HUB GROUP INC-CL A (HUBG) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:HUBG - Nasdaq - US4433201062 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to HUBG. HUBG was compared to 22 industry peers in the Air Freight & Logistics industry. HUBG is in great health and has no worries on liquidiy or solvency at all, but the profibility rating is only average. HUBG has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year HUBG was profitable.
HUBG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years HUBG has always been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years HUBG had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
With a decent Return On Assets value of 3.63%, HUBG is doing good in the industry, outperforming 68.18% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of HUBG (6.32%) is better than 63.64% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of HUBG (4.82%) is better than 63.64% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for HUBG is in line with the industry average of 11.52%.
The 3 year average ROIC (9.91%) for HUBG is well above the current ROIC(4.82%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.63% | ||
| ROE | 6.32% | ||
| ROIC | 4.82% |
ROA(3y)7.34%
ROA(5y)6.51%
ROE(3y)12.96%
ROE(5y)11.61%
ROIC(3y)9.91%
ROIC(5y)9.15%
1.3 Margins
HUBG's Profit Margin of 2.64% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HUBG outperforms 77.27% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HUBG has declined.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 3.52%, HUBG is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.73% of the companies in the same industry.
HUBG's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.52% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.64% | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3Y-14.49%
OM growth 5Y-3.28%
PM growth 3Y-13.36%
PM growth 5Y-2.04%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
HUBG has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for HUBG has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, HUBG has less shares outstanding
HUBG has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
HUBG has an Altman-Z score of 3.55. This indicates that HUBG is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of HUBG (3.55) is better than 68.18% of its industry peers.
HUBG has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.85. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.85 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 1.85, HUBG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.36% of the companies in the same industry.
HUBG has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.10. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
HUBG's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.10 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HUBG outperforms 72.73% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.85 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.55 |
ROIC/WACC0.59
WACC8.23%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.33 indicates that HUBG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
HUBG has a Current ratio (1.33) which is in line with its industry peers.
HUBG has a Quick Ratio of 1.33. This is a normal value and indicates that HUBG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
HUBG has a Quick ratio of 1.33. This is in the better half of the industry: HUBG outperforms 63.64% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.33 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.33 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for HUBG have decreased strongly by -26.68% in the last year.
Measured over the past 5 years, HUBG shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 2.42% on average per year.
The Revenue has decreased by -6.10% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, HUBG shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 1.47% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-26.68%
EPS 3Y-8.88%
EPS 5Y2.42%
EPS Q2Q%4.35%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.1%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.31%
Revenue growth 5Y1.47%
Sales Q2Q%-1.17%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, HUBG will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 11.38% on average per year.
HUBG is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.00% yearly.
EPS Next Y11.39%
EPS Next 2Y19.37%
EPS Next 3Y11.42%
EPS Next 5Y11.38%
Revenue Next Year1.67%
Revenue Next 2Y4.33%
Revenue Next 3Y5.1%
Revenue Next 5Y5%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 17.38 indicates a rather expensive valuation of HUBG.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of HUBG indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: HUBG is cheaper than 68.18% of the companies listed in the same industry.
HUBG is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 23.99, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 15.60, which indicates a correct valuation of HUBG.
HUBG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. HUBG is cheaper than 77.27% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 20.35. HUBG is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.38 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.6 |
4.2 Price Multiples
86.36% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HUBG, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, HUBG is valued cheaper than 95.45% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 14.16 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.35 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
HUBG has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.53
PEG (5Y)7.19
EPS Next 2Y19.37%
EPS Next 3Y11.42%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
HUBG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.56%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
In the last 3 months the price of HUBG has falen by -23.64%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
HUBG's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.98.
