ICF INTERNATIONAL INC (ICFI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:ICFI - US44925C1036 - Common Stock
90.11 USD
-0.73 (-0.8%)
90.11 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, ICFI scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. ICFI was compared to 86 industry peers in the Professional Services industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of ICFI get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. ICFI has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year ICFI was profitable.
ICFI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
ICFI had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
ICFI had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
ICFI has a Return On Assets of 5.20%. This is in the better half of the industry: ICFI outperforms 60.47% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of ICFI (10.77%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
ICFI's Return On Invested Capital of 7.92% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ICFI outperforms 55.81% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for ICFI is significantly below the industry average of 13.28%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (7.92%) for ICFI is above the 3 year average (6.90%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.2% | ||
| ROE | 10.77% | ||
| ROIC | 7.92% |
ROA(3y)4.17%
ROA(5y)3.93%
ROE(3y)9.25%
ROE(5y)8.79%
ROIC(3y)6.9%
ROIC(5y)6.58%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 5.45%, ICFI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.95% of the companies in the same industry.
ICFI's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
ICFI's Operating Margin of 8.14% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. ICFI outperforms 67.44% of its industry peers.
ICFI's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
ICFI's Gross Margin of 37.12% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ICFI outperforms 53.49% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ICFI has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.14% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.45% | ||
| GM | 37.12% |
OM growth 3Y4.76%
OM growth 5Y3.67%
PM growth 3Y6.01%
PM growth 5Y3.2%
GM growth 3Y-0.36%
GM growth 5Y0.56%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so ICFI is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for ICFI has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
ICFI has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for ICFI has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
ICFI has an Altman-Z score of 2.83. This is not the best score and indicates that ICFI is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
ICFI has a Altman-Z score (2.83) which is in line with its industry peers.
ICFI has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.97. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as ICFI would need 3.97 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of ICFI (3.97) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
ICFI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.47. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
ICFI has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.47. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ICFI outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.47 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.97 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.83 |
ROIC/WACC0.98
WACC8.04%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.29 indicates that ICFI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
ICFI has a Current ratio (1.29) which is in line with its industry peers.
ICFI has a Quick Ratio of 1.29. This is a normal value and indicates that ICFI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of ICFI (1.29) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.29 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.29 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 5.76% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, ICFI shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 11.73% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, ICFI shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -0.46% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.44% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)5.76%
EPS 3Y14.29%
EPS 5Y11.73%
EPS Q2Q%-1.78%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.46%
Revenue growth 3Y9.16%
Revenue growth 5Y6.44%
Sales Q2Q%-7.01%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, ICFI will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 1.79% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, ICFI will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -0.66% on average per year.
EPS Next Y0.3%
EPS Next 2Y1.79%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-4.57%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.66%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 12.26 indicates a correct valuation of ICFI.
ICFI's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. ICFI is cheaper than 81.40% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.91, ICFI is valued rather cheaply.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.06 indicates a correct valuation of ICFI.
ICFI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ICFI is cheaper than 75.58% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ICFI to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.92), we can say ICFI is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12.26 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.06 |
4.2 Price Multiples
77.91% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ICFI, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
72.09% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ICFI, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 13.89 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.88 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
ICFI has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)40.55
PEG (5Y)1.04
EPS Next 2Y1.79%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
ICFI has a yearly dividend return of 0.65%, which is pretty low.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.86, ICFI pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.65, ICFI pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.34.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.65% |
5.2 History
The dividend of ICFI has a limited annual growth rate of 0.11%.
