GRIFAL SPA (GRAL.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
Europe - Euronext Milan - BIT:GRAL - IT0005332595 - Common Stock
1.1 EUR
-0.05 (-4.35%)
GRAL gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 11 industry peers in the Containers & Packaging industry. Both the profitability and financial health of GRAL have multiple concerns. While showing a medium growth rate, GRAL is valued expensive at the moment.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GRAL had negative earnings in the past year.
GRAL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years GRAL reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years GRAL had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -1.56%, GRAL is doing worse than 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
GRAL's Return On Equity of -5.40% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GRAL is outperformed by 78.57% of its industry peers.
GRAL's Return On Invested Capital of 0.50% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GRAL is outperformed by 71.43% of its industry peers.
GRAL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 2.91%. This is below the industry average of 7.17%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.56% | ||
| ROE | -5.4% | ||
| ROIC | 0.5% |
ROA(3y)0.84%
ROA(5y)-0.5%
ROE(3y)2.71%
ROE(5y)-0.69%
ROIC(3y)2.91%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GRAL has declined.
GRAL's Operating Margin of 0.74% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GRAL is outperformed by 71.43% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GRAL has grown nicely.
GRAL has a Gross Margin of 46.93%. This is in the better half of the industry: GRAL outperforms 71.43% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GRAL has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 0.74% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 46.93% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y3.09%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-31.79%
GM growth 3Y6.38%
GM growth 5Y2.64%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GRAL is destroying value.
GRAL has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for GRAL has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for GRAL has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
GRAL has an Altman-Z score of 0.69. This is a bad value and indicates that GRAL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.69, GRAL is doing worse than 85.71% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.82 indicates that GRAL is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.82, GRAL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 42.86% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.82 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.69 |
ROIC/WACC0.11
WACC4.72%
2.3 Liquidity
GRAL has a Current Ratio of 0.78. This is a bad value and indicates that GRAL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.78, GRAL is doing worse than 78.57% of the companies in the same industry.
GRAL has a Quick Ratio of 0.78. This is a bad value and indicates that GRAL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of GRAL (0.48) is worse than 78.57% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.78 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.48 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
GRAL shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -275.70%.
GRAL shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -22.76% yearly.
GRAL shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 1.16%.
The Revenue has been growing by 15.14% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-275.7%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-22.76%
EPS Q2Q%-510.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.16%
Revenue growth 3Y13.1%
Revenue growth 5Y15.14%
Sales Q2Q%-1.19%
3.2 Future
GRAL is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 86.63% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 17.85% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y-400%
EPS Next 2Y65.83%
EPS Next 3Y86.63%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.72%
Revenue Next 2Y12.95%
Revenue Next 3Y17.85%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
GRAL reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 9.80, which indicates a very decent valuation of GRAL.
GRAL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GRAL is cheaper than 92.86% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GRAL to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.79), we can say GRAL is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.8 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as GRAL.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.14 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A more expensive valuation may be justified as GRAL's earnings are expected to grow with 86.63% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y65.83%
EPS Next 3Y86.63%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GRAL does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
BIT:GRAL (12/5/2025, 7:00:00 PM)
1.1
-0.05 (-4.35%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryContainers & Packaging
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners7.06%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap12.56M
Revenue(TTM)37.49M
Net Income(TTM)-930.00K
Analysts82.86
Price Target1.73 (57.27%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-32%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-233.33%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-15.89%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.8 | ||
| P/S | 0.34 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 2.28 | ||
| P/B | 0.73 | ||
| P/tB | 2.11 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.14 |
EPS(TTM)-0.08
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.11
Fwd EY10.2%
FCF(TTM)-0.17
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.48
OCFY43.81%
SpS3.28
BVpS1.51
TBVpS0.52
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.56% | ||
| ROE | -5.4% | ||
| ROCE | 0.84% | ||
| ROIC | 0.5% | ||
| ROICexc | 0.53% | ||
| ROICexgc | 0.82% | ||
| OM | 0.74% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 46.93% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)0.84%
ROA(5y)-0.5%
ROE(3y)2.71%
ROE(5y)-0.69%
ROIC(3y)2.91%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)3.2%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)4.62%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)4.87%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y0.37%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.05%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y3.09%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-31.79%
GM growth 3Y6.38%
GM growth 5Y2.64%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.63
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.82 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.17 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 178.05% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 19.8% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 123.74% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.78 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.48 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.69 |
F-Score3
WACC4.72%
ROIC/WACC0.11
Cap/Depr(3y)229.95%
Cap/Depr(5y)214.95%
Cap/Sales(3y)20.78%
Cap/Sales(5y)21.05%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-275.7%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-22.76%
EPS Q2Q%-510.22%
EPS Next Y-400%
EPS Next 2Y65.83%
EPS Next 3Y86.63%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.16%
Revenue growth 3Y13.1%
Revenue growth 5Y15.14%
Sales Q2Q%-1.19%
Revenue Next Year-1.72%
Revenue Next 2Y12.95%
Revenue Next 3Y17.85%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-85.6%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y18.7%
EBIT Next Year134.99%
EBIT Next 3Y79.22%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y25.09%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-16.63%
OCF growth 3Y65.79%
OCF growth 5Y21.8%
GRIFAL SPA / GRAL.MI FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GRIFAL SPA?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to GRAL.MI.
What is the valuation status for GRAL stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to GRIFAL SPA (GRAL.MI). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is GRIFAL SPA (GRAL.MI) stock?
GRIFAL SPA (GRAL.MI) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for GRIFAL SPA?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GRIFAL SPA (GRAL.MI) is expected to decline by -400% in the next year.