5.39 USD
-0.38 (-6.59%)
5.39 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to HPK. HPK was compared to 209 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. HPK has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. HPK has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year HPK was profitable.
In the past year HPK had a positive cash flow from operations.
HPK had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years HPK had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
HPK's Return On Assets of 1.42% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HPK is outperformed by 60.77% of its industry peers.
HPK's Return On Equity of 2.81% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HPK is outperformed by 60.77% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of HPK (5.95%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for HPK is significantly below the industry average of 20.87%.
The 3 year average ROIC (12.14%) for HPK is well above the current ROIC(5.95%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.42% | ||
| ROE | 2.81% | ||
| ROIC | 5.95% |
ROA(3y)6.16%
ROA(5y)1.28%
ROE(3y)12.05%
ROE(5y)4.96%
ROIC(3y)12.14%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
HPK has a Profit Margin (5.18%) which is in line with its industry peers.
HPK's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 27.59%, HPK is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 67.94% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HPK has declined.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 84.53%, HPK belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.34% of the companies in the same industry.
HPK's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 27.59% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.18% | ||
| GM | 84.53% |
OM growth 3Y-11.64%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-31.74%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.38%
GM growth 5Y8.6%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so HPK is still creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for HPK has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for HPK has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, HPK has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.04, we must say that HPK is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.04, HPK perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 45.93% of the companies in the same industry.
HPK has a debt to FCF ratio of 109.22. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as HPK would need 109.22 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of HPK (109.22) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
HPK has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.71. This is a neutral value indicating HPK is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.71, HPK is not doing good in the industry: 63.64% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.71 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 109.23 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.04 |
ROIC/WACC0.51
WACC11.55%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.65 indicates that HPK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 1.65, HPK is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.29% of the companies in the same industry.
HPK has a Quick Ratio of 1.58. This is a normal value and indicates that HPK is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
HPK has a better Quick ratio (1.58) than 74.64% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.65 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.58 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
HPK shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -77.36%.
HPK shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 4.11% yearly.
Looking at the last year, HPK shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -38.08% in the last year.
HPK shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 165.54% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-77.36%
EPS 3Y4.11%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-142.86%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-38.08%
Revenue growth 3Y69.37%
Revenue growth 5Y165.54%
Sales Q2Q%-30.46%
3.2 Future
HPK is expected to show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -41.78% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, HPK will show a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -13.70% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-65.31%
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-19.98%
Revenue Next 2Y-13.7%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 14.97, the valuation of HPK can be described as correct.
HPK's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
HPK's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 26.34.
HPK is expected to report negative earnings next year, which makes the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.97 | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, HPK is valued cheaply inside the industry as 93.30% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of HPK is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 62.01 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 2.65 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
HPK's earnings are expected to decrease with -41.78% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.55%, HPK has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
The stock price of HPK dropped by -24.40% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
HPK's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 5.71.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.31, HPK has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.55% |
5.2 History
HPK has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
HPK has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
HPK pays out 49.59% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP49.59%
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5.39
-0.38 (-6.59%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners21.06%
Inst Owner Change0.19%
Ins Owners18.25%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap676.93M
Revenue(TTM)881.52M
Net Income(TTM)45.66M
Analysts46.67
Price Target9.44 (75.14%)
Short Float %29.57%
Short Ratio12.92
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.55% |
Yearly Dividend0.17
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP49.59%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-18.95%
Min EPS beat(2)-173.04%
Max EPS beat(2)135.15%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-22.16%
Min EPS beat(4)-173.04%
Max EPS beat(4)135.15%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-11.71%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-23.61%
EPS beat(16)4
Avg EPS beat(16)-28.08%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-10.12%
Min Revenue beat(2)-13.05%
Max Revenue beat(2)-7.19%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.79%
Min Revenue beat(4)-13.05%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.82%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.51%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.74%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.94%
PT rev (1m)-2.63%
PT rev (3m)32.14%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-110.71%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-113.04%
EPS NY rev (1m)-55.65%
EPS NY rev (3m)-50.36%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-2.4%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-8.49%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.14%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.33%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.97 | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A | ||
| P/S | 0.77 | ||
| P/FCF | 62.01 | ||
| P/OCF | 1.21 | ||
| P/B | 0.42 | ||
| P/tB | 0.42 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 2.65 |
EPS(TTM)0.36
EY6.68%
EPS(NY)-0.01
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)0.09
FCFY1.61%
OCF(TTM)4.44
OCFY82.43%
SpS7.02
BVpS12.95
TBVpS12.95
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number10.24
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.42% | ||
| ROE | 2.81% | ||
| ROCE | 7.97% | ||
| ROIC | 5.95% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.29% | ||
| ROICexgc | 6.29% | ||
| OM | 27.59% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.18% | ||
| GM | 84.53% | ||
| FCFM | 1.24% |
ROA(3y)6.16%
ROA(5y)1.28%
ROE(3y)12.05%
ROE(5y)4.96%
ROIC(3y)12.14%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)12.61%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)12.61%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)16.28%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-5.35%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-5.35%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-11.64%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-31.74%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.38%
GM growth 5Y8.6%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.28
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.71 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 109.23 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.76 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 131.26% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 62.06% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.81 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 84.54% | ||
| Profit Quality | 23.91% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.65 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.58 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.04 |
F-Score5
WACC11.55%
ROIC/WACC0.51
Cap/Depr(3y)316.38%
Cap/Depr(5y)403.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)95.43%
Cap/Sales(5y)171.88%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-77.36%
EPS 3Y4.11%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-142.86%
EPS Next Y-65.31%
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-38.08%
Revenue growth 3Y69.37%
Revenue growth 5Y165.54%
Sales Q2Q%-30.46%
Revenue Next Year-19.98%
Revenue Next 2Y-13.7%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-49.03%
EBIT growth 3Y49.65%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year93.23%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y102.48%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-22.81%
OCF growth 3Y67.47%
OCF growth 5YN/A
HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC / HPK FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HPK.
What is the valuation status for HPK stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) stock?
HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) is expected to decline by -65.31% in the next year.
How sustainable is the dividend of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) stock?
The dividend rating of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 49.59%.