HUB GROUP INC-CL A (HUBG) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:HUBG - US4433201062 - Common Stock
35.1 USD
-0.98 (-2.72%)
35.1 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to HUBG. HUBG was compared to 23 industry peers in the Air Freight & Logistics industry. While HUBG has a great health rating, its profitability is only average at the moment. HUBG has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
HUBG had positive earnings in the past year.
HUBG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
HUBG had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
HUBG had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
HUBG has a Return On Assets of 3.57%. This is in the better half of the industry: HUBG outperforms 65.22% of its industry peers.
HUBG's Return On Equity of 5.97% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HUBG outperforms 65.22% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of HUBG (4.71%) is better than 65.22% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for HUBG is in line with the industry average of 11.80%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (4.71%) for HUBG is well below the 3 year average (9.91%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that HUBG had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.57% | ||
| ROE | 5.97% | ||
| ROIC | 4.71% |
ROA(3y)7.34%
ROA(5y)6.51%
ROE(3y)12.96%
ROE(5y)11.61%
ROIC(3y)9.91%
ROIC(5y)9.15%
1.3 Margins
HUBG's Profit Margin of 2.65% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HUBG outperforms 73.91% of its industry peers.
HUBG's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 3.57%, HUBG is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.91% of the companies in the same industry.
HUBG's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.57% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.65% | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3Y-14.49%
OM growth 5Y-3.28%
PM growth 3Y-13.36%
PM growth 5Y-2.04%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
HUBG has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for HUBG has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for HUBG has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, HUBG has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 3.81 indicates that HUBG is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
HUBG's Altman-Z score of 3.81 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HUBG outperforms 73.91% of its industry peers.
HUBG has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.85. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.85 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of HUBG (1.85) is better than 91.30% of its industry peers.
HUBG has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.08. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
The Debt to Equity ratio of HUBG (0.08) is better than 69.57% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.08 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.85 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.81 |
ROIC/WACC0.58
WACC8.14%
2.3 Liquidity
HUBG has a Current Ratio of 1.42. This is a normal value and indicates that HUBG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
HUBG has a Current ratio (1.42) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
HUBG has a Quick Ratio of 1.42. This is a normal value and indicates that HUBG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 1.42, HUBG perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 52.17% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.42 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.42 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
HUBG shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 1.89%.
Measured over the past 5 years, HUBG shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 2.42% on average per year.
The Revenue has decreased by -5.37% in the past year.
HUBG shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 1.47% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.89%
EPS 3Y-8.88%
EPS 5Y2.42%
EPS Q2Q%-4.26%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.37%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.31%
Revenue growth 5Y1.47%
Sales Q2Q%-8.2%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, HUBG will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 12.37% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, HUBG will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.44% on average per year.
EPS Next Y1.03%
EPS Next 2Y14.7%
EPS Next 3Y15.39%
EPS Next 5Y12.37%
Revenue Next Year-7.11%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.03%
Revenue Next 3Y1.11%
Revenue Next 5Y3.44%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 18.57 indicates a rather expensive valuation of HUBG.
HUBG's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. HUBG is cheaper than 73.91% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of HUBG to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.70), we can say HUBG is valued slightly cheaper.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.97, HUBG is valued correctly.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, HUBG is valued cheaper than 82.61% of the companies in the same industry.
HUBG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 23.15.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.57 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.97 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of HUBG indicates a rather cheap valuation: HUBG is cheaper than 82.61% of the companies listed in the same industry.
HUBG's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. HUBG is cheaper than 86.96% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 17.13 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.14 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
HUBG has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
HUBG's earnings are expected to grow with 15.39% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)18.07
PEG (5Y)7.68
EPS Next 2Y14.7%
EPS Next 3Y15.39%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.48%, HUBG has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
HUBG's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.75.
Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.44, HUBG is paying slightly less dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.48% |
5.2 History
HUBG is new to the dividend game and has less than 3 years of track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
30.01% of the earnings are spent on dividend by HUBG. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP30.01%
EPS Next 2Y14.7%
EPS Next 3Y15.39%
35.1
-0.98 (-2.72%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryAir Freight & Logistics
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners100.12%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners2.74%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.15B
Analysts73.91
Price Target40.35 (14.96%)
Short Float %1.99%
Short Ratio1.88
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.48% |
Yearly Dividend0.49
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP30.01%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)0.49%
Min EPS beat(2)0.1%
Max EPS beat(2)0.88%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)1.46%
Min EPS beat(4)-2%
Max EPS beat(4)6.88%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.94%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.59%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)10.31%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.97%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.13%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.82%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.87%
Min Revenue beat(4)-8.87%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.82%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-5.83%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-6.73%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-4.32%
PT rev (1m)-0.84%
PT rev (3m)0.83%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.14%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.95%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.16%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.1%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.74%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.34%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.95%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.57 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.97 | ||
| P/S | 0.57 | ||
| P/FCF | 17.13 | ||
| P/OCF | 12.24 | ||
| P/B | 1.28 | ||
| P/tB | 3.51 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.14 |
EPS(TTM)1.89
EY5.38%
EPS(NY)2.51
Fwd EY7.16%
FCF(TTM)2.05
FCFY5.84%
OCF(TTM)2.87
OCFY8.17%
SpS61.77
BVpS27.36
TBVpS9.99
PEG (NY)18.07
PEG (5Y)7.68
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.57% | ||
| ROE | 5.97% | ||
| ROCE | 5.94% | ||
| ROIC | 4.71% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.01% | ||
| ROICexgc | 9.97% | ||
| OM | 3.57% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.65% | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | 3.32% |
ROA(3y)7.34%
ROA(5y)6.51%
ROE(3y)12.96%
ROE(5y)11.61%
ROIC(3y)9.91%
ROIC(5y)9.15%
ROICexc(3y)11.12%
ROICexc(5y)10.19%
ROICexgc(3y)20.96%
ROICexgc(5y)19.32%
ROCE(3y)12.5%
ROCE(5y)11.55%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-24.55%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-10.23%
ROICexc growth 3Y-24.92%
ROICexc growth 5Y-11.37%
OM growth 3Y-14.49%
OM growth 5Y-3.28%
PM growth 3Y-13.36%
PM growth 5Y-2.04%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.35
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.08 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.85 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.42 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 26.65% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.32% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 10.02 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 54.34% | ||
| Profit Quality | 125.39% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.42 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.42 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.81 |
F-Score6
WACC8.14%
ROIC/WACC0.58
Cap/Depr(3y)81.63%
Cap/Depr(5y)87.98%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.03%
Profit Quality(3y)124.47%
Profit Quality(5y)104.88%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.89%
EPS 3Y-8.88%
EPS 5Y2.42%
EPS Q2Q%-4.26%
EPS Next Y1.03%
EPS Next 2Y14.7%
EPS Next 3Y15.39%
EPS Next 5Y12.37%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.37%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.31%
Revenue growth 5Y1.47%
Sales Q2Q%-8.2%
Revenue Next Year-7.11%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.03%
Revenue Next 3Y1.11%
Revenue Next 5Y3.44%
EBIT growth 1Y-7.34%
EBIT growth 3Y-16.46%
EBIT growth 5Y-1.86%
EBIT Next Year99.99%
EBIT Next 3Y34.06%
EBIT Next 5Y22.19%
FCF growth 1Y-55.2%
FCF growth 3Y6.19%
FCF growth 5Y-2.1%
OCF growth 1Y-63.35%
OCF growth 3Y-8.38%
OCF growth 5Y-5.24%