10.91 USD
-0.04 (-0.37%)
10.88 USD
-0.03 (-0.27%)
Taking everything into account, LOCO scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. LOCO was compared to 132 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. LOCO has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. LOCO scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
LOCO had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year LOCO had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years LOCO has been profitable.
LOCO had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 4.30%, LOCO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 62.12% of the companies in the same industry.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 9.15%, LOCO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 5.65%, LOCO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.55% of the companies in the same industry.
LOCO had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.08%. This is significantly below the industry average of 10.42%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (5.65%) for LOCO is above the 3 year average (5.08%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.3% | ||
| ROE | 9.15% | ||
| ROIC | 5.65% |
ROA(3y)4.05%
ROA(5y)4.18%
ROE(3y)9.15%
ROE(5y)9.13%
ROIC(3y)5.08%
ROIC(5y)5.31%
1.3 Margins
LOCO has a Profit Margin of 5.39%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: LOCO outperforms 56.82% of its industry peers.
LOCO's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
LOCO's Operating Margin of 8.58% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. LOCO outperforms 51.52% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LOCO has remained more or less at the same level.
LOCO has a Gross Margin of 53.19%. This is in the better half of the industry: LOCO outperforms 63.64% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LOCO has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.58% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.39% | ||
| GM | 53.19% |
OM growth 3Y-3.32%
OM growth 5Y0.33%
PM growth 3Y-5.35%
PM growth 5Y-0.72%
GM growth 3Y0.83%
GM growth 5Y1.16%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
LOCO has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, LOCO has less shares outstanding
LOCO has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
LOCO has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.64, we must say that LOCO is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.64, LOCO is in line with its industry, outperforming 52.27% of the companies in the same industry.
LOCO has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.91. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as LOCO would need 2.91 years to pay back of all of its debts.
LOCO's Debt to FCF ratio of 2.91 is amongst the best of the industry. LOCO outperforms 80.30% of its industry peers.
LOCO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.22. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
LOCO has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.22. This is in the better half of the industry: LOCO outperforms 77.27% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.22 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.91 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.64 |
ROIC/WACC0.7
WACC8.03%
2.3 Liquidity
LOCO has a Current Ratio of 0.41. This is a bad value and indicates that LOCO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of LOCO (0.41) is worse than 81.82% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.38 indicates that LOCO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.38, LOCO is not doing good in the industry: 78.79% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.38 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
LOCO shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 10.59%, which is quite good.
LOCO shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 3.21% yearly.
Looking at the last year, LOCO shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 2.09% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, LOCO shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 1.35% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.59%
EPS 3Y1.15%
EPS 5Y3.21%
EPS Q2Q%28.57%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.09%
Revenue growth 3Y1.35%
Revenue growth 5Y1.35%
Sales Q2Q%0.93%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, LOCO will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 4.89% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, LOCO will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.74% on average per year.
EPS Next Y4.06%
EPS Next 2Y4.89%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.85%
Revenue Next 2Y2.74%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 11.61, the valuation of LOCO can be described as reasonable.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of LOCO indicates a rather cheap valuation: LOCO is cheaper than 84.85% of the companies listed in the same industry.
LOCO is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.31, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 11.14, which indicates a very decent valuation of LOCO.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, LOCO is valued cheaper than 84.09% of the companies in the same industry.
LOCO is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 36.59, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.61 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.14 |
4.2 Price Multiples
LOCO's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LOCO is cheaper than 86.36% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, LOCO is valued cheaply inside the industry as 81.06% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 15.21 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.64 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates LOCO does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
LOCO has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.86
PEG (5Y)3.62
EPS Next 2Y4.89%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
LOCO does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
10.91
-0.04 (-0.37%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners93.3%
Inst Owner Change-0.96%
Ins Owners2.65%
Ins Owner Change-0.25%
Market Cap326.75M
Revenue(TTM)480.81M
Net Income(TTM)25.90M
Analysts78.18
Price Target14.79 (35.56%)
Short Float %6.5%
Short Ratio6.98
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)18.45%
Min EPS beat(2)13.2%
Max EPS beat(2)23.69%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)18.25%
Min EPS beat(4)-9.13%
Max EPS beat(4)45.24%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)21.17%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)18.49%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)17.2%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.08%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.46%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.7%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.58%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.7%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.73%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.27%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.1%
PT rev (1m)-1.69%
PT rev (3m)-1.69%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.75%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.19%
EPS NY rev (1m)3.65%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.71%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.1%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.64%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.42%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.58%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.61 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.14 | ||
| P/S | 0.68 | ||
| P/FCF | 15.21 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.21 | ||
| P/B | 1.15 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.64 |
EPS(TTM)0.94
EY8.62%
EPS(NY)0.98
Fwd EY8.98%
FCF(TTM)0.72
FCFY6.58%
OCF(TTM)1.33
OCFY12.18%
SpS16.05
BVpS9.45
TBVpS-0.92
PEG (NY)2.86
PEG (5Y)3.62
Graham Number14.14
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.3% | ||
| ROE | 9.15% | ||
| ROCE | 7.74% | ||
| ROIC | 5.65% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.77% | ||
| ROICexgc | 14.24% | ||
| OM | 8.58% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.39% | ||
| GM | 53.19% | ||
| FCFM | 4.47% |
ROA(3y)4.05%
ROA(5y)4.18%
ROE(3y)9.15%
ROE(5y)9.13%
ROIC(3y)5.08%
ROIC(5y)5.31%
ROICexc(3y)5.17%
ROICexc(5y)5.47%
ROICexgc(3y)13.16%
ROICexgc(5y)13.82%
ROCE(3y)6.96%
ROCE(5y)7.28%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-2.78%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.42%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.31%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.81%
OM growth 3Y-3.32%
OM growth 5Y0.33%
PM growth 3Y-5.35%
PM growth 5Y-0.72%
GM growth 3Y0.83%
GM growth 5Y1.16%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.8
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.22 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.91 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.1 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 116.27% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.81% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 9.06 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 69.85% | ||
| Profit Quality | 82.96% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.38 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.64 |
F-Score8
WACC8.03%
ROIC/WACC0.7
Cap/Depr(3y)133.19%
Cap/Depr(5y)110.29%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.27%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.63%
Profit Quality(3y)91.05%
Profit Quality(5y)106.37%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.59%
EPS 3Y1.15%
EPS 5Y3.21%
EPS Q2Q%28.57%
EPS Next Y4.06%
EPS Next 2Y4.89%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.09%
Revenue growth 3Y1.35%
Revenue growth 5Y1.35%
Sales Q2Q%0.93%
Revenue Next Year3.85%
Revenue Next 2Y2.74%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y1.36%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.01%
EBIT growth 5Y1.69%
EBIT Next Year56.86%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-20.27%
FCF growth 3Y-7.55%
FCF growth 5Y6%
OCF growth 1Y-19.02%
OCF growth 3Y-3.53%
OCF growth 5Y5.3%
EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC / LOCO FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to LOCO.
What is the valuation status for LOCO stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO). This can be considered as Undervalued.
What is the profitability of LOCO stock?
EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) is 11.61 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.15.
How financially healthy is EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC?
The financial health rating of EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) is 4 / 10.