GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC (LOPE) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:LOPE - US38526M1062 - Common Stock
188.3 USD
-18.49 (-8.94%)
188.3 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, LOPE scores 7 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. LOPE was compared to 78 industry peers in the Diversified Consumer Services industry. LOPE scores excellent points on both the profitability and health parts. This is a solid base for a good stock. LOPE is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate. These ratings could make LOPE a good candidate for quality investing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year LOPE was profitable.
LOPE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years LOPE has been profitable.
LOPE had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
LOPE has a Return On Assets of 23.16%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LOPE outperforms 97.44% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 30.40%, LOPE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 91.03% of the companies in the same industry.
LOPE has a Return On Invested Capital of 25.17%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LOPE outperforms 97.44% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for LOPE is significantly above the industry average of 9.50%.
The 3 year average ROIC (24.24%) for LOPE is below the current ROIC(25.17%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 23.16% | ||
| ROE | 30.4% | ||
| ROIC | 25.17% |
ROA(3y)22.14%
ROA(5y)20.33%
ROE(3y)28.79%
ROE(5y)25.52%
ROIC(3y)24.24%
ROIC(5y)20.99%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of LOPE (22.15%) is better than 93.59% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of LOPE has declined.
The Operating Margin of LOPE (27.15%) is better than 96.15% of its industry peers.
LOPE's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
LOPE's Gross Margin of 52.97% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. LOPE outperforms 61.54% of its industry peers.
LOPE's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 27.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 22.15% | ||
| GM | 52.97% |
OM growth 3Y-5.17%
OM growth 5Y-4.93%
PM growth 3Y-8.97%
PM growth 5Y-8.03%
GM growth 3Y-2.85%
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so LOPE is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for LOPE has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for LOPE has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
LOPE has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 18.94 indicates that LOPE is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 18.94, LOPE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 98.72% of the companies in the same industry.
There is no outstanding debt for LOPE. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 18.94 |
ROIC/WACC2.88
WACC8.75%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 3.55 indicates that LOPE has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of LOPE (3.55) is better than 91.03% of its industry peers.
LOPE has a Quick Ratio of 3.55. This indicates that LOPE is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
LOPE has a Quick ratio of 3.55. This is amongst the best in the industry. LOPE outperforms 91.03% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.55 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.55 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 11.50% over the past year.
LOPE shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 7.60% yearly.
LOPE shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 6.52%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.82% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.5%
EPS 3Y9.93%
EPS 5Y7.6%
EPS Q2Q%20.47%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.52%
Revenue growth 3Y4.84%
Revenue growth 5Y5.82%
Sales Q2Q%8.81%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, LOPE will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 12.56% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.90% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y15.05%
EPS Next 2Y12.56%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year7.23%
Revenue Next 2Y6.9%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
LOPE is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 22.08.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, LOPE is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 64.10% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.11, LOPE is valued at the same level.
LOPE is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.46.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, LOPE is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 65.38% of the companies are valued more expensively.
LOPE is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.55, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.08 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.46 |
4.2 Price Multiples
LOPE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of LOPE indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: LOPE is cheaper than 67.95% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 20.27 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.43 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
LOPE has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as LOPE's earnings are expected to grow with 12.56% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.47
PEG (5Y)2.9
EPS Next 2Y12.56%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
LOPE does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
188.3
-18.49 (-8.94%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryDiversified Consumer Services
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners100.59%
Inst Owner Change-0.64%
Ins Owners2.11%
Ins Owner Change0.22%
Market Cap5.29B
Revenue(TTM)1.07B
Net Income(TTM)236.51M
Analysts86.67
Price Target231.88 (23.14%)
Short Float %1.23%
Short Ratio1.55
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)4.6%
Min EPS beat(2)0.25%
Max EPS beat(2)8.96%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.6%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.52%
Max EPS beat(4)8.96%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)4.58%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)5.45%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)3.55%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.22%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.23%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.79%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.98%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.54%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.79%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.87%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.01%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.42%
PT rev (1m)2.25%
PT rev (3m)4.6%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)5.74%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.34%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.06%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.17%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.08 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.46 | ||
| P/S | 4.95 | ||
| P/FCF | 20.27 | ||
| P/OCF | 17.75 | ||
| P/B | 6.8 | ||
| P/tB | 11.46 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.43 |
EPS(TTM)8.53
EY4.53%
EPS(NY)10.2
Fwd EY5.42%
FCF(TTM)9.29
FCFY4.93%
OCF(TTM)10.61
OCFY5.64%
SpS38.01
BVpS27.7
TBVpS16.43
PEG (NY)1.47
PEG (5Y)2.9
Graham Number72.91
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 23.16% | ||
| ROE | 30.4% | ||
| ROCE | 32.14% | ||
| ROIC | 25.17% | ||
| ROICexc | 42.98% | ||
| ROICexgc | 107.28% | ||
| OM | 27.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 22.15% | ||
| GM | 52.97% | ||
| FCFM | 24.44% |
ROA(3y)22.14%
ROA(5y)20.33%
ROE(3y)28.79%
ROE(5y)25.52%
ROIC(3y)24.24%
ROIC(5y)20.99%
ROICexc(3y)34.71%
ROICexc(5y)32.22%
ROICexgc(3y)81.65%
ROICexgc(5y)77.73%
ROCE(3y)30.95%
ROCE(5y)26.8%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-12.63%
ROICexgc growth 5Y33.74%
ROICexc growth 3Y-4.05%
ROICexc growth 5Y20.74%
OM growth 3Y-5.17%
OM growth 5Y-4.93%
PM growth 3Y-8.97%
PM growth 5Y-8.03%
GM growth 3Y-2.85%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1.05
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 97.16% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.48% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 90.84% | ||
| Profit Quality | 110.32% | ||
| Current Ratio | 3.55 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.55 | ||
| Altman-Z | 18.94 |
F-Score8
WACC8.75%
ROIC/WACC2.88
Cap/Depr(3y)119.8%
Cap/Depr(5y)287.03%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.09%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.84%
Profit Quality(3y)102.83%
Profit Quality(5y)84.76%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.5%
EPS 3Y9.93%
EPS 5Y7.6%
EPS Q2Q%20.47%
EPS Next Y15.05%
EPS Next 2Y12.56%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.52%
Revenue growth 3Y4.84%
Revenue growth 5Y5.82%
Sales Q2Q%8.81%
Revenue Next Year7.23%
Revenue Next 2Y6.9%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y8.32%
EBIT growth 3Y-0.58%
EBIT growth 5Y0.6%
EBIT Next Year27.47%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y34.92%
FCF growth 3Y39.11%
FCF growth 5Y17.26%
OCF growth 1Y28.56%
OCF growth 3Y-2.53%
OCF growth 5Y-1.09%
GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC / LOPE FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for LOPE stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to LOPE.
What is the valuation status for LOPE stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC (LOPE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC (LOPE) stock?
GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC (LOPE) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for LOPE stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC (LOPE) is 22.08 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 6.8.
Can you provide the financial health for LOPE stock?
The financial health rating of GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC (LOPE) is 10 / 10.