GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC (LOPE) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:LOPE - Nasdaq - US38526M1062 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Taking everything into account, LOPE scores 7 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. LOPE was compared to 72 industry peers in the Diversified Consumer Services industry. LOPE gets an excellent profitability rating and is at the same time showing great financial health properties. LOPE has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively. With these ratings, LOPE could be worth investigating further for quality investing!.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
LOPE had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year LOPE had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years LOPE has been profitable.
LOPE had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of LOPE (22.28%) is better than 97.22% of its industry peers.
LOPE has a Return On Equity of 29.44%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LOPE outperforms 90.28% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 24.44%, LOPE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.22% of the companies in the same industry.
LOPE had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 24.24%. This is significantly above the industry average of 10.64%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (24.44%) for LOPE is above the 3 year average (24.24%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 22.28% | ||
| ROE | 29.44% | ||
| ROIC | 24.44% |
ROA(3y)22.14%
ROA(5y)20.33%
ROE(3y)28.79%
ROE(5y)25.52%
ROIC(3y)24.24%
ROIC(5y)20.99%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 21.94%, LOPE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 94.44% of the companies in the same industry.
LOPE's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Operating Margin value of 26.91%, LOPE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.22% of the companies in the same industry.
LOPE's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
LOPE has a Gross Margin (52.75%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
LOPE's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 26.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 21.94% | ||
| GM | 52.75% |
OM growth 3Y-5.17%
OM growth 5Y-4.93%
PM growth 3Y-8.97%
PM growth 5Y-8.03%
GM growth 3Y-2.85%
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
LOPE has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for LOPE has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
LOPE has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
There is no outstanding debt for LOPE. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
2.2 Solvency
LOPE has an Altman-Z score of 17.27. This indicates that LOPE is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 17.27, LOPE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 94.44% of the companies in the same industry.
LOPE has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 17.27 |
ROIC/WACC2.69
WACC9.08%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 3.40 indicates that LOPE has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
LOPE has a Current ratio of 3.40. This is amongst the best in the industry. LOPE outperforms 87.50% of its industry peers.
LOPE has a Quick Ratio of 3.40. This indicates that LOPE is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
With an excellent Quick ratio value of 3.40, LOPE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 87.50% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.4 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.4 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
LOPE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 11.91%, which is quite good.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.60% on average over the past years.
LOPE shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 6.31%.
Measured over the past years, LOPE shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 5.82% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.91%
EPS 3Y9.93%
EPS 5Y7.6%
EPS Q2Q%9.36%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.31%
Revenue growth 3Y4.84%
Revenue growth 5Y5.82%
Sales Q2Q%5.33%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, LOPE will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 10.86% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, LOPE will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.36% on average per year.
EPS Next Y11.33%
EPS Next 2Y10.86%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year5.99%
Revenue Next 2Y6.36%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
LOPE is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 20.50.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of LOPE indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: LOPE is cheaper than 72.22% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.46. LOPE is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 17.14, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of LOPE.
LOPE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. LOPE is cheaper than 70.83% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 36.44, LOPE is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.5 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.14 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, LOPE is valued a bit cheaper than 61.11% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, LOPE is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 73.61% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 20.47 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.66 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
LOPE has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.81
PEG (5Y)2.7
EPS Next 2Y10.86%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for LOPE!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
169.57
-0.53 (-0.31%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryDiversified Consumer Services
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners101.27%
Inst Owner Change-1.7%
Ins Owners2.08%
Ins Owner Change-1.74%
Market Cap4.81B
Analysts86.67
Price Target221.68 (30.73%)
Short Float %1.18%
Short Ratio1.51
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.63%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.52%
Max EPS beat(2)0.25%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)2.66%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.52%
Max EPS beat(4)13.19%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)4.81%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)4.61%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)3.03%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.09%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.23%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.95%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.22%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.54%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.17%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.07%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.29%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.6%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)7.06%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)4.03%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.7%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.69%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.36%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.5 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.14 | ||
| P/S | 4.59 | ||
| P/FCF | 20.47 | ||
| P/OCF | 17.65 | ||
| P/B | 6.16 | ||
| P/tB | 10.41 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.66 |
EPS(TTM)8.27
EY4.88%
EPS(NY)9.89
Fwd EY5.83%
FCF(TTM)8.29
FCFY4.89%
OCF(TTM)9.61
OCFY5.67%
SpS36.93
BVpS27.52
TBVpS16.29
PEG (NY)1.81
PEG (5Y)2.7
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 22.28% | ||
| ROE | 29.44% | ||
| ROCE | 31.21% | ||
| ROIC | 24.44% | ||
| ROICexc | 36.88% | ||
| ROICexgc | 78.85% | ||
| OM | 26.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 21.94% | ||
| GM | 52.75% | ||
| FCFM | 22.44% |
ROA(3y)22.14%
ROA(5y)20.33%
ROE(3y)28.79%
ROE(5y)25.52%
ROIC(3y)24.24%
ROIC(5y)20.99%
ROICexc(3y)34.71%
ROICexc(5y)32.22%
ROICexgc(3y)81.65%
ROICexgc(5y)77.73%
ROCE(3y)30.95%
ROCE(5y)26.8%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-12.63%
ROICexcg growth 5Y33.74%
ROICexc growth 3Y-4.05%
ROICexc growth 5Y20.74%
OM growth 3Y-5.17%
OM growth 5Y-4.93%
PM growth 3Y-8.97%
PM growth 5Y-8.03%
GM growth 3Y-2.85%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score9
Asset Turnover1.02
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 100.6% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.59% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 140970 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 85.38% | ||
| Profit Quality | 102.27% | ||
| Current Ratio | 3.4 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.4 | ||
| Altman-Z | 17.27 |
F-Score9
WACC9.08%
ROIC/WACC2.69
Cap/Depr(3y)119.8%
Cap/Depr(5y)287.03%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.09%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.84%
Profit Quality(3y)102.83%
Profit Quality(5y)84.76%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.91%
EPS 3Y9.93%
EPS 5Y7.6%
EPS Q2Q%9.36%
EPS Next Y11.33%
EPS Next 2Y10.86%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.31%
Revenue growth 3Y4.84%
Revenue growth 5Y5.82%
Sales Q2Q%5.33%
Revenue Next Year5.99%
Revenue Next 2Y6.36%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y8.75%
EBIT growth 3Y-0.58%
EBIT growth 5Y0.6%
EBIT Next Year25.83%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y33.57%
FCF growth 3Y39.11%
FCF growth 5Y17.26%
OCF growth 1Y27.66%
OCF growth 3Y-2.53%
OCF growth 5Y-1.09%