GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:GTN - US3893751061 - Common Stock
4.92 USD
-0.05 (-1.01%)
GTN gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 96 industry peers in the Media industry. GTN has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. GTN is valued quite cheap, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GTN had positive earnings in the past year.
GTN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
GTN had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years GTN had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 0.41%, GTN is in line with its industry, outperforming 59.38% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 1.50%, GTN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.46% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 4.86%, GTN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 64.58% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GTN is below the industry average of 8.15%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.41% | ||
| ROE | 1.5% | ||
| ROIC | 4.86% |
ROA(3y)1.82%
ROA(5y)2.1%
ROE(3y)6.9%
ROE(5y)7.44%
ROIC(3y)5.68%
ROIC(5y)5.66%
1.3 Margins
GTN's Profit Margin of 1.25% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GTN outperforms 60.42% of its industry peers.
GTN's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
GTN's Operating Margin of 18.67% is amongst the best of the industry. GTN outperforms 88.54% of its industry peers.
GTN's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
GTN has a worse Gross Margin (29.27%) than 63.54% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GTN has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 18.67% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.25% | ||
| GM | 29.27% |
OM growth 3Y10.89%
OM growth 5Y0.17%
PM growth 3Y77.88%
PM growth 5Y8.17%
GM growth 3Y0.85%
GM growth 5Y-1.16%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GTN is destroying value.
GTN has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for GTN has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for GTN has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
GTN has an Altman-Z score of 0.73. This is a bad value and indicates that GTN is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
GTN has a Altman-Z score of 0.73. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GTN outperforms 46.88% of its industry peers.
GTN has a debt to FCF ratio of 12.75. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as GTN would need 12.75 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 12.75, GTN is in line with its industry, outperforming 59.38% of the companies in the same industry.
GTN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.00. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
GTN has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (2.00) than 68.75% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 12.75 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.73 |
ROIC/WACC0.82
WACC5.93%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.93 indicates that GTN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
GTN has a Current ratio of 0.93. This is in the lower half of the industry: GTN underperforms 61.46% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.93 indicates that GTN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of GTN (0.93) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.93 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.93 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for GTN have decreased strongly by -50.33% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, GTN shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 21.70% on average per year.
The Revenue has decreased by -3.32% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing by 11.42% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-50.33%
EPS 3Y46.87%
EPS 5Y21.7%
EPS Q2Q%-127.59%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.32%
Revenue growth 3Y14.73%
Revenue growth 5Y11.42%
Sales Q2Q%-21.16%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, GTN will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -28.83% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, GTN will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -4.73% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-140.42%
EPS Next 2Y-13.18%
EPS Next 3Y-28.83%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-14.7%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.74%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.73%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 6.56, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of GTN.
GTN's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GTN is cheaper than 86.46% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.15, GTN is valued rather cheaply.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 1.93, the valuation of GTN can be described as very cheap.
96.88% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GTN, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GTN to the average of the S&P500 Index (36.12), we can say GTN is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.56 | ||
| Fwd PE | 1.93 |
4.2 Price Multiples
77.08% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GTN, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GTN is valued cheaply inside the industry as 97.92% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 1.14 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.61 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of GTN may justify a higher PE ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as GTN's earnings are expected to decrease with -28.83% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.3
EPS Next 2Y-13.18%
EPS Next 3Y-28.83%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GTN has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 7.13%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 4.66, GTN pays a better dividend. On top of this GTN pays more dividend than 93.75% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.41, GTN pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 7.13% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of GTN grows each year by 15.86%, which is quite nice.
