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HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:HPK - Nasdaq - US43114Q1058 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

10.41  -1.07 (-9.32%)

After market: 10.41 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Overall HPK gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated HPK against 213 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. HPK has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. HPK has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

HPK had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year HPK had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years HPK 4 years were profitable.
In the past 5 years HPK always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
HPK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHPK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

HPK has a Return On Assets (3.84%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
With a Return On Equity value of 7.27%, HPK perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 47.89% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 11.52%, HPK belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.63% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for HPK is significantly below the industry average of 23.54%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.84%
ROE 7.27%
ROIC 11.52%
ROA(3y)6.16%
ROA(5y)1.28%
ROE(3y)12.05%
ROE(5y)4.96%
ROIC(3y)12.14%
ROIC(5y)N/A
HPK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHPK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 -20

1.3 Margins

With a Profit Margin value of 8.95%, HPK perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 53.99% of the companies in the same industry.
HPK's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of HPK (32.53%) is better than 72.77% of its industry peers.
HPK's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of HPK (87.35%) is better than 94.84% of its industry peers.
HPK's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 32.53%
PM (TTM) 8.95%
GM 87.35%
OM growth 3Y-11.64%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-31.74%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.38%
GM growth 5Y8.6%
HPK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHPK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

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2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so HPK is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, HPK has less shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for HPK has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
HPK has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
HPK Yearly Shares OutstandingHPK Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
HPK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHPK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

HPK has an Altman-Z score of 1.64. This is a bad value and indicates that HPK is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
HPK has a Altman-Z score of 1.64. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HPK outperforms 57.28% of its industry peers.
HPK has a debt to FCF ratio of 26.30. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as HPK would need 26.30 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 26.30, HPK perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 43.19% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.55 indicates that HPK is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
HPK has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.55) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.55
Debt/FCF 26.3
Altman-Z 1.64
ROIC/WACC1.2
WACC9.61%
HPK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHPK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.51 indicates that HPK may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.51, HPK is doing worse than 84.51% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.48 indicates that HPK may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of HPK (0.48) is worse than 82.63% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.51
Quick Ratio 0.48
HPK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHPK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

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3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for HPK have decreased strongly by -40.38% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 4.11% on average over the past years.
HPK shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 12.89%.
HPK shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 165.54% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-40.38%
EPS 3Y4.11%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-16.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.89%
Revenue growth 3Y69.37%
Revenue growth 5Y165.54%
Sales Q2Q%-10.54%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, HPK will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -15.19% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -9.51% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-44.91%
EPS Next 2Y-15.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-17.64%
Revenue Next 2Y-9.51%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
HPK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHPK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
HPK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHPK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

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4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

HPK is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 11.19.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, HPK is valued a bit cheaper than 62.44% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.65, HPK is valued rather cheaply.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.62, HPK is valued correctly.
HPK's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of HPK to the average of the S&P500 Index (21.27), we can say HPK is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.19
Fwd PE 14.62
HPK Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHPK Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

92.02% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HPK, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as HPK.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 33.74
EV/EBITDA 2.66
HPK Per share dataHPK EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A cheap valuation may be justified as HPK's earnings are expected to decrease with -15.19% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-15.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

HPK has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.39%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
HPK's Dividend Yield is slightly below the industry average, which is at 6.42.
With a Dividend Yield of 1.39, HPK pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.44.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.39%

5.2 History

HPK has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
HPK has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
HPK Yearly Dividends per shareHPK Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.05 0.1 0.15

5.3 Sustainability

18.62% of the earnings are spent on dividend by HPK. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP18.62%
EPS Next 2Y-15.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
HPK Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendHPK Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M -400M
HPK Dividend Payout.HPK Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.HPK Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC

NASDAQ:HPK (6/23/2025, 5:29:54 PM)

After market: 10.41 0 (0%)

10.41

-1.07 (-9.32%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)05-12 2025-05-12/amc
Earnings (Next)08-04 2025-08-04/amc
Inst Owners20.59%
Inst Owner Change-0.46%
Ins Owners16.93%
Ins Owner Change0.3%
Market Cap1.31B
Analysts46.67
Price Target19.64 (88.66%)
Short Float %30.81%
Short Ratio15.76
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.39%
Yearly Dividend0.17
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP18.62%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date06-02 2025-06-02 (0.04)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-15.67%
Min EPS beat(2)-51.7%
Max EPS beat(2)20.36%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-8.89%
Min EPS beat(4)-58.25%
Max EPS beat(4)54.02%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-18.21%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-20.67%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.45%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.73%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.82%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.09%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.73%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.82%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.51%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.19%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)12.14%
PT rev (3m)-13.48%
EPS NQ rev (1m)180%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-78.12%
EPS NY rev (1m)33.89%
EPS NY rev (3m)-43.93%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-17.57%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.25%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-12.59%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.19
Fwd PE 14.62
P/S 0.99
P/FCF 33.74
P/OCF 1.94
P/B 0.8
P/tB 0.8
EV/EBITDA 2.66
EPS(TTM)0.93
EY8.93%
EPS(NY)0.71
Fwd EY6.84%
FCF(TTM)0.31
FCFY2.96%
OCF(TTM)5.36
OCFY51.51%
SpS10.52
BVpS12.96
TBVpS12.96
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.84%
ROE 7.27%
ROCE 15.45%
ROIC 11.52%
ROICexc 11.74%
ROICexgc 11.74%
OM 32.53%
PM (TTM) 8.95%
GM 87.35%
FCFM 2.93%
ROA(3y)6.16%
ROA(5y)1.28%
ROE(3y)12.05%
ROE(5y)4.96%
ROIC(3y)12.14%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)12.61%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)12.61%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)16.28%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-5.35%
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-5.35%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-11.64%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-31.74%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.38%
GM growth 5Y8.6%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.43
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.55
Debt/FCF 26.3
Debt/EBITDA 0.99
Cap/Depr 132.95%
Cap/Sales 48.02%
Interest Coverage 2.98
Cash Conversion 74.22%
Profit Quality 32.77%
Current Ratio 0.51
Quick Ratio 0.48
Altman-Z 1.64
F-Score6
WACC9.61%
ROIC/WACC1.2
Cap/Depr(3y)316.38%
Cap/Depr(5y)403.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)95.43%
Cap/Sales(5y)171.88%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-40.38%
EPS 3Y4.11%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-16.22%
EPS Next Y-44.91%
EPS Next 2Y-15.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.89%
Revenue growth 3Y69.37%
Revenue growth 5Y165.54%
Sales Q2Q%-10.54%
Revenue Next Year-17.64%
Revenue Next 2Y-9.51%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-3.93%
EBIT growth 3Y49.65%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year115.12%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y106.29%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y4.95%
OCF growth 3Y67.47%
OCF growth 5YN/A