HOME DEPOT INC (HD) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:HD • US4370761029

Current stock price

331.385 USD
+0.49 (+0.15%)
Last:

This HD fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. HD Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year HD was profitable.
  • In the past year HD had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years HD has always been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years HD had a positive operating cash flow.
HD Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHD Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 5B 10B 15B 20B

1.2 Ratios

  • HD's Return On Assets of 13.47% is amongst the best of the industry. HD outperforms 91.06% of its industry peers.
  • HD's Return On Equity of 110.48% is amongst the best of the industry. HD outperforms 99.19% of its industry peers.
  • HD's Return On Invested Capital of 20.64% is amongst the best of the industry. HD outperforms 89.43% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for HD is significantly above the industry average of 13.21%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (25.05%) for HD is well above the current ROIC(20.64%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 13.47%
ROE 110.48%
ROIC 20.64%
ROA(3y)16.22%
ROA(5y)18.78%
ROE(3y)594.65%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)25.05%
ROIC(5y)29.93%
HD Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHD Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 500 -500 1K

1.3 Margins

  • HD has a better Profit Margin (8.60%) than 86.99% of its industry peers.
  • HD's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • With an excellent Operating Margin value of 12.68%, HD belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 89.43% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HD has declined.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 33.32%, HD is in line with its industry, outperforming 42.28% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HD's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 12.68%
PM (TTM) 8.6%
GM 33.32%
OM growth 3Y-6%
OM growth 5Y-3.74%
PM growth 3Y-7.52%
PM growth 5Y-2.47%
GM growth 3Y-0.21%
GM growth 5Y-0.38%
HD Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHD Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 10 20 30

3

2. HD Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), HD is creating value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, HD has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, HD has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, HD has an improved debt to assets ratio.
HD Yearly Shares OutstandingHD Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
HD Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHD Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B

2.2 Solvency

  • HD has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.41. This is a neutral value as HD would need 4.41 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of HD (4.41) is better than 67.48% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.97 is on the high side and indicates that HD has dependencies on debt financing.
  • HD has a Debt to Equity ratio of 3.97. This is in the lower half of the industry: HD underperforms 75.61% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.97
Debt/FCF 4.41
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACC2.49
WACC8.29%
HD Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHD Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.06 indicates that HD should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • HD's Current ratio of 1.06 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HD is outperformed by 70.73% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.26 indicates that HD may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.26, HD is not doing good in the industry: 77.24% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.06
Quick Ratio 0.26
HD Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHD Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 10B 20B 30B

4

3. HD Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • HD shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -1.47%.
  • HD shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 4.26% yearly.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.24% in the past year.
  • HD shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 4.51% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1.47%
EPS 3Y-4.12%
EPS 5Y4.26%
EPS Q2Q%-9.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.24%
Revenue growth 3Y1.52%
Revenue growth 5Y4.51%
Sales Q2Q%-3.79%

3.2 Future

  • HD is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 7.18% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, HD will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.81% on average per year.
EPS Next Y5.55%
EPS Next 2Y6.91%
EPS Next 3Y7.68%
EPS Next 5Y7.18%
Revenue Next Year3.95%
Revenue Next 2Y4.02%
Revenue Next 3Y4.17%
Revenue Next 5Y3.81%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
HD Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHD Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 50B 100B 150B 200B
HD Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHD Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5 10 15 20 25

4

4. HD Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 22.54, HD is valued on the expensive side.
  • HD's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. HD is cheaper than 65.04% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.54, HD is valued at the same level.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.36 indicates a rather expensive valuation of HD.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as HD.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of HD to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.70), we can say HD is valued inline with the index average.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 22.54
Fwd PE 21.36
HD Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHD Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of HD is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • 60.98% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HD, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 26.09
EV/EBITDA 15.17
HD Per share dataHD EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 50 100 150

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates HD does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The excellent profitability rating of HD may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)4.06
PEG (5Y)5.29
EPS Next 2Y6.91%
EPS Next 3Y7.68%

6

5. HD Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • HD has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.84%.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.79, HD pays a better dividend. On top of this HD pays more dividend than 82.93% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, HD pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.84%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of HD is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 8.96%!
  • HD has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • HD has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.96%
Div Incr Years15
Div Non Decr Years34
HD Yearly Dividends per shareHD Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2 4 6 8

5.3 Sustainability

  • 64.65% of the earnings are spent on dividend by HD. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of HD is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP64.65%
EPS Next 2Y6.91%
EPS Next 3Y7.68%
HD Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendHD Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 5B 10B 15B
HD Dividend Payout.HD Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.HD Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

