HOLLEY INC (HLLY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:HLLY • US43538H1032

Current stock price

2.945 USD
+0.03 (+1.2%)
Last:

This HLLY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. HLLY Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • HLLY had positive earnings in the past year.
  • HLLY had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In multiple years HLLY reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • HLLY had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
HLLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHLLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M 100M

1.2 Ratios

  • HLLY has a Return On Assets (1.65%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • With a Return On Equity value of 4.27%, HLLY perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.54% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HLLY has a Return On Invested Capital (5.45%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • HLLY had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.35%. This is below the industry average of 9.26%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (5.35%) for HLLY is below the current ROIC(5.45%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.65%
ROE 4.27%
ROIC 5.45%
ROA(3y)0.4%
ROA(5y)0.97%
ROE(3y)1.03%
ROE(5y)2.39%
ROIC(3y)5.35%
ROIC(5y)5.43%
HLLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHLLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 -5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • HLLY has a better Profit Margin (3.13%) than 70.73% of its industry peers.
  • HLLY's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • HLLY's Operating Margin of 13.92% is amongst the best of the industry. HLLY outperforms 92.68% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HLLY has declined.
  • HLLY's Gross Margin of 43.40% is amongst the best of the industry. HLLY outperforms 95.12% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HLLY has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 13.92%
PM (TTM) 3.13%
GM 43.4%
OM growth 3Y18.48%
OM growth 5Y-7.08%
PM growth 3Y-33.69%
PM growth 5Y-13.69%
GM growth 3Y5.6%
GM growth 5Y1%
HLLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHLLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

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2

2. HLLY Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), HLLY is destroying value.
  • HLLY has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • HLLY has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, HLLY has an improved debt to assets ratio.
HLLY Yearly Shares OutstandingHLLY Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
HLLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHLLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.2 Solvency

  • HLLY has an Altman-Z score of 1.34. This is a bad value and indicates that HLLY is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 1.34, HLLY is not doing good in the industry: 70.73% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • HLLY has a debt to FCF ratio of 37.36. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as HLLY would need 37.36 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 37.36, HLLY perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 41.46% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HLLY has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.15. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • HLLY has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (1.15) than 78.05% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.15
Debt/FCF 37.36
Altman-Z 1.34
ROIC/WACC0.7
WACC7.74%
HLLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHLLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.75 indicates that HLLY has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • HLLY has a Current ratio of 2.75. This is in the better half of the industry: HLLY outperforms 63.41% of its industry peers.
  • HLLY has a Quick Ratio of 2.75. This is a bad value and indicates that HLLY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.96, HLLY is doing worse than 68.29% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.75
Quick Ratio 0.96
HLLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHLLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M

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4

3. HLLY Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for HLLY have decreased strongly by -10.00% in the last year.
  • The earnings per share for HLLY have been decreasing by -10.62% on average. This is quite bad
  • Looking at the last year, HLLY shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 1.87% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.00% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10%
EPS 3Y33.89%
EPS 5Y-10.62%
EPS Q2Q%-63.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.87%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.77%
Revenue growth 5Y4%
Sales Q2Q%10.98%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 40.17% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.30% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y115.9%
EPS Next 2Y62.62%
EPS Next 3Y49.53%
EPS Next 5Y40.17%
Revenue Next Year6.44%
Revenue Next 2Y5.71%
Revenue Next 3Y5.65%
Revenue Next 5Y6.3%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
HLLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHLLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 200M 400M 600M 800M
HLLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHLLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

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6

4. HLLY Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 16.36, which indicates a correct valuation of HLLY.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as HLLY.
  • HLLY's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 24.89.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.58, the valuation of HLLY can be described as very cheap.
  • 90.24% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HLLY, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • HLLY's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 22.19.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.36
Fwd PE 7.58
HLLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHLLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20

4.2 Price Multiples

  • HLLY's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 25.14
EV/EBITDA N/A
HLLY Per share dataHLLY EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 -2 4

