ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS (ITW) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:ITW • US4523081093
Current stock price
269.74 USD
+0.45 (+0.17%)
At close:
269.74 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This ITW fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. ITW Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year ITW was profitable.
- ITW had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- ITW had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years ITW always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- ITW has a Return On Assets of 18.99%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ITW outperforms 98.47% of its industry peers.
- ITW's Return On Equity of 95.07% is amongst the best of the industry. ITW outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 26.75%, ITW belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 97.71% of the companies in the same industry.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for ITW is significantly above the industry average of 10.12%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 18.99% | ||
| ROE | 95.07% | ||
| ROIC | 26.75% |
ROA(3y)20.4%
ROA(5y)19.52%
ROE(3y)99.48%
ROE(5y)94.2%
ROIC(3y)27.84%
ROIC(5y)25.87%
1.3 Margins
- ITW's Profit Margin of 19.11% is amongst the best of the industry. ITW outperforms 94.66% of its industry peers.
- ITW's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- The Operating Margin of ITW (26.28%) is better than 97.71% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ITW has grown nicely.
- ITW has a better Gross Margin (44.10%) than 81.68% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ITW has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 26.28% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 19.11% | ||
| GM | 44.1% |
OM growth 3Y3.37%
OM growth 5Y2.77%
PM growth 3Y0.12%
PM growth 5Y2.64%
GM growth 3Y2.61%
GM growth 5Y1.3%
2. ITW Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), ITW is creating value.
- ITW has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for ITW has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, ITW has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 8.15 indicates that ITW is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
- With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 8.15, ITW belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 91.60% of the companies in the same industry.
- ITW has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.31. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as ITW would need 3.31 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- ITW has a Debt to FCF ratio of 3.31. This is in the better half of the industry: ITW outperforms 65.65% of its industry peers.
- ITW has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.47. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- ITW has a Debt to Equity ratio of 2.47. This is amonst the worse of the industry: ITW underperforms 87.02% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.47 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.31 | ||
| Altman-Z | 8.15 |
ROIC/WACC2.62
WACC10.2%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.21 indicates that ITW should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- ITW has a Current ratio of 1.21. This is amonst the worse of the industry: ITW underperforms 81.68% of its industry peers.
- ITW has a Quick Ratio of 1.21. This is a bad value and indicates that ITW is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a Quick ratio value of 0.89, ITW is not doing good in the industry: 74.05% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.21 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.89 |
3. ITW Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- ITW shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 3.15%.
- ITW shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 9.61% yearly.
- Looking at the last year, ITW shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 0.92% in the last year.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.99% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)3.15%
EPS 3Y2.36%
EPS 5Y9.61%
EPS Q2Q%7.09%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.92%
Revenue growth 3Y0.23%
Revenue growth 5Y4.99%
Sales Q2Q%4.09%
3.2 Future
- ITW is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 8.86% yearly.
- ITW is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.41% yearly.
EPS Next Y8.39%
EPS Next 2Y7.95%
EPS Next 3Y7.43%
EPS Next 5Y8.86%
Revenue Next Year3.39%
Revenue Next 2Y3.41%
Revenue Next 3Y3.4%
Revenue Next 5Y4.41%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
- The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. ITW Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 25.71, the valuation of ITW can be described as expensive.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as ITW.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.35. ITW is around the same levels.
- ITW is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.72.
- ITW's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.23, ITW is valued at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25.71 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.72 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- ITW's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as ITW.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 28.71 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.3 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
- The excellent profitability rating of ITW may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)3.07
PEG (5Y)2.68
EPS Next 2Y7.95%
EPS Next 3Y7.43%
5. ITW Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.36%, ITW has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.13, ITW pays a better dividend. On top of this ITW pays more dividend than 90.84% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, ITW pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.36% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of ITW grows each year by 7.19%, which is quite nice.
