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HEADWATER EXPLORATION INC (HWX.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - Toronto Stock Exchange - TSX:HWX - CA4220961078 - Common Stock

8.92 CAD
+0.12 (+1.36%)
Last: 11/28/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

7

HWX gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 215 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. HWX gets an excellent profitability rating and is at the same time showing great financial health properties. HWX has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

9

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

HWX had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year HWX had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years HWX has always been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years HWX had a positive operating cash flow.
HWX.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHWX.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

HWX's Return On Assets of 17.16% is amongst the best of the industry. HWX outperforms 96.28% of its industry peers.
HWX has a Return On Equity of 22.97%. This is amongst the best in the industry. HWX outperforms 96.74% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of HWX (20.36%) is better than 97.67% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for HWX is significantly above the industry average of 6.62%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 17.16%
ROE 22.97%
ROIC 20.36%
ROA(3y)20.15%
ROA(5y)14.41%
ROE(3y)27.43%
ROE(5y)19.26%
ROIC(3y)22.43%
ROIC(5y)N/A
HWX.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHWX.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20

1.3 Margins

HWX has a Profit Margin of 33.12%. This is amongst the best in the industry. HWX outperforms 94.88% of its industry peers.
HWX's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Operating Margin value of 44.47%, HWX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.74% of the companies in the same industry.
HWX's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
HWX has a Gross Margin of 88.41%. This is amongst the best in the industry. HWX outperforms 97.67% of its industry peers.
HWX's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 44.47%
PM (TTM) 33.12%
GM 88.41%
OM growth 3Y3.75%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y9.79%
PM growth 5Y3.52%
GM growth 3Y-1.12%
GM growth 5Y4.61%
HWX.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHWX.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100 -100 200 -200

7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so HWX is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for HWX has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for HWX has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
HWX has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
HWX.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingHWX.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M
HWX.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHWX.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.2 Solvency

HWX has an Altman-Z score of 6.63. This indicates that HWX is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 6.63, HWX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 89.77% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of HWX is 0.20, which is an excellent value as it means it would take HWX, only 0.20 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
HWX has a better Debt to FCF ratio (0.20) than 95.35% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.01 indicates that HWX is not too dependend on debt financing.
HWX's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.01 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HWX outperforms 79.53% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF 0.2
Altman-Z 6.63
ROIC/WACC2.62
WACC7.77%
HWX.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHWX.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M

2.3 Liquidity

HWX has a Current Ratio of 1.32. This is a normal value and indicates that HWX is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 1.32, HWX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 69.77% of the companies in the same industry.
HWX has a Quick Ratio of 1.31. This is a normal value and indicates that HWX is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
HWX has a better Quick ratio (1.31) than 72.56% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.32
Quick Ratio 1.31
HWX.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHWX.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for HWX have decreased by -5.39% in the last year.
HWX shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 92.84% yearly.
Looking at the last year, HWX shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 6.44% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, HWX shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 123.84% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-5.39%
EPS 3Y56.18%
EPS 5Y92.84%
EPS Q2Q%-25.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.44%
Revenue growth 3Y45.81%
Revenue growth 5Y123.84%
Sales Q2Q%-2.67%

3.2 Future

HWX is expected to show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -20.02% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, HWX will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -4.45% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-15.12%
EPS Next 2Y-8.5%
EPS Next 3Y-20.02%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-23.62%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.99%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.45%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
HWX.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHWX.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 200M 400M 600M
HWX.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHWX.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 0.2 -0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 12.22 indicates a correct valuation of HWX.
HWX's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. HWX is cheaper than 70.23% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.31. HWX is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
HWX is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.27.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, HWX is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 64.19% of the companies are valued more expensively.
HWX is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 36.59, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.22
Fwd PE 12.27
HWX.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHWX.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

HWX's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. HWX is cheaper than 87.44% of the companies in the same industry.
HWX's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. HWX is cheaper than 61.86% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 30.61
EV/EBITDA 5.52
HWX.CA Per share dataHWX.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 1 2 3

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The excellent profitability rating of HWX may justify a higher PE ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as HWX's earnings are expected to decrease with -20.02% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.13
EPS Next 2Y-8.5%
EPS Next 3Y-20.02%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