ICFI has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
As ICFI did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.11%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years6
5.3 Sustainability
9.70% of the earnings are spent on dividend by ICFI. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
ICFI's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP9.7%
EPS Next 2Y1.79%
EPS Next 3YN/A
90.11
-0.73 (-0.8%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryProfessional Services
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners97.59%
Inst Owner Change-0.01%
Ins Owners1.41%
Ins Owner Change1.01%
Market Cap1.66B
Revenue(TTM)1.98B
Net Income(TTM)107.75M
Analysts83.64
Price Target106.59 (18.29%)
Short Float %1.88%
Short Ratio2.09
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.65% |
Yearly Dividend0.56
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.11%
DP9.7%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years6
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)5.2%
Min EPS beat(2)1.08%
Max EPS beat(2)9.31%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)3.18%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.57%
Max EPS beat(4)9.31%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)6.81%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)5.84%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)6.81%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.61%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.32%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.89%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.7%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.01%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.57%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.11%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.56%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.63%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)1.95%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.77%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.83%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.02%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.72%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12.26 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.06 | ||
| P/S | 0.84 | ||
| P/FCF | 13.89 | ||
| P/OCF | 11.88 | ||
| P/B | 1.66 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.88 |
EPS(TTM)7.35
EY8.16%
EPS(NY)7.47
Fwd EY8.29%
FCF(TTM)6.49
FCFY7.2%
OCF(TTM)7.59
OCFY8.42%
SpS107.28
BVpS54.28
TBVpS-18.9
PEG (NY)40.55
PEG (5Y)1.04
Graham Number94.75
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.2% | ||
| ROE | 10.77% | ||
| ROCE | 9.57% | ||
| ROIC | 7.92% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.95% | ||
| ROICexgc | 40.95% | ||
| OM | 8.14% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.45% | ||
| GM | 37.12% | ||
| FCFM | 6.05% |
ROA(3y)4.17%
ROA(5y)3.93%
ROE(3y)9.25%
ROE(5y)8.79%
ROIC(3y)6.9%
ROIC(5y)6.58%
ROICexc(3y)6.93%
ROICexc(5y)6.61%
ROICexgc(3y)39.19%
ROICexgc(5y)34.68%
ROCE(3y)8.35%
ROCE(5y)7.95%
ROICexgc growth 3Y22.5%
ROICexgc growth 5Y12.7%
ROICexc growth 3Y10.75%
ROICexc growth 5Y1.3%
OM growth 3Y4.76%
OM growth 5Y3.67%
PM growth 3Y6.01%
PM growth 5Y3.2%
GM growth 3Y-0.36%
GM growth 5Y0.56%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.95
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.47 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.97 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.18 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 36.2% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.02% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.42 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 64.5% | ||
| Profit Quality | 110.99% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.29 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.29 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.83 |
F-Score6
WACC8.04%
ROIC/WACC0.98
Cap/Depr(3y)41.98%
Cap/Depr(5y)48.13%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.19%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.21%
Profit Quality(3y)169.39%
Profit Quality(5y)183.54%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)5.76%
EPS 3Y14.29%
EPS 5Y11.73%
EPS Q2Q%-1.78%
EPS Next Y0.3%
EPS Next 2Y1.79%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.46%
Revenue growth 3Y9.16%
Revenue growth 5Y6.44%
Sales Q2Q%-7.01%
Revenue Next Year-4.57%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.66%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y5.73%
EBIT growth 3Y14.35%
EBIT growth 5Y10.34%
EBIT Next Year24.97%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-19.79%
FCF growth 3Y18.46%
FCF growth 5Y18.41%
OCF growth 1Y-20.41%
OCF growth 3Y15.9%
OCF growth 5Y13.42%
ICF INTERNATIONAL INC / ICFI FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ICF INTERNATIONAL INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to ICFI.
What is the valuation status of ICF INTERNATIONAL INC (ICFI) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ICF INTERNATIONAL INC (ICFI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is ICF INTERNATIONAL INC (ICFI) stock?
ICF INTERNATIONAL INC (ICFI) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the financial health of ICF INTERNATIONAL INC (ICFI) stock?
The financial health rating of ICF INTERNATIONAL INC (ICFI) is 5 / 10.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for ICFI stock?
The dividend rating of ICF INTERNATIONAL INC (ICFI) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 9.7%.