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GRIFAL SPA (GRAL.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

BIT:GRAL - Euronext Milan - IT0005332595 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

1.6  +0.08 (+5.26%)

Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to GRAL. GRAL was compared to 15 industry peers in the Containers & Packaging industry. GRAL may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. GRAL is valued quite expensive, but it does show an excellent growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

GRAL had positive earnings in the past year.
GRAL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: GRAL reported negative net income in multiple years.
Each year in the past 5 years GRAL had a positive operating cash flow.
GRAL.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGRAL.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5M -5M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 0.92%, GRAL is doing worse than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
GRAL's Return On Equity of 2.85% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GRAL is outperformed by 60.00% of its industry peers.
GRAL's Return On Invested Capital of 3.11% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GRAL is outperformed by 60.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.92%
ROE 2.85%
ROIC 3.11%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
GRAL.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGRAL.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2 -2 4 -4 -6

1.3 Margins

GRAL's Profit Margin of 1.43% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GRAL is outperformed by 66.67% of its industry peers.
GRAL's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of GRAL (5.22%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
GRAL's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
GRAL has a Gross Margin of 47.84%. This is in the better half of the industry: GRAL outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GRAL has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 5.22%
PM (TTM) 1.43%
GM 47.84%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y3.09%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-31.79%
GM growth 3Y2.05%
GM growth 5Y0.11%
GRAL.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGRAL.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30 40

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

GRAL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
GRAL has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
GRAL.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingGRAL.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2M 4M 6M 8M 10M
GRAL.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGRAL.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M

2.2 Solvency

GRAL has an Altman-Z score of 1.07. This is a bad value and indicates that GRAL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.07, GRAL is doing worse than 86.67% of the companies in the same industry.
GRAL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.91. This is a neutral value indicating GRAL is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
GRAL has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (0.91) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.91
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.07
ROIC/WACC0.5
WACC6.25%
GRAL.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGRAL.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5M -5M 10M 15M

2.3 Liquidity

GRAL has a Current Ratio of 1.06. This is a normal value and indicates that GRAL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of GRAL (1.06) is worse than 60.00% of its industry peers.
GRAL has a Quick Ratio of 1.06. This is a bad value and indicates that GRAL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GRAL has a Quick ratio (0.70) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.06
Quick Ratio 0.7
GRAL.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGRAL.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5M 10M 15M 20M 25M

7

3. Growth

3.1 Past

GRAL shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -59.18%.
The earnings per share for GRAL have been decreasing by -22.76% on average. This is quite bad
Looking at the last year, GRAL shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 49.22%.
Measured over the past years, GRAL shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 15.14% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-59.18%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-22.76%
EPS Q2Q%-52.69%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)49.22%
Revenue growth 3Y13.1%
Revenue growth 5Y15.14%
Sales Q2Q%105.06%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, GRAL will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 111.79% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 32.65% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y125%
EPS Next 2Y144.95%
EPS Next 3Y111.79%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year23.27%
Revenue Next 2Y24.16%
Revenue Next 3Y32.65%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
GRAL.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGRAL.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 20M 40M 60M 80M
GRAL.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGRAL.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0.1 0.2 0.3

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 53.33, the valuation of GRAL can be described as expensive.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, GRAL is valued a bit more expensive than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of GRAL to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.43), we can say GRAL is valued expensively.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 17.43, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of GRAL.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GRAL is on the same level as its industry peers.
GRAL is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.17, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 53.33
Fwd PE 17.43
GRAL.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGRAL.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of GRAL indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: GRAL is cheaper than 73.33% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 7.22
GRAL.MI Per share dataGRAL.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 2 3

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
GRAL's earnings are expected to grow with 111.79% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.43
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y144.95%
EPS Next 3Y111.79%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for GRAL!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

GRIFAL SPA

BIT:GRAL (5/28/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

1.6

+0.08 (+5.26%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryContainers & Packaging
Earnings (Last)N/A N/A
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners9.57%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap18.27M
Analysts82.86
Price Target4.08 (155%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)-18.18%
EPS NY rev (3m)-18.18%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 53.33
Fwd PE 17.43
P/S 0.49
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 2.7
P/B 0.98
P/tB 2.04
EV/EBITDA 7.22
EPS(TTM)0.03
EY1.88%
EPS(NY)0.09
Fwd EY5.74%
FCF(TTM)-0.05
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.59
OCFY37.03%
SpS3.25
BVpS1.62
TBVpS0.78
PEG (NY)0.43
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.92%
ROE 2.85%
ROCE 5.21%
ROIC 3.11%
ROICexc 3.2%
ROICexgc 4.36%
OM 5.22%
PM (TTM) 1.43%
GM 47.84%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y3.09%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-31.79%
GM growth 3Y2.05%
GM growth 5Y0.11%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.64
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.91
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 3.05
Cap/Depr 203.21%
Cap/Sales 19.74%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 122.28%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.06
Quick Ratio 0.7
Altman-Z 1.07
F-Score6
WACC6.25%
ROIC/WACC0.5
Cap/Depr(3y)229.95%
Cap/Depr(5y)214.95%
Cap/Sales(3y)20.78%
Cap/Sales(5y)21.05%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-59.18%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-22.76%
EPS Q2Q%-52.69%
EPS Next Y125%
EPS Next 2Y144.95%
EPS Next 3Y111.79%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)49.22%
Revenue growth 3Y13.1%
Revenue growth 5Y15.14%
Sales Q2Q%105.06%
Revenue Next Year23.27%
Revenue Next 2Y24.16%
Revenue Next 3Y32.65%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-4.19%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y18.7%
EBIT Next Year326.9%
EBIT Next 3Y90.55%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y78.65%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y2.5%
OCF growth 3Y65.79%
OCF growth 5Y21.8%