NORDSTROM INC (JWN) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:JWN - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US6556641008 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to JWN. JWN was compared to 28 industry peers in the Broadline Retail industry. There are concerns on the financial health of JWN while its profitability can be described as average. JWN has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year JWN was profitable.
JWN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years JWN 4 years were profitable.
Of the past 5 years JWN 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of JWN (3.29%) is better than 61.29% of its industry peers.
JWN has a Return On Equity of 25.88%. This is amongst the best in the industry. JWN outperforms 87.10% of its industry peers.
JWN's Return On Invested Capital of 7.75% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. JWN outperforms 64.52% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for JWN is below the industry average of 11.32%.
The 3 year average ROIC (7.32%) for JWN is below the current ROIC(7.75%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.29% | ||
| ROE | 25.88% | ||
| ROIC | 7.75% |
ROA(3y)2.56%
ROA(5y)0.49%
ROE(3y)24.91%
ROE(5y)-24.17%
ROIC(3y)7.32%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
JWN has a better Profit Margin (1.96%) than 61.29% of its industry peers.
JWN's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
JWN has a Operating Margin (3.66%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of JWN has declined.
With a Gross Margin value of 37.43%, JWN is not doing good in the industry: 64.52% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of JWN has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.66% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.96% | ||
| GM | 37.43% |
OM growth 3Y-0.3%
OM growth 5Y-8.18%
PM growth 3Y17.61%
PM growth 5Y-9.33%
GM growth 3Y0.55%
GM growth 5Y0.77%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so JWN is destroying value.
JWN has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, JWN has more shares outstanding
JWN has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
JWN has an Altman-Z score of 1.90. This is not the best score and indicates that JWN is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.90, JWN is in line with its industry, outperforming 51.61% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of JWN is 3.49, which is a good value as it means it would take JWN, 3.49 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 3.49, JWN perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.06% of the companies in the same industry.
JWN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.30. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of JWN (2.30) is worse than 80.65% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.49 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.9 |
ROIC/WACC0.78
WACC9.92%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.19 indicates that JWN should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.19, JWN is doing worse than 74.19% of the companies in the same industry.
JWN has a Quick Ratio of 1.19. This is a bad value and indicates that JWN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of JWN (0.51) is worse than 87.10% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.19 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.51 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
JWN shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 1.42%.
Measured over the past years, JWN shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -8.54% on average per year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.21% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, JWN shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -0.66% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.42%
EPS 3Y26.58%
EPS 5Y-8.54%
EPS Q2Q%14.58%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.21%
Revenue growth 3Y0.51%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.66%
Sales Q2Q%-2.19%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, JWN will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 15.79% on average per year.
JWN is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.12% yearly.
EPS Next Y-3.7%
EPS Next 2Y-4.07%
EPS Next 3Y3.55%
EPS Next 5Y15.79%
Revenue Next Year2.01%
Revenue Next 2Y1.73%
Revenue Next 3Y1.3%
Revenue Next 5Y2.12%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
JWN is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 11.47.
77.42% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than JWN, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.87, JWN is valued rather cheaply.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.91 indicates a reasonable valuation of JWN.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, JWN is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 74.19% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 35.34. JWN is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.47 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.91 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, JWN is valued cheaper than 83.87% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of JWN indicates a rather cheap valuation: JWN is cheaper than 90.32% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 5.49 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.95 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-4.07%
EPS Next 3Y3.55%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
JWN has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.37%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 14.85, JWN pays a better dividend. On top of this JWN pays more dividend than 83.87% of the companies listed in the same industry.
JWN's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.36.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.37% |
5.2 History
The dividend of JWN decreases each year by -12.34%.
JWN has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
JWN has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-12.34%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
JWN pays out 42.03% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP42.03%
EPS Next 2Y-4.07%
EPS Next 3Y3.55%
24.66
+0.02 (+0.08%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners52.71%
Inst Owner Change-9.53%
Ins Owners25.6%
Ins Owner Change-109.48%
Market Cap4.12B
Analysts50.48
Price Target24.23 (-1.74%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.37% |
Yearly Dividend0.76
Dividend Growth(5Y)-12.34%
DP42.03%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)36.31%
Min EPS beat(2)18.42%
Max EPS beat(2)54.21%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)-27.67%
Min EPS beat(4)-216.28%
Max EPS beat(4)54.21%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)29.54%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)31.34%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)22.71%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.98%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.55%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.52%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.11%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.02%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.48%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.53%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.15%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.72%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)1.84%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-72.24%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-71.92%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.57%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.71%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.35%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.26%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.12%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.05%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.47 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.91 | ||
| P/S | 0.27 | ||
| P/FCF | 5.49 | ||
| P/OCF | 3.25 | ||
| P/B | 3.62 | ||
| P/tB | 4.63 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.95 |
EPS(TTM)2.15
EY8.72%
EPS(NY)2.07
Fwd EY8.4%
FCF(TTM)4.49
FCFY18.21%
OCF(TTM)7.58
OCFY30.72%
SpS89.8
BVpS6.82
TBVpS5.33
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.29% | ||
| ROE | 25.88% | ||
| ROCE | 9.34% | ||
| ROIC | 7.75% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.41% | ||
| ROICexgc | 9.92% | ||
| OM | 3.66% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.96% | ||
| GM | 37.43% | ||
| FCFM | 5% |
ROA(3y)2.56%
ROA(5y)0.49%
ROE(3y)24.91%
ROE(5y)-24.17%
ROIC(3y)7.32%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)8.48%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)8.94%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)8.82%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y2.96%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-6.81%
ROICexc growth 3Y2.82%
ROICexc growth 5Y-6.9%
OM growth 3Y-0.3%
OM growth 5Y-8.18%
PM growth 3Y17.61%
PM growth 5Y-9.33%
GM growth 3Y0.55%
GM growth 5Y0.77%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.67
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.49 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.27 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 85.57% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.44% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.36 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 109.98% | ||
| Profit Quality | 254.58% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.19 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.51 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.9 |
F-Score7
WACC9.92%
ROIC/WACC0.78
Cap/Depr(3y)86.99%
Cap/Depr(5y)80.06%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.45%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.47%
Profit Quality(3y)162.44%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.42%
EPS 3Y26.58%
EPS 5Y-8.54%
EPS Q2Q%14.58%
EPS Next Y-3.7%
EPS Next 2Y-4.07%
EPS Next 3Y3.55%
EPS Next 5Y15.79%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.21%
Revenue growth 3Y0.51%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.66%
Sales Q2Q%-2.19%
Revenue Next Year2.01%
Revenue Next 2Y1.73%
Revenue Next 3Y1.3%
Revenue Next 5Y2.12%
EBIT growth 1Y2.62%
EBIT growth 3Y0.2%
EBIT growth 5Y-8.79%
EBIT Next Year115.06%
EBIT Next 3Y36.23%
EBIT Next 5Y23.63%
FCF growth 1Y1344.23%
FCF growth 3Y55.69%
FCF growth 5Y20.06%
OCF growth 1Y104.03%
OCF growth 3Y21.58%
OCF growth 5Y0.5%