GRAL Fundamental Analysis - GRIFAL SPA

Fundamental Rating

Overall GRAL gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated GRAL against 14 industry peers in the Containers & Packaging industry. Both the profitability and financial health of GRAL have multiple concerns. GRAL is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.

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1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year GRAL was profitable.

GRAL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.

In multiple years GRAL reported negative net income over the last 5 years.

GRAL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.

1.2 Ratios

GRAL has a Return On Assets of 0.25%. This is in the lower half of the industry: GRAL underperforms 64.29% of its industry peers.

GRAL has a worse Return On Equity (0.83%) than 64.29% of its industry peers.

GRAL has a Return On Invested Capital of 2.74%. This is in the lower half of the industry: GRAL underperforms 64.29% of its industry peers.

GRAL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 2.91%. This is below the industry average of 6.41%.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	0.25%
ROE	0.83%
ROIC	2.74%

ROA(3y)0.84%

ROA(5y)-0.5%

ROE(3y)2.71%

ROE(5y)-0.69%

ROIC(3y)2.91%

ROIC(5y)N/A

1.3 Margins

GRAL's Profit Margin of 0.40% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GRAL is outperformed by 64.29% of its industry peers.

GRAL's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.

Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 4.26%, GRAL is doing worse than 64.29% of the companies in the same industry.

GRAL's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.

GRAL's Gross Margin of 48.08% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GRAL outperforms 64.29% of its industry peers.

GRAL's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
OM	4.26%
PM (TTM)	0.4%
GM	48.08%

OM growth 3YN/A

OM growth 5Y3.09%

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5Y-31.79%

GM growth 3Y6.38%

GM growth 5Y2.64%

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ROA

ROE

ROIC

Operating and Profit Margin

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GRAL is destroying value.

GRAL has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.

The number of shares outstanding for GRAL has been increased compared to 5 years ago.

The debt/assets ratio for GRAL has been reduced compared to a year ago.

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.91, we must say that GRAL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.

GRAL has a Altman-Z score of 0.91. This is amonst the worse of the industry: GRAL underperforms 92.86% of its industry peers.

A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.82 indicates that GRAL is somewhat dependend on debt financing.

The Debt to Equity ratio of GRAL (0.82) is worse than 64.29% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	0.82
Debt/FCF	N/A
Altman-Z	0.91

ROIC/WACC0.54

WACC5.06%

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.90 indicates that GRAL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.

GRