GROUPON INC (GRPN) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:GRPN - US3994732069 - Common Stock
20.13 USD
+0.51 (+2.6%)
20.13 USD
0 (0%)
GRPN gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 30 industry peers in the Broadline Retail industry. GRPN has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. GRPN has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GRPN had negative earnings in the past year.
GRPN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
GRPN had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
GRPN had negative operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
GRPN's Return On Assets of -1.42% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GRPN is outperformed by 60.00% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Equity value of -17.99%, GRPN is not doing good in the industry: 73.33% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
GRPN has a Return On Invested Capital of 0.77%. This is in the lower half of the industry: GRPN underperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.42% | ||
| ROE | -17.99% | ||
| ROIC | 0.77% |
ROA(3y)-16.43%
ROA(5y)-11.89%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
GRPN has a Operating Margin of 0.57%. This is in the lower half of the industry: GRPN underperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
GRPN's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
GRPN has a better Gross Margin (90.58%) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GRPN has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 0.57% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 90.58% |
OM growth 3Y-37.22%
OM growth 5Y-11.86%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y5.78%
GM growth 5Y11.03%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), GRPN is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for GRPN has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, GRPN has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for GRPN has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
GRPN has an Altman-Z score of -1.65. This is a bad value and indicates that GRPN is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
GRPN's Altman-Z score of -1.65 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GRPN is outperformed by 73.33% of its industry peers.
GRPN has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.80. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as GRPN would need 3.80 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 3.80, GRPN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.33% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 4.17 is on the high side and indicates that GRPN has dependencies on debt financing.
GRPN has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (4.17) than 86.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 4.17 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.8 | ||
| Altman-Z | -1.65 |
ROIC/WACC0.1
WACC7.68%
2.3 Liquidity
GRPN has a Current Ratio of 0.96. This is a bad value and indicates that GRPN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.96, GRPN is doing worse than 86.67% of the companies in the same industry.
GRPN has a Quick Ratio of 0.96. This is a bad value and indicates that GRPN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GRPN has a Quick ratio of 0.96. This is in the lower half of the industry: GRPN underperforms 63.33% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.96 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.96 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for GRPN have decreased strongly by -117.65% in the last year.
GRPN shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -4.72%.
GRPN shows a very negative growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -25.99% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-117.65%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%1700%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-4.72%
Revenue growth 3Y-20.14%
Revenue growth 5Y-25.99%
Sales Q2Q%0.87%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, GRPN will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 46.06% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, GRPN will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 12.84% on average per year.
EPS Next Y176.5%
EPS Next 2Y66.58%
EPS Next 3Y46.06%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.27%
Revenue Next 2Y7.05%
Revenue Next 3Y9.35%
Revenue Next 5Y12.84%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for GRPN. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
GRPN is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.30.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as GRPN.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.55. GRPN is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.3 |
4.2 Price Multiples
GRPN's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. GRPN is more expensive than 63.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GRPN is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 76.67% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 12.53 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 30.57 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as GRPN's earnings are expected to grow with 46.06% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y66.58%
EPS Next 3Y46.06%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GRPN does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
20.13
+0.51 (+2.6%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners70.35%
Inst Owner Change0.88%
Ins Owners3.35%
Ins Owner Change4.91%
Market Cap813.86M
Revenue(TTM)487.75M
Net Income(TTM)-9209000
Analysts78
Price Target34.17 (69.75%)
Short Float %36.88%
Short Ratio6.85
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)2534.48%
Min EPS beat(2)265.44%
Max EPS beat(2)4803.53%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)632.5%
Min EPS beat(4)-2841.18%
Max EPS beat(4)4803.53%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)190.36%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)133.3%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)125.86%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.05%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.53%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.63%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.16%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.79%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.63%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.89%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.95%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.31%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)11.67%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)128.75%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.56%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.25%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.3 | ||
| P/S | 1.67 | ||
| P/FCF | 12.53 | ||
| P/OCF | 10.29 | ||
| P/B | 15.9 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 30.57 |
EPS(TTM)-0.37
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.95
Fwd EY4.7%
FCF(TTM)1.61
FCFY7.98%
OCF(TTM)1.96
OCFY9.72%
SpS12.06
BVpS1.27
TBVpS-3.25
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.42% | ||
| ROE | -17.99% | ||
| ROCE | 0.97% | ||
| ROIC | 0.77% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.72% | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | 0.57% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 90.58% | ||
| FCFM | 13.32% |
ROA(3y)-16.43%
ROA(5y)-11.89%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-40.94%
ROICexc growth 5Y-53.59%
OM growth 3Y-37.22%
OM growth 5Y-11.86%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y5.78%
GM growth 5Y11.03%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.75
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 4.17 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.8 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 8.17 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 60.69% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.9% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.47 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 302.95% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.96 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.96 | ||
| Altman-Z | -1.65 |
F-Score6
WACC7.68%
ROIC/WACC0.1
Cap/Depr(3y)52%
Cap/Depr(5y)57.82%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.65%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.63%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-117.65%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%1700%
EPS Next Y176.5%
EPS Next 2Y66.58%
EPS Next 3Y46.06%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-4.72%
Revenue growth 3Y-20.14%
Revenue growth 5Y-25.99%
Sales Q2Q%0.87%
Revenue Next Year3.27%
Revenue Next 2Y7.05%
Revenue Next 3Y9.35%
Revenue Next 5Y12.84%
EBIT growth 1Y-88.07%
EBIT growth 3Y-49.87%
EBIT growth 5Y-34.77%
EBIT Next Year865%
EBIT Next 3Y161.82%
EBIT Next 5Y131.3%
FCF growth 1Y137.26%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y188.49%
OCF growth 1Y154.1%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-4.75%
GROUPON INC / GRPN FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for GRPN stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to GRPN.
What is the valuation status of GROUPON INC (GRPN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to GROUPON INC (GRPN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of GRPN stock?
GROUPON INC (GRPN) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.
Is the dividend of GROUPON INC sustainable?
The dividend rating of GROUPON INC (GRPN) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.