HELLOFRESH SE (HFG.DE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

FRA:HFG • DE000A161408

4.732 EUR
-0.07 (-1.42%)
Last: Mar 11, 2026, 01:57 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Forecast Earnings Financials Ownership

This HFG.DE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

4

Taking everything into account, HFG scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. HFG was compared to 24 industry peers in the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry. The financial health of HFG is average, but there are quite some concerns on its profitability. HFG scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. HFG.DE Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year HFG has reported negative net income.
  • HFG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • HFG had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years HFG always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
HFG.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHFG.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • HFG has a worse Return On Assets (-8.55%) than 83.33% of its industry peers.
  • With a Return On Equity value of -29.45%, HFG is not doing good in the industry: 79.17% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -8.55%
ROE -29.45%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)0.19%
ROA(5y)7.15%
ROE(3y)-0.06%
ROE(5y)16.63%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
HFG.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHFG.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

1.3 Margins

  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HFG has declined.
  • HFG has a Gross Margin of 61.95%. This is amongst the best in the industry. HFG outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HFG has remained more or less at the same level.
  • The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for HFG so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 61.95%
OM growth 3Y-80.12%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.73%
GM growth 5Y-0.66%
HFG.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHFG.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40 60

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5

2. HFG.DE Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • HFG does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • The number of shares outstanding for HFG has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for HFG has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • HFG has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
HFG.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingHFG.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M
HFG.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHFG.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • HFG has an Altman-Z score of 3.35. This indicates that HFG is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of HFG (3.35) is better than 83.33% of its industry peers.
  • HFG has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.45. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as HFG would need 3.45 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 3.45, HFG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 87.50% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.94 indicates that HFG is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • HFG has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.94) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.94
Debt/FCF 3.45
Altman-Z 3.35
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC5.09%
HFG.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHFG.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • HFG has a Current Ratio of 0.79. This is a bad value and indicates that HFG is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of HFG (0.79) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • HFG has a Quick Ratio of 0.79. This is a bad value and indicates that HFG is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.54, HFG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.79
Quick Ratio 0.54
HFG.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHFG.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. HFG.DE Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for HFG have decreased strongly by -88.46% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -8.97% in the past year.
  • HFG shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 33.47% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-88.46%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-1429.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.97%
Revenue growth 3Y8.53%
Revenue growth 5Y33.47%
Sales Q2Q%-13.5%

3.2 Future

  • HFG is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 76.98% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.30% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y234.1%
EPS Next 2Y119.32%
EPS Next 3Y76.98%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-10.4%
Revenue Next 2Y-7%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.02%
Revenue Next 5Y0.3%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
HFG.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHFG.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2B 4B 6B 8B
HFG.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHFG.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 0.5 -0.5 1 1.5 2

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7

4. HFG.DE Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for HFG. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.11 indicates a rather cheap valuation of HFG.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, HFG is valued cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.39, HFG is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 7.11
HFG.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHFG.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, HFG is valued cheaply inside the industry as 100.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • HFG's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. HFG is cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 3.52
EV/EBITDA 3.64
HFG.DE Per share dataHFG.DE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • HFG's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as HFG's earnings are expected to grow with 76.98% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y119.32%
EPS Next 3Y76.98%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. HFG.DE Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for HFG!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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HFG.DE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

HELLOFRESH SE

FRA:HFG (3/11/2026, 1:57:59 PM)

4.732

-0.07 (-1.42%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)10-30
Earnings (Next)03-18
Inst Owners84.17%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners5.49%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap752.39M
Revenue(TTM)7.02B
Net Income(TTM)-187.90M
Analysts74.29
Price Target9.16 (93.58%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-207.07%
Min EPS beat(2)-368.05%
Max EPS beat(2)-46.1%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-150.74%
Min EPS beat(4)-368.05%
Max EPS beat(4)-46.1%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-87.24%
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.82%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.87%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.77%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.79%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.87%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.12%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.7%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.01%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-4.02%
PT rev (3m)-13.01%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.91%
EPS NY rev (3m)12.7%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-9.33%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-11.05%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.54%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.59%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 7.11
P/S 0.11
P/FCF 3.52
P/OCF 2.15
P/B 1.18
P/tB 3.03
EV/EBITDA 3.64
EPS(TTM)-0.49
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.67
Fwd EY14.07%
FCF(TTM)1.34
FCFY28.42%
OCF(TTM)2.2
OCFY46.52%
SpS44.15
BVpS4.01
TBVpS1.56
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -8.55%
ROE -29.45%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 61.95%
FCFM 3.05%
ROA(3y)0.19%
ROA(5y)7.15%
ROE(3y)-0.06%
ROE(5y)16.63%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)6.96%
ROCE(5y)18.11%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-80.12%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.73%
GM growth 5Y-0.66%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover3.19
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.94
Debt/FCF 3.45
Debt/EBITDA 1.9
Cap/Depr 28.27%
Cap/Sales 1.94%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion 110.65%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.79
Quick Ratio 0.54
Altman-Z 3.35
F-Score5
WACC5.09%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)140.46%
Cap/Depr(5y)172.28%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.89%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.63%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-88.46%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-1429.41%
EPS Next Y234.1%
EPS Next 2Y119.32%
EPS Next 3Y76.98%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.97%
Revenue growth 3Y8.53%
Revenue growth 5Y33.47%
Sales Q2Q%-13.5%
Revenue Next Year-10.4%
Revenue Next 2Y-7%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.02%
Revenue Next 5Y0.3%
EBIT growth 1Y-129.86%
EBIT growth 3Y-78.43%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year796.47%
EBIT Next 3Y118.21%
EBIT Next 5Y67.41%
FCF growth 1Y1757.36%
FCF growth 3Y-29.25%
FCF growth 5Y84.76%
OCF growth 1Y6.54%
OCF growth 3Y-19.49%
OCF growth 5Y41.49%

HELLOFRESH SE / HFG.DE FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for HFG stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HFG.DE.


What is the valuation status for HFG stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to HELLOFRESH SE (HFG.DE). This can be considered as Undervalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for HELLOFRESH SE?

HELLOFRESH SE (HFG.DE) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for HFG stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HELLOFRESH SE (HFG.DE) is expected to grow by 234.1% in the next year.