HUBG's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 2.44.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.56% |
5.2 History
HUBG is new to the dividend game and has less than 3 years of track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
HUBG pays out 29.08% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP29.08%
EPS Next 2Y19.37%
EPS Next 3Y11.42%
NASDAQ:HUBG (5/8/2025, 1:26:03 PM)
33.19
+1.54 (+4.87%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryAir Freight & Logistics
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners101.86%
Inst Owner Change-0.4%
Ins Owners2.73%
Ins Owner Change6.8%
Market Cap2.03B
Analysts72.38
Price Target43.23 (30.25%)
Short Float %1.9%
Short Ratio1.61
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.56% |
Yearly Dividend0.49
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP29.08%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)2.44%
Min EPS beat(2)-2%
Max EPS beat(2)6.88%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)3.54%
Min EPS beat(4)-2.11%
Max EPS beat(4)11.39%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.69%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)6.65%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)11.61%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.76%
Min Revenue beat(2)-8.87%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.65%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-7.93%
Min Revenue beat(4)-11.53%
Max Revenue beat(4)-4.65%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-6.74%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-5.07%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-4%
PT rev (1m)-11.96%
PT rev (3m)-12.47%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.26%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-7.28%
EPS NY rev (1m)-4.7%
EPS NY rev (3m)-10.31%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.92%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.91%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.17%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.61%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.38 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.6 | ||
| P/S | 0.52 | ||
| P/FCF | 14.16 | ||
| P/OCF | 10.46 | ||
| P/B | 1.24 | ||
| P/tB | 3.61 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.35 |
EPS(TTM)1.91
EY5.75%
EPS(NY)2.13
Fwd EY6.41%
FCF(TTM)2.34
FCFY7.06%
OCF(TTM)3.17
OCFY9.56%
SpS64.41
BVpS26.85
TBVpS9.19
PEG (NY)1.53
PEG (5Y)7.19
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.63% | ||
| ROE | 6.32% | ||
| ROCE | 6.07% | ||
| ROIC | 4.82% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.03% | ||
| ROICexgc | 9.94% | ||
| OM | 3.52% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.64% | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | 3.64% |
ROA(3y)7.34%
ROA(5y)6.51%
ROE(3y)12.96%
ROE(5y)11.61%
ROIC(3y)9.91%
ROIC(5y)9.15%
ROICexc(3y)11.12%
ROICexc(5y)10.19%
ROICexgc(3y)20.96%
ROICexgc(5y)19.32%
ROCE(3y)12.5%
ROCE(5y)11.55%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-24.55%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-10.23%
ROICexc growth 3Y-24.92%
ROICexc growth 5Y-11.37%
OM growth 3Y-14.49%
OM growth 5Y-3.28%
PM growth 3Y-13.36%
PM growth 5Y-2.04%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.38
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.85 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.5 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 26.41% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.29% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 9.52 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 58.63% | ||
| Profit Quality | 138.06% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.33 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.33 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.55 |
F-Score6
WACC8.23%
ROIC/WACC0.59
Cap/Depr(3y)81.63%
Cap/Depr(5y)87.98%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.03%
Profit Quality(3y)124.47%
Profit Quality(5y)104.88%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-26.68%
EPS 3Y-8.88%
EPS 5Y2.42%
EPS Q2Q%4.35%
EPS Next Y11.39%
EPS Next 2Y19.37%
EPS Next 3Y11.42%
EPS Next 5Y11.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.1%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.31%
Revenue growth 5Y1.47%
Sales Q2Q%-1.17%
Revenue Next Year1.67%
Revenue Next 2Y4.33%
Revenue Next 3Y5.1%
Revenue Next 5Y5%
EBIT growth 1Y-32.32%
EBIT growth 3Y-16.46%
EBIT growth 5Y-1.86%
EBIT Next Year114.99%
EBIT Next 3Y38.4%
EBIT Next 5Y24.01%
FCF growth 1Y-49.1%
FCF growth 3Y6.19%
FCF growth 5Y-2.1%
OCF growth 1Y-53.95%
OCF growth 3Y-8.38%
OCF growth 5Y-5.24%