GROUPON INC (GRPN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:GRPN • US3994732069

Current stock price

11.5 USD
+0.31 (+2.77%)
At close:
11.5 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This GRPN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

2

1. GRPN Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year GRPN has reported negative net income.
  • GRPN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • GRPN had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • In multiple years GRPN reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
GRPN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGRPN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M -100M -200M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of GRPN (-12.46%) is worse than 80.00% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 3.57%, GRPN is doing worse than 63.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -12.46%
ROE N/A
ROIC 3.57%
ROA(3y)-10.6%
ROA(5y)-10.3%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
GRPN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGRPN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -500 -1K -1.5K -2K -2.5K

1.3 Margins

  • GRPN has a Operating Margin (2.60%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • The Gross Margin of GRPN (90.79%) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • GRPN's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 2.6%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 90.79%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.33%
GM growth 5Y13.69%
GRPN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGRPN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 60 80

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0

2. GRPN Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GRPN is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, GRPN has more shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for GRPN has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, GRPN has a worse debt to assets ratio.
GRPN Yearly Shares OutstandingGRPN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M 40M
GRPN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGRPN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of -2.14, we must say that GRPN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of GRPN (-2.14) is worse than 70.00% of its industry peers.
  • GRPN has a debt to FCF ratio of 6.87. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as GRPN would need 6.87 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 6.87, GRPN is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 6.87
Altman-Z -2.14
ROIC/WACC0.42
WACC8.53%
GRPN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGRPN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M -100M 200M 300M

2.3 Liquidity

  • GRPN has a Current Ratio of 0.98. This is a bad value and indicates that GRPN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 0.98, GRPN is not doing good in the industry: 90.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • GRPN has a Quick Ratio of 0.98. This is a bad value and indicates that GRPN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.98, GRPN is doing worse than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.98
Quick Ratio 0.98
GRPN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGRPN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. GRPN Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for GRPN have decreased strongly by -84.43% in the last year.
  • GRPN shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 1.19%.
  • The Revenue for GRPN have been decreasing by -18.86% on average. This is quite bad
EPS 1Y (TTM)-84.43%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%114.17%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.19%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.95%
Revenue growth 5Y-18.86%
Sales Q2Q%1.79%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, GRPN will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 61.34% on average per year.
  • GRPN is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.37% yearly.
EPS Next Y152.13%
EPS Next 2Y61.34%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year2.53%
Revenue Next 2Y4.56%
Revenue Next 3Y6.37%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
GRPN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGRPN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B
GRPN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGRPN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 2 -2 4

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5

4. GRPN Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • GRPN reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • GRPN is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.80.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GRPN indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: GRPN is cheaper than 73.33% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GRPN to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.84), we can say GRPN is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 9.8
GRPN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGRPN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as GRPN.
  • 73.33% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GRPN, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 9.39
EV/EBITDA 16.33
GRPN Per share dataGRPN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • GRPN's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as GRPN's earnings are expected to grow with 61.34% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y61.34%
EPS Next 3YN/A

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. GRPN Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for GRPN!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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GRPN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

GROUPON INC

NASDAQ:GRPN (4/2/2026, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 11.5 0 (0%)

11.5

+0.31 (+2.77%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)03-10
Earnings (Next)05-05
Inst Owners67.01%
Inst Owner Change3.82%
Ins Owners3.35%
Ins Owner Change0.24%
Market Cap468.51M
Revenue(TTM)498.42M
Net Income(TTM)-83.52M
Analysts77.78
Price Target23.8 (106.96%)
Short Float %50.27%
Short Ratio9.66
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-10803.7%
Min EPS beat(2)-21576%
Max EPS beat(2)-31.51%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-4134.62%
Min EPS beat(4)-21576%
Max EPS beat(4)4803.53%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-2504.57%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-1665.61%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-1252.18%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.28%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.26%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.29%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.61%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.26%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.63%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.01%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.87%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.5%
PT rev (1m)-25.33%
PT rev (3m)-25.33%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-63.46%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-42.43%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)30.68%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-7.7%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-7.7%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-7.32%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-7.32%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 9.8
P/S 0.94
P/FCF 9.39
P/OCF 7.26
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 16.33
EPS(TTM)-2.25
EYN/A
EPS(NY)1.17
Fwd EY10.2%
FCF(TTM)1.22
FCFY10.65%
OCF(TTM)1.58
OCFY13.77%
SpS12.23
BVpS-1.04
TBVpS-5.51
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -12.46%
ROE N/A
ROCE 4.52%
ROIC 3.57%
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM 2.6%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 90.79%
FCFM 10.01%
ROA(3y)-10.6%
ROA(5y)-10.3%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.33%
GM growth 5Y13.69%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.74
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 6.87
Debt/EBITDA 9.8
Cap/Depr 78.62%
Cap/Sales 2.93%
Interest Coverage 0.88
Cash Conversion 204.38%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.98
Quick Ratio 0.98
Altman-Z -2.14
F-Score3
WACC8.53%
ROIC/WACC0.42
Cap/Depr(3y)57.58%
Cap/Depr(5y)61.43%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.47%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.47%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-84.43%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%114.17%
EPS Next Y152.13%
EPS Next 2Y61.34%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.19%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.95%
Revenue growth 5Y-18.86%
Sales Q2Q%1.79%
Revenue Next Year2.53%
Revenue Next 2Y4.56%
Revenue Next 3Y6.37%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y169.02%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year295.24%
EBIT Next 3Y109.82%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y24.79%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y15.39%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

GROUPON INC / GRPN Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for GRPN stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to GRPN.


Can you provide the valuation status for GROUPON INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to GROUPON INC (GRPN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is GROUPON INC (GRPN) stock?

GROUPON INC (GRPN) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.


What is the financial health of GROUPON INC (GRPN) stock?

The financial health rating of GROUPON INC (GRPN) is 0 / 10.