GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:GXO • US36262G1013

54.865 USD
+0.16 (+0.3%)
Last: Mar 11, 2026, 11:53 AM

This GXO fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to GXO. GXO was compared to 23 industry peers in the Air Freight & Logistics industry. While GXO is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. GXO has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. GXO Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • GXO had positive earnings in the past year.
  • GXO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years GXO has been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years GXO had a positive operating cash flow.
GXO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGXO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M

1.2 Ratios

  • GXO's Return On Assets of 0.26% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GXO outperforms 60.87% of its industry peers.
  • GXO has a Return On Equity of 1.07%. This is in the better half of the industry: GXO outperforms 60.87% of its industry peers.
  • GXO has a Return On Invested Capital of 3.27%. This is in the better half of the industry: GXO outperforms 60.87% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GXO is significantly below the industry average of 11.97%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.26%
ROE 1.07%
ROIC 3.27%
ROA(3y)1.29%
ROA(5y)1.62%
ROE(3y)4.47%
ROE(5y)5.47%
ROIC(3y)3.3%
ROIC(5y)3.29%
GXO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGXO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2 4 6

1.3 Margins

  • With a decent Profit Margin value of 0.24%, GXO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 60.87% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GXO has declined.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 3.23%, GXO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 69.57% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GXO has grown nicely.
  • The Gross Margin of GXO (15.09%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • GXO's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.23%
PM (TTM) 0.24%
GM 15.09%
OM growth 3Y-4.69%
OM growth 5Y16.78%
PM growth 3Y-51.96%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.34%
GM growth 5Y-1.85%
GXO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGXO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 10 15

2

2. GXO Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • GXO has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • GXO has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • GXO has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, GXO has a worse debt to assets ratio.
GXO Yearly Shares OutstandingGXO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
GXO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGXO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.62, we must say that GXO is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of GXO (1.62) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • GXO has a debt to FCF ratio of 27.86. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as GXO would need 27.86 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 27.86, GXO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 69.57% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.88 indicates that GXO is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • GXO's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.88 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GXO is outperformed by 73.91% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.88
Debt/FCF 27.86
Altman-Z 1.62
ROIC/WACC0.47
WACC6.93%
GXO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGXO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

  • GXO has a Current Ratio of 0.85. This is a bad value and indicates that GXO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • GXO's Current ratio of 0.85 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GXO is outperformed by 86.96% of its industry peers.
  • GXO has a Quick Ratio of 0.85. This is a bad value and indicates that GXO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.85, GXO is not doing good in the industry: 82.61% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.85
Quick Ratio 0.85
GXO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGXO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

4

3. GXO Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for GXO have decreased by -9.68% in the last year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -4.02% on average over the past years.
  • The Revenue has grown by 12.55% in the past year. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 16.30% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.68%
EPS 3Y-4.02%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-13%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.55%
Revenue growth 3Y13.58%
Revenue growth 5Y16.3%
Sales Q2Q%7.91%

3.2 Future

  • GXO is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 18.79% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, GXO will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.00% on average per year.
EPS Next Y20.63%
EPS Next 2Y17.51%
EPS Next 3Y18.79%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year6.17%
Revenue Next 2Y6.1%
Revenue Next 3Y5.65%
Revenue Next 5Y6%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
GXO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGXO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B
GXO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGXO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1 2 3 4

5

4. GXO Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 21.77 indicates a rather expensive valuation of GXO.
  • GXO's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. GXO is cheaper than 69.57% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of GXO to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.25), we can say GXO is valued inline with the index average.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.05, the valuation of GXO can be described as rather expensive.
  • GXO's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GXO is cheaper than 82.61% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GXO is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 24.39, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.77
Fwd PE 18.05
GXO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGXO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GXO is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 73.91% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • 65.22% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GXO, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 57.21
EV/EBITDA 9.62
GXO Per share dataGXO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60 80 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of GXO may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as GXO's earnings are expected to grow with 18.79% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.06
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y17.51%
EPS Next 3Y18.79%

