ICF INTERNATIONAL INC (ICFI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:ICFI - US44925C1036 - Common Stock
98.22 USD
-0.24 (-0.24%)
98.22 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, ICFI scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. ICFI was compared to 83 industry peers in the Professional Services industry. ICFI has an average financial health and profitability rating. ICFI is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
ICFI had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year ICFI had a positive cash flow from operations.
ICFI had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years ICFI always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
ICFI has a Return On Assets of 5.20%. This is in the better half of the industry: ICFI outperforms 60.24% of its industry peers.
ICFI has a Return On Equity (10.77%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
ICFI has a Return On Invested Capital (7.92%) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for ICFI is significantly below the industry average of 12.57%.
The 3 year average ROIC (6.90%) for ICFI is below the current ROIC(7.92%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.2% | ||
| ROE | 10.77% | ||
| ROIC | 7.92% |
ROA(3y)4.17%
ROA(5y)3.93%
ROE(3y)9.25%
ROE(5y)8.79%
ROIC(3y)6.9%
ROIC(5y)6.58%
1.3 Margins
ICFI has a better Profit Margin (5.45%) than 63.86% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ICFI has grown nicely.
The Operating Margin of ICFI (8.14%) is better than 66.27% of its industry peers.
ICFI's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 37.12%, ICFI perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.60% of the companies in the same industry.
ICFI's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.14% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.45% | ||
| GM | 37.12% |
OM growth 3Y4.76%
OM growth 5Y3.67%
PM growth 3Y6.01%
PM growth 5Y3.2%
GM growth 3Y-0.36%
GM growth 5Y0.56%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
ICFI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, ICFI has less shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, ICFI has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for ICFI has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.91 indicates that ICFI is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of ICFI (2.91) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of ICFI is 3.97, which is a good value as it means it would take ICFI, 3.97 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
ICFI has a Debt to FCF ratio (3.97) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
ICFI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.47. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
The Debt to Equity ratio of ICFI (0.47) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.47 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.97 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.91 |
ROIC/WACC0.96
WACC8.25%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.29 indicates that ICFI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
ICFI has a Current ratio (1.29) which is in line with its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.29 indicates that ICFI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
ICFI has a Quick ratio (1.29) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.29 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.29 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
ICFI shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 5.76%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 11.73% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
The Revenue has decreased by -0.46% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.44% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)5.76%
EPS 3Y14.29%
EPS 5Y11.73%
EPS Q2Q%-1.78%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.46%
Revenue growth 3Y9.16%
Revenue growth 5Y6.44%
Sales Q2Q%-7.01%
3.2 Future
ICFI is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 1.79% yearly.
ICFI is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -0.66% yearly.
EPS Next Y0.3%
EPS Next 2Y1.79%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-4.57%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.66%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 13.36, ICFI is valued correctly.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of ICFI indicates a rather cheap valuation: ICFI is cheaper than 80.72% of the companies listed in the same industry.
ICFI is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.13, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 13.15, which indicates a correct valuation of ICFI.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, ICFI is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 75.90% of the companies are valued more expensively.
ICFI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 22.76.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.36 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.15 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of ICFI indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: ICFI is cheaper than 73.49% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, ICFI is valued a bit cheaper than 69.88% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 15.14 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.51 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates ICFI does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
ICFI has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)44.2
PEG (5Y)1.14
EPS Next 2Y1.79%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
ICFI has a yearly dividend return of 0.57%, which is pretty low.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.17, ICFI pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.57, ICFI pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.32.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.57% |
5.2 History
The dividend of ICFI has a limited annual growth rate of 0.11%.
ICFI has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
As ICFI did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.11%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years6
5.3 Sustainability
ICFI pays out 9.70% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
ICFI's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP9.7%
EPS Next 2Y1.79%
EPS Next 3YN/A
98.22
-0.24 (-0.24%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryProfessional Services
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners97.75%
Inst Owner Change-1.03%
Ins Owners1.41%
Ins Owner Change3.62%
Market Cap1.81B
Analysts83.64
Price Target106.59 (8.52%)
Short Float %2.36%
Short Ratio2.28
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.57% |
Yearly Dividend0.56
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.11%
DP9.7%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years6
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)5.2%
Min EPS beat(2)1.08%
Max EPS beat(2)9.31%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)3.18%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.57%
Max EPS beat(4)9.31%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)6.81%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)5.84%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)6.81%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.61%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.32%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.89%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.7%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.01%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.57%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.11%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.56%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.63%
PT rev (1m)1.95%
PT rev (3m)-0.48%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.77%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-17.64%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.83%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.3%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)2.02%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-12.55%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.72%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.82%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.36 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.15 | ||
| P/S | 0.92 | ||
| P/FCF | 15.14 | ||
| P/OCF | 12.95 | ||
| P/B | 1.81 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.51 |
EPS(TTM)7.35
EY7.48%
EPS(NY)7.47
Fwd EY7.61%
FCF(TTM)6.49
FCFY6.61%
OCF(TTM)7.59
OCFY7.72%
SpS107.28
BVpS54.28
TBVpS-18.9
PEG (NY)44.2
PEG (5Y)1.14
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.2% | ||
| ROE | 10.77% | ||
| ROCE | 9.57% | ||
| ROIC | 7.92% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.95% | ||
| ROICexgc | 40.95% | ||
| OM | 8.14% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.45% | ||
| GM | 37.12% | ||
| FCFM | 6.05% |
ROA(3y)4.17%
ROA(5y)3.93%
ROE(3y)9.25%
ROE(5y)8.79%
ROIC(3y)6.9%
ROIC(5y)6.58%
ROICexc(3y)6.93%
ROICexc(5y)6.61%
ROICexgc(3y)39.19%
ROICexgc(5y)34.68%
ROCE(3y)8.35%
ROCE(5y)7.95%
ROICexcg growth 3Y22.5%
ROICexcg growth 5Y12.7%
ROICexc growth 3Y10.75%
ROICexc growth 5Y1.3%
OM growth 3Y4.76%
OM growth 5Y3.67%
PM growth 3Y6.01%
PM growth 5Y3.2%
GM growth 3Y-0.36%
GM growth 5Y0.56%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.95
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.47 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.97 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.18 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 36.2% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.02% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.42 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 64.5% | ||
| Profit Quality | 110.99% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.29 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.29 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.91 |
F-Score6
WACC8.25%
ROIC/WACC0.96
Cap/Depr(3y)41.98%
Cap/Depr(5y)48.13%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.19%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.21%
Profit Quality(3y)169.39%
Profit Quality(5y)183.54%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)5.76%
EPS 3Y14.29%
EPS 5Y11.73%
EPS Q2Q%-1.78%
EPS Next Y0.3%
EPS Next 2Y1.79%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.46%
Revenue growth 3Y9.16%
Revenue growth 5Y6.44%
Sales Q2Q%-7.01%
Revenue Next Year-4.57%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.66%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y5.73%
EBIT growth 3Y14.35%
EBIT growth 5Y10.34%
EBIT Next Year26.6%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-19.79%
FCF growth 3Y18.46%
FCF growth 5Y18.41%
OCF growth 1Y-20.41%
OCF growth 3Y15.9%
OCF growth 5Y13.42%