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GSE SYSTEMS INC (GVP) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:GVP - US36227K2050 - Common Stock

4.59 USD
-0.01 (-0.22%)
Last: 10/31/2024, 8:09:51 PM
4.59 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 10/31/2024, 8:09:51 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to GVP. GVP was compared to 281 industry peers in the Software industry. GVP scores quite bad on profitability, while its financial health is fine. Not spectacular, but in line with the averages. GVP is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

GVP had negative earnings in the past year.
GVP had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years GVP reported 4 times negative net income.
GVP had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
GVP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGVP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5M -5M 10M -10M -15M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -35.03%, GVP is doing worse than 80.78% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Equity value of -256.63%, GVP is not doing good in the industry: 83.63% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -35.03%
ROE -256.63%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-22.99%
ROA(5y)-23.31%
ROE(3y)-89.07%
ROE(5y)-85.52%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
GVP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGVP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -50 -100 -150

1.3 Margins

GVP has a worse Gross Margin (29.50%) than 80.07% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GVP has remained more or less at the same level.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for GVP so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 29.5%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.05%
GM growth 5Y1.1%
GVP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGVP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20

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4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

GVP does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
GVP has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
GVP has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for GVP has been reduced compared to a year ago.
GVP Yearly Shares OutstandingGVP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1M 2M 3M
GVP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGVP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of -3.69, we must say that GVP is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
GVP has a Altman-Z score of -3.69. This is amonst the worse of the industry: GVP underperforms 83.63% of its industry peers.
There is no outstanding debt for GVP. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.63
Altman-Z -3.69
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC13.54%
GVP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGVP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10M 20M 30M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.67 indicates that GVP may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of GVP (0.67) is worse than 88.26% of its industry peers.
GVP has a Quick Ratio of 0.67. This is a bad value and indicates that GVP is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of GVP (0.67) is worse than 87.54% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.67
Quick Ratio 0.67
GVP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGVP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M 40M

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4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

GVP shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 62.79%, which is quite impressive.
The Revenue has decreased by -2.58% in the past year.
The Revenue for GVP have been decreasing by -13.36% on average. This is quite bad
EPS 1Y (TTM)62.79%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%57.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.58%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.88%
Revenue growth 5Y-13.36%
Sales Q2Q%-5.34%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 35.49% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, GVP will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 16.76% on average per year.
EPS Next Y50.42%
EPS Next 2Y35.49%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year23.4%
Revenue Next 2Y16.76%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
GVP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGVP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M
GVP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGVP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2022 2023 2024 2025 -2 -4 -6

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2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

GVP reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Also next year GVP is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
GVP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGVP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of GVP indicates a rather cheap valuation: GVP is cheaper than 97.51% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 8.36
EV/EBITDA N/A
GVP Per share dataGVP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as GVP's earnings are expected to grow with 35.49% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y35.49%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for GVP!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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GSE SYSTEMS INC

NASDAQ:GVP (10/31/2024, 8:09:51 PM)

After market: 4.59 0 (0%)

4.59

-0.01 (-0.22%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)08-12 2024-08-12/amc
Earnings (Next)11-12 2024-11-12/amc
Inst Owners11.96%
Inst Owner Change-81.63%
Ins Owners125.91%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap15.93M
Revenue(TTM)44.79M
Net Income(TTM)-7.12M
Analysts80
Price Target13.26 (188.89%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-14.88%
Min Revenue beat(2)-16.29%
Max Revenue beat(2)-13.48%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-13.48%
Min Revenue beat(4)-16.29%
Max Revenue beat(4)-7.96%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.36
P/FCF 8.36
P/OCF 6.29
P/B 5.74
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-2.53
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.59
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)0.55
FCFY11.97%
OCF(TTM)0.73
OCFY15.9%
SpS12.91
BVpS0.8
TBVpS-1.12
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -35.03%
ROE -256.63%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 29.5%
FCFM 4.26%
ROA(3y)-22.99%
ROA(5y)-23.31%
ROE(3y)-89.07%
ROE(5y)-85.52%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.05%
GM growth 5Y1.1%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover2.2
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.63
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 66.56%
Cap/Sales 1.4%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.67
Quick Ratio 0.67
Altman-Z -3.69
F-Score6
WACC13.54%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)49.54%
Cap/Depr(5y)35.65%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.4%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.08%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)62.79%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%57.72%
EPS Next Y50.42%
EPS Next 2Y35.49%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.58%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.88%
Revenue growth 5Y-13.36%
Sales Q2Q%-5.34%
Revenue Next Year23.4%
Revenue Next 2Y16.76%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y50.81%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year58%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-3.25%
FCF growth 3Y4.61%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-3.32%
OCF growth 3Y11.65%
OCF growth 5YN/A

GSE SYSTEMS INC / GVP FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of GSE SYSTEMS INC (GVP) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to GVP.


Can you provide the valuation status for GSE SYSTEMS INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to GSE SYSTEMS INC (GVP). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for GSE SYSTEMS INC?

GSE SYSTEMS INC (GVP) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for GSE SYSTEMS INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GSE SYSTEMS INC (GVP) is expected to grow by 50.42% in the next year.