GRIFAL SPA (GRAL.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

BIT:GRAL • IT0005332595

1 EUR
-0.16 (-13.79%)
Last: Feb 16, 2026, 07:00 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Analyst Ratings Earnings Estimates Financials Ownership
Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to GRAL. GRAL was compared to 11 industry peers in the Containers & Packaging industry. Both the profitability and financial health of GRAL have multiple concerns. GRAL has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year GRAL has reported negative net income.
  • In the past year GRAL had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: GRAL reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • In the past 5 years GRAL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
GRAL.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGRAL.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5M -5M

1.2 Ratios

  • GRAL has a Return On Assets of -1.56%. This is in the lower half of the industry: GRAL underperforms 72.73% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -5.40%, GRAL is doing worse than 72.73% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GRAL has a Return On Invested Capital of 0.50%. This is in the lower half of the industry: GRAL underperforms 72.73% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GRAL is below the industry average of 6.57%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.56%
ROE -5.4%
ROIC 0.5%
ROA(3y)0.84%
ROA(5y)-0.5%
ROE(3y)2.71%
ROE(5y)-0.69%
ROIC(3y)2.91%
ROIC(5y)N/A
GRAL.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGRAL.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2 -2 4 -4 -6

1.3 Margins

  • GRAL's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • GRAL has a worse Operating Margin (0.74%) than 72.73% of its industry peers.
  • GRAL's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • GRAL's Gross Margin of 46.93% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GRAL outperforms 63.64% of its industry peers.
  • GRAL's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 0.74%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 46.93%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y3.09%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-31.79%
GM growth 3Y6.38%
GM growth 5Y2.64%
GRAL.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGRAL.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30 40

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1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GRAL is destroying value.
  • GRAL has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, GRAL has more shares outstanding
  • GRAL has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
GRAL.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingGRAL.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2M 4M 6M 8M 10M
GRAL.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGRAL.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.67, we must say that GRAL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • GRAL's Altman-Z score of 0.67 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GRAL is outperformed by 81.82% of its industry peers.
  • GRAL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.82. This is a neutral value indicating GRAL is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.82, GRAL is in line with its industry, outperforming 45.45% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.82
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.67
ROIC/WACC0.11
WACC4.63%
GRAL.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGRAL.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5M -5M 10M 15M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.78 indicates that GRAL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.78, GRAL is doing worse than 72.73% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.48 indicates that GRAL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • GRAL's Quick ratio of 0.48 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GRAL is outperformed by 72.73% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.78
Quick Ratio 0.48
GRAL.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGRAL.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5M 10M 15M 20M 25M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • GRAL shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -275.70%.
  • Measured over the past years, GRAL shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -22.76% on average per year.
  • GRAL shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 1.16%.
  • Measured over the past years, GRAL shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 15.14% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-275.7%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-22.76%
EPS Q2Q%-510.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.16%
Revenue growth 3Y13.1%
Revenue growth 5Y15.14%
Sales Q2Q%-1.19%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 86.63% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • GRAL is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 17.85% yearly.
EPS Next Y-400%
EPS Next 2Y65.83%
EPS Next 3Y86.63%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.72%
Revenue Next 2Y12.95%
Revenue Next 3Y17.85%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
GRAL.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGRAL.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 20M 40M 60M
GRAL.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGRAL.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 0.1 -0.1 0.2

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4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • GRAL reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.91 indicates a reasonable valuation of GRAL.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GRAL indicates a rather cheap valuation: GRAL is cheaper than 90.91% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • GRAL is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 28.13, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 8.91
GRAL.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGRAL.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 -10 20

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 72.73% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GRAL, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 7.88
GRAL.MI Per share dataGRAL.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 2 3

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as GRAL's earnings are expected to grow with 86.63% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y65.83%
EPS Next 3Y86.63%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for GRAL!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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GRIFAL SPA

BIT:GRAL (2/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

1

-0.16 (-13.79%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryContainers & Packaging
Earnings (Last)N/A
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst Owners6.93%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap11.42M
Revenue(TTM)37.49M
Net Income(TTM)-930.00K
Analysts82.86
Price Target1.73 (73%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 8.91
P/S 0.3
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 2.08
P/B 0.66
P/tB 1.92
EV/EBITDA 7.88
EPS(TTM)-0.08
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.11
Fwd EY11.22%
FCF(TTM)-0.17
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.48
OCFY48.19%
SpS3.28
BVpS1.51
TBVpS0.52
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.56%
ROE -5.4%
ROCE 0.84%
ROIC 0.5%
ROICexc 0.53%
ROICexgc 0.82%
OM 0.74%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 46.93%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)0.84%
ROA(5y)-0.5%
ROE(3y)2.71%
ROE(5y)-0.69%
ROIC(3y)2.91%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)3.2%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)4.62%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)4.87%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y0.37%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.05%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y3.09%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-31.79%
GM growth 3Y6.38%
GM growth 5Y2.64%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.63
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.82
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 3.17
Cap/Depr 178.05%
Cap/Sales 19.8%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 123.74%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.78
Quick Ratio 0.48
Altman-Z 0.67
F-Score3
WACC4.63%
ROIC/WACC0.11
Cap/Depr(3y)229.95%
Cap/Depr(5y)214.95%
Cap/Sales(3y)20.78%
Cap/Sales(5y)21.05%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-275.7%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-22.76%
EPS Q2Q%-510.22%
EPS Next Y-400%
EPS Next 2Y65.83%
EPS Next 3Y86.63%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.16%
Revenue growth 3Y13.1%
Revenue growth 5Y15.14%
Sales Q2Q%-1.19%
Revenue Next Year-1.72%
Revenue Next 2Y12.95%
Revenue Next 3Y17.85%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-85.6%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y18.7%
EBIT Next Year134.99%
EBIT Next 3Y79.22%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y25.09%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-16.63%
OCF growth 3Y65.79%
OCF growth 5Y21.8%

GRIFAL SPA / GRAL.MI FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GRIFAL SPA?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to GRAL.MI.


Can you provide the valuation status for GRIFAL SPA?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to GRIFAL SPA (GRAL.MI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is GRIFAL SPA (GRAL.MI) stock?

GRIFAL SPA (GRAL.MI) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for GRIFAL SPA?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GRIFAL SPA (GRAL.MI) is expected to decline by -400% in the next year.