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HUDBAY MINERALS INC (HBM.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:HBM - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA4436281022 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

12.09  +0.36 (+3.07%)

Fundamental Rating

6

Overall HBM gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated HBM against 801 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. HBM scores excellent on profitability, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. HBM may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year HBM was profitable.
HBM had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: HBM reported negative net income in multiple years.
Each year in the past 5 years HBM had a positive operating cash flow.
HBM.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHBM.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

HBM's Return On Assets of 1.40% is amongst the best of the industry. HBM outperforms 86.89% of its industry peers.
HBM's Return On Equity of 3.00% is amongst the best of the industry. HBM outperforms 88.26% of its industry peers.
HBM has a better Return On Invested Capital (6.22%) than 92.51% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for HBM is significantly below the industry average of 24.98%.
The 3 year average ROIC (5.61%) for HBM is below the current ROIC(6.22%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.4%
ROE 3%
ROIC 6.22%
ROA(3y)1.42%
ROA(5y)-0.82%
ROE(3y)3.55%
ROE(5y)-2.88%
ROIC(3y)5.61%
ROIC(5y)N/A
HBM.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHBM.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 -5 -10 -15

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of HBM (3.79%) is better than 90.39% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 21.17%, HBM belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.13% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HBM has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of HBM (27.40%) is better than 90.89% of its industry peers.
HBM's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 21.17%
PM (TTM) 3.79%
GM 27.4%
OM growth 3Y11.98%
OM growth 5Y50.87%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y8.24%
GM growth 5Y17.48%
HBM.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHBM.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

HBM has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, HBM has more shares outstanding
HBM has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
HBM has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
HBM.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingHBM.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
HBM.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHBM.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.2 Solvency

HBM has an Altman-Z score of 1.41. This is a bad value and indicates that HBM is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
HBM has a Altman-Z score (1.41) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of HBM is 3.97, which is a good value as it means it would take HBM, 3.97 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of HBM (3.97) is better than 92.13% of its industry peers.
HBM has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.47. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.47, HBM is doing worse than 71.66% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.47
Debt/FCF 3.97
Altman-Z 1.41
ROIC/WACC0.73
WACC8.5%
HBM.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHBM.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.95 indicates that HBM should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
HBM has a Current ratio (1.95) which is in line with its industry peers.
HBM has a Quick Ratio of 1.58. This is a normal value and indicates that HBM is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
HBM has a Quick ratio (1.58) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.95
Quick Ratio 1.58
HBM.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHBM.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 52.78% over the past year.
HBM shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 25.11% yearly.
The Revenue has grown by 19.60% in the past year. This is quite good.
The Revenue has been growing by 10.31% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)52.78%
EPS 3Y25.11%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%50%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)19.6%
Revenue growth 3Y10.4%
Revenue growth 5Y10.31%
Sales Q2Q%13.32%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 16.53% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, HBM will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.15% on average per year.
EPS Next Y16.79%
EPS Next 2Y20.16%
EPS Next 3Y19.9%
EPS Next 5Y16.53%
Revenue Next Year7.01%
Revenue Next 2Y3.92%
Revenue Next 3Y4.05%
Revenue Next 5Y5.15%

3.3 Evolution

The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
HBM.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHBM.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
HBM.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHBM.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 0.5 -0.5 1

8

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

HBM is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 15.91.
91.64% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HBM, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.82. HBM is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 12.85, which indicates a correct valuation of HBM.
91.14% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HBM, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
HBM's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 21.76.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.91
Fwd PE 12.85
HBM.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHBM.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, HBM is valued cheaply inside the industry as 95.76% of the companies are valued more expensively.
95.88% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HBM, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 10.86
EV/EBITDA 4.65
HBM.CA Per share dataHBM.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
HBM has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
HBM's earnings are expected to grow with 19.90% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.95
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y20.16%
EPS Next 3Y19.9%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a yearly dividend of 0.17%, HBM is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.83, HBM pays a better dividend. On top of this HBM pays more dividend than 94.26% of the companies listed in the same industry.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.17, HBM pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.36.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.17%