HWX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.00%, which is a nice return.
HWX's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 5.87.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.34, HWX pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5%

5.2 History

HWX has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
HWX.CA Yearly Dividends per shareHWX.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4

5.3 Sustainability

HWX pays out 57.78% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP57.78%
EPS Next 2Y-8.5%
EPS Next 3Y-20.02%
HWX.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendHWX.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M 100M 150M
HWX.CA Dividend Payout.HWX.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.HWX.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

HEADWATER EXPLORATION INC

TSX:HWX (11/28/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

8.92

+0.12 (+1.36%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)10-29 2025-10-29/amc
Earnings (Next)03-11 2026-03-11/amc
Inst Owners38.82%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners5.84%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.13B
Revenue(TTM)521.82M
Net Income(TTM)172.80M
Analysts76.92
Price Target9.15 (2.58%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5%
Yearly Dividend0.4
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP57.78%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date12-31 2025-12-31 (0.11)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)2.55%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.99%
Max EPS beat(2)6.08%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.07%
Min EPS beat(4)-24.39%
Max EPS beat(4)6.08%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.82%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.47%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.84%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-7.11%
Min Revenue beat(4)-13.15%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.84%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)3.52%
PT rev (3m)3.52%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-7.69%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-7.69%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.98%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-22.72%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-21.32%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.22
Fwd PE 12.27
P/S 4.08
P/FCF 30.61
P/OCF 7.09
P/B 2.83
P/tB 2.83
EV/EBITDA 5.52
EPS(TTM)0.73
EY8.18%
EPS(NY)0.73
Fwd EY8.15%
FCF(TTM)0.29
FCFY3.27%
OCF(TTM)1.26
OCFY14.11%
SpS2.19
BVpS3.15
TBVpS3.15
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.13
Graham Number7.19
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 17.16%
ROE 22.97%
ROCE 26.53%
ROIC 20.36%
ROICexc 23.66%
ROICexgc 23.66%
OM 44.47%
PM (TTM) 33.12%
GM 88.41%
FCFM 13.33%
ROA(3y)20.15%
ROA(5y)14.41%
ROE(3y)27.43%
ROE(5y)19.26%
ROIC(3y)22.43%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)28.99%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)28.99%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)29.22%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y17.13%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y17.13%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y3.75%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y9.79%
PM growth 5Y3.52%
GM growth 3Y-1.12%
GM growth 5Y4.61%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF 0.2
Debt/EBITDA 0.02
Cap/Depr 179.03%
Cap/Sales 44.25%
Interest Coverage 739.05
Cash Conversion 83.23%
Profit Quality 40.26%
Current Ratio 1.32
Quick Ratio 1.31
Altman-Z 6.63
F-Score4
WACC7.77%
ROIC/WACC2.62
Cap/Depr(3y)230.56%
Cap/Depr(5y)209.31%
Cap/Sales(3y)55.56%
Cap/Sales(5y)55.5%
Profit Quality(3y)37.35%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-5.39%
EPS 3Y56.18%
EPS 5Y92.84%
EPS Q2Q%-25.3%
EPS Next Y-15.12%
EPS Next 2Y-8.5%
EPS Next 3Y-20.02%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.44%
Revenue growth 3Y45.81%
Revenue growth 5Y123.84%
Sales Q2Q%-2.67%
Revenue Next Year-23.62%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.99%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.45%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y2.2%
EBIT growth 3Y51.28%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year16.9%
EBIT Next 3Y-0.62%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y445.1%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y62.93%
OCF growth 1Y7.67%
OCF growth 3Y41.56%
OCF growth 5Y104.48%

HEADWATER EXPLORATION INC / HWX.CA FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for HWX stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to HWX.CA.


Can you provide the valuation status for HEADWATER EXPLORATION INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to HEADWATER EXPLORATION INC (HWX.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for HEADWATER EXPLORATION INC?

HEADWATER EXPLORATION INC (HWX.CA) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for HWX stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for HEADWATER EXPLORATION INC (HWX.CA) is 12.22 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.83.


Is the dividend of HEADWATER EXPLORATION INC sustainable?

The dividend rating of HEADWATER EXPLORATION INC (HWX.CA) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 57.78%.