- ITW has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- ITW has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.19%
Div Incr Years30
Div Non Decr Years30
5.3 Sustainability
- 58.22% of the earnings are spent on dividend by ITW. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
- ITW's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP58.22%
EPS Next 2Y7.95%
EPS Next 3Y7.43%
ITW Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
269.74
+0.45 (+0.17%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)02-03 2026-02-03/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-30 2026-04-30/bmo
Inst Owners85.83%
Inst Owner Change-0.35%
Ins Owners0.28%
Ins Owner Change-6.28%
Market Cap77.71B
Revenue(TTM)16.04B
Net Income(TTM)3.07B
Analysts52.31
Price Target277.62 (2.92%)
Short Float %3.33%
Short Ratio6.46
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.36% |
Yearly Dividend6.13
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.19%
DP58.22%
Div Incr Years30
Div Non Decr Years30
Ex-Date03-31 2026-03-31 (1.61)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)1.41%
Min EPS beat(2)0.34%
Max EPS beat(2)2.48%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)0.74%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.33%
Max EPS beat(4)2.48%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)1.43%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)1.64%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)2.75%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.99%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.6%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.39%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.83%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.6%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.27%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.56%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.59%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.75%
PT rev (1m)-0.6%
PT rev (3m)5.71%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.04%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.36%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.01%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.02%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.05%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.27%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.05%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25.71 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.72 | ||
| P/S | 4.84 | ||
| P/FCF | 28.71 | ||
| P/OCF | 24.86 | ||
| P/B | 24.1 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.3 |
EPS(TTM)10.49
EY3.89%
EPS(NY)11.37
Fwd EY4.22%
FCF(TTM)9.4
FCFY3.48%
OCF(TTM)10.85
OCFY4.02%
SpS55.69
BVpS11.19
TBVpS-8.55
PEG (NY)3.07
PEG (5Y)2.68
Graham Number51.4029 (-80.94%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 18.99% | ||
| ROE | 95.07% | ||
| ROCE | 38.25% | ||
| ROIC | 26.75% | ||
| ROICexc | 28.73% | ||
| ROICexgc | 57.07% | ||
| OM | 26.28% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 19.11% | ||
| GM | 44.1% | ||
| FCFM | 16.87% |
ROA(3y)20.4%
ROA(5y)19.52%
ROE(3y)99.48%
ROE(5y)94.2%
ROIC(3y)27.84%
ROIC(5y)25.87%
ROICexc(3y)30.33%
ROICexc(5y)28.24%
ROICexgc(3y)63.03%
ROICexgc(5y)58.4%
ROCE(3y)38.38%
ROCE(5y)35.46%
ROICexgc growth 3Y3.05%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.81%
ROICexc growth 3Y3.16%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.95%
OM growth 3Y3.37%
OM growth 5Y2.77%
PM growth 3Y0.12%
PM growth 5Y2.64%
GM growth 3Y2.61%
GM growth 5Y1.3%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.99
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.47 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.31 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.73 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 105.54% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.61% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 15.11 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 67.77% | ||
| Profit Quality | 88.29% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.21 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | 8.15 |
F-Score5
WACC10.2%
ROIC/WACC2.62
Cap/Depr(3y)109.81%
Cap/Depr(5y)100.42%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.73%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.56%
Profit Quality(3y)91.37%
Profit Quality(5y)84.37%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)3.15%
EPS 3Y2.36%
EPS 5Y9.61%
EPS Q2Q%7.09%
EPS Next Y8.39%
EPS Next 2Y7.95%
EPS Next 3Y7.43%
EPS Next 5Y8.86%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.92%
Revenue growth 3Y0.23%
Revenue growth 5Y4.99%
Sales Q2Q%4.09%
Revenue Next Year3.39%
Revenue Next 2Y3.41%
Revenue Next 3Y3.4%
Revenue Next 5Y4.41%
EBIT growth 1Y-1.13%
EBIT growth 3Y3.61%
EBIT growth 5Y7.9%
EBIT Next Year15.25%
EBIT Next 3Y8.08%
EBIT Next 5Y7.1%
FCF growth 1Y-4.82%
FCF growth 3Y11.82%
FCF growth 5Y1.04%
OCF growth 1Y-4.72%
OCF growth 3Y10.01%
OCF growth 5Y2.18%
ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS / ITW Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS (ITW) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to ITW.
Can you provide the valuation status for ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS (ITW). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS?
ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS (ITW) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
What is the financial health of ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS (ITW) stock?
The financial health rating of ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS (ITW) is 5 / 10.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for ITW stock?
The dividend rating of ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS (ITW) is 8 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 58.22%.