GTN has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
GTN has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.86%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
200.00% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GTN. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
GTN's earnings are declining while the Dividend Rate has been growing. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP200%
EPS Next 2Y-13.18%
EPS Next 3Y-28.83%
NYSE:GTN (11/28/2025, 9:57:38 AM)
4.92
-0.05 (-1.01%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorCommunication Services
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryMedia
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners79.67%
Inst Owner Change7.32%
Ins Owners5.78%
Ins Owner Change-0.12%
Market Cap502.28M
Revenue(TTM)3.35B
Net Income(TTM)42.00M
Analysts78
Price Target6.53 (32.72%)
Short Float %5.79%
Short Ratio4.35
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 7.13% |
Yearly Dividend0.86
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.86%
DP200%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)16.43%
Min EPS beat(2)-18.14%
Max EPS beat(2)51.01%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)29.44%
Min EPS beat(4)-18.14%
Max EPS beat(4)55%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)60.01%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)30.57%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)22.45%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.36%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.47%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.26%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.23%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.47%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.2%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.99%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.39%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.07%
PT rev (1m)5.21%
PT rev (3m)8.17%
EPS NQ rev (1m)12.79%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-48.81%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-19.22%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.55%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.76%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.73%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.56 | ||
| Fwd PE | 1.93 | ||
| P/S | 0.15 | ||
| P/FCF | 1.14 | ||
| P/OCF | 0.92 | ||
| P/B | 0.18 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.61 |
EPS(TTM)0.75
EY15.24%
EPS(NY)2.56
Fwd EY51.94%
FCF(TTM)4.31
FCFY87.6%
OCF(TTM)5.34
OCFY108.5%
SpS32.79
BVpS27.51
TBVpS-52.15
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.3
Graham Number21.54
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.41% | ||
| ROE | 1.5% | ||
| ROCE | 6.38% | ||
| ROIC | 4.86% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.95% | ||
| ROICexgc | 32.01% | ||
| OM | 18.67% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.25% | ||
| GM | 29.27% | ||
| FCFM | 13.14% |
ROA(3y)1.82%
ROA(5y)2.1%
ROE(3y)6.9%
ROE(5y)7.44%
ROIC(3y)5.68%
ROIC(5y)5.66%
ROICexc(3y)5.72%
ROICexc(5y)5.89%
ROICexgc(3y)32.02%
ROICexgc(5y)33.23%
ROCE(3y)7.45%
ROCE(5y)7.43%
ROICexgc growth 3Y30.28%
ROICexgc growth 5Y1.83%
ROICexc growth 3Y29.97%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.69%
OM growth 3Y10.89%
OM growth 5Y0.17%
PM growth 3Y77.88%
PM growth 5Y8.17%
GM growth 3Y0.85%
GM growth 5Y-1.16%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.32
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 12.75 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 6.24 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 38.46% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.14% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.34 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 60.69% | ||
| Profit Quality | 1047.62% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.93 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.93 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.73 |
F-Score4
WACC5.93%
ROIC/WACC0.82
Cap/Depr(3y)84.75%
Cap/Depr(5y)76.04%
Cap/Sales(3y)8.8%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.92%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-50.33%
EPS 3Y46.87%
EPS 5Y21.7%
EPS Q2Q%-127.59%
EPS Next Y-140.42%
EPS Next 2Y-13.18%
EPS Next 3Y-28.83%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.32%
Revenue growth 3Y14.73%
Revenue growth 5Y11.42%
Sales Q2Q%-21.16%
Revenue Next Year-14.7%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.74%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.73%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-4.58%
EBIT growth 3Y27.22%
EBIT growth 5Y11.61%
EBIT Next Year-21.77%
EBIT Next 3Y-5.02%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y18.28%
FCF growth 3Y86.99%
FCF growth 5Y17.2%
OCF growth 1Y-31.7%
OCF growth 3Y35.78%
OCF growth 5Y14.3%
GRAY MEDIA INC / GTN FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for GTN stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to GTN.
Can you provide the valuation status for GRAY MEDIA INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN) stock?
GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the financial health of GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN) stock?
The financial health rating of GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN) is 2 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for GRAY MEDIA INC?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN) is expected to decline by -140.42% in the next year.