NORDSTROM INC (JWN) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:JWN - US6556641008 - Common Stock
24.66 USD
+0.02 (+0.08%)
24.6601 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, JWN scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. JWN was compared to 28 industry peers in the Broadline Retail industry. JWN has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. JWN has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
JWN had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year JWN had a positive cash flow from operations.
JWN had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Of the past 5 years JWN 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
JWN's Return On Assets of 3.29% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. JWN outperforms 61.29% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of JWN (25.88%) is better than 87.10% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 7.75%, JWN is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.52% of the companies in the same industry.
JWN had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 7.32%. This is below the industry average of 10.41%.
The 3 year average ROIC (7.32%) for JWN is below the current ROIC(7.75%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.29% | ||
| ROE | 25.88% | ||
| ROIC | 7.75% |
ROA(3y)2.56%
ROA(5y)0.49%
ROE(3y)24.91%
ROE(5y)-24.17%
ROIC(3y)7.32%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
JWN's Profit Margin of 1.96% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. JWN outperforms 61.29% of its industry peers.
JWN's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
JWN has a Operating Margin (3.66%) which is in line with its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of JWN has declined.
The Gross Margin of JWN (37.43%) is worse than 64.52% of its industry peers.
JWN's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.66% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.96% | ||
| GM | 37.43% |
OM growth 3Y-0.3%
OM growth 5Y-8.18%
PM growth 3Y17.61%
PM growth 5Y-9.33%
GM growth 3Y0.55%
GM growth 5Y0.77%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so JWN is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, JWN has more shares outstanding
JWN has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
JWN has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
JWN has an Altman-Z score of 1.90. This is not the best score and indicates that JWN is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.90, JWN perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 51.61% of the companies in the same industry.
JWN has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.49. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as JWN would need 3.49 years to pay back of all of its debts.
JWN has a Debt to FCF ratio of 3.49. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: JWN outperforms 58.06% of its industry peers.
JWN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.30. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
JWN's Debt to Equity ratio of 2.30 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. JWN is outperformed by 80.65% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.49 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.9 |
ROIC/WACC0.78
WACC9.92%
2.3 Liquidity
JWN has a Current Ratio of 1.19. This is a normal value and indicates that JWN is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
JWN has a worse Current ratio (1.19) than 74.19% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.51 indicates that JWN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of JWN (0.51) is worse than 87.10% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.19 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.51 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 1.42% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -8.54% on average over the past years.
Looking at the last year, JWN shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 2.21% in the last year.
JWN shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -0.66% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.42%
EPS 3Y26.58%
EPS 5Y-8.54%
EPS Q2Q%14.58%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.21%
Revenue growth 3Y0.51%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.66%
Sales Q2Q%-2.19%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, JWN will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 15.79% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, JWN will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.12% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-3.7%
EPS Next 2Y-4.07%
EPS Next 3Y3.55%
EPS Next 5Y15.79%
Revenue Next Year2.01%
Revenue Next 2Y1.73%
Revenue Next 3Y1.3%
Revenue Next 5Y2.12%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
JWN is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 11.47.
77.42% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than JWN, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of JWN to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.91), we can say JWN is valued rather cheaply.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.91, the valuation of JWN can be described as very reasonable.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of JWN indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: JWN is cheaper than 74.19% of the companies listed in the same industry.
JWN is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.30, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.47 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.91 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of JWN indicates a rather cheap valuation: JWN is cheaper than 83.87% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, JWN is valued cheaply inside the industry as 90.32% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 5.49 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.95 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-4.07%
EPS Next 3Y3.55%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
JWN has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.37%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 8.13, JWN pays a better dividend. On top of this JWN pays more dividend than 83.87% of the companies listed in the same industry.
JWN's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.44.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.37% |
5.2 History
The dividend of JWN decreases each year by -12.34%.
JWN has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
JWN has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-12.34%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
42.03% of the earnings are spent on dividend by JWN. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP42.03%
EPS Next 2Y-4.07%
EPS Next 3Y3.55%
24.66
+0.02 (+0.08%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners52.71%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners25.6%
Ins Owner Change-111.14%
Market Cap4.12B
Analysts50.48
Price Target24.23 (-1.74%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.37% |
Yearly Dividend0.76
Dividend Growth(5Y)-12.34%
DP42.03%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)36.31%
Min EPS beat(2)18.42%
Max EPS beat(2)54.21%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)-27.67%
Min EPS beat(4)-216.28%
Max EPS beat(4)54.21%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)29.54%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)31.34%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)22.71%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.98%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.55%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.52%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.11%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.02%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.48%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.53%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.15%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.72%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)1.84%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-72.24%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-71.92%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.57%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.71%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.35%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.26%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.12%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.05%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.47 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.91 | ||
| P/S | 0.27 | ||
| P/FCF | 5.49 | ||
| P/OCF | 3.25 | ||
| P/B | 3.62 | ||
| P/tB | 4.63 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.95 |
EPS(TTM)2.15
EY8.72%
EPS(NY)2.07
Fwd EY8.4%
FCF(TTM)4.49
FCFY18.21%
OCF(TTM)7.58
OCFY30.72%
SpS89.8
BVpS6.82
TBVpS5.33
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.29% | ||
| ROE | 25.88% | ||
| ROCE | 9.34% | ||
| ROIC | 7.75% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.41% | ||
| ROICexgc | 9.92% | ||
| OM | 3.66% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.96% | ||
| GM | 37.43% | ||
| FCFM | 5% |
ROA(3y)2.56%
ROA(5y)0.49%
ROE(3y)24.91%
ROE(5y)-24.17%
ROIC(3y)7.32%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)8.48%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)8.94%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)8.82%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y2.96%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-6.81%
ROICexc growth 3Y2.82%
ROICexc growth 5Y-6.9%
OM growth 3Y-0.3%
OM growth 5Y-8.18%
PM growth 3Y17.61%
PM growth 5Y-9.33%
GM growth 3Y0.55%
GM growth 5Y0.77%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.67
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.49 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.27 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 85.57% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.44% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.36 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 109.98% | ||
| Profit Quality | 254.58% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.19 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.51 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.9 |
F-Score7
WACC9.92%
ROIC/WACC0.78
Cap/Depr(3y)86.99%
Cap/Depr(5y)80.06%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.45%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.47%
Profit Quality(3y)162.44%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.42%
EPS 3Y26.58%
EPS 5Y-8.54%
EPS Q2Q%14.58%
EPS Next Y-3.7%
EPS Next 2Y-4.07%
EPS Next 3Y3.55%
EPS Next 5Y15.79%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.21%
Revenue growth 3Y0.51%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.66%
Sales Q2Q%-2.19%
Revenue Next Year2.01%
Revenue Next 2Y1.73%
Revenue Next 3Y1.3%
Revenue Next 5Y2.12%
EBIT growth 1Y2.62%
EBIT growth 3Y0.2%
EBIT growth 5Y-8.79%
EBIT Next Year115.06%
EBIT Next 3Y36.23%
EBIT Next 5Y23.63%
FCF growth 1Y1344.23%
FCF growth 3Y55.69%
FCF growth 5Y20.06%
OCF growth 1Y104.03%
OCF growth 3Y21.58%
OCF growth 5Y0.5%