE outperforms 90.28% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of LOPE (24.44%) is better than 97.22% of its industry peers.
LOPE had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 24.24%. This is significantly above the industry average of 10.64%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (24.44%) for LOPE is above the 3 year average (24.24%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 22.28% | ||
| ROE | 29.44% | ||
| ROIC | 24.44% |
ROA(3y)22.14%
ROA(5y)20.33%
ROE(3y)28.79%
ROE(5y)25.52%
ROIC(3y)24.24%
ROIC(5y)20.99%
1.3 Margins
With an excellent Profit Margin value of 21.94%, LOPE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 94.44% of the companies in the same industry.
LOPE's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 26.91%, LOPE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 97.22% of the companies in the same industry.
LOPE's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of LOPE (52.75%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
LOPE's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 26.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 21.94% | ||
| GM | 52.75% |
OM growth 3Y-5.17%
OM growth 5Y-4.93%
PM growth 3Y-8.97%
PM growth 5Y-8.03%
GM growth 3Y-2.85%
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), LOPE is creating value.
LOPE has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for LOPE has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
LOPE has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 17.24 indicates that LOPE is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of LOPE (17.24) is better than 94.44% of its industry peers.
LOPE has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 17.24 |
ROIC/WACC2.72
WACC8.99%
2.3 Liquidity
LOPE has a Current Ratio of 3.40. This indicates that LOPE is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
LOPE has a Current ratio of 3.40. This is amongst the best in the industry. LOPE outperforms 87.50% of its industry peers.
LOPE has a Quick Ratio of 3.40. This indicates that LOPE is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
LOPE's Quick ratio of 3.40 is amongst the best of the industry. LOPE outperforms 87.50% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.4 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.4 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
LOPE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 11.91%, which is quite good.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.60% on average over the past years.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.31% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, LOPE shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 5.82% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.91%
EPS 3Y9.93%
EPS 5Y7.6%
EPS Q2Q%9.36%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.31%
Revenue growth 3Y4.84%
Revenue growth 5Y5.82%
Sales Q2Q%5.33%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 10.86% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.36% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y11.33%
EPS Next 2Y10.86%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year5.99%
Revenue Next 2Y6.36%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
LOPE is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 20.58.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, LOPE is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 69.44% of the companies are valued more expensively.
LOPE's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 27.69.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.20 indicates a rather expensive valuation of LOPE.
LOPE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. LOPE is cheaper than 70.83% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 37.36, LOPE is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.58 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.2 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of LOPE indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: LOPE is cheaper than 61.11% of the companies listed in the same industry.
73.61% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LOPE, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 20.54 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.61 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates LOPE does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
LOPE has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.82
PEG (5Y)2.71
EPS Next 2Y10.86%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for LOPE!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
170.19
+0.62 (+0.37%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryDiversified Consumer Services
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners101.27%
Inst Owner Change-1.7%
Ins Owners2.08%
Ins Owner Change-1.74%
Market Cap4.83B
Analysts86.67
Price Target221.68 (30.25%)
Short Float %1.18%
Short Ratio1.51
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.63%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.52%
Max EPS beat(2)0.25%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)2.66%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.52%
Max EPS beat(4)13.19%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)4.81%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)4.61%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)3.03%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.09%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.23%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.95%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.22%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.54%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.17%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.07%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.29%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.6%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)7.06%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)4.03%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.7%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.69%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.36%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.58 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.2 | ||
| P/S | 4.61 | ||
| P/FCF | 20.54 | ||
| P/OCF | 17.71 | ||
| P/B | 6.18 | ||
| P/tB | 10.45 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.61 |
EPS(TTM)8.27
EY4.86%
EPS(NY)9.89
Fwd EY5.81%
FCF(TTM)8.29
FCFY4.87%
OCF(TTM)9.61
OCFY5.65%
SpS36.93
BVpS27.52
TBVpS16.29
PEG (NY)1.82
PEG (5Y)2.71
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 22.28% | ||
| ROE | 29.44% | ||
| ROCE | 31.21% | ||
| ROIC | 24.44% | ||
| ROICexc | 36.88% | ||
| ROICexgc | 78.85% | ||
| OM | 26.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 21.94% | ||
| GM | 52.75% | ||
| FCFM | 22.44% |
ROA(3y)22.14%
ROA(5y)20.33%
ROE(3y)28.79%
ROE(5y)25.52%
ROIC(3y)24.24%
ROIC(5y)20.99%
ROICexc(3y)34.71%
ROICexc(5y)32.22%
ROICexgc(3y)81.65%
ROICexgc(5y)77.73%
ROCE(3y)30.95%
ROCE(5y)26.8%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-12.63%
ROICexcg growth 5Y33.74%
ROICexc growth 3Y-4.05%
ROICexc growth 5Y20.74%
OM growth 3Y-5.17%
OM growth 5Y-4.93%
PM growth 3Y-8.97%
PM growth 5Y-8.03%
GM growth 3Y-2.85%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score9
Asset Turnover1.02
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 100.6% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.59% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 140970 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 85.38% | ||
| Profit Quality | 102.27% | ||
| Current Ratio | 3.4 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.4 | ||
| Altman-Z | 17.24 |
F-Score9
WACC8.99%
ROIC/WACC2.72
Cap/Depr(3y)119.8%
Cap/Depr(5y)287.03%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.09%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.84%
Profit Quality(3y)102.83%
Profit Quality(5y)84.76%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.91%
EPS 3Y9.93%
EPS 5Y7.6%
EPS Q2Q%9.36%
EPS Next Y11.33%
EPS Next 2Y10.86%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.31%
Revenue growth 3Y4.84%
Revenue growth 5Y5.82%
Sales Q2Q%5.33%
Revenue Next Year5.99%
Revenue Next 2Y6.36%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y8.75%
EBIT growth 3Y-0.58%
EBIT growth 5Y0.6%
EBIT Next Year25.83%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y33.57%
FCF growth 3Y39.11%
FCF growth 5Y17.26%
OCF growth 1Y27.66%
OCF growth 3Y-2.53%
OCF growth 5Y-1.09%