HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:HPK - Nasdaq - US43114Q1058 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Taking everything into account, HPK scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. HPK was compared to 213 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. HPK has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. HPK is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
HPK had positive earnings in the past year.
HPK had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years HPK 4 years were profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years HPK had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
HPK's Return On Assets of 3.84% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HPK outperforms 53.52% of its industry peers.
HPK has a Return On Equity (7.27%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 11.52%, HPK belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.16% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for HPK is significantly below the industry average of 23.98%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.84% | ||
| ROE | 7.27% | ||
| ROIC | 11.52% |
ROA(3y)6.16%
ROA(5y)1.28%
ROE(3y)12.05%
ROE(5y)4.96%
ROIC(3y)12.14%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With a Profit Margin value of 8.95%, HPK perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 53.52% of the companies in the same industry.
HPK's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 32.53%, HPK is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.30% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HPK has declined.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 87.35%, HPK belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 94.37% of the companies in the same industry.
HPK's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 32.53% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.95% | ||
| GM | 87.35% |
OM growth 3Y-11.64%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-31.74%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.38%
GM growth 5Y8.6%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
HPK has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
HPK has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for HPK has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
HPK has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.57, we must say that HPK is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
HPK has a Altman-Z score of 1.57. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HPK outperforms 56.81% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of HPK is 26.30, which is on the high side as it means it would take HPK, 26.30 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 26.30, HPK perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 43.66% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.55 indicates that HPK is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of HPK (0.55) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.55 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 26.3 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.57 |
ROIC/WACC1.02
WACC11.32%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.51 indicates that HPK may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of HPK (0.51) is worse than 84.04% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.48 indicates that HPK may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
HPK's Quick ratio of 0.48 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HPK is outperformed by 82.63% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.51 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.48 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
HPK shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -40.38%.
Measured over the past 5 years, HPK shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 4.11% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, HPK shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 12.89% in the last year.
HPK shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 165.54% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-40.38%
EPS 3Y4.11%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-16.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.89%
Revenue growth 3Y69.37%
Revenue growth 5Y165.54%
Sales Q2Q%-10.54%
3.2 Future
HPK is expected to show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -16.10% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -10.42% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
EPS Next Y-58.85%
EPS Next 2Y-16.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-19.45%
Revenue Next 2Y-10.42%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 11.45 indicates a reasonable valuation of HPK.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, HPK is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 68.08% of the companies are valued more expensively.
HPK is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.29, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
HPK is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.28.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of HPK is on the same level as its industry peers.
HPK is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.17, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.45 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.28 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, HPK is valued cheaply inside the industry as 91.08% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of HPK is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 34.52 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 2.47 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A cheap valuation may be justified as HPK's earnings are expected to decrease with -16.10% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-16.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
HPK has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.60%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
HPK's Dividend Yield is slightly below the industry average, which is at 6.81.
Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.38, HPK is paying slightly less dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.6% |
5.2 History
HPK has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
HPK has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
18.62% of the earnings are spent on dividend by HPK. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP18.62%
EPS Next 2Y-16.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A
NASDAQ:HPK (6/3/2025, 11:48:52 AM)
10.65
+0.53 (+5.24%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners20.77%
Inst Owner Change-0.46%
Ins Owners16.82%
Ins Owner Change-0.02%
Market Cap1.34B
Analysts48
Price Target17.51 (64.41%)
Short Float %28.54%
Short Ratio14.97
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.6% |
Yearly Dividend0.17
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP18.62%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-15.67%
Min EPS beat(2)-51.7%
Max EPS beat(2)20.36%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-8.89%
Min EPS beat(4)-58.25%
Max EPS beat(4)54.02%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-18.21%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-20.67%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.45%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.73%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.82%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.09%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.73%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.82%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.51%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.19%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-5.5%
PT rev (3m)-26.16%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-91.07%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-88.1%
EPS NY rev (1m)-67.29%
EPS NY rev (3m)-58.12%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-14.02%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-17.39%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-13.42%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-14.43%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.45 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.28 | ||
| P/S | 1.01 | ||
| P/FCF | 34.52 | ||
| P/OCF | 1.99 | ||
| P/B | 0.82 | ||
| P/tB | 0.82 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 2.47 |
EPS(TTM)0.93
EY8.73%
EPS(NY)0.7
Fwd EY6.54%
FCF(TTM)0.31
FCFY2.9%
OCF(TTM)5.36
OCFY50.35%
SpS10.52
BVpS12.96
TBVpS12.96
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.84% | ||
| ROE | 7.27% | ||
| ROCE | 15.45% | ||
| ROIC | 11.52% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.74% | ||
| ROICexgc | 11.74% | ||
| OM | 32.53% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.95% | ||
| GM | 87.35% | ||
| FCFM | 2.93% |
ROA(3y)6.16%
ROA(5y)1.28%
ROE(3y)12.05%
ROE(5y)4.96%
ROIC(3y)12.14%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)12.61%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)12.61%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)16.28%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-5.35%
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-5.35%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-11.64%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-31.74%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.38%
GM growth 5Y8.6%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.43
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.55 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 26.3 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.99 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 132.95% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 48.02% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.98 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 74.22% | ||
| Profit Quality | 32.77% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.51 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.48 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.57 |
F-Score6
WACC11.32%
ROIC/WACC1.02
Cap/Depr(3y)316.38%
Cap/Depr(5y)403.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)95.43%
Cap/Sales(5y)171.88%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-40.38%
EPS 3Y4.11%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-16.22%
EPS Next Y-58.85%
EPS Next 2Y-16.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.89%
Revenue growth 3Y69.37%
Revenue growth 5Y165.54%
Sales Q2Q%-10.54%
Revenue Next Year-19.45%
Revenue Next 2Y-10.42%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-3.93%
EBIT growth 3Y49.65%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year115.12%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y106.29%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y4.95%
OCF growth 3Y67.47%
OCF growth 5YN/A