HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:HPK • US43114Q1058

5.57 USD
+0.33 (+6.3%)
At close: Feb 19, 2026
5.5853 USD
+0.02 (+0.27%)
After Hours: 2/19/2026, 8:06:13 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

HPK gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 206 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of HPK get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. HPK has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • HPK had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year HPK had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • HPK had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years HPK had a positive operating cash flow.
HPK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHPK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 1.42%, HPK is doing worse than 61.16% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HPK has a worse Return On Equity (2.81%) than 61.16% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of HPK (5.95%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • HPK had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 12.14%. This is significantly below the industry average of 21.98%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (5.95%) for HPK is well below the 3 year average (12.14%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that HPK had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.42%
ROE 2.81%
ROIC 5.95%
ROA(3y)6.16%
ROA(5y)1.28%
ROE(3y)12.05%
ROE(5y)4.96%
ROIC(3y)12.14%
ROIC(5y)N/A
HPK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHPK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 -20

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of HPK (5.18%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • HPK's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 27.59%, HPK is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 69.42% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HPK's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of HPK (84.53%) is better than 92.23% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HPK has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 27.59%
PM (TTM) 5.18%
GM 84.53%
OM growth 3Y-11.64%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-31.74%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.38%
GM growth 5Y8.6%
HPK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHPK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so HPK is still creating some value.
  • HPK has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, HPK has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, HPK has an improved debt to assets ratio.
HPK Yearly Shares OutstandingHPK Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
HPK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHPK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • HPK has an Altman-Z score of 1.02. This is a bad value and indicates that HPK is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • HPK has a Altman-Z score (1.02) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • HPK has a debt to FCF ratio of 109.22. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as HPK would need 109.22 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 109.22, HPK is in line with its industry, outperforming 40.78% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.71 indicates that HPK is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.71, HPK is not doing good in the industry: 62.14% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.71
Debt/FCF 109.23
Altman-Z 1.02
ROIC/WACC0.57
WACC10.51%
HPK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHPK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.65 indicates that HPK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Current ratio value of 1.65, HPK is doing good in the industry, outperforming 68.93% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HPK has a Quick Ratio of 1.58. This is a normal value and indicates that HPK is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.58, HPK is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.65
Quick Ratio 1.58
HPK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHPK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • HPK shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -77.36%.
  • Measured over the past 5 years, HPK shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 4.11% on average per year.
  • HPK shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -38.08%.
  • Measured over the past years, HPK shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 165.54% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-77.36%
EPS 3Y4.11%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-142.86%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-38.08%
Revenue growth 3Y69.37%
Revenue growth 5Y165.54%
Sales Q2Q%-30.46%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -41.78% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
  • HPK is expected to show a very negative growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -14.73% yearly.
EPS Next Y-65.31%
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-20.48%
Revenue Next 2Y-14.73%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
HPK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHPK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
HPK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHPK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • HPK is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 15.47.
  • HPK's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. HPK is cheaper than 65.05% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.09. HPK is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
  • The Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for HPK. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.47
Fwd PE N/A
HPK Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHPK Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 -100 -200 -300 -400 -500

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, HPK is valued cheaper than 97.57% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of HPK is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 64.08
EV/EBITDA 2.55
HPK Per share dataHPK EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • HPK's earnings are expected to decrease with -41.78% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.46%, HPK has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • HPK's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.56.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.85, HPK pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.46%

5.2 History

  • HPK has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • HPK has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
HPK Yearly Dividends per shareHPK Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.05 0.1 0.15

5.3 Sustainability

  • 49.59% of the earnings are spent on dividend by HPK. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP49.59%
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
HPK Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendHPK Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M -400M
HPK Dividend Payout.HPK Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.HPK Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC

NASDAQ:HPK (2/19/2026, 8:06:13 PM)

After market: 5.5853 +0.02 (+0.27%)

5.57

+0.33 (+6.3%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)11-05
Earnings (Next)03-09
Inst Owners21.02%
Inst Owner Change-0.87%
Ins Owners18.25%
Ins Owner Change2.55%
Market Cap699.54M
Revenue(TTM)881.52M
Net Income(TTM)45.66M
Analysts46.67
Price Target8.67 (55.66%)
Short Float %38.33%
Short Ratio9.4
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.46%
Yearly Dividend0.17
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP49.59%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-18.95%
Min EPS beat(2)-173.04%
Max EPS beat(2)135.15%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-22.16%
Min EPS beat(4)-173.04%
Max EPS beat(4)135.15%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-11.71%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-23.61%
EPS beat(16)4
Avg EPS beat(16)-28.08%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-10.12%
Min Revenue beat(2)-13.05%
Max Revenue beat(2)-7.19%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.79%
Min Revenue beat(4)-13.05%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.82%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.51%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.74%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.94%
PT rev (1m)-8.11%
PT rev (3m)-10.53%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-110.71%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-55.65%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-2.76%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.09%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.63%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.76%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.47
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.79
P/FCF 64.08
P/OCF 1.25
P/B 0.43
P/tB 0.43
EV/EBITDA 2.55
EPS(TTM)0.36
EY6.46%
EPS(NY)-0.01
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)0.09
FCFY1.56%
OCF(TTM)4.44
OCFY79.77%
SpS7.02
BVpS12.95
TBVpS12.95
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number10.24
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.42%
ROE 2.81%
ROCE 7.97%
ROIC 5.95%
ROICexc 6.29%
ROICexgc 6.29%
OM 27.59%
PM (TTM) 5.18%
GM 84.53%
FCFM 1.24%
ROA(3y)6.16%
ROA(5y)1.28%
ROE(3y)12.05%
ROE(5y)4.96%
ROIC(3y)12.14%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)12.61%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)12.61%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)16.28%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-5.35%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-5.35%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-11.64%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-31.74%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.38%
GM growth 5Y8.6%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.28
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.71
Debt/FCF 109.23
Debt/EBITDA 1.76
Cap/Depr 131.26%
Cap/Sales 62.06%
Interest Coverage 1.81
Cash Conversion 84.54%
Profit Quality 23.91%
Current Ratio 1.65
Quick Ratio 1.58
Altman-Z 1.02
F-Score5
WACC10.51%
ROIC/WACC0.57
Cap/Depr(3y)316.38%
Cap/Depr(5y)403.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)95.43%
Cap/Sales(5y)171.88%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-77.36%
EPS 3Y4.11%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-142.86%
EPS Next Y-65.31%
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-38.08%
Revenue growth 3Y69.37%
Revenue growth 5Y165.54%
Sales Q2Q%-30.46%
Revenue Next Year-20.48%
Revenue Next 2Y-14.73%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-49.03%
EBIT growth 3Y49.65%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year92%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y102.48%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-22.81%
OCF growth 3Y67.47%
OCF growth 5YN/A

HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC / HPK FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HPK.


Can you provide the valuation status for HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) stock?

HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for HPK stock?

The financial health rating of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) is 4 / 10.


Is the dividend of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC sustainable?

The dividend rating of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 49.59%.