HOLLEY INC (HLLY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:HLLY • US43538H1032

Current stock price

3.39 USD
0 (0%)
Last:

This HLLY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. HLLY Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • HLLY had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year HLLY had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: HLLY reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • In the past 5 years HLLY always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
HLLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHLLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M 100M

1.2 Ratios

  • HLLY's Return On Assets of 1.65% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HLLY outperforms 59.52% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of HLLY (4.27%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • HLLY's Return On Invested Capital of 5.45% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HLLY outperforms 52.38% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for HLLY is below the industry average of 9.26%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (5.35%) for HLLY is below the current ROIC(5.45%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.65%
ROE 4.27%
ROIC 5.45%
ROA(3y)0.4%
ROA(5y)0.97%
ROE(3y)1.03%
ROE(5y)2.39%
ROIC(3y)5.35%
ROIC(5y)5.43%
HLLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHLLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 -5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • With a decent Profit Margin value of 3.13%, HLLY is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HLLY's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 13.92%, HLLY belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.86% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HLLY has declined.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 43.40%, HLLY belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 95.24% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HLLY has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 13.92%
PM (TTM) 3.13%
GM 43.4%
OM growth 3Y18.48%
OM growth 5Y-7.08%
PM growth 3Y-33.69%
PM growth 5Y-13.69%
GM growth 3Y5.6%
GM growth 5Y1%
HLLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHLLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

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2

2. HLLY Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so HLLY is destroying value.
  • HLLY has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for HLLY has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for HLLY has been reduced compared to a year ago.
HLLY Yearly Shares OutstandingHLLY Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
HLLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHLLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.39, we must say that HLLY is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of HLLY (1.39) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • HLLY has a debt to FCF ratio of 38.24. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as HLLY would need 38.24 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of HLLY (38.24) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.15 is on the high side and indicates that HLLY has dependencies on debt financing.
  • HLLY has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (1.15) than 76.19% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.15
Debt/FCF 38.24
Altman-Z 1.39
ROIC/WACC0.59
WACC9.2%
HLLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHLLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M

2.3 Liquidity

  • HLLY has a Current Ratio of 2.75. This indicates that HLLY is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • HLLY has a Current ratio of 2.75. This is in the better half of the industry: HLLY outperforms 64.29% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.96 indicates that HLLY may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.96, HLLY is not doing good in the industry: 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.75
Quick Ratio 0.96
HLLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHLLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M

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4

3. HLLY Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for HLLY have decreased strongly by -10.00% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, HLLY shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -10.62% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, HLLY shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 1.87% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.00% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10%
EPS 3Y33.89%
EPS 5Y-10.62%
EPS Q2Q%-63.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.87%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.77%
Revenue growth 5Y4%
Sales Q2Q%10.98%

3.2 Future

  • HLLY is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 40.17% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, HLLY will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.30% on average per year.
EPS Next Y92.95%
EPS Next 2Y54.17%
EPS Next 3Y46.07%
EPS Next 5Y40.17%
Revenue Next Year6.44%
Revenue Next 2Y5.71%
Revenue Next 3Y5.65%
Revenue Next 5Y6.3%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
HLLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHLLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 200M 400M 600M 800M
HLLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHLLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

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6

4. HLLY Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 18.83, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of HLLY.
  • HLLY's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of HLLY to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.95), we can say HLLY is valued slightly cheaper.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.76 indicates a reasonable valuation of HLLY.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, HLLY is valued cheaper than 80.95% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HLLY is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 38.68, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.83
Fwd PE 9.76
HLLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHLLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as HLLY.
  • HLLY's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 29.72
EV/EBITDA 8.19
HLLY Per share dataHLLY EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 -2 4

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • HLLY's earnings are expected to grow with 46.07% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.2
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y54.17%
EPS Next 3Y46.07%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. HLLY Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for HLLY!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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HLLY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

HOLLEY INC

NYSE:HLLY (4/21/2026, 12:56:37 PM)

