4.75 USD
+0.06 (+1.28%)
4.7 USD
-0.05 (-1.05%)
HPK gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 209 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. HPK has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. HPK has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year HPK was profitable.
HPK had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
HPK had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
HPK had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of HPK (1.42%) is worse than 60.77% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Equity value of 2.81%, HPK is not doing good in the industry: 60.77% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 5.95%, HPK perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 53.11% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for HPK is significantly below the industry average of 21.18%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (5.95%) for HPK is well below the 3 year average (12.14%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that HPK had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.42% | ||
| ROE | 2.81% | ||
| ROIC | 5.95% |
ROA(3y)6.16%
ROA(5y)1.28%
ROE(3y)12.05%
ROE(5y)4.96%
ROIC(3y)12.14%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 5.18%, HPK is in line with its industry, outperforming 45.45% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HPK has declined.
The Operating Margin of HPK (27.59%) is better than 67.94% of its industry peers.
HPK's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
HPK has a better Gross Margin (84.53%) than 92.34% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HPK has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 27.59% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.18% | ||
| GM | 84.53% |
OM growth 3Y-11.64%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-31.74%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.38%
GM growth 5Y8.6%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
HPK has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for HPK has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for HPK has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
HPK has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
HPK has an Altman-Z score of 0.99. This is a bad value and indicates that HPK is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
HPK has a Altman-Z score of 0.99. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HPK outperforms 47.37% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of HPK is 109.22, which is on the high side as it means it would take HPK, 109.22 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
HPK has a Debt to FCF ratio (109.22) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
HPK has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.71. This is a neutral value indicating HPK is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
HPK has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.71. This is in the lower half of the industry: HPK underperforms 62.68% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.71 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 109.23 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.99 |
ROIC/WACC0.51
WACC11.73%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.65 indicates that HPK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.65, HPK is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.33% of the companies in the same industry.
HPK has a Quick Ratio of 1.58. This is a normal value and indicates that HPK is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of HPK (1.58) is better than 73.68% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.65 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.58 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
HPK shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -77.36%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 4.11% on average over the past years.
HPK shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -38.08%.
The Revenue has been growing by 165.54% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-77.36%
EPS 3Y4.11%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-142.86%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-38.08%
Revenue growth 3Y69.37%
Revenue growth 5Y165.54%
Sales Q2Q%-30.46%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -41.78% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -13.70% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
EPS Next Y-65.31%
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-19.98%
Revenue Next 2Y-13.7%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 13.19, HPK is valued correctly.
63.16% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HPK, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of HPK to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.77), we can say HPK is valued rather cheaply.
The Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for HPK. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.19 | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, HPK is valued cheaply inside the industry as 94.74% of the companies are valued more expensively.
HPK's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 54.65 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 2.46 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A cheap valuation may be justified as HPK's earnings are expected to decrease with -41.78% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.60%, HPK has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
The stock price of HPK dropped by -34.12% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
HPK's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.93.
HPK's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.00.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.6% |
5.2 History
HPK has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
The dividend of HPK decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
49.59% of the earnings are spent on dividend by HPK. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP49.59%
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
4.75
+0.06 (+1.28%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners21.06%
Inst Owner Change0.19%
Ins Owners18.25%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap596.55M
Revenue(TTM)881.52M
Net Income(TTM)45.66M
Analysts46.67
Price Target9.44 (98.74%)
Short Float %28.72%
Short Ratio9.84
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.6% |
Yearly Dividend0.17
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP49.59%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-18.95%
Min EPS beat(2)-173.04%
Max EPS beat(2)135.15%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-22.16%
Min EPS beat(4)-173.04%
Max EPS beat(4)135.15%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-11.71%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-23.61%
EPS beat(16)4
Avg EPS beat(16)-28.08%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-10.12%
Min Revenue beat(2)-13.05%
Max Revenue beat(2)-7.19%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.79%
Min Revenue beat(4)-13.05%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.82%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.51%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.74%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.94%
PT rev (1m)-2.63%
PT rev (3m)32.14%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-140.9%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-113.04%
EPS NY rev (1m)-55.65%
EPS NY rev (3m)-50.36%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.15%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-8.49%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.14%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.33%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.19 | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A | ||
| P/S | 0.68 | ||
| P/FCF | 54.65 | ||
| P/OCF | 1.07 | ||
| P/B | 0.37 | ||
| P/tB | 0.37 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 2.46 |
EPS(TTM)0.36
EY7.58%
EPS(NY)-0.01
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)0.09
FCFY1.83%
OCF(TTM)4.44
OCFY93.54%
SpS7.02
BVpS12.95
TBVpS12.95
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number10.24
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.42% | ||
| ROE | 2.81% | ||
| ROCE | 7.97% | ||
| ROIC | 5.95% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.29% | ||
| ROICexgc | 6.29% | ||
| OM | 27.59% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.18% | ||
| GM | 84.53% | ||
| FCFM | 1.24% |
ROA(3y)6.16%
ROA(5y)1.28%
ROE(3y)12.05%
ROE(5y)4.96%
ROIC(3y)12.14%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)12.61%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)12.61%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)16.28%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-5.35%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-5.35%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-11.64%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-31.74%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.38%
GM growth 5Y8.6%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.28
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.71 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 109.23 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.76 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 131.26% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 62.06% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.81 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 84.54% | ||
| Profit Quality | 23.91% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.65 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.58 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.99 |
F-Score5
WACC11.73%
ROIC/WACC0.51
Cap/Depr(3y)316.38%
Cap/Depr(5y)403.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)95.43%
Cap/Sales(5y)171.88%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-77.36%
EPS 3Y4.11%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-142.86%
EPS Next Y-65.31%
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-38.08%
Revenue growth 3Y69.37%
Revenue growth 5Y165.54%
Sales Q2Q%-30.46%
Revenue Next Year-19.98%
Revenue Next 2Y-13.7%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-49.03%
EBIT growth 3Y49.65%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year93.23%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y102.48%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-22.81%
OCF growth 3Y67.47%
OCF growth 5YN/A
HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC / HPK FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HPK.
What is the valuation status for HPK stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) stock?
HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) is expected to decline by -65.31% in the next year.
How sustainable is the dividend of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) stock?
The dividend rating of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 49.59%.