HD Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

HOME DEPOT INC

NYSE:HD (3/24/2026, 3:01:10 PM)

331.385

+0.49 (+0.15%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)02-24
Earnings (Next)05-18
Inst Owners74.44%
Inst Owner Change1.33%
Ins Owners0.04%
Ins Owner Change0.22%
Market Cap329.90B
Revenue(TTM)164.68B
Net Income(TTM)14.16B
Analysts75.65
Price Target407.6 (23%)
Short Float %0.91%
Short Ratio2.14
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.84%
Yearly Dividend9.2
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.96%
DP64.65%
Div Incr Years15
Div Non Decr Years34
Ex-Date03-12
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.72%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.4%
Max EPS beat(2)3.96%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-2.22%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.4%
Max EPS beat(4)3.96%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.03%
EPS beat(12)2
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.64%
EPS beat(16)3
Avg EPS beat(16)-0.92%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.52%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.71%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.32%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.42%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.08%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.56%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.27%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.51%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.07%
PT rev (1m)0.82%
PT rev (3m)0.35%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-5.96%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.96%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.1%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.01%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.31%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.31%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.01%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 22.54
Fwd PE 21.36
P/S 2
P/FCF 26.09
P/OCF 20.21
P/B 25.75
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 15.17
EPS(TTM)14.7
EY4.44%
EPS(NY)15.52
Fwd EY4.68%
FCF(TTM)12.7
FCFY3.83%
OCF(TTM)16.4
OCFY4.95%
SpS165.43
BVpS12.87
TBVpS-19.95
PEG (NY)4.06
PEG (5Y)5.29
Graham Number65.25
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 13.47%
ROE 110.48%
ROCE 28.75%
ROIC 20.64%
ROICexc 21.01%
ROICexgc 36.96%
OM 12.68%
PM (TTM) 8.6%
GM 33.32%
FCFM 7.68%
ROA(3y)16.22%
ROA(5y)18.78%
ROE(3y)594.65%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)25.05%
ROIC(5y)29.93%
ROICexc(3y)26.13%
ROICexc(5y)31.4%
ROICexgc(3y)41.07%
ROICexgc(5y)45.33%
ROCE(3y)33.48%
ROCE(5y)39.89%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-7.04%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4.98%
ROICexc growth 3Y-16.59%
ROICexc growth 5Y-11.68%
OM growth 3Y-6%
OM growth 5Y-3.74%
PM growth 3Y-7.52%
PM growth 5Y-2.47%
GM growth 3Y-0.21%
GM growth 5Y-0.38%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.57
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.97
Debt/FCF 4.41
Debt/EBITDA 2.03
Cap/Depr 89.27%
Cap/Sales 2.23%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 65.27%
Profit Quality 89.33%
Current Ratio 1.06
Quick Ratio 0.26
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score4
WACC8.29%
ROIC/WACC2.49
Cap/Depr(3y)93.76%
Cap/Depr(5y)95.16%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.18%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.04%
Profit Quality(3y)106.03%
Profit Quality(5y)94.11%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1.47%
EPS 3Y-4.12%
EPS 5Y4.26%
EPS Q2Q%-9.93%
EPS Next Y5.55%
EPS Next 2Y6.91%
EPS Next 3Y7.68%
EPS Next 5Y7.18%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.24%
Revenue growth 3Y1.52%
Revenue growth 5Y4.51%
Sales Q2Q%-3.79%
Revenue Next Year3.95%
Revenue Next 2Y4.02%
Revenue Next 3Y4.17%
Revenue Next 5Y3.81%
EBIT growth 1Y-2.95%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.57%
EBIT growth 5Y0.6%
EBIT Next Year19.6%
EBIT Next 3Y10.35%
EBIT Next 5Y7.64%
FCF growth 1Y-22.54%
FCF growth 3Y3.23%
FCF growth 5Y-5.04%
OCF growth 1Y-17.59%
OCF growth 3Y3.76%
OCF growth 5Y-2.82%

HOME DEPOT INC / HD Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of HOME DEPOT INC (HD) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to HD.


What is the valuation status for HD stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to HOME DEPOT INC (HD). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is HOME DEPOT INC (HD) stock?

HOME DEPOT INC (HD) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


What is the valuation of HOME DEPOT INC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for HOME DEPOT INC (HD) is 22.54 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 25.75.


Is the dividend of HOME DEPOT INC sustainable?

The dividend rating of HOME DEPOT INC (HD) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 64.65%.