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HUB GROUP INC-CL A (HUBG) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:HUBG - Nasdaq - US4433201062 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

32.78  -0.62 (-1.86%)

After market: 32.78 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to HUBG. HUBG was compared to 22 industry peers in the Air Freight & Logistics industry. HUBG is in great health and has no worries on liquidiy or solvency at all, but the profibility rating is only average. HUBG has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year HUBG was profitable.
In the past year HUBG had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years HUBG has always been profitable.
HUBG had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
HUBG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHUBG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M 200M 300M 400M

1.2 Ratios

HUBG has a better Return On Assets (3.68%) than 68.18% of its industry peers.
HUBG has a better Return On Equity (6.30%) than 63.64% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of HUBG (4.89%) is better than 63.64% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for HUBG is below the industry average of 12.73%.
The 3 year average ROIC (9.91%) for HUBG is well above the current ROIC(4.89%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.68%
ROE 6.3%
ROIC 4.89%
ROA(3y)7.34%
ROA(5y)6.51%
ROE(3y)12.96%
ROE(5y)11.61%
ROIC(3y)9.91%
ROIC(5y)9.15%
HUBG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHUBG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15 20

1.3 Margins

HUBG's Profit Margin of 2.69% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HUBG outperforms 72.73% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HUBG has declined.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 3.62%, HUBG is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.73% of the companies in the same industry.
HUBG's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.62%
PM (TTM) 2.69%
GM N/A
OM growth 3Y-14.49%
OM growth 5Y-3.28%
PM growth 3Y-13.36%
PM growth 5Y-2.04%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
HUBG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHUBG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15

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7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so HUBG is still creating some value.
HUBG has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for HUBG has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
HUBG has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
HUBG Yearly Shares OutstandingHUBG Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M
HUBG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHUBG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 3.68 indicates that HUBG is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of HUBG (3.68) is better than 77.27% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of HUBG is 1.92, which is an excellent value as it means it would take HUBG, only 1.92 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 1.92, HUBG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 86.36% of the companies in the same industry.
HUBG has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.09. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
HUBG has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.09. This is in the better half of the industry: HUBG outperforms 72.73% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.09
Debt/FCF 1.92
Altman-Z 3.68
ROIC/WACC0.58
WACC8.38%
HUBG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHUBG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

HUBG has a Current Ratio of 1.36. This is a normal value and indicates that HUBG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
HUBG has a Current ratio (1.36) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.36 indicates that HUBG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
HUBG has a Quick ratio of 1.36. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HUBG outperforms 59.09% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.36
Quick Ratio 1.36
HUBG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHUBG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

HUBG shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -9.26%.
Measured over the past 5 years, HUBG shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 2.42% on average per year.
HUBG shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -4.63%.
Measured over the past years, HUBG shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 1.47% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.26%
EPS 3Y-8.88%
EPS 5Y2.42%
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-4.63%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.31%
Revenue growth 5Y1.47%
Sales Q2Q%-8.43%

3.2 Future

HUBG is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 12.54% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.26% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y2.83%
EPS Next 2Y13.7%
EPS Next 3Y15.25%
EPS Next 5Y12.54%
Revenue Next Year-5.26%
Revenue Next 2Y0.66%
Revenue Next 3Y2.52%
Revenue Next 5Y4.26%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
HUBG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHUBG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
HUBG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHUBG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 1 2 3 4 5

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5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 17.16, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of HUBG.
HUBG's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. HUBG is cheaper than 68.18% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of HUBG to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.32), we can say HUBG is valued slightly cheaper.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 13.28, which indicates a correct valuation of HUBG.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, HUBG is valued cheaper than 81.82% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of HUBG to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.19), we can say HUBG is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.16
Fwd PE 13.28
HUBG Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHUBG Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of HUBG indicates a rather cheap valuation: HUBG is cheaper than 90.91% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of HUBG indicates a rather cheap valuation: HUBG is cheaper than 90.91% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 15.27
EV/EBITDA 6.63
HUBG Per share dataHUBG EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates HUBG does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
HUBG's earnings are expected to grow with 15.25% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)6.05
PEG (5Y)7.1
EPS Next 2Y13.7%
EPS Next 3Y15.25%

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3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.49%, HUBG has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.93, HUBG pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.40, HUBG is paying slightly less dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.49%

5.2 History

HUBG is new to the dividend game and has less than 3 years of track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
HUBG Yearly Dividends per shareHUBG Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2024 2025 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5

