HOWMET AEROSPACE INC (HWM) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:HWM • US4432011082
Current stock price
227.9 USD
-2.61 (-1.13%)
At close:
226.97 USD
-0.93 (-0.41%)
After Hours:
This HWM fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. HWM Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year HWM was profitable.
- HWM had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- HWM had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- HWM had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of HWM (13.47%) is better than 97.47% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 28.13%, HWM belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.41% of the companies in the same industry.
- HWM's Return On Invested Capital of 18.73% is amongst the best of the industry. HWM outperforms 97.47% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for HWM is significantly above the industry average of 9.21%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (18.73%) for HWM is above the 3 year average (15.24%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 13.47% | ||
| ROE | 28.13% | ||
| ROIC | 18.73% |
ROA(3y)10.58%
ROA(5y)7.76%
ROE(3y)24.12%
ROE(5y)18.52%
ROIC(3y)15.24%
ROIC(5y)12.53%
1.3 Margins
- HWM has a Profit Margin of 18.25%. This is amongst the best in the industry. HWM outperforms 92.41% of its industry peers.
- HWM's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- HWM has a Operating Margin of 25.81%. This is amongst the best in the industry. HWM outperforms 92.41% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HWM has grown nicely.
- The Gross Margin of HWM (34.17%) is better than 72.15% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HWM has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 25.81% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 18.25% | ||
| GM | 34.17% |
OM growth 3Y14.45%
OM growth 5Y10.93%
PM growth 3Y30.32%
PM growth 5Y29.95%
GM growth 3Y7.45%
GM growth 5Y5.41%
2. HWM Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- HWM has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
- The number of shares outstanding for HWM has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for HWM has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- HWM has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- HWM has an Altman-Z score of 11.51. This indicates that HWM is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
- HWM has a Altman-Z score of 11.51. This is amongst the best in the industry. HWM outperforms 88.61% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of HWM is 2.13, which is a good value as it means it would take HWM, 2.13 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 2.13, HWM belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 88.61% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.53 indicates that HWM is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.53, HWM perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 48.10% of the companies in the same industry.
- Although HWM's pure debt/equity ratio does not look good, it has limited outstanding debt compared to the Free Cash Flow. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.53 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.13 | ||
| Altman-Z | 11.51 |
ROIC/WACC1.91
WACC9.81%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 2.13 indicates that HWM has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.13, HWM is in line with its industry, outperforming 41.77% of the companies in the same industry.
- HWM has a Quick Ratio of 1.09. This is a normal value and indicates that HWM is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a Quick ratio value of 1.09, HWM is not doing good in the industry: 65.82% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.09 |
3. HWM Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- HWM shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 40.15%, which is quite impressive.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 30.93% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
- The Revenue has grown by 11.06% in the past year. This is quite good.
- Measured over the past years, HWM shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 9.43% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)40.15%
EPS 3Y39.12%
EPS 5Y30.93%
EPS Q2Q%41.89%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.06%
Revenue growth 3Y13.37%
Revenue growth 5Y9.43%
Sales Q2Q%14.65%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, HWM will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 16.59% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 10.38% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y23.26%
EPS Next 2Y21.26%
EPS Next 3Y19.34%
EPS Next 5Y16.59%
Revenue Next Year12.76%
Revenue Next 2Y12.41%
Revenue Next 3Y11.61%
Revenue Next 5Y10.38%
3.3 Evolution
- The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
- The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. HWM Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 60.45, the valuation of HWM can be described as expensive.
- HWM's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 24.89, HWM is valued quite expensively.
- HWM is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 49.04.
- HWM's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.19, HWM is valued quite expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 60.45 | ||
| Fwd PE | 49.04 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- HWM's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as HWM.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 63.85 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 38.82 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates HWM does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
- The excellent profitability rating of HWM may justify a higher PE ratio.
- HWM's earnings are expected to grow with 19.34% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2.6
PEG (5Y)1.95
EPS Next 2Y21.26%
EPS Next 3Y19.34%
5. HWM Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- HWM has a yearly dividend return of 0.21%, which is pretty low.
- HWM's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 0.36.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, HWM's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.21% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of HWM is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 77.58%!