5.2 History

The dividend of HBM decreases each year by -0.13%.
HBM has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
HBM has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-0.13%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years10
HBM.CA Yearly Dividends per shareHBM.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.01 0.01 0.02

5.3 Sustainability

7.17% of the earnings are spent on dividend by HBM. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP7.17%
EPS Next 2Y20.16%
EPS Next 3Y19.9%
HBM.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendHBM.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M
HBM.CA Dividend Payout.HBM.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.HBM.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

HUDBAY MINERALS INC

TSX:HBM (5/23/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

12.09

+0.36 (+3.07%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)05-12 2025-05-12/bmo
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners74.95%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.17%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap4.78B
Analysts83
Price Target14.92 (23.41%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.17%
Yearly Dividend0.02
Dividend Growth(5Y)-0.13%
DP7.17%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years10
Ex-Date03-04 2025-03-04 (0.01)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)88.86%
Min EPS beat(2)-3.49%
Max EPS beat(2)181.22%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)90.39%
Min EPS beat(4)-100%
Max EPS beat(4)283.85%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)10.91%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-2.99%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-6.59%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.14%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.56%
Max Revenue beat(2)5.84%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.82%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.03%
Max Revenue beat(4)14.02%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.1%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.59%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-4.3%
PT rev (1m)-1.09%
PT rev (3m)-7.25%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-15.17%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-39.18%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-36.86%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.05%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)9.23%
Revenue NY rev (1m)4.25%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.75%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.91
Fwd PE 12.85
P/S 1.7
P/FCF 10.86
P/OCF 5.17
P/B 1.35
P/tB 1.39
EV/EBITDA 4.65
EPS(TTM)0.76
EY6.29%
EPS(NY)0.94
Fwd EY7.78%
FCF(TTM)1.11
FCFY9.21%
OCF(TTM)2.34
OCFY19.34%
SpS7.09
BVpS8.96
TBVpS8.7
PEG (NY)0.95
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.4%
ROE 3%
ROCE 8.64%
ROIC 6.22%
ROICexc 7.05%
ROICexgc 7.18%
OM 21.17%
PM (TTM) 3.79%
GM 27.4%
FCFM 15.7%
ROA(3y)1.42%
ROA(5y)-0.82%
ROE(3y)3.55%
ROE(5y)-2.88%
ROIC(3y)5.61%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)6.09%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)6.21%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)7.79%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y18.86%
ROICexcg growth 5Y61.23%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.39%
ROICexc growth 5Y60.76%
OM growth 3Y11.98%
OM growth 5Y50.87%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y8.24%
GM growth 5Y17.48%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.37
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.47
Debt/FCF 3.97
Debt/EBITDA 1.42
Cap/Depr 81.52%
Cap/Sales 17.26%
Interest Coverage 6.3
Cash Conversion 77.84%
Profit Quality 413.69%
Current Ratio 1.95
Quick Ratio 1.58
Altman-Z 1.41
F-Score8
WACC8.5%
ROIC/WACC0.73
Cap/Depr(3y)81.38%
Cap/Depr(5y)89.68%
Cap/Sales(3y)18.35%
Cap/Sales(5y)22.65%
Profit Quality(3y)320.92%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)52.78%
EPS 3Y25.11%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%50%
EPS Next Y16.79%
EPS Next 2Y20.16%
EPS Next 3Y19.9%
EPS Next 5Y16.53%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)19.6%
Revenue growth 3Y10.4%
Revenue growth 5Y10.31%
Sales Q2Q%13.32%
Revenue Next Year7.01%
Revenue Next 2Y3.92%
Revenue Next 3Y4.05%
Revenue Next 5Y5.15%
EBIT growth 1Y36.06%
EBIT growth 3Y23.63%
EBIT growth 5Y66.43%
EBIT Next Year99.68%
EBIT Next 3Y34.42%
EBIT Next 5Y24.95%
FCF growth 1Y62.09%
FCF growth 3Y267.69%
FCF growth 5Y43.75%
OCF growth 1Y39.71%
OCF growth 3Y20.18%
OCF growth 5Y16.47%