HOLLYSYS AUTOMATION TECHNOLO (HOLI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:HOLI • VGG456671053
Current stock price
26.42 USD
+0.01 (+0.04%)
At close:
26.48 USD
+0.06 (+0.23%)
After Hours:
This HOLI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. HOLI Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year HOLI was profitable.
- In the past year HOLI had a positive cash flow from operations.
- In the past 5 years HOLI has always been profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years HOLI had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- HOLI has a Return On Assets of 4.19%. This is in the better half of the industry: HOLI outperforms 66.14% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 6.13%, HOLI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.63% of the companies in the same industry.
- HOLI's Return On Invested Capital of 4.57% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HOLI outperforms 61.42% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for HOLI is below the industry average of 8.67%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.19% | ||
| ROE | 6.13% | ||
| ROIC | 4.57% |
ROA(3y)5.65%
ROA(5y)6.47%
ROE(3y)8.04%
ROE(5y)9.09%
ROIC(3y)6.19%
ROIC(5y)7.91%
1.3 Margins
- HOLI has a Profit Margin of 9.52%. This is amongst the best in the industry. HOLI outperforms 82.68% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HOLI has declined.
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 8.63%, HOLI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.59% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HOLI has declined.
- The Gross Margin of HOLI (31.07%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HOLI has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.63% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.52% | ||
| GM | 31.07% |
OM growth 3Y-16.97%
OM growth 5Y-11.65%
PM growth 3Y-4.47%
PM growth 5Y-7.05%
GM growth 3Y-4.62%
GM growth 5Y-2.9%
2. HOLI Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so HOLI is destroying value.
- HOLI has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, HOLI has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- HOLI has an Altman-Z score of 3.81. This indicates that HOLI is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
- HOLI has a better Altman-Z score (3.81) than 67.72% of its industry peers.
- HOLI has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.59. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.59 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- HOLI's Debt to FCF ratio of 1.59 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HOLI outperforms 72.44% of its industry peers.
- HOLI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.04. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.04, HOLI perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 57.48% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.04 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.59 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.81 |
ROIC/WACC0.61
WACC7.49%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 3.02 indicates that HOLI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of HOLI (3.02) is better than 63.78% of its industry peers.
- HOLI has a Quick Ratio of 2.80. This indicates that HOLI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of HOLI (2.80) is better than 74.02% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.02 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.8 |
3. HOLI Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for HOLI have decreased strongly by -27.98% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, HOLI shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -0.30% on average per year.
- Looking at the last year, HOLI shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 3.60% in the last year.
- HOLI shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 7.53% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.98%
EPS 3Y9.58%
EPS 5Y-0.3%
EPS Q2Q%-66.37%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.6%
Revenue growth 3Y15.59%
Revenue growth 5Y7.53%
Sales Q2Q%3.48%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, HOLI will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 17.20% on average per year.
- Based on estimates for the next years, HOLI will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 15.31% on average per year.
EPS Next Y24.79%
EPS Next 2Y17.2%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year9.43%
Revenue Next 2Y12.33%
Revenue Next 3Y15.31%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. HOLI Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 21.83, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of HOLI.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of HOLI indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: HOLI is cheaper than 70.08% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.70. HOLI is around the same levels.
- HOLI is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.40.
- 87.40% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HOLI, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of HOLI to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.84), we can say HOLI is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21.83 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.4 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- 72.44% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HOLI, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of HOLI is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 39.84 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.54 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as HOLI's earnings are expected to grow with 17.20% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.88
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y17.2%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. HOLI Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- HOLI has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.93%.
- HOLI's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 0.46. HOLI pays more dividend than 94.49% of the companies in the same industry.
- HOLI's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.89.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.93% |
5.2 History
- HOLI has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
DP0%
EPS Next 2Y17.2%
EPS Next 3YN/A
HOLI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
26.42
+0.01 (+0.04%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupTechnology Hardware & Equipment
GICS IndustryElectronic Equipment, Instruments & Components
Earnings (Last)05-13 2024-05-13/amc
Earnings (Next)08-13 2024-08-13/amc
Inst Owners10.59%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.64B
Revenue(TTM)792.05M
Net Income(TTM)75.41M
Analysts43.33
Price Target24.74 (-6.36%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.93% |
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0.34%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.03%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21.83 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.4 | ||
| P/S | 2.07 | ||
| P/FCF | 39.84 | ||
| P/OCF | 23.19 | ||
| P/B | 1.34 | ||
| P/tB | 1.37 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.54 |
EPS(TTM)1.21
EY4.58%
EPS(NY)2.32
Fwd EY8.77%
FCF(TTM)0.66
FCFY2.51%
OCF(TTM)1.14
OCFY4.31%
SpS12.73
BVpS19.78
TBVpS19.33
PEG (NY)0.88
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.19% | ||
| ROE | 6.13% | ||
| ROCE | 5.26% | ||
| ROIC | 4.57% | ||
| ROICexc | 10.03% | ||
| ROICexgc | 10.52% | ||
| OM | 8.63% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.52% | ||
| GM | 31.07% | ||
| FCFM | 5.21% |
ROA(3y)5.65%
ROA(5y)6.47%
ROE(3y)8.04%
ROE(5y)9.09%
ROIC(3y)6.19%
ROIC(5y)7.91%
ROICexc(3y)14.59%
ROICexc(5y)17.88%
ROICexgc(3y)15.16%
ROICexgc(5y)18.66%
ROCE(3y)7.13%
ROCE(5y)9.11%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-12.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-9.6%
ROICexc growth 3Y-13.32%
ROICexc growth 5Y-8.4%
OM growth 3Y-16.97%
OM growth 5Y-11.65%
PM growth 3Y-4.47%
PM growth 5Y-7.05%
GM growth 3Y-4.62%
GM growth 5Y-2.9%
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.44
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.04 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.59 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.64 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 276.05% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.74% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 89.61% | ||
| Profit Quality | 54.69% | ||
| Current Ratio | 3.02 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.8 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.81 |
F-Score2
WACC7.49%
ROIC/WACC0.61
Cap/Depr(3y)270.81%
Cap/Depr(5y)206.75%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.01%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.1%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.98%
EPS 3Y9.58%
EPS 5Y-0.3%
EPS Q2Q%-66.37%
EPS Next Y24.79%
EPS Next 2Y17.2%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.6%
Revenue growth 3Y15.59%
Revenue growth 5Y7.53%
Sales Q2Q%3.48%
Revenue Next Year9.43%
Revenue Next 2Y12.33%
Revenue Next 3Y15.31%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-27.71%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.02%
EBIT growth 5Y-5%
EBIT Next Year41.62%
EBIT Next 3Y17.8%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y103.99%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y52.83%
OCF growth 3Y-49.04%
OCF growth 5Y-26.18%
HOLLYSYS AUTOMATION TECHNOLO / HOLI Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of HOLLYSYS AUTOMATION TECHNOLO (HOLI) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to HOLI.
Can you provide the valuation status for HOLLYSYS AUTOMATION TECHNOLO?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to HOLLYSYS AUTOMATION TECHNOLO (HOLI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for HOLLYSYS AUTOMATION TECHNOLO?
HOLLYSYS AUTOMATION TECHNOLO (HOLI) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for HOLLYSYS AUTOMATION TECHNOLO?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HOLLYSYS AUTOMATION TECHNOLO (HOLI) is expected to grow by 24.79% in the next year.
Is the dividend of HOLLYSYS AUTOMATION TECHNOLO sustainable?
The dividend rating of HOLLYSYS AUTOMATION TECHNOLO (HOLI) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.