- HWM has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- HWM has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)77.58%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
- 12.02% of the earnings are spent on dividend by HWM. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
- HWM's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP12.02%
EPS Next 2Y21.26%
EPS Next 3Y19.34%
HWM Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
227.9
-2.61 (-1.13%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryAerospace & Defense
Earnings (Last)02-12 2026-02-12/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-29 2026-04-29/bmo
Inst Owners93.72%
Inst Owner Change-0.37%
Ins Owners1.1%
Ins Owner Change0.03%
Market Cap91.37B
Revenue(TTM)8.25B
Net Income(TTM)1.51B
Analysts82.76
Price Target276.89 (21.5%)
Short Float %2.72%
Short Ratio3.99
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.21% |
Yearly Dividend0.45
Dividend Growth(5Y)77.58%
DP12.02%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date02-06 2026-02-06 (0.12)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)5.73%
Min EPS beat(2)3.81%
Max EPS beat(2)7.66%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)6.05%
Min EPS beat(4)3.32%
Max EPS beat(4)9.41%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)6.61%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)6.94%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)5.78%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.12%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.98%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.26%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.61%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.02%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.26%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.7%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.67%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.35%
PT rev (1m)0.65%
PT rev (3m)18.64%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.1%
EPS NQ rev (3m)8.9%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.93%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.07%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.04%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.48%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.59%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.56%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 60.45 | ||
| Fwd PE | 49.04 | ||
| P/S | 11.07 | ||
| P/FCF | 63.85 | ||
| P/OCF | 48.5 | ||
| P/B | 17.07 | ||
| P/tB | 104.55 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 38.82 |
EPS(TTM)3.77
EY1.65%
EPS(NY)4.65
Fwd EY2.04%
FCF(TTM)3.57
FCFY1.57%
OCF(TTM)4.7
OCFY2.06%
SpS20.58
BVpS13.35
TBVpS2.18
PEG (NY)2.6
PEG (5Y)1.95
Graham Number33.65
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 13.47% | ||
| ROE | 28.13% | ||
| ROCE | 22.64% | ||
| ROIC | 18.73% | ||
| ROICexc | 20.34% | ||
| ROICexgc | 42.09% | ||
| OM | 25.81% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 18.25% | ||
| GM | 34.17% | ||
| FCFM | 17.34% |
ROA(3y)10.58%
ROA(5y)7.76%
ROE(3y)24.12%
ROE(5y)18.52%
ROIC(3y)15.24%
ROIC(5y)12.53%
ROICexc(3y)16.41%
ROICexc(5y)13.55%
ROICexgc(3y)35.34%
ROICexgc(5y)29.7%
ROCE(3y)18.42%
ROCE(5y)15.14%
ROICexgc growth 3Y21.62%
ROICexgc growth 5Y17.12%
ROICexc growth 3Y26.25%
ROICexc growth 5Y19.98%
OM growth 3Y14.45%
OM growth 5Y10.93%
PM growth 3Y30.32%
PM growth 5Y29.95%
GM growth 3Y7.45%
GM growth 5Y5.41%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.74
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.53 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.13 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.18 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 160.07% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.49% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 13.57 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 78.08% | ||
| Profit Quality | 95.02% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.09 | ||
| Altman-Z | 11.51 |
F-Score8
WACC9.81%
ROIC/WACC1.91
Cap/Depr(3y)118.82%
Cap/Depr(5y)100.6%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.37%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.1%
Profit Quality(3y)89.71%
Profit Quality(5y)96.49%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)40.15%
EPS 3Y39.12%
EPS 5Y30.93%
EPS Q2Q%41.89%
EPS Next Y23.26%
EPS Next 2Y21.26%
EPS Next 3Y19.34%
EPS Next 5Y16.59%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.06%
Revenue growth 3Y13.37%
Revenue growth 5Y9.43%
Sales Q2Q%14.65%
Revenue Next Year12.76%
Revenue Next 2Y12.41%
Revenue Next 3Y11.61%
Revenue Next 5Y10.38%
EBIT growth 1Y28.78%
EBIT growth 3Y29.76%
EBIT growth 5Y21.39%
EBIT Next Year34.34%
EBIT Next 3Y20.46%
EBIT Next 5Y16.21%
FCF growth 1Y46.47%
FCF growth 3Y38.38%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y45.15%
OCF growth 3Y36.98%
OCF growth 5Y191.18%
HOWMET AEROSPACE INC / HWM Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for HOWMET AEROSPACE INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to HWM.
Can you provide the valuation status for HOWMET AEROSPACE INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to HOWMET AEROSPACE INC (HWM). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is HOWMET AEROSPACE INC (HWM) stock?
HOWMET AEROSPACE INC (HWM) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for HWM stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HOWMET AEROSPACE INC (HWM) is expected to grow by 23.26% in the next year.
Is the dividend of HOWMET AEROSPACE INC sustainable?
The dividend rating of HOWMET AEROSPACE INC (HWM) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 12.02%.