3.39

0 (0%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobile Components
Earnings (Last)03-04
Earnings (Next)05-07
Inst Owners57.66%
Inst Owner Change-0.04%
Ins Owners4.94%
Ins Owner Change-1%
Market Cap406.29M
Revenue(TTM)613.51M
Net Income(TTM)19.18M
Analysts81.43
Price Target5.27 (55.46%)
Short Float %2.67%
Short Ratio2.34
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-43.99%
Min EPS beat(2)-51.92%
Max EPS beat(2)-36.06%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-39.34%
Min EPS beat(4)-61.55%
Max EPS beat(4)-7.81%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)22%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)36.69%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)9.53%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.48%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.47%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.65%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.45%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.47%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.06%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.16%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.16%
PT rev (1m)2.48%
PT rev (3m)5.98%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-25.15%
EPS NY rev (1m)-10.63%
EPS NY rev (3m)-10.29%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.97%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.31%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.83
Fwd PE 9.76
P/S 0.66
P/FCF 29.72
P/OCF 8.79
P/B 0.91
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 8.19
EPS(TTM)0.18
EY5.31%
EPS(NY)0.35
Fwd EY10.25%
FCF(TTM)0.11
FCFY3.36%
OCF(TTM)0.39
OCFY11.38%
SpS5.12
BVpS3.75
TBVpS-2.67
PEG (NY)0.2
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number3.89489 (14.89%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.65%
ROE 4.27%
ROCE 8.14%
ROIC 5.45%
ROICexc 5.65%
ROICexgc 23.59%
OM 13.92%
PM (TTM) 3.13%
GM 43.4%
FCFM 2.23%
ROA(3y)0.4%
ROA(5y)0.97%
ROE(3y)1.03%
ROE(5y)2.39%
ROIC(3y)5.35%
ROIC(5y)5.43%
ROICexc(3y)5.51%
ROICexc(5y)5.59%
ROICexgc(3y)22.96%
ROICexgc(5y)24.45%
ROCE(3y)7.99%
ROCE(5y)8.1%
ROICexgc growth 3Y19.52%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-12.57%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.03%
ROICexc growth 5Y-5.37%
OM growth 3Y18.48%
OM growth 5Y-7.08%
PM growth 3Y-33.69%
PM growth 5Y-13.69%
GM growth 3Y5.6%
GM growth 5Y1%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.53
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.15
Debt/FCF 38.24
Debt/EBITDA 4.74
Cap/Depr 138.62%
Cap/Sales 5.31%
Interest Coverage 1.83
Cash Conversion 42.46%
Profit Quality 71.29%
Current Ratio 2.75
Quick Ratio 0.96
Altman-Z 1.39
F-Score6
WACC9.2%
ROIC/WACC0.59
Cap/Depr(3y)63.44%
Cap/Depr(5y)60.96%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.44%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.3%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10%
EPS 3Y33.89%
EPS 5Y-10.62%
EPS Q2Q%-63.64%
EPS Next Y92.95%
EPS Next 2Y54.17%
EPS Next 3Y46.07%
EPS Next 5Y40.17%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.87%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.77%
Revenue growth 5Y4%
Sales Q2Q%10.98%
Revenue Next Year6.44%
Revenue Next 2Y5.71%
Revenue Next 3Y5.65%
Revenue Next 5Y6.3%
EBIT growth 1Y15.69%
EBIT growth 3Y14.02%
EBIT growth 5Y-3.36%
EBIT Next Year52.88%
EBIT Next 3Y18.42%
EBIT Next 5Y14.84%
FCF growth 1Y-65.91%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-29.58%
OCF growth 1Y-1.45%
OCF growth 3Y55.43%
OCF growth 5Y-12.17%

HOLLEY INC / HLLY Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of HOLLEY INC (HLLY) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HLLY.


What is the valuation status of HOLLEY INC (HLLY) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to HOLLEY INC (HLLY). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of HLLY stock?

HOLLEY INC (HLLY) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the financial health of HOLLEY INC (HLLY) stock?

The financial health rating of HOLLEY INC (HLLY) is 2 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for HLLY stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HOLLEY INC (HLLY) is expected to grow by 92.95% in the next year.