HOUGHTON MIFFLIN HARCOURT CO (HMHC) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • Nasdaq • NASDAQ:HMHC

21.03
+0.02 (+0.1%)
At close: Apr 6, 2022
21.12
+0.09 (+0.43%)
After Hours: 4/6/2022, 8:00:02 PM
Fundamental Rating

2

Taking everything into account, HMHC scores 2 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. HMHC was compared to 76 industry peers in the Diversified Consumer Services industry. Both the profitability and financial health of HMHC have multiple concerns. HMHC is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

0

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year HMHC was profitable.
HMHC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHMHC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 200M -200M -400M

1.2 Ratios

Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.82%
ROE 64.63%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
HMHC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHMHC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 -100 -200 -300 -400 -500

1.3 Margins

Industry RankSector Rank
OM 5.41%
PM (TTM) 20.32%
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
HMHC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHMHC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 20 -20 40 -40

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The number of shares outstanding for HMHC has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • HMHC has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
HMHC Yearly Shares OutstandingHMHC Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
HMHC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHMHC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of -1.16, we must say that HMHC is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.96 indicates that HMHC is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.96
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -1.16
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
HMHC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHMHC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

  • HMHC has a Current Ratio of 1.39. This is a normal value and indicates that HMHC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • HMHC has a Quick Ratio of 1.18. This is a normal value and indicates that HMHC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.39
Quick Ratio 1.18
HMHC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHMHC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 200M 400M 600M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • HMHC shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 104.02%, which is quite impressive.
  • HMHC shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 5.80%.
  • HMHC shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -4.05% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)104.02%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%45.45%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.8%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.38%
Revenue growth 5Y-4.05%
Sales Q2Q%-12.18%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, HMHC will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 67.54% on average per year.
  • HMHC is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.84% yearly.
EPS Next Y388.14%
EPS Next 2Y201.14%
EPS Next 3Y95.59%
EPS Next 5Y67.54%
Revenue Next Year3.98%
Revenue Next 2Y3.95%
Revenue Next 3Y3.37%
Revenue Next 5Y2.84%

3.3 Evolution

  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
HMHC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHMHC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 500M 1B
HMHC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHMHC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 -1 -2 -3

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 300.43 indicates a quite expensive valuation of HMHC.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.92. HMHC is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 61.55, the valuation of HMHC can be described as expensive.
  • HMHC is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 27.78, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 300.43
Fwd PE 61.55
HMHC Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHMHC Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 100 200 300

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 10.11
HMHC Per share dataHMHC EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as HMHC's earnings are expected to grow with 95.59% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.77
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y201.14%
EPS Next 3Y95.59%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for HMHC!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

HOUGHTON MIFFLIN HARCOURT CO

NASDAQ:HMHC (4/6/2022, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 21.12 +0.09 (+0.43%)

21.03

+0.02 (+0.1%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryDiversified Consumer Services
Earnings (Last)02-24
Earnings (Next)05-05
Inst Owners1.13%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.59%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.69B
Revenue(TTM)1.05B
Net Income(TTM)213.56M
Analysts45.71
Price Target21.42 (1.85%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)N/A
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)N/A
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 300.43
Fwd PE 61.55
P/S 2.56
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 8.13
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 10.11
EPS(TTM)0.07
EY0.33%
EPS(NY)0.34
Fwd EY1.62%
FCF(TTM)N/A
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)N/A
OCFYN/A
SpS8.23
BVpS2.59
TBVpSN/A
PEG (NY)0.77
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.82%
ROE 64.63%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM 5.41%
PM (TTM) 20.32%
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y0%
ROICexgc growth 5Y0%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.53
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.96
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.39
Quick Ratio 1.18
Altman-Z -1.16
F-Score8
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)104.02%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%45.45%
EPS Next Y388.14%
EPS Next 2Y201.14%
EPS Next 3Y95.59%
EPS Next 5Y67.54%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.8%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.38%
Revenue growth 5Y-4.05%
Sales Q2Q%-12.18%
Revenue Next Year3.98%
Revenue Next 2Y3.95%
Revenue Next 3Y3.37%
Revenue Next 5Y2.84%
EBIT growth 1YN/A
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1YN/A
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1YN/A
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

HOUGHTON MIFFLIN HARCOURT CO / HMHC FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of HOUGHTON MIFFLIN HARCOURT CO (HMHC) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to HMHC.


What is the valuation status of HOUGHTON MIFFLIN HARCOURT CO (HMHC) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to HOUGHTON MIFFLIN HARCOURT CO (HMHC). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is HOUGHTON MIFFLIN HARCOURT CO (HMHC) stock?

HOUGHTON MIFFLIN HARCOURT CO (HMHC) has a profitability rating of 10 / 10.


What is the valuation of HOUGHTON MIFFLIN HARCOURT CO based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for HOUGHTON MIFFLIN HARCOURT CO (HMHC) is 300.43 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 8.13.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for HMHC stock?

The dividend rating of HOUGHTON MIFFLIN HARCOURT CO (HMHC) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.