HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:HPK • US43114Q1058

Current stock price

7.1 USD
+0.18 (+2.6%)
At close:
7.1 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This HPK fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. HPK Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • HPK had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year HPK had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years HPK has been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years HPK had a positive operating cash flow.
HPK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHPK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of HPK (0.45%) is worse than 66.03% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 0.90%, HPK is doing worse than 65.07% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of HPK (3.72%) is worse than 62.68% of its industry peers.
  • HPK had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 7.97%. This is significantly below the industry average of 23.05%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (7.97%) for HPK is well above the current ROIC(3.72%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.45%
ROE 0.9%
ROIC 3.72%
ROA(3y)3.21%
ROA(5y)5.16%
ROE(3y)6.3%
ROE(5y)9.45%
ROIC(3y)7.97%
ROIC(5y)9.89%
HPK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHPK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 -20

1.3 Margins

  • HPK's Profit Margin of 1.67% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HPK is outperformed by 61.24% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HPK has declined.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 17.70%, HPK is in line with its industry, outperforming 54.55% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HPK's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 75.92%, HPK belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.56% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HPK's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 17.7%
PM (TTM) 1.67%
GM 75.92%
OM growth 3Y-31.85%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-58.98%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.79%
GM growth 5Y1.78%
HPK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHPK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

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3

2. HPK Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), HPK is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, HPK has less shares outstanding
  • HPK has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for HPK is higher compared to a year ago.
HPK Yearly Shares OutstandingHPK Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
HPK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHPK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.95, we must say that HPK is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • HPK has a Altman-Z score (0.95) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.71 indicates that HPK is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of HPK (0.71) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.71
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.95
ROIC/WACC0.41
WACC8.96%
HPK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHPK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.13 indicates that HPK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • HPK has a Current ratio of 1.13. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HPK outperforms 48.33% of its industry peers.
  • HPK has a Quick Ratio of 1.10. This is a normal value and indicates that HPK is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • HPK has a Quick ratio of 1.10. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HPK outperforms 55.98% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.13
Quick Ratio 1.1
HPK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHPK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

2

3. HPK Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for HPK have decreased strongly by -90.91% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, HPK shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -63.49% on average per year.
  • HPK shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -36.39%.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 103.73% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-90.91%
EPS 3Y-63.49%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-450%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-36.39%
Revenue growth 3Y4.54%
Revenue growth 5Y103.73%
Sales Q2Q%-29.37%

3.2 Future

  • No EPS estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future EPS growth and evolution.
  • No Revenue estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future revenue growth and evolution.
EPS Next Y-189.78%
EPS Next 2YN/A
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-5.29%
Revenue Next 2YN/A
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • No EPS estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future EPS growth and evolution.
  • No Revenue estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future revenue growth and evolution.
HPK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHPK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
HPK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHPK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

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1

4. HPK Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 78.89 indicates a quite expensive valuation of HPK.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, HPK is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 64.59% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of HPK to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.88), we can say HPK is valued expensively.
  • The Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for HPK. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 78.89
Fwd PE N/A
HPK Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHPK Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 50 -50

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, HPK is valued cheaper than 95.69% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 3.32
HPK Per share dataHPK EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2YN/A
EPS Next 3YN/A

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

3

5. HPK Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • HPK has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.31%.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.29, HPK has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.90, HPK pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.31%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of HPK is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 35.61%!
  • HPK has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • The dividend of HPK decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)35.61%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
HPK Yearly Dividends per shareHPK Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.05 0.1 0.15

5.3 Sustainability

  • HPK pays out 159.98% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The Dividend Rate of HPK has been growing, while earnings will be declining. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP159.98%
EPS Next 2YN/A
EPS Next 3YN/A
HPK Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendHPK Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M -400M
HPK Dividend Payout.HPK Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.HPK Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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HPK Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC

NASDAQ:HPK (3/27/2026, 8:23:49 PM)

After market: 7.1 0 (0%)

7.1

+0.18 (+2.6%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)03-11
Earnings (Next)05-11
Inst Owners21.14%
Inst Owner Change-0.04%
Ins Owners18.53%
Ins Owner Change2.55%
Market Cap897.16M
Revenue(TTM)863.36M
Net Income(TTM)14.38M
Analysts46.67
Price Target8.03 (13.1%)
Short Float %36.33%
Short Ratio7.43
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.31%
Yearly Dividend0.18
Dividend Growth(5Y)35.61%
DP159.98%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-185.03%
Min EPS beat(2)-197.03%
Max EPS beat(2)-173.04%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-58.49%
Min EPS beat(4)-197.03%
Max EPS beat(4)135.15%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-36.37%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-36.72%
EPS beat(16)4
Avg EPS beat(16)-39.77%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-13.44%
Min Revenue beat(2)-13.84%
Max Revenue beat(2)-13.05%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-7.81%
Min Revenue beat(4)-13.84%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.82%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.72%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-4.96%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-5.71%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-8.11%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-500%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-500%
EPS NY rev (1m)-700%
EPS NY rev (3m)-700%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.18%
Revenue NY rev (1m)3.59%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.13%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 78.89
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 1.04
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 1.75
P/B 0.56
P/tB 0.56
EV/EBITDA 3.32
EPS(TTM)0.09
EY1.27%
EPS(NY)-0.08
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.03
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)4.05
OCFY57.02%
SpS6.83
BVpS12.62
TBVpS12.62
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number5.06
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.45%
ROE 0.9%
ROCE 5.12%
ROIC 3.72%
ROICexc 3.93%
ROICexgc 3.93%
OM 17.7%
PM (TTM) 1.67%
GM 75.92%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)3.21%
ROA(5y)5.16%
ROE(3y)6.3%
ROE(5y)9.45%
ROIC(3y)7.97%
ROIC(5y)9.89%
ROICexc(3y)8.42%
ROICexc(5y)10.31%
ROICexgc(3y)8.42%
ROICexgc(5y)10.31%
ROCE(3y)10.99%
ROCE(5y)13.63%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-36.66%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-36.66%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-31.85%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-58.98%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.79%
GM growth 5Y1.78%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.27
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.71
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 1.97
Cap/Depr 122.21%
Cap/Sales 59.7%
Interest Coverage 1.13
Cash Conversion 89.04%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.13
Quick Ratio 1.1
Altman-Z 0.95
F-Score4
WACC8.96%
ROIC/WACC0.41
Cap/Depr(3y)160.34%
Cap/Depr(5y)286.97%
Cap/Sales(3y)67.72%
Cap/Sales(5y)89.93%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-90.91%
EPS 3Y-63.49%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-450%
EPS Next Y-189.78%
EPS Next 2YN/A
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-36.39%
Revenue growth 3Y4.54%
Revenue growth 5Y103.73%
Sales Q2Q%-29.37%
Revenue Next Year-5.29%
Revenue Next 2YN/A
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-65.6%
EBIT growth 3Y-28.76%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year180.06%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-104.49%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-25.9%
OCF growth 3Y0.5%
OCF growth 5Y230.37%

HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC / HPK Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to HPK.


Can you provide the valuation status for HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) stock?

HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for HPK stock?

The financial health rating of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) is 3 / 10.


Is the dividend of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC sustainable?

The dividend rating of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 159.98%.