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HEIDELBERGER DRUCKMASCHINEN (HDD.DE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

FRA:HDD - Deutsche Boerse Ag - DE0007314007 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

1.16  +0.02 (+1.93%)

Fundamental Rating

3

HDD gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 105 industry peers in the Machinery industry. Both the profitability and financial health of HDD have multiple concerns. HDD has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year HDD has reported negative net income.
HDD had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years HDD reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
HDD had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
HDD.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHDD.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M -100M 200M -200M -300M

1.2 Ratios

HDD's Return On Assets of -3.53% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HDD is outperformed by 76.19% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -16.63%, HDD is doing worse than 76.19% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of HDD (0.33%) is worse than 75.24% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for HDD is in line with the industry average of 8.45%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (0.33%) for HDD is well below the 3 year average (7.63%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that HDD had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -3.53%
ROE -16.63%
ROIC 0.33%
ROA(3y)2.49%
ROA(5y)-1.54%
ROE(3y)12.92%
ROE(5y)-34%
ROIC(3y)7.63%
ROIC(5y)N/A
HDD.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHDD.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -50 -100 -150

1.3 Margins

In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HDD has grown nicely.
HDD has a worse Operating Margin (0.19%) than 75.24% of its industry peers.
HDD's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 56.21%, HDD is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HDD has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 0.19%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 56.21%
OM growth 3Y-0.01%
OM growth 5Y-11.73%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y14.2%
GM growth 3Y1.87%
GM growth 5Y-0.51%
HDD.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHDD.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so HDD is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, HDD has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
HDD has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, HDD has an improved debt to assets ratio.
HDD.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingHDD.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
HDD.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHDD.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.60, we must say that HDD is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.60, HDD is in line with its industry, outperforming 42.86% of the companies in the same industry.
HDD has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.29. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.29, HDD is doing good in the industry, outperforming 60.95% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.29
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.6
ROIC/WACC0.04
WACC7.51%
HDD.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHDD.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.47 indicates that HDD should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
HDD has a Current ratio of 1.47. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HDD outperforms 46.67% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.54 indicates that HDD may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
HDD's Quick ratio of 0.54 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HDD is outperformed by 88.57% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.47
Quick Ratio 0.54
HDD.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHDD.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

HDD shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -184.76%.
Measured over the past years, HDD shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 11.36% on average per year.
The Revenue has decreased by -9.31% in the past year.
HDD shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -0.78% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-184.76%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y11.36%
EPS Q2Q%-1037.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.31%
Revenue growth 3Y7.77%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.78%
Sales Q2Q%0%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, HDD will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 17.50% on average per year.
HDD is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 1.73% yearly.
EPS Next Y-40%
EPS Next 2Y16.05%
EPS Next 3Y17.5%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.02%
Revenue Next 2Y0.53%
Revenue Next 3Y1.41%
Revenue Next 5Y1.73%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
HDD.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHDD.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
HDD.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHDD.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 0 -0.5 -1 -1.5

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for HDD. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 5.69, the valuation of HDD can be described as very cheap.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, HDD is valued cheaper than 97.14% of the companies in the same industry.
HDD's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 21.58.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 5.69
HDD.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHDD.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, HDD is valued cheaply inside the industry as 81.90% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 4.8
HDD.DE Per share dataHDD.DE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as HDD's earnings are expected to grow with 17.50% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y16.05%
EPS Next 3Y17.5%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for HDD!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

HEIDELBERGER DRUCKMASCHINEN

FRA:HDD (3/14/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

1.16

+0.02 (+1.93%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)02-12 2025-02-12
Earnings (Next)06-05 2025-06-05/amc
Inst Owners6.25%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners7.62%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap353.20M
Analysts86
Price Target1.67 (43.97%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)1.03%
PT rev (3m)0.51%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)-13.46%
EPS NY rev (3m)-38.64%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.08%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.62%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 5.69
P/S 0.11
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 5.61
P/B 0.75
P/tB 1.4
EV/EBITDA 4.8
EPS(TTM)-0.26
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.2
Fwd EY17.59%
FCF(TTM)-0.05
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.21
OCFY17.84%
SpS10.56
BVpS1.54
TBVpS0.83
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -3.53%
ROE -16.63%
ROCE 0.43%
ROIC 0.33%
ROICexc 0.36%
ROICexgc 0.43%
OM 0.19%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 56.21%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)2.49%
ROA(5y)-1.54%
ROE(3y)12.92%
ROE(5y)-34%
ROIC(3y)7.63%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)8.6%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)10.43%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)9.97%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y6.21%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-11.31%
ROICexc growth 3Y6.11%
ROICexc growth 5Y-10.76%
OM growth 3Y-0.01%
OM growth 5Y-11.73%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y14.2%
GM growth 3Y1.87%
GM growth 5Y-0.51%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.46
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.29
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 1.64
Cap/Depr 98.72%
Cap/Sales 2.4%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 75%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.47
Quick Ratio 0.54
Altman-Z 1.6
F-Score4
WACC7.51%
ROIC/WACC0.04
Cap/Depr(3y)85.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)77.67%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.82%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.13%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-184.76%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y11.36%
EPS Q2Q%-1037.5%
EPS Next Y-40%
EPS Next 2Y16.05%
EPS Next 3Y17.5%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.31%
Revenue growth 3Y7.77%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.78%
Sales Q2Q%0%
Revenue Next Year-1.02%
Revenue Next 2Y0.53%
Revenue Next 3Y1.41%
Revenue Next 5Y1.73%
EBIT growth 1Y-96.98%
EBIT growth 3Y7.77%
EBIT growth 5Y-12.42%
EBIT Next Year72.84%
EBIT Next 3Y26.73%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y85.74%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y243.89%
OCF growth 3Y577.04%
OCF growth 5YN/A