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • HLLY's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • HLLY's earnings are expected to grow with 49.53% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.14
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y62.62%
EPS Next 3Y49.53%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. HLLY Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • HLLY does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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HLLY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

HOLLEY INC

NYSE:HLLY (3/30/2026, 3:14:05 PM)

2.945

+0.03 (+1.2%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobile Components
Earnings (Last)03-04
Earnings (Next)05-05
Inst Owners58.65%
Inst Owner Change0.32%
Ins Owners5.59%
Ins Owner Change-1%
Market Cap351.69M
Revenue(TTM)613.51M
Net Income(TTM)19.18M
Analysts81.43
Price Target5.27 (78.95%)
Short Float %1.96%
Short Ratio1.82
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-43.99%
Min EPS beat(2)-51.92%
Max EPS beat(2)-36.06%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-39.34%
Min EPS beat(4)-61.55%
Max EPS beat(4)-7.81%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)22%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)36.69%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)9.53%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.48%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.47%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.65%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.45%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.47%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.06%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.16%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.16%
PT rev (1m)2.48%
PT rev (3m)5.98%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-25.15%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-25.15%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.38%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.38%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-4.97%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.97%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.31%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.31%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.36
Fwd PE 7.58
P/S 0.57
P/FCF 25.14
P/OCF 7.24
P/B 0.78
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)0.18
EY6.11%
EPS(NY)0.39
Fwd EY13.2%
FCF(TTM)0.12
FCFY3.98%
OCF(TTM)0.41
OCFY13.82%
SpS5.14
BVpS3.76
TBVpS-2.68
PEG (NY)0.14
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number3.9
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.65%
ROE 4.27%
ROCE 8.14%
ROIC 5.45%
ROICexc 5.65%
ROICexgc 23.59%
OM 13.92%
PM (TTM) 3.13%
GM 43.4%
FCFM 2.28%
ROA(3y)0.4%
ROA(5y)0.97%
ROE(3y)1.03%
ROE(5y)2.39%
ROIC(3y)5.35%
ROIC(5y)5.43%
ROICexc(3y)5.51%
ROICexc(5y)5.59%
ROICexgc(3y)22.96%
ROICexgc(5y)24.45%
ROCE(3y)7.99%
ROCE(5y)8.1%
ROICexgc growth 3Y19.52%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-12.57%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.03%
ROICexc growth 5Y-5.37%
OM growth 3Y18.48%
OM growth 5Y-7.08%
PM growth 3Y-33.69%
PM growth 5Y-13.69%
GM growth 3Y5.6%
GM growth 5Y1%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.53
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.15
Debt/FCF 37.36
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales 5.64%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality 72.96%
Current Ratio 2.75
Quick Ratio 0.96
Altman-Z 1.34
F-Score6
WACC7.74%
ROIC/WACC0.7
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)2.56%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.37%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10%
EPS 3Y33.89%
EPS 5Y-10.62%
EPS Q2Q%-63.64%
EPS Next Y115.9%
EPS Next 2Y62.62%
EPS Next 3Y49.53%
EPS Next 5Y40.17%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.87%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.77%
Revenue growth 5Y4%
Sales Q2Q%10.98%
Revenue Next Year6.44%
Revenue Next 2Y5.71%
Revenue Next 3Y5.65%
Revenue Next 5Y6.3%
EBIT growth 1Y15.69%
EBIT growth 3Y14.02%
EBIT growth 5Y-3.36%
EBIT Next Year53.64%
EBIT Next 3Y19.63%
EBIT Next 5Y14.84%
FCF growth 1Y-65.11%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-29.25%
OCF growth 1Y3.62%
OCF growth 3Y58.05%
OCF growth 5Y-11.28%

HOLLEY INC / HLLY Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of HOLLEY INC (HLLY) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HLLY.


What is the valuation status of HOLLEY INC (HLLY) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to HOLLEY INC (HLLY). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for HOLLEY INC?

HOLLEY INC (HLLY) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for HLLY stock?

The financial health rating of HOLLEY INC (HLLY) is 2 / 10.