HOLLEY INC (HLLY) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:HLLY - US43538H1032 - Common Stock
4.13 USD
-0.11 (-2.59%)
4.13 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, HLLY scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. HLLY was compared to 43 industry peers in the Automobile Components industry. While HLLY is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. HLLY is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
HLLY had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year HLLY had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: HLLY reported negative net income in multiple years.
Each year in the past 5 years HLLY had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
HLLY's Return On Assets of -2.14% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HLLY outperforms 41.86% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of HLLY (-5.66%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
HLLY has a Return On Invested Capital of 5.69%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HLLY outperforms 53.49% of its industry peers.
HLLY had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 4.83%. This is below the industry average of 9.10%.
The 3 year average ROIC (4.83%) for HLLY is below the current ROIC(5.69%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -2.14% | ||
| ROE | -5.66% | ||
| ROIC | 5.69% |
ROA(3y)1.82%
ROA(5y)1.25%
ROE(3y)5.52%
ROE(5y)4.27%
ROIC(3y)4.83%
ROIC(5y)5.94%
1.3 Margins
HLLY has a better Operating Margin (14.38%) than 95.35% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HLLY has declined.
HLLY's Gross Margin of 43.03% is amongst the best of the industry. HLLY outperforms 93.02% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HLLY has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 14.38% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 43.03% |
OM growth 3Y-12.56%
OM growth 5Y-3.75%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.46%
GM growth 5Y-0.37%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
HLLY has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for HLLY has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The debt/assets ratio for HLLY is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.44, we must say that HLLY is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
HLLY's Altman-Z score of 1.44 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HLLY is outperformed by 67.44% of its industry peers.
HLLY has a debt to FCF ratio of 35.35. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as HLLY would need 35.35 years to pay back of all of its debts.
HLLY's Debt to FCF ratio of 35.35 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HLLY outperforms 44.19% of its industry peers.
HLLY has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.20. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.20, HLLY is doing worse than 69.77% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 35.35 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.44 |
ROIC/WACC0.58
WACC9.76%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.78 indicates that HLLY has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.78, HLLY is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.09% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.06 indicates that HLLY should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
HLLY has a Quick ratio of 1.06. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HLLY outperforms 41.86% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.78 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.06 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 177.78% over the past year.
The Revenue has decreased by -3.20% in the past year.
HLLY shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 10.31% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)177.78%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%400%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.2%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.56%
Revenue growth 5Y10.31%
Sales Q2Q%3.23%
3.2 Future
HLLY is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 33.45% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.03% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y12.93%
EPS Next 2Y39.13%
EPS Next 3Y32.23%
EPS Next 5Y33.45%
Revenue Next Year0.17%
Revenue Next 2Y2.59%
Revenue Next 3Y3.63%
Revenue Next 5Y5.03%
3.3 Evolution
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 16.52, which indicates a correct valuation of HLLY.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of HLLY is on the same level as its industry peers.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of HLLY to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.51), we can say HLLY is valued slightly cheaper.
HLLY is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.67.
67.44% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HLLY, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
HLLY is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.13, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.52 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.67 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of HLLY is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of HLLY is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 32.56 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.21 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
HLLY's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
HLLY's earnings are expected to grow with 32.23% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.28
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y39.13%
EPS Next 3Y32.23%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
HLLY does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
4.13
-0.11 (-2.59%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobile Components
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners57.68%
Inst Owner Change23.78%
Ins Owners5.74%
Ins Owner Change6.89%
Market Cap493.20M
Revenue(TTM)598.13M
Net Income(TTM)-24.91M
Analysts81.43
Price Target4.97 (20.34%)
Short Float %1.95%
Short Ratio1.21
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-21.94%
Min EPS beat(2)-36.06%
Max EPS beat(2)-7.81%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)114.56%
Min EPS beat(4)-61.55%
Max EPS beat(4)563.65%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)16%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)31.82%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)10.61%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.47%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.45%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.49%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.98%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.21%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.49%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.8%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.61%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.6%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)24.47%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.39%
EPS NQ rev (3m)8.96%
EPS NY rev (1m)-6.06%
EPS NY rev (3m)-5.49%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.62%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.55%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.55%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.52 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.67 | ||
| P/S | 0.82 | ||
| P/FCF | 32.56 | ||
| P/OCF | 11.16 | ||
| P/B | 1.12 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.21 |
EPS(TTM)0.25
EY6.05%
EPS(NY)0.39
Fwd EY9.37%
FCF(TTM)0.13
FCFY3.07%
OCF(TTM)0.37
OCFY8.96%
SpS5.01
BVpS3.68
TBVpS-2.79
PEG (NY)1.28
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number4.55
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -2.14% | ||
| ROE | -5.66% | ||
| ROCE | 8.18% | ||
| ROIC | 5.69% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.98% | ||
| ROICexgc | 26.24% | ||
| OM | 14.38% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 43.03% | ||
| FCFM | 2.53% |
ROA(3y)1.82%
ROA(5y)1.25%
ROE(3y)5.52%
ROE(5y)4.27%
ROIC(3y)4.83%
ROIC(5y)5.94%
ROICexc(3y)4.95%
ROICexc(5y)6.18%
ROICexgc(3y)20.46%
ROICexgc(5y)30.08%
ROCE(3y)6.95%
ROCE(5y)8.53%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-17.55%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-14.27%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-12.56%
OM growth 5Y-3.75%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.46%
GM growth 5Y-0.37%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.51
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 35.35 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.98 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 143.92% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.86% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.78 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 41.63% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.78 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.06 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.44 |
F-Score4
WACC9.76%
ROIC/WACC0.58
Cap/Depr(3y)35.51%
Cap/Depr(5y)43.23%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.33%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.62%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)177.78%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%400%
EPS Next Y12.93%
EPS Next 2Y39.13%
EPS Next 3Y32.23%
EPS Next 5Y33.45%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.2%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.56%
Revenue growth 5Y10.31%
Sales Q2Q%3.23%
Revenue Next Year0.17%
Revenue Next 2Y2.59%
Revenue Next 3Y3.63%
Revenue Next 5Y5.03%
EBIT growth 1Y19.35%
EBIT growth 3Y-16.55%
EBIT growth 5Y6.17%
EBIT Next Year95.22%
EBIT Next 3Y30.02%
EBIT Next 5Y20.67%
FCF growth 1Y-70.15%
FCF growth 3Y84.83%
FCF growth 5Y114.65%
OCF growth 1Y-22.48%
OCF growth 3Y29.53%
OCF growth 5Y37.85%
HOLLEY INC / HLLY FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of HOLLEY INC (HLLY) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HLLY.
What is the valuation status of HOLLEY INC (HLLY) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to HOLLEY INC (HLLY). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for HOLLEY INC?
HOLLEY INC (HLLY) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for HLLY stock?
The financial health rating of HOLLEY INC (HLLY) is 3 / 10.