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HYDRO ONE LTD (H.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:H - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA4488112083 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

50.5  -0.56 (-1.1%)

Fundamental Rating

4

Taking everything into account, H scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. H was compared to 19 industry peers in the Electric Utilities industry. H has an excellent profitability rating, but there are concerns on its financial health. H is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

H had positive earnings in the past year.
H had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years H has been profitable.
In the past 5 years H always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
H.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFH.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B 2B -2B

1.2 Ratios

H's Return On Assets of 3.29% is amongst the best of the industry. H outperforms 94.74% of its industry peers.
H has a Return On Equity of 9.96%. This is amongst the best in the industry. H outperforms 94.74% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 5.28%, H belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
H had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.28%. This is in line with the industry average of 3.84%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.29%
ROE 9.96%
ROIC 5.28%
ROA(3y)3.26%
ROA(5y)3.76%
ROE(3y)9.38%
ROE(5y)10.76%
ROIC(3y)5.28%
ROIC(5y)5.06%
H.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICH.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

H's Profit Margin of 13.99% is amongst the best of the industry. H outperforms 94.74% of its industry peers.
H's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
H has a Operating Margin (23.66%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of H has grown nicely.
H has a Gross Margin (51.10%) which is in line with its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of H has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 23.66%
PM (TTM) 13.99%
GM 51.1%
OM growth 3Y1.29%
OM growth 5Y2.78%
PM growth 3Y0.67%
PM growth 5Y2.56%
GM growth 3Y0.46%
GM growth 5Y-0.32%
H.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsH.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30 40 50

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), H is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, H has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
Compared to 5 years ago, H has more shares outstanding
H has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
H.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingH.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
H.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsH.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B

2.2 Solvency

H has an Altman-Z score of 1.32. This is a bad value and indicates that H is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.32, H belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.34 is on the high side and indicates that H has dependencies on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.34, H is in line with its industry, outperforming 52.63% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.34
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.32
ROIC/WACC0.85
WACC6.18%
H.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFH.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.41 indicates that H may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
H has a worse Current ratio (0.41) than 94.74% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.40 indicates that H may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.40, H is not doing good in the industry: 94.74% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.41
Quick Ratio 0.4
H.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesH.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

H shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 12.09%, which is quite good.
Measured over the past 5 years, H shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 4.75% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, H shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 9.95% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.54% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)12.09%
EPS 3Y6.23%
EPS 5Y4.75%
EPS Q2Q%22.45%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.95%
Revenue growth 3Y5.5%
Revenue growth 5Y5.54%
Sales Q2Q%11.17%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, H will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 6.65% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, H will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.74% on average per year.
EPS Next Y8.24%
EPS Next 2Y7.35%
EPS Next 3Y7.06%
EPS Next 5Y6.65%
Revenue Next Year5.79%
Revenue Next 2Y4.49%
Revenue Next 3Y3.73%
Revenue Next 5Y3.74%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
H.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesH.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
H.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesH.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 24.75, the valuation of H can be described as rather expensive.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, H is valued expensively inside the industry as 94.74% of the companies are valued cheaper.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.20. H is around the same levels.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.71, H is valued on the expensive side.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, H is valued expensively inside the industry as 94.74% of the companies are valued cheaper.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.13. H is around the same levels.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.75
Fwd PE 22.71
H.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsH.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, H is valued expensively inside the industry as 94.74% of the companies are valued cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 15.77
H.CA Per share dataH.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates H does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
H has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)3.01
PEG (5Y)5.21
EPS Next 2Y7.35%
EPS Next 3Y7.06%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.47%, H has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
With a Dividend Yield of 2.47, H pays less dividend than the industry average, which is at 4.19. 94.74% of the companies listed in the same industry pay a better dividend than H!
H's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.40.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.47%

5.2 History

The dividend of H has a limited annual growth rate of 4.69%.
H has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
H has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.69%
Div Incr Years7
Div Non Decr Years7
H.CA Yearly Dividends per shareH.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

61.67% of the earnings are spent on dividend by H. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of H is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP61.67%
EPS Next 2Y7.35%
EPS Next 3Y7.06%
H.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendH.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B -2B
H.CA Dividend Payout.H.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.H.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

HYDRO ONE LTD

TSX:H (5/28/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

50.5

-0.56 (-1.1%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryElectric Utilities
Earnings (Last)05-08 2025-05-08/bmo
Earnings (Next)08-12 2025-08-12
Inst Owners21.85%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.02%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap30.29B
Analysts51.76
Price Target48.21 (-4.53%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.47%
Yearly Dividend1.24
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.69%
DP61.67%
Div Incr Years7
Div Non Decr Years7
Ex-Date06-11 2025-06-11 (0.3331)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)6.3%
Min EPS beat(2)3.99%
Max EPS beat(2)8.61%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)3.76%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.44%
Max EPS beat(4)8.61%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)2.57%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)2.07%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)2.61%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.96%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.1%
Max Revenue beat(2)10.03%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)3.96%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.1%
Max Revenue beat(4)10.03%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.31%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.86%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.32%
PT rev (1m)3.23%
PT rev (3m)5.24%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.18%
EPS NQ rev (3m)9.27%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.57%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.91%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.75
Fwd PE 22.71
P/S 3.47
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 11.73
P/B 2.47
P/tB 2.7
EV/EBITDA 15.77
EPS(TTM)2.04
EY4.04%
EPS(NY)2.22
Fwd EY4.4%
FCF(TTM)-0.34
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)4.3
OCFY8.52%
SpS14.55
BVpS20.44
TBVpS18.71
PEG (NY)3.01
PEG (5Y)5.21
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.29%
ROE 9.96%
ROCE 6.24%
ROIC 5.28%
ROICexc 5.3%
ROICexgc 5.46%
OM 23.66%
PM (TTM) 13.99%
GM 51.1%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)3.26%
ROA(5y)3.76%
ROE(3y)9.38%
ROE(5y)10.76%
ROIC(3y)5.28%
ROIC(5y)5.06%
ROICexc(3y)5.36%
ROICexc(5y)5.15%
ROICexgc(3y)5.54%
ROICexgc(5y)5.32%
ROCE(3y)6.26%
ROCE(5y)6.02%
ROICexcg growth 3Y1.33%
ROICexcg growth 5Y2.9%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.4%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.89%
OM growth 3Y1.29%
OM growth 5Y2.78%
PM growth 3Y0.67%
PM growth 5Y2.56%
GM growth 3Y0.46%
GM growth 5Y-0.32%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.24
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.34
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 5.5
Cap/Depr 299.03%
Cap/Sales 31.9%
Interest Coverage 3
Cash Conversion 86.18%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.41
Quick Ratio 0.4
Altman-Z 1.32
F-Score6
WACC6.18%
ROIC/WACC0.85
Cap/Depr(3y)280.72%
Cap/Depr(5y)266.35%
Cap/Sales(3y)30.49%
Cap/Sales(5y)29.09%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)12.09%
EPS 3Y6.23%
EPS 5Y4.75%
EPS Q2Q%22.45%
EPS Next Y8.24%
EPS Next 2Y7.35%
EPS Next 3Y7.06%
EPS Next 5Y6.65%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.95%
Revenue growth 3Y5.5%
Revenue growth 5Y5.54%
Sales Q2Q%11.17%
Revenue Next Year5.79%
Revenue Next 2Y4.49%
Revenue Next 3Y3.73%
Revenue Next 5Y3.74%
EBIT growth 1Y11.5%
EBIT growth 3Y6.86%
EBIT growth 5Y8.47%
EBIT Next Year65.53%
EBIT Next 3Y23.56%
EBIT Next 5Y15.94%
FCF growth 1Y-645.95%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y19.15%
OCF growth 3Y5.65%
OCF growth 5Y9.44%