17.75 USD
-0.77 (-4.16%)
17.75 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, GRPN scores 2 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. GRPN was compared to 30 industry peers in the Broadline Retail industry. Both the profitability and financial health of GRPN have multiple concerns. GRPN is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GRPN had negative earnings in the past year.
GRPN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
GRPN had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
GRPN had negative operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
GRPN has a Return On Assets of -23.27%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: GRPN underperforms 83.33% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 2.80%, GRPN is doing worse than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -23.27% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 2.8% |
ROA(3y)-16.43%
ROA(5y)-11.89%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
GRPN has a Operating Margin of 1.94%. This is in the lower half of the industry: GRPN underperforms 60.00% of its industry peers.
GRPN's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 90.86%, GRPN belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GRPN has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 1.94% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 90.86% |
OM growth 3Y-37.22%
OM growth 5Y-11.86%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y5.78%
GM growth 5Y11.03%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), GRPN is destroying value.
GRPN has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for GRPN has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for GRPN has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of -2.18, we must say that GRPN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
GRPN has a worse Altman-Z score (-2.18) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
GRPN has a debt to FCF ratio of 5.72. This is a neutral value as GRPN would need 5.72 years to pay back of all of its debts.
GRPN has a Debt to FCF ratio (5.72) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.72 | ||
| Altman-Z | -2.18 |
ROIC/WACC0.36
WACC7.66%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.93 indicates that GRPN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
GRPN has a worse Current ratio (0.93) than 86.67% of its industry peers.
GRPN has a Quick Ratio of 0.93. This is a bad value and indicates that GRPN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of GRPN (0.93) is worse than 63.33% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.93 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.93 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
GRPN shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -1392.86%.
Looking at the last year, GRPN shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -0.76% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, GRPN shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -25.99% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1392.86%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-984.85%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.76%
Revenue growth 3Y-20.14%
Revenue growth 5Y-25.99%
Sales Q2Q%7.29%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 46.06% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to grow by 14.11% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y176.92%
EPS Next 2Y66.58%
EPS Next 3Y46.06%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.27%
Revenue Next 2Y7.05%
Revenue Next 3Y9.35%
Revenue Next 5Y14.11%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
GRPN reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.78 indicates a rather expensive valuation of GRPN.
GRPN's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
GRPN is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 36.10, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.78 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GRPN is valued a bit more expensive than 63.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GRPN is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 76.67% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 12.04 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 28.35 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
GRPN's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
GRPN's earnings are expected to grow with 46.06% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y66.58%
EPS Next 3Y46.06%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for GRPN!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
17.75
-0.77 (-4.16%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners70.35%
Inst Owner Change0.93%
Ins Owners3.35%
Ins Owner Change3.1%
Market Cap723.31M
Revenue(TTM)496.09M
Net Income(TTM)-141.51M
Analysts78
Price Target31.88 (79.61%)
Short Float %34.85%
Short Ratio6.42
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-8386.21%
Min EPS beat(2)-21576%
Max EPS beat(2)4803.53%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-4837.04%
Min EPS beat(4)-21576%
Max EPS beat(4)4803.53%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-2481.16%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-1662.48%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-1250.63%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.33%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.29%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.63%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.28%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.29%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.63%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.51%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.27%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.3%
PT rev (1m)-6.72%
PT rev (3m)-6.72%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-9.52%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-16.18%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.55%
EPS NY rev (3m)138.96%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-2.66%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.66%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.78 | ||
| P/S | 1.46 | ||
| P/FCF | 12.04 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.66 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 28.35 |
EPS(TTM)-3.62
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.95
Fwd EY5.33%
FCF(TTM)1.47
FCFY8.3%
OCF(TTM)1.84
OCFY10.35%
SpS12.17
BVpS-1.46
TBVpS-5.93
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -23.27% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 3.54% | ||
| ROIC | 2.8% | ||
| ROICexc | 22.87% | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | 1.94% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 90.86% | ||
| FCFM | 12.11% |
ROA(3y)-16.43%
ROA(5y)-11.89%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-40.94%
ROICexc growth 5Y-53.59%
OM growth 3Y-37.22%
OM growth 5Y-11.86%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y5.78%
GM growth 5Y11.03%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.82
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.72 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 10.22 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 71.37% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.98% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.05 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 246.74% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.93 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.93 | ||
| Altman-Z | -2.18 |
F-Score4
WACC7.66%
ROIC/WACC0.36
Cap/Depr(3y)52%
Cap/Depr(5y)57.82%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.65%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.63%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1392.86%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-984.85%
EPS Next Y176.92%
EPS Next 2Y66.58%
EPS Next 3Y46.06%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.76%
Revenue growth 3Y-20.14%
Revenue growth 5Y-25.99%
Sales Q2Q%7.29%
Revenue Next Year3.27%
Revenue Next 2Y7.05%
Revenue Next 3Y9.35%
Revenue Next 5Y14.11%
EBIT growth 1Y-43.57%
EBIT growth 3Y-49.87%
EBIT growth 5Y-34.77%
EBIT Next Year865%
EBIT Next 3Y161.82%
EBIT Next 5Y136.97%
FCF growth 1Y142.54%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y188.49%
OCF growth 1Y164.2%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-4.75%
GROUPON INC / GRPN FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for GRPN stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to GRPN.
What is the valuation status of GROUPON INC (GRPN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to GROUPON INC (GRPN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of GRPN stock?
GROUPON INC (GRPN) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.
Is the dividend of GROUPON INC sustainable?
The dividend rating of GROUPON INC (GRPN) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.