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GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC (LOPE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:LOPE - Nasdaq - US38526M1062 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

196.574  +2.4 (+1.24%)

Fundamental Rating

7

We assign a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10 to LOPE. LOPE was compared to 72 industry peers in the Diversified Consumer Services industry. LOPE scores excellent points on both the profitability and health parts. This is a solid base for a good stock. LOPE has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate. These ratings would make LOPE suitable for quality investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

LOPE had positive earnings in the past year.
LOPE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years LOPE has always been profitable.
In the past 5 years LOPE always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
LOPE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLOPE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

LOPE's Return On Assets of 22.28% is amongst the best of the industry. LOPE outperforms 98.61% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 29.44%, LOPE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.28% of the companies in the same industry.
LOPE has a Return On Invested Capital of 24.44%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LOPE outperforms 97.22% of its industry peers.
LOPE had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 24.24%. This is significantly above the industry average of 11.31%.
The 3 year average ROIC (24.24%) for LOPE is below the current ROIC(24.44%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 22.28%
ROE 29.44%
ROIC 24.44%
ROA(3y)22.14%
ROA(5y)20.33%
ROE(3y)28.79%
ROE(5y)25.52%
ROIC(3y)24.24%
ROIC(5y)20.99%
LOPE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLOPE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15 20 25

1.3 Margins

LOPE's Profit Margin of 21.94% is amongst the best of the industry. LOPE outperforms 97.22% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of LOPE has declined.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 26.91%, LOPE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 98.61% of the companies in the same industry.
LOPE's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 52.75%, LOPE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.89% of the companies in the same industry.
LOPE's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 26.91%
PM (TTM) 21.94%
GM 52.75%
OM growth 3Y-5.17%
OM growth 5Y-4.93%
PM growth 3Y-8.97%
PM growth 5Y-8.03%
GM growth 3Y-2.85%
GM growth 5YN/A
LOPE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLOPE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30 40 50

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10

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

LOPE has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for LOPE has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, LOPE has less shares outstanding
There is no outstanding debt for LOPE. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
LOPE Yearly Shares OutstandingLOPE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M 40M
LOPE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLOPE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

LOPE has an Altman-Z score of 18.91. This indicates that LOPE is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
LOPE's Altman-Z score of 18.91 is amongst the best of the industry. LOPE outperforms 94.44% of its industry peers.
There is no outstanding debt for LOPE. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Altman-Z 18.91
ROIC/WACC2.67
WACC9.15%
LOPE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLOPE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

LOPE has a Current Ratio of 3.40. This indicates that LOPE is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
LOPE has a better Current ratio (3.40) than 88.89% of its industry peers.
LOPE has a Quick Ratio of 3.40. This indicates that LOPE is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
LOPE has a Quick ratio of 3.40. This is amongst the best in the industry. LOPE outperforms 88.89% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.4
Quick Ratio 3.4
LOPE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLOPE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M

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5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

LOPE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 11.91%, which is quite good.
LOPE shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 7.60% yearly.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.31% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.82% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.91%
EPS 3Y9.93%
EPS 5Y7.6%
EPS Q2Q%9.36%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.31%
Revenue growth 3Y4.84%
Revenue growth 5Y5.82%
Sales Q2Q%5.33%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 10.67% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.36% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y10.87%
EPS Next 2Y10.67%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year5.9%
Revenue Next 2Y6.36%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
LOPE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLOPE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
LOPE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLOPE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2 4 6 8

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4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

LOPE is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 23.77.
65.28% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LOPE, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.91, LOPE is valued at the same level.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 19.94, the valuation of LOPE can be described as rather expensive.
65.28% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LOPE, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
LOPE is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 21.77, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23.77
Fwd PE 19.94
LOPE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLOPE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

LOPE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
LOPE's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. LOPE is cheaper than 68.06% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 23.73
EV/EBITDA 15.8
LOPE Per share dataLOPE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates LOPE does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
LOPE has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.19
PEG (5Y)3.13
EPS Next 2Y10.67%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for LOPE!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC

NASDAQ:LOPE (5/27/2025, 2:53:08 PM)

196.574

+2.4 (+1.24%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryDiversified Consumer Services
Earnings (Last)05-06 2025-05-06/amc
Earnings (Next)08-04 2025-08-04/amc
Inst Owners96.93%
Inst Owner Change3.01%
Ins Owners2.16%
Ins Owner Change-2.26%
Market Cap5.58B
Analysts86.67
Price Target203.32 (3.43%)
Short Float %1.87%
Short Ratio2.16
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.63%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.52%
Max EPS beat(2)0.25%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)2.66%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.52%
Max EPS beat(4)13.19%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)4.81%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)4.61%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)3.03%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.09%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.23%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.95%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.22%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.54%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.17%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.07%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.29%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.6%
PT rev (1m)-1.81%
PT rev (3m)10.95%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.77%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.37%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.27%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.23%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.45%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.35%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.27%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.27%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23.77
Fwd PE 19.94
P/S 5.32
P/FCF 23.73
P/OCF 20.46
P/B 7.14
P/tB 12.07
EV/EBITDA 15.8
EPS(TTM)8.27
EY4.21%
EPS(NY)9.86
Fwd EY5.02%
FCF(TTM)8.29
FCFY4.21%
OCF(TTM)9.61
OCFY4.89%
SpS36.93
BVpS27.52
TBVpS16.29
PEG (NY)2.19
PEG (5Y)3.13
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 22.28%
ROE 29.44%
ROCE 31.21%
ROIC 24.44%
ROICexc 36.88%
ROICexgc 78.85%
OM 26.91%
PM (TTM) 21.94%
GM 52.75%
FCFM 22.44%
ROA(3y)22.14%
ROA(5y)20.33%
ROE(3y)28.79%
ROE(5y)25.52%
ROIC(3y)24.24%
ROIC(5y)20.99%
ROICexc(3y)34.71%
ROICexc(5y)32.22%
ROICexgc(3y)81.65%
ROICexgc(5y)77.73%
ROCE(3y)30.95%
ROCE(5y)26.8%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-12.63%
ROICexcg growth 5Y33.74%
ROICexc growth 3Y-4.05%
ROICexc growth 5Y20.74%
OM growth 3Y-5.17%
OM growth 5Y-4.93%
PM growth 3Y-8.97%
PM growth 5Y-8.03%
GM growth 3Y-2.85%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score9
Asset Turnover1.02
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 100.6%
Cap/Sales 3.59%
Interest Coverage 140970
Cash Conversion 85.38%
Profit Quality 102.27%
Current Ratio 3.4
Quick Ratio 3.4
Altman-Z 18.91
F-Score9
WACC9.15%
ROIC/WACC2.67
Cap/Depr(3y)119.8%
Cap/Depr(5y)287.03%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.09%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.84%
Profit Quality(3y)102.83%
Profit Quality(5y)84.76%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.91%
EPS 3Y9.93%
EPS 5Y7.6%
EPS Q2Q%9.36%
EPS Next Y10.87%
EPS Next 2Y10.67%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.31%
Revenue growth 3Y4.84%
Revenue growth 5Y5.82%
Sales Q2Q%5.33%
Revenue Next Year5.9%
Revenue Next 2Y6.36%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y8.75%
EBIT growth 3Y-0.58%
EBIT growth 5Y0.6%
EBIT Next Year25.83%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y33.57%
FCF growth 3Y39.11%
FCF growth 5Y17.26%
OCF growth 1Y27.66%
OCF growth 3Y-2.53%
OCF growth 5Y-1.09%