GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:GTN • US3893751061

Current stock price

4.49 USD
+0.09 (+2.05%)
At close:
4.52 USD
+0.03 (+0.67%)
After Hours:

This GTN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. GTN Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year GTN has reported negative net income.
  • In the past year GTN had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: GTN reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • GTN had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
GTN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGTN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

  • GTN's Return On Assets of -1.31% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GTN outperforms 63.74% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of GTN (-4.88%) is better than 62.64% of its industry peers.
  • GTN has a better Return On Invested Capital (3.37%) than 63.74% of its industry peers.
  • GTN had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 4.37%. This is below the industry average of 6.74%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.31%
ROE -4.88%
ROIC 3.37%
ROA(3y)0.18%
ROA(5y)0.9%
ROE(3y)0.41%
ROE(5y)3.48%
ROIC(3y)4.37%
ROIC(5y)4.64%
GTN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGTN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20

1.3 Margins

  • GTN has a Operating Margin of 14.18%. This is amongst the best in the industry. GTN outperforms 82.42% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GTN has declined.
  • With a Gross Margin value of 24.59%, GTN is not doing good in the industry: 67.03% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • GTN's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 14.18%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 24.59%
OM growth 3Y-21.16%
OM growth 5Y-16.99%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-14.26%
GM growth 5Y-11.33%
GTN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGTN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30 40

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

2

2. GTN Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GTN is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for GTN has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, GTN has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, GTN has a worse debt to assets ratio.
GTN Yearly Shares OutstandingGTN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
GTN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGTN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • GTN has an Altman-Z score of 0.65. This is a bad value and indicates that GTN is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • GTN has a Altman-Z score (0.65) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of GTN is 31.73, which is on the high side as it means it would take GTN, 31.73 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • GTN has a Debt to FCF ratio (31.73) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • GTN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.05. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of GTN (2.05) is worse than 64.84% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.05
Debt/FCF 31.73
Altman-Z 0.65
ROIC/WACC0.55
WACC6.08%
GTN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGTN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.27 indicates that GTN should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 1.27, GTN perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 52.75% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GTN has a Quick Ratio of 1.27. This is a normal value and indicates that GTN is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • GTN has a Quick ratio (1.27) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.27
Quick Ratio 1.27
GTN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGTN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. GTN Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • GTN shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -133.33%.
  • Looking at the last year, GTN shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -15.07% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, GTN shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 5.39% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-133.33%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-114.63%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.07%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.57%
Revenue growth 5Y5.39%
Sales Q2Q%-24.21%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 61.10% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.25% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y316.08%
EPS Next 2Y21.17%
EPS Next 3Y61.1%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year13.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.32%
Revenue Next 3Y4.37%
Revenue Next 5Y0.25%

3.3 Evolution

  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
GTN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGTN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 1B 2B 3B
GTN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGTN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 1 -1 2 3 4

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6

4. GTN Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for GTN. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 1.84, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of GTN.
  • GTN's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GTN is cheaper than 97.80% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.84, GTN is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 1.84
GTN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGTN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GTN is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 74.73% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of GTN indicates a rather cheap valuation: GTN is cheaper than 93.41% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 2.57
EV/EBITDA 8.31
GTN Per share dataGTN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 -20 -40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • GTN's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • GTN's earnings are expected to grow with 61.10% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y21.17%
EPS Next 3Y61.1%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

7

5. GTN Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.90%, GTN is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.19, GTN pays a better dividend. On top of this GTN pays more dividend than 93.41% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • GTN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.88.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.9%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of GTN is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 9.60%!
  • GTN has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • GTN has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.6%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
GTN Yearly Dividends per shareGTN Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.1 0.2 0.3

5.3 Sustainability

  • GTN has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
  • The dividend of GTN is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP-62.04%
EPS Next 2Y21.17%
EPS Next 3Y61.1%
GTN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGTN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M

More info and screens

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GTN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

GRAY MEDIA INC

NYSE:GTN (4/2/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 4.52 +0.03 (+0.67%)

4.49

+0.09 (+2.05%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryMedia
Earnings (Last)02-26
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners85.88%
Inst Owner Change1.06%
Ins Owners6.85%
Ins Owner Change11.01%
Market Cap465.97M
Revenue(TTM)3.10B
Net Income(TTM)-137.00M
Analysts77.78
Price Target7.24 (61.25%)
Short Float %5.95%
Short Ratio3.49
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.9%
Yearly Dividend0.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.6%
DP-62.04%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date03-13
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)37.88%
Min EPS beat(2)26.32%
Max EPS beat(2)49.44%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)28.15%
Min EPS beat(4)-18.14%
Max EPS beat(4)55%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)68.71%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)25.03%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)19.91%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.03%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.47%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.53%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.47%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.53%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.81%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.49%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.45%
PT rev (1m)10.94%
PT rev (3m)10.94%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-94.99%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-18.18%
EPS NY rev (1m)8.41%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.62%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.09%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.28%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.54%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.68%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 1.84
P/S 0.15
P/FCF 2.57
P/OCF 1.61
P/B 0.17
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 8.31
EPS(TTM)-1.13
EYN/A
EPS(NY)2.44
Fwd EY54.38%
FCF(TTM)1.74
FCFY38.84%
OCF(TTM)2.78
OCFY62.02%
SpS29.82
BVpS27.03
TBVpS-51.1
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.31%
ROE -4.88%
ROCE 4.42%
ROIC 3.37%
ROICexc 3.5%
ROICexgc 23.11%
OM 14.18%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 24.59%
FCFM 5.85%
ROA(3y)0.18%
ROA(5y)0.9%
ROE(3y)0.41%
ROE(5y)3.48%
ROIC(3y)4.37%
ROIC(5y)4.64%
ROICexc(3y)4.45%
ROICexc(5y)4.7%
ROICexgc(3y)26.9%
ROICexgc(5y)27.2%
ROCE(3y)5.74%
ROCE(5y)6.09%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-16.38%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-16.01%
ROICexc growth 3Y-22.73%
ROICexc growth 5Y-18.72%
OM growth 3Y-21.16%
OM growth 5Y-16.99%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-14.26%
GM growth 5Y-11.33%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.3
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.05
Debt/FCF 31.73
Debt/EBITDA 8.17
Cap/Depr 40.91%
Cap/Sales 3.49%
Interest Coverage 1.12
Cash Conversion 41.11%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.27
Quick Ratio 1.27
Altman-Z 0.65
F-Score3
WACC6.08%
ROIC/WACC0.55
Cap/Depr(3y)60.54%
Cap/Depr(5y)75.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.01%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.69%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-133.33%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-114.63%
EPS Next Y316.08%
EPS Next 2Y21.17%
EPS Next 3Y61.1%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.07%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.57%
Revenue growth 5Y5.39%
Sales Q2Q%-24.21%
Revenue Next Year13.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.32%
Revenue Next 3Y4.37%
Revenue Next 5Y0.25%
EBIT growth 1Y-49.6%
EBIT growth 3Y-25.55%
EBIT growth 5Y-12.51%
EBIT Next Year190.04%
EBIT Next 3Y42.74%
EBIT Next 5Y16.22%
FCF growth 1Y-70.23%
FCF growth 3Y-22.77%
FCF growth 5Y-19.7%
OCF growth 1Y-61.52%
OCF growth 3Y-29.62%
OCF growth 5Y-15.02%

GRAY MEDIA INC / GTN Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for GTN stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GTN.


What is the valuation status of GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN) stock?

GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN) is expected to grow by 316.08% in the next year.


Is the dividend of GRAY MEDIA INC sustainable?

The dividend rating of GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -62.04%.