HEADWATER EXPLORATION INC (HWX.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:HWX • CA4220961078

12.03 CAD
-0.02 (-0.17%)
Last: Feb 24, 2026, 07:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

6

Overall HWX gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated HWX against 212 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. HWX gets an excellent profitability rating and is at the same time showing great financial health properties. HWX has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

9

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year HWX was profitable.
  • HWX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • HWX had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • HWX had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
HWX.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHWX.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

  • HWX has a Return On Assets of 17.16%. This is amongst the best in the industry. HWX outperforms 96.70% of its industry peers.
  • HWX has a Return On Equity of 22.97%. This is amongst the best in the industry. HWX outperforms 97.17% of its industry peers.
  • HWX's Return On Invested Capital of 20.36% is amongst the best of the industry. HWX outperforms 98.11% of its industry peers.
  • HWX had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 22.43%. This is significantly above the industry average of 6.59%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 17.16%
ROE 22.97%
ROIC 20.36%
ROA(3y)20.15%
ROA(5y)14.41%
ROE(3y)27.43%
ROE(5y)19.26%
ROIC(3y)22.43%
ROIC(5y)N/A
HWX.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHWX.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20

1.3 Margins

  • HWX's Profit Margin of 33.12% is amongst the best of the industry. HWX outperforms 95.28% of its industry peers.
  • HWX's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • With an excellent Operating Margin value of 44.47%, HWX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.64% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HWX has grown nicely.
  • With an excellent Gross Margin value of 88.41%, HWX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 98.11% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HWX has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 44.47%
PM (TTM) 33.12%
GM 88.41%
OM growth 3Y3.75%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y9.79%
PM growth 5Y3.52%
GM growth 3Y-1.12%
GM growth 5Y4.61%
HWX.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHWX.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100 -100 200 -200

7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • HWX has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
  • HWX has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for HWX has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • HWX has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
HWX.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingHWX.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M
HWX.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHWX.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 8.42 indicates that HWX is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • HWX's Altman-Z score of 8.42 is amongst the best of the industry. HWX outperforms 88.68% of its industry peers.
  • HWX has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.20. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.20 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 0.20, HWX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 95.28% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HWX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.01. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.01, HWX is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.36% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF 0.2
Altman-Z 8.42
ROIC/WACC2.53
WACC8.04%
HWX.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHWX.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M

2.3 Liquidity

  • HWX has a Current Ratio of 1.32. This is a normal value and indicates that HWX is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • HWX has a better Current ratio (1.32) than 69.81% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.31 indicates that HWX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.31, HWX is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.64% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.32
Quick Ratio 1.31
HWX.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHWX.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • HWX shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -5.39%.
  • HWX shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 92.84% yearly.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.44% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, HWX shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 123.84% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-5.39%
EPS 3Y56.18%
EPS 5Y92.84%
EPS Q2Q%-25.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.44%
Revenue growth 3Y45.81%
Revenue growth 5Y123.84%
Sales Q2Q%-2.67%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -13.58% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
  • The Revenue is expected to decrease by -2.69% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-24.42%
EPS Next 2Y-23.37%
EPS Next 3Y-13.58%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-0.87%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.52%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.69%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
HWX.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHWX.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 200M 400M 600M
HWX.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHWX.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 16.48, which indicates a correct valuation of HWX.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, HWX is valued a bit cheaper than 68.87% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HWX's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 26.98.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.59 indicates a rather expensive valuation of HWX.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as HWX.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 28.01, HWX is valued at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.48
Fwd PE 23.59
HWX.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHWX.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 75.94% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HWX, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, HWX is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 61.32% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 41.11
EV/EBITDA 7.62
HWX.CA Per share dataHWX.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 1 2 3

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • HWX has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • HWX's earnings are expected to decrease with -13.58% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.18
EPS Next 2Y-23.37%
EPS Next 3Y-13.58%

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • HWX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.87%.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.99, HWX pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • HWX's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.81.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.87%

5.2 History

  • HWX has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
HWX.CA Yearly Dividends per shareHWX.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4

5.3 Sustainability

  • 57.78% of the earnings are spent on dividend by HWX. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP57.78%
EPS Next 2Y-23.37%
EPS Next 3Y-13.58%
HWX.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendHWX.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M 100M 150M
HWX.CA Dividend Payout.HWX.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.HWX.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

HEADWATER EXPLORATION INC

TSX:HWX (2/24/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

12.03

-0.02 (-0.17%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)10-29
Earnings (Next)03-05
Inst Owners35.96%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners5.78%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.86B
Revenue(TTM)521.82M
Net Income(TTM)172.80M
Analysts75.38
Price Target10.88 (-9.56%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.87%
Yearly Dividend0.4
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP57.78%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)2.55%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.99%
Max EPS beat(2)6.08%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.07%
Min EPS beat(4)-24.39%
Max EPS beat(4)6.08%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.82%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.47%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.84%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-7.11%
Min Revenue beat(4)-13.15%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.84%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)7.87%
PT rev (3m)19.63%
EPS NQ rev (1m)13.04%
EPS NQ rev (3m)8.33%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-10.96%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)43.46%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)6%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)29.8%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.48
Fwd PE 23.59
P/S 5.48
P/FCF 41.11
P/OCF 9.52
P/B 3.8
P/tB 3.8
EV/EBITDA 7.62
EPS(TTM)0.73
EY6.07%
EPS(NY)0.51
Fwd EY4.24%
FCF(TTM)0.29
FCFY2.43%
OCF(TTM)1.26
OCFY10.51%
SpS2.19
BVpS3.16
TBVpS3.16
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.18
Graham Number7.21
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 17.16%
ROE 22.97%
ROCE 26.53%
ROIC 20.36%
ROICexc 23.66%
ROICexgc 23.66%
OM 44.47%
PM (TTM) 33.12%
GM 88.41%
FCFM 13.33%
ROA(3y)20.15%
ROA(5y)14.41%
ROE(3y)27.43%
ROE(5y)19.26%
ROIC(3y)22.43%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)28.99%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)28.99%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)29.22%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y17.13%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y17.13%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y3.75%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y9.79%
PM growth 5Y3.52%
GM growth 3Y-1.12%
GM growth 5Y4.61%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF 0.2
Debt/EBITDA 0.02
Cap/Depr 179.03%
Cap/Sales 44.25%
Interest Coverage 739.05
Cash Conversion 83.23%
Profit Quality 40.26%
Current Ratio 1.32
Quick Ratio 1.31
Altman-Z 8.42
F-Score4
WACC8.04%
ROIC/WACC2.53
Cap/Depr(3y)230.56%
Cap/Depr(5y)209.31%
Cap/Sales(3y)55.56%
Cap/Sales(5y)55.5%
Profit Quality(3y)37.35%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-5.39%
EPS 3Y56.18%
EPS 5Y92.84%
EPS Q2Q%-25.3%
EPS Next Y-24.42%
EPS Next 2Y-23.37%
EPS Next 3Y-13.58%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.44%
Revenue growth 3Y45.81%
Revenue growth 5Y123.84%
Sales Q2Q%-2.67%
Revenue Next Year-0.87%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.52%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.69%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y2.2%
EBIT growth 3Y51.28%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year17.38%
EBIT Next 3Y0.69%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y445.1%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y62.93%
OCF growth 1Y7.67%
OCF growth 3Y41.56%
OCF growth 5Y104.48%

HEADWATER EXPLORATION INC / HWX.CA FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for HWX stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to HWX.CA.


What is the valuation status of HEADWATER EXPLORATION INC (HWX.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to HEADWATER EXPLORATION INC (HWX.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for HEADWATER EXPLORATION INC?

HEADWATER EXPLORATION INC (HWX.CA) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for HEADWATER EXPLORATION INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HEADWATER EXPLORATION INC (HWX.CA) is expected to decline by -24.42% in the next year.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for HWX stock?

The dividend rating of HEADWATER EXPLORATION INC (HWX.CA) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 57.78%.