HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:HGV - US43283X1054 - Common Stock
41.185 USD
-0.03 (-0.08%)
Taking everything into account, HGV scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. HGV was compared to 133 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. HGV may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. HGV is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
HGV had positive earnings in the past year.
HGV had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years HGV 4 years were profitable.
In the past 5 years HGV always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
With a Return On Assets value of 0.49%, HGV is not doing good in the industry: 63.16% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 3.83%, HGV is in line with its industry, outperforming 55.64% of the companies in the same industry.
HGV has a Return On Invested Capital of 4.58%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HGV outperforms 48.87% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for HGV is below the industry average of 10.67%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.49% | ||
| ROE | 3.83% | ||
| ROIC | 4.58% |
ROA(3y)2.8%
ROA(5y)0.84%
ROE(3y)11.28%
ROE(5y)-2.21%
ROIC(3y)6.8%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With a Profit Margin value of 1.14%, HGV is not doing good in the industry: 62.41% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
HGV's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
HGV has a better Operating Margin (12.09%) than 63.91% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HGV has declined.
HGV's Gross Margin of 23.38% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HGV is outperformed by 82.71% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HGV has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.09% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.14% | ||
| GM | 23.38% |
OM growth 3Y-13.11%
OM growth 5Y-3.97%
PM growth 3Y-49.98%
PM growth 5Y-39.61%
GM growth 3Y-11.04%
GM growth 5Y-2.08%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), HGV is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for HGV has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
HGV has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, HGV has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.01, we must say that HGV is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
HGV has a Altman-Z score of 1.01. This is in the lower half of the industry: HGV underperforms 66.17% of its industry peers.
HGV has a debt to FCF ratio of 50.52. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as HGV would need 50.52 years to pay back of all of its debts.
HGV's Debt to FCF ratio of 50.52 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HGV is outperformed by 60.15% of its industry peers.
HGV has a Debt/Equity ratio of 4.75. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
HGV has a Debt to Equity ratio (4.75) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 4.75 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 50.52 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.01 |
ROIC/WACC0.58
WACC7.94%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.38 indicates that HGV has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
HGV has a better Current ratio (2.38) than 90.23% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.54 indicates that HGV may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
HGV's Quick ratio of 0.54 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HGV is outperformed by 68.42% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.38 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.54 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
HGV shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -1.14%.
The earnings per share for HGV have been decreasing by -28.63% on average. This is quite bad
The Revenue has grown by 25.21% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
The Revenue has been growing by 22.07% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1.14%
EPS 3Y-33.78%
EPS 5Y-28.63%
EPS Q2Q%114.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)25.21%
Revenue growth 3Y28.73%
Revenue growth 5Y22.07%
Sales Q2Q%-0.46%
3.2 Future
HGV is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 116.64% yearly.
HGV is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.37% yearly.
EPS Next Y438.67%
EPS Next 2Y197.86%
EPS Next 3Y116.64%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.21%
Revenue Next 2Y5.42%
Revenue Next 3Y3.37%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
HGV is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 47.34.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of HGV is on the same level as its industry peers.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of HGV to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.19), we can say HGV is valued expensively.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.32 indicates a reasonable valuation of HGV.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of HGV indicates a rather cheap valuation: HGV is cheaper than 83.46% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.50, HGV is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 47.34 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.32 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of HGV is on the same level as its industry peers.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, HGV is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 63.91% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 25.92 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.01 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
HGV's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
HGV's earnings are expected to grow with 116.64% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.11
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y197.86%
EPS Next 3Y116.64%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
HGV does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
NYSE:HGV (10/31/2025, 12:21:29 PM)
41.185
-0.03 (-0.08%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners78.29%
Inst Owner Change0.29%
Ins Owners1.38%
Ins Owner Change1.37%
Market Cap3.63B
Revenue(TTM)4.98B
Net Income(TTM)57.00M
Analysts72.31
Price Target54.29 (31.82%)
Short Float %8.1%
Short Ratio5.74
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-100.54%
Min EPS beat(2)-133.82%
Max EPS beat(2)-67.27%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-85.75%
Min EPS beat(4)-133.82%
Max EPS beat(4)-66.66%
EPS beat(8)0
Avg EPS beat(8)-74.52%
EPS beat(12)2
Avg EPS beat(12)-46.14%
EPS beat(16)3
Avg EPS beat(16)-34.88%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-7.65%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.73%
Max Revenue beat(2)-7.57%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.63%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.73%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.93%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.95%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.1%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)9.5%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)8.7%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.69%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.49%
EPS NY rev (1m)-5.51%
EPS NY rev (3m)-18.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.15%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.52%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.62%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.18%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 47.34 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.32 | ||
| P/S | 0.73 | ||
| P/FCF | 25.92 | ||
| P/OCF | 12.3 | ||
| P/B | 2.44 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.01 |
EPS(TTM)0.87
EY2.11%
EPS(NY)3.99
Fwd EY9.69%
FCF(TTM)1.59
FCFY3.86%
OCF(TTM)3.35
OCFY8.13%
SpS56.79
BVpS16.9
TBVpS-25.6
PEG (NY)0.11
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number18.19
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.49% | ||
| ROE | 3.83% | ||
| ROCE | 5.8% | ||
| ROIC | 4.58% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.71% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.21% | ||
| OM | 12.09% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.14% | ||
| GM | 23.38% | ||
| FCFM | 2.8% |
ROA(3y)2.8%
ROA(5y)0.84%
ROE(3y)11.28%
ROE(5y)-2.21%
ROIC(3y)6.8%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)7.14%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)12.22%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)8.61%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-2.64%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.1%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.19%
ROICexc growth 5Y-10.01%
OM growth 3Y-13.11%
OM growth 5Y-3.97%
PM growth 3Y-49.98%
PM growth 5Y-39.61%
GM growth 3Y-11.04%
GM growth 5Y-2.08%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.43
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 4.75 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 50.52 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 8.14 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 58.71% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.1% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 33.95% | ||
| Profit Quality | 245.61% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.38 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.54 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.01 |
F-Score6
WACC7.94%
ROIC/WACC0.58
Cap/Depr(3y)40.66%
Cap/Depr(5y)44.36%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.31%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.42%
Profit Quality(3y)216.58%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1.14%
EPS 3Y-33.78%
EPS 5Y-28.63%
EPS Q2Q%114.29%
EPS Next Y438.67%
EPS Next 2Y197.86%
EPS Next 3Y116.64%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)25.21%
Revenue growth 3Y28.73%
Revenue growth 5Y22.07%
Sales Q2Q%-0.46%
Revenue Next Year3.21%
Revenue Next 2Y5.42%
Revenue Next 3Y3.37%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-11.81%
EBIT growth 3Y11.86%
EBIT growth 5Y17.22%
EBIT Next Year40.66%
EBIT Next 3Y17.19%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-60%
FCF growth 3Y12.36%
FCF growth 5Y17.42%
OCF growth 1Y-32.49%
OCF growth 3Y22.52%
OCF growth 5Y16.34%
HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC / HGV FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for HGV stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to HGV.
Can you provide the valuation status for HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?
HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) is 47.34 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.44.