10.32 USD
-0.14 (-1.34%)
10.32 USD
0 (0%)
Overall LOCO gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated LOCO against 133 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of LOCO get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. LOCO may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
LOCO had positive earnings in the past year.
LOCO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
LOCO had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years LOCO always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
With a decent Return On Assets value of 4.30%, LOCO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.16% of the companies in the same industry.
LOCO has a better Return On Equity (9.15%) than 66.92% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 5.65%, LOCO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.14% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for LOCO is significantly below the industry average of 10.39%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (5.65%) for LOCO is above the 3 year average (5.08%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.3% | ||
| ROE | 9.15% | ||
| ROIC | 5.65% |
ROA(3y)4.05%
ROA(5y)4.18%
ROE(3y)9.15%
ROE(5y)9.13%
ROIC(3y)5.08%
ROIC(5y)5.31%
1.3 Margins
LOCO has a Profit Margin (5.39%) which is in line with its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of LOCO has remained more or less at the same level.
LOCO has a Operating Margin of 8.58%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: LOCO outperforms 51.88% of its industry peers.
LOCO's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
LOCO's Gross Margin of 53.19% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. LOCO outperforms 62.41% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LOCO has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.58% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.39% | ||
| GM | 53.19% |
OM growth 3Y-3.32%
OM growth 5Y0.33%
PM growth 3Y-5.35%
PM growth 5Y-0.72%
GM growth 3Y0.83%
GM growth 5Y1.16%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so LOCO is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for LOCO has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for LOCO has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for LOCO has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.61, we must say that LOCO is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
LOCO has a Altman-Z score (1.61) which is in line with its industry peers.
LOCO has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.91. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as LOCO would need 2.91 years to pay back of all of its debts.
LOCO has a Debt to FCF ratio of 2.91. This is amongst the best in the industry. LOCO outperforms 81.95% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.22 indicates that LOCO is not too dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of LOCO (0.22) is better than 78.95% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.22 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.91 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.61 |
ROIC/WACC0.69
WACC8.14%
2.3 Liquidity
LOCO has a Current Ratio of 0.41. This is a bad value and indicates that LOCO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
LOCO's Current ratio of 0.41 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. LOCO is outperformed by 80.45% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.38 indicates that LOCO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.38, LOCO is doing worse than 77.44% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.38 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
LOCO shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 10.59%, which is quite good.
Measured over the past 5 years, LOCO shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 3.21% on average per year.
LOCO shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 2.09%.
LOCO shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 1.35% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.59%
EPS 3Y1.15%
EPS 5Y3.21%
EPS Q2Q%28.57%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.09%
Revenue growth 3Y1.35%
Revenue growth 5Y1.35%
Sales Q2Q%0.93%
3.2 Future
LOCO is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 5.51% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.33% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y7.44%
EPS Next 2Y3.24%
EPS Next 3Y5.51%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.84%
Revenue Next 2Y2.62%
Revenue Next 3Y2.33%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 10.98, the valuation of LOCO can be described as very reasonable.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, LOCO is valued cheaply inside the industry as 88.72% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.60, LOCO is valued rather cheaply.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 10.88, which indicates a very decent valuation of LOCO.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, LOCO is valued cheaply inside the industry as 87.97% of the companies are valued more expensively.
LOCO is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.23, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.98 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.88 |
4.2 Price Multiples
LOCO's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LOCO is cheaper than 88.72% of the companies in the same industry.
83.46% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LOCO, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 14.38 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.33 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of LOCO may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.47
PEG (5Y)3.42
EPS Next 2Y3.24%
EPS Next 3Y5.51%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for LOCO!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
10.32
-0.14 (-1.34%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners92.54%
Inst Owner Change-0.96%
Ins Owners1.98%
Ins Owner Change-0.04%
Market Cap309.08M
Revenue(TTM)480.81M
Net Income(TTM)25.90M
Analysts78.18
Price Target15.17 (47%)
Short Float %6.06%
Short Ratio6.11
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)18.45%
Min EPS beat(2)13.2%
Max EPS beat(2)23.69%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)18.25%
Min EPS beat(4)-9.13%
Max EPS beat(4)45.24%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)21.17%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)18.49%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)17.2%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.08%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.46%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.7%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.58%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.7%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.73%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.27%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.1%
PT rev (1m)2.59%
PT rev (3m)0.85%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.44%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.91%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.79%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.05%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.77%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.62%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.98 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.88 | ||
| P/S | 0.64 | ||
| P/FCF | 14.38 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.77 | ||
| P/B | 1.09 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.33 |
EPS(TTM)0.94
EY9.11%
EPS(NY)0.95
Fwd EY9.19%
FCF(TTM)0.72
FCFY6.95%
OCF(TTM)1.33
OCFY12.88%
SpS16.05
BVpS9.45
TBVpS-0.92
PEG (NY)1.47
PEG (5Y)3.42
Graham Number14.14
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.3% | ||
| ROE | 9.15% | ||
| ROCE | 7.74% | ||
| ROIC | 5.65% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.77% | ||
| ROICexgc | 14.24% | ||
| OM | 8.58% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.39% | ||
| GM | 53.19% | ||
| FCFM | 4.47% |
ROA(3y)4.05%
ROA(5y)4.18%
ROE(3y)9.15%
ROE(5y)9.13%
ROIC(3y)5.08%
ROIC(5y)5.31%
ROICexc(3y)5.17%
ROICexc(5y)5.47%
ROICexgc(3y)13.16%
ROICexgc(5y)13.82%
ROCE(3y)6.96%
ROCE(5y)7.28%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-2.78%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.42%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.31%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.81%
OM growth 3Y-3.32%
OM growth 5Y0.33%
PM growth 3Y-5.35%
PM growth 5Y-0.72%
GM growth 3Y0.83%
GM growth 5Y1.16%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.8
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.22 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.91 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.1 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 116.27% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.81% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 9.06 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 69.85% | ||
| Profit Quality | 82.96% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.38 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.61 |
F-Score8
WACC8.14%
ROIC/WACC0.69
Cap/Depr(3y)133.19%
Cap/Depr(5y)110.29%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.27%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.63%
Profit Quality(3y)91.05%
Profit Quality(5y)106.37%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.59%
EPS 3Y1.15%
EPS 5Y3.21%
EPS Q2Q%28.57%
EPS Next Y7.44%
EPS Next 2Y3.24%
EPS Next 3Y5.51%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.09%
Revenue growth 3Y1.35%
Revenue growth 5Y1.35%
Sales Q2Q%0.93%
Revenue Next Year3.84%
Revenue Next 2Y2.62%
Revenue Next 3Y2.33%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y1.36%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.01%
EBIT growth 5Y1.69%
EBIT Next Year63.58%
EBIT Next 3Y18.05%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-20.27%
FCF growth 3Y-7.55%
FCF growth 5Y6%
OCF growth 1Y-19.02%
OCF growth 3Y-3.53%
OCF growth 5Y5.3%
EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC / LOCO FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to LOCO.
What is the valuation status of EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO). This can be considered as Undervalued.
What is the profitability of LOCO stock?
EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for LOCO stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) is 10.98 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.09.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for LOCO stock?
The dividend rating of EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.