5.3 Sustainability

HUBG pays out 29.02% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP29.02%
EPS Next 2Y13.7%
EPS Next 3Y15.25%
HUBG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendHUBG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M 200M 300M
HUBG Dividend Payout.HUBG Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.HUBG Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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HUB GROUP INC-CL A

NASDAQ:HUBG (6/17/2025, 4:31:45 PM)

After market: 32.78 0 (0%)

32.78

-0.62 (-1.86%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryAir Freight & Logistics
Earnings (Last)05-08 2025-05-08/amc
Earnings (Next)07-30 2025-07-30/amc
Inst Owners105.09%
Inst Owner Change2.12%
Ins Owners2.74%
Ins Owner Change6.92%
Market Cap2.01B
Analysts72.38
Price Target40.09 (22.3%)
Short Float %1.98%
Short Ratio2.08
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.49%
Yearly Dividend0.49
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP29.02%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date03-18 2025-03-18 (0.125)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.56%
Min EPS beat(2)-2%
Max EPS beat(2)0.88%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)0.91%
Min EPS beat(4)-2.11%
Max EPS beat(4)6.88%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.63%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)0.8%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)10.92%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.89%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.13%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.65%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-8.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-11.53%
Max Revenue beat(4)-4.65%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-6.64%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-6.27%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-4.22%
PT rev (1m)-7.26%
PT rev (3m)-19.27%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.31%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-15.87%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-12.16%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.81%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-10.53%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.62%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-8.02%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.16
Fwd PE 13.28
P/S 0.52
P/FCF 15.27
P/OCF 10.91
P/B 1.22
P/tB 3.48
EV/EBITDA 6.63
EPS(TTM)1.91
EY5.83%
EPS(NY)2.47
Fwd EY7.53%
FCF(TTM)2.15
FCFY6.55%
OCF(TTM)3
OCFY9.16%
SpS63.07
BVpS26.92
TBVpS9.43
PEG (NY)6.05
PEG (5Y)7.1
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.68%
ROE 6.3%
ROCE 6.16%
ROIC 4.89%
ROICexc 5.14%
ROICexgc 10.23%
OM 3.62%
PM (TTM) 2.69%
GM N/A
FCFM 3.4%
ROA(3y)7.34%
ROA(5y)6.51%
ROE(3y)12.96%
ROE(5y)11.61%
ROIC(3y)9.91%
ROIC(5y)9.15%
ROICexc(3y)11.12%
ROICexc(5y)10.19%
ROICexgc(3y)20.96%
ROICexgc(5y)19.32%
ROCE(3y)12.5%
ROCE(5y)11.55%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-24.55%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-10.23%
ROICexc growth 3Y-24.92%
ROICexc growth 5Y-11.37%
OM growth 3Y-14.49%
OM growth 5Y-3.28%
PM growth 3Y-13.36%
PM growth 5Y-2.04%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.37
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.09
Debt/FCF 1.92
Debt/EBITDA 0.46
Cap/Depr 27.64%
Cap/Sales 1.36%
Interest Coverage 10.14
Cash Conversion 55.8%
Profit Quality 126.63%
Current Ratio 1.36
Quick Ratio 1.36
Altman-Z 3.68
F-Score6
WACC8.38%
ROIC/WACC0.58
Cap/Depr(3y)81.63%
Cap/Depr(5y)87.98%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.03%
Profit Quality(3y)124.47%
Profit Quality(5y)104.88%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.26%
EPS 3Y-8.88%
EPS 5Y2.42%
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y2.83%
EPS Next 2Y13.7%
EPS Next 3Y15.25%
EPS Next 5Y12.54%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-4.63%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.31%
Revenue growth 5Y1.47%
Sales Q2Q%-8.43%
Revenue Next Year-5.26%
Revenue Next 2Y0.66%
Revenue Next 3Y2.52%
Revenue Next 5Y4.26%
EBIT growth 1Y-16.78%
EBIT growth 3Y-16.46%
EBIT growth 5Y-1.86%
EBIT Next Year102.14%
EBIT Next 3Y35.48%
EBIT Next 5Y23.61%
FCF growth 1Y-47.9%
FCF growth 3Y6.19%
FCF growth 5Y-2.1%
OCF growth 1Y-60.64%
OCF growth 3Y-8.38%
OCF growth 5Y-5.24%