HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:HGV - US43283X1054 - Common Stock
45.1 USD
-0.24 (-0.53%)
45.1 USD
0 (0%)
HGV gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 133 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. HGV may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. HGV has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year HGV was profitable.
In the past year HGV had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years HGV 4 years were profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years HGV had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of HGV (0.45%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Return On Equity of HGV (3.83%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
HGV has a Return On Invested Capital of 4.14%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HGV outperforms 46.62% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for HGV is below the industry average of 10.41%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.45% | ||
| ROE | 3.83% | ||
| ROIC | 4.14% |
ROA(3y)2.8%
ROA(5y)0.84%
ROE(3y)11.28%
ROE(5y)-2.21%
ROIC(3y)6.8%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of HGV (1.06%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HGV has declined.
The Operating Margin of HGV (11.02%) is better than 60.90% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HGV has declined.
HGV's Gross Margin of 22.59% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HGV is outperformed by 83.46% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HGV has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.06% | ||
| GM | 22.59% |
OM growth 3Y-13.11%
OM growth 5Y-3.97%
PM growth 3Y-49.98%
PM growth 5Y-39.61%
GM growth 3Y-11.04%
GM growth 5Y-2.08%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), HGV is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, HGV has less shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for HGV has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, HGV has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.02, we must say that HGV is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
HGV has a worse Altman-Z score (1.02) than 63.91% of its industry peers.
HGV has a debt to FCF ratio of 93.39. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as HGV would need 93.39 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of HGV (93.39) is worse than 60.15% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 5.19 is on the high side and indicates that HGV has dependencies on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of HGV (5.19) is worse than 60.15% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.19 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 93.39 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.02 |
ROIC/WACC0.5
WACC8.29%
2.3 Liquidity
HGV has a Current Ratio of 2.68. This indicates that HGV is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of HGV (2.68) is better than 90.98% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.57 indicates that HGV may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
HGV has a worse Quick ratio (0.57) than 67.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.68 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.57 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
HGV shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -37.50%.
The earnings per share for HGV have been decreasing by -28.63% on average. This is quite bad
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.98% in the past year.
HGV shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 22.07% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-37.5%
EPS 3Y-33.78%
EPS 5Y-28.63%
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.98%
Revenue growth 3Y28.73%
Revenue growth 5Y22.07%
Sales Q2Q%-0.46%
3.2 Future
HGV is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 113.98% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, HGV will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.94% on average per year.
EPS Next Y321.96%
EPS Next 2Y193.13%
EPS Next 3Y113.98%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1.65%
Revenue Next 2Y5.43%
Revenue Next 3Y3.94%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 82.00 indicates a quite expensive valuation of HGV.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as HGV.
HGV's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.61.
HGV is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.66.
HGV's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. HGV is cheaper than 84.96% of the companies in the same industry.
HGV's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 24.01.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 82 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.66 |
4.2 Price Multiples
HGV's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
HGV's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 50.1 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.31 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as HGV's earnings are expected to grow with 113.98% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.25
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y193.13%
EPS Next 3Y113.98%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for HGV!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
45.1
-0.24 (-0.53%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners83.63%
Inst Owner Change-5.34%
Ins Owners1.43%
Ins Owner Change1.17%
Market Cap3.86B
Revenue(TTM)5.00B
Net Income(TTM)53.00M
Analysts71.43
Price Target52.73 (16.92%)
Short Float %10.95%
Short Ratio7.44
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-69.88%
Min EPS beat(2)-72.49%
Max EPS beat(2)-67.27%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-87.21%
Min EPS beat(4)-133.82%
Max EPS beat(4)-67.27%
EPS beat(8)0
Avg EPS beat(8)-81.72%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-57.07%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-44.88%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.17%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.73%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.62%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.02%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.73%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.16%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.05%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.06%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.59%
PT rev (1m)-2.86%
PT rev (3m)-3.26%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-16.26%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-9.36%
EPS NY rev (1m)-21.67%
EPS NY rev (3m)-25.98%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.44%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.23%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.91%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 82 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.66 | ||
| P/S | 0.77 | ||
| P/FCF | 50.1 | ||
| P/OCF | 16.21 | ||
| P/B | 2.79 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.31 |
EPS(TTM)0.55
EY1.22%
EPS(NY)3.87
Fwd EY8.57%
FCF(TTM)0.9
FCFY2%
OCF(TTM)2.78
OCFY6.17%
SpS58.43
BVpS16.19
TBVpS-27.19
PEG (NY)0.25
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number14.16
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.45% | ||
| ROE | 3.83% | ||
| ROCE | 5.24% | ||
| ROIC | 4.14% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.22% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.1% | ||
| OM | 11.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.06% | ||
| GM | 22.59% | ||
| FCFM | 1.54% |
ROA(3y)2.8%
ROA(5y)0.84%
ROE(3y)11.28%
ROE(5y)-2.21%
ROIC(3y)6.8%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)7.14%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)12.22%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)8.61%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-2.64%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.1%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.19%
ROICexc growth 5Y-10.01%
OM growth 3Y-13.11%
OM growth 5Y-3.97%
PM growth 3Y-49.98%
PM growth 5Y-39.61%
GM growth 3Y-11.04%
GM growth 5Y-2.08%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.43
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.19 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 93.39 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 8.83 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 61.22% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.22% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 29.24% | ||
| Profit Quality | 145.28% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.68 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.57 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.02 |
F-Score6
WACC8.29%
ROIC/WACC0.5
Cap/Depr(3y)40.66%
Cap/Depr(5y)44.36%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.31%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.42%
Profit Quality(3y)216.58%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-37.5%
EPS 3Y-33.78%
EPS 5Y-28.63%
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y321.96%
EPS Next 2Y193.13%
EPS Next 3Y113.98%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.98%
Revenue growth 3Y28.73%
Revenue growth 5Y22.07%
Sales Q2Q%-0.46%
Revenue Next Year1.65%
Revenue Next 2Y5.43%
Revenue Next 3Y3.94%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-20.61%
EBIT growth 3Y11.86%
EBIT growth 5Y17.22%
EBIT Next Year29.88%
EBIT Next 3Y18.85%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-62.07%
FCF growth 3Y12.36%
FCF growth 5Y17.42%
OCF growth 1Y-19.59%
OCF growth 3Y22.52%
OCF growth 5Y16.34%
HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC / HGV FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for HGV stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to HGV.
Can you provide the valuation status for HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?
HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) is 82 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.79.