HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:HLT • US43300A2033
Current stock price
291.55 USD
-2.71 (-0.92%)
At close:
288.55 USD
-3 (-1.03%)
After Hours:
This HLT fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. HLT Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year HLT was profitable.
- In the past year HLT had a positive cash flow from operations.
- HLT had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years HLT always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- With an excellent Return On Assets value of 8.69%, HLT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 81.75% of the companies in the same industry.
- HLT's Return On Invested Capital of 17.22% is amongst the best of the industry. HLT outperforms 87.30% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for HLT is significantly above the industry average of 10.49%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (17.22%) for HLT is above the 3 year average (16.03%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.69% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 17.22% |
ROA(3y)8.46%
ROA(5y)7.24%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.03%
ROIC(5y)13.66%
1.3 Margins
- HLT's Profit Margin of 12.10% is amongst the best of the industry. HLT outperforms 80.16% of its industry peers.
- HLT's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- HLT has a Operating Margin of 22.37%. This is amongst the best in the industry. HLT outperforms 84.13% of its industry peers.
- HLT's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- With a Gross Margin value of 37.29%, HLT is not doing good in the industry: 70.63% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- HLT's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 22.37% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.1% | ||
| GM | 37.29% |
OM growth 3Y-2.14%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-5.42%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4%
GM growth 5Y5.95%
2. HLT Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), HLT is creating value.
- HLT has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- HLT has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, HLT has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- HLT has an Altman-Z score of 2.82. This is not the best score and indicates that HLT is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- HLT has a better Altman-Z score (2.82) than 73.81% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of HLT is 6.36, which is on the high side as it means it would take HLT, 6.36 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 6.36, HLT is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.63% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.36 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.82 |
ROIC/WACC2.09
WACC8.23%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.66 indicates that HLT may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- HLT has a Current ratio of 0.66. This is in the lower half of the industry: HLT underperforms 73.02% of its industry peers.
- HLT has a Quick Ratio of 0.66. This is a bad value and indicates that HLT is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.66, HLT is doing worse than 67.46% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.66 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.66 |
3. HLT Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- HLT shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 13.90%, which is quite good.
- Measured over the past years, HLT shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 146.01% on average per year.
- Looking at the last year, HLT shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 7.74% in the last year.
- HLT shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 22.82% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.9%
EPS 3Y18.29%
EPS 5Y146.01%
EPS Q2Q%18.18%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.74%
Revenue growth 3Y11.13%
Revenue growth 5Y22.82%
Sales Q2Q%10.92%
3.2 Future
- HLT is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 16.38% yearly.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 8.58% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y12.6%
EPS Next 2Y13.81%
EPS Next 3Y14.37%
EPS Next 5Y16.38%
Revenue Next Year9.48%
Revenue Next 2Y8.93%
Revenue Next 3Y8.56%
Revenue Next 5Y8.58%
3.3 Evolution
- The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. HLT Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 35.95, the valuation of HLT can be described as expensive.
- HLT's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.71. HLT is valued slightly more expensive when compared to this.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 31.93, HLT can be considered very expensive at the moment.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of HLT is on the same level as its industry peers.
- HLT is valuated rather expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.83, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 35.95 | ||
| Fwd PE | 31.93 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, HLT is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 75.40% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of HLT is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 34.39 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 27.28 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates HLT does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
- HLT has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as HLT's earnings are expected to grow with 14.37% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)2.85
PEG (5Y)0.25
EPS Next 2Y13.81%
EPS Next 3Y14.37%
5. HLT Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a yearly dividend of 0.20%, HLT is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
- HLT's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 1.12.
- With a Dividend Yield of 0.20, HLT pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.91.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.2% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of HLT is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 32.04%!
- HLT has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- HLT has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)32.04%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
- 9.81% of the earnings are spent on dividend by HLT. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
- HLT's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP9.81%
EPS Next 2Y13.81%
EPS Next 3Y14.37%
HLT Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
291.55
-2.71 (-0.92%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-11 2026-02-11/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-27 2026-04-27/bmo
Inst Owners99.86%
Inst Owner Change-2.09%
Ins Owners2.13%
Ins Owner Change0.39%
Market Cap66.85B
Revenue(TTM)12.04B
Net Income(TTM)1.46B
Analysts73.13
Price Target331.2 (13.6%)
Short Float %2.23%
Short Ratio2.61
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.2% |
Yearly Dividend0.61
Dividend Growth(5Y)32.04%
DP9.81%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date02-27 2026-02-27 (0.15)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)1.77%
Min EPS beat(2)1.57%
Max EPS beat(2)1.98%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)4%
Min EPS beat(4)1.57%
Max EPS beat(4)6.76%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)3.9%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)3.94%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)7.04%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.48%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.32%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.63%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.81%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.86%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.63%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.07%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.43%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.48%
PT rev (1m)8.47%
PT rev (3m)15%
EPS NQ rev (1m)5.34%
EPS NQ rev (3m)5.56%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.4%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.13%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.26%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.61%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.63%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.55%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 35.95 | ||
| Fwd PE | 31.93 | ||
| P/S | 5.55 | ||
| P/FCF | 34.39 | ||
| P/OCF | 31.4 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 27.28 |
EPS(TTM)8.11
EY2.78%
EPS(NY)9.13
Fwd EY3.13%
FCF(TTM)8.48
FCFY2.91%
OCF(TTM)9.29
OCFY3.18%
SpS52.51
BVpS-23.5
TBVpS-74.88
PEG (NY)2.85
PEG (5Y)0.25
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.69% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 21.96% | ||
| ROIC | 17.22% | ||
| ROICexc | 18.61% | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | 22.37% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.1% | ||
| GM | 37.29% | ||
| FCFM | 16.15% |
ROA(3y)8.46%
ROA(5y)7.24%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.03%
ROIC(5y)13.66%
ROICexc(3y)17.52%
ROICexc(5y)15.04%
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)20.45%
ROCE(5y)17.43%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y7.4%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-2.14%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-5.42%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4%
GM growth 5Y5.95%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.72
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.36 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.3 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 104.52% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.54% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.16 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 74.18% | ||
| Profit Quality | 133.43% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.66 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.66 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.82 |
F-Score5
WACC8.23%
ROIC/WACC2.09
Cap/Depr(3y)136.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)102.63%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.65%
Profit Quality(3y)133.52%
Profit Quality(5y)106.74%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.9%
EPS 3Y18.29%
EPS 5Y146.01%
EPS Q2Q%18.18%
EPS Next Y12.6%
EPS Next 2Y13.81%
EPS Next 3Y14.37%
EPS Next 5Y16.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.74%
Revenue growth 3Y11.13%
Revenue growth 5Y22.82%
Sales Q2Q%10.92%
Revenue Next Year9.48%
Revenue Next 2Y8.93%
Revenue Next 3Y8.56%
Revenue Next 5Y8.58%
EBIT growth 1Y13.87%
EBIT growth 3Y8.75%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year32.31%
EBIT Next 3Y16.13%
EBIT Next 5Y13.14%
FCF growth 1Y7.11%
FCF growth 3Y7.18%
FCF growth 5Y25.84%
OCF growth 1Y5.76%
OCF growth 3Y8.19%
OCF growth 5Y24.63%
HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN / HLT Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for HLT stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to HLT.
Can you provide the valuation status for HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT) stock?
HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for HLT stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT) is expected to grow by 12.6% in the next year.
How sustainable is the dividend of HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT) stock?
The dividend rating of HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 9.81%.