0

5. GXO Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for GXO!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

GXO Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

GXO LOGISTICS INC

NYSE:GXO (3/11/2026, 11:53:49 AM)

54.865

+0.16 (+0.3%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryAir Freight & Logistics
Earnings (Last)02-10
Earnings (Next)05-05
Inst Owners105.82%
Inst Owner Change11.7%
Ins Owners0.29%
Ins Owner Change0.38%
Market Cap6.29B
Revenue(TTM)13.18B
Net Income(TTM)32.00M
Analysts84
Price Target73.24 (33.49%)
Short Float %4.88%
Short Ratio4.25
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.2%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.29%
Max EPS beat(2)2.69%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)4.97%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.29%
Max EPS beat(4)13.25%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)4.02%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)5.23%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)6.48%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.73%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.45%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.15%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.73%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.4%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.76%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.08%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.81%
PT rev (1m)8.79%
PT rev (3m)12.3%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-13.43%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-20.9%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.22%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.63%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.46%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.22%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.14%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.28%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.77
Fwd PE 18.05
P/S 0.48
P/FCF 57.21
P/OCF 14.5
P/B 2.11
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 9.62
EPS(TTM)2.52
EY4.59%
EPS(NY)3.04
Fwd EY5.54%
FCF(TTM)0.96
FCFY1.75%
OCF(TTM)3.78
OCFY6.9%
SpS114.88
BVpS26
TBVpS-14.88
PEG (NY)1.06
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number38.4
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.26%
ROE 1.07%
ROCE 5.07%
ROIC 3.27%
ROICexc 3.64%
ROICexgc 9.65%
OM 3.23%
PM (TTM) 0.24%
GM 15.09%
FCFM 0.83%
ROA(3y)1.29%
ROA(5y)1.62%
ROE(3y)4.47%
ROE(5y)5.47%
ROIC(3y)3.3%
ROIC(5y)3.29%
ROICexc(3y)3.57%
ROICexc(5y)3.55%
ROICexgc(3y)8.63%
ROICexgc(5y)8.08%
ROCE(3y)5.12%
ROCE(5y)5.1%
ROICexgc growth 3Y8.9%
ROICexgc growth 5Y28.07%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.41%
ROICexc growth 5Y22.41%
OM growth 3Y-4.69%
OM growth 5Y16.78%
PM growth 3Y-51.96%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.34%
GM growth 5Y-1.85%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.07
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.88
Debt/FCF 27.86
Debt/EBITDA 2.97
Cap/Depr 70.9%
Cap/Sales 2.46%
Interest Coverage 3.32
Cash Conversion 49.21%
Profit Quality 343.75%
Current Ratio 0.85
Quick Ratio 0.85
Altman-Z 1.62
F-Score7
WACC6.93%
ROIC/WACC0.47
Cap/Depr(3y)77.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)82.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.78%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.06%
Profit Quality(3y)203.19%
Profit Quality(5y)169.01%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.68%
EPS 3Y-4.02%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-13%
EPS Next Y20.63%
EPS Next 2Y17.51%
EPS Next 3Y18.79%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.55%
Revenue growth 3Y13.58%
Revenue growth 5Y16.3%
Sales Q2Q%7.91%
Revenue Next Year6.17%
Revenue Next 2Y6.1%
Revenue Next 3Y5.65%
Revenue Next 5Y6%
EBIT growth 1Y11.84%
EBIT growth 3Y8.26%
EBIT growth 5Y35.81%
EBIT Next Year92.48%
EBIT Next 3Y32.77%
EBIT Next 5Y21.53%
FCF growth 1Y-42.11%
FCF growth 3Y-18.07%
FCF growth 5Y-0.18%
OCF growth 1Y-20.95%
OCF growth 3Y-7.14%
OCF growth 5Y5.44%

GXO LOGISTICS INC / GXO FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GXO LOGISTICS INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GXO.


What is the valuation status of GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for GXO LOGISTICS INC?

GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


How financially healthy is GXO LOGISTICS INC?

The financial health rating of GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) is 2 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) is expected to grow by 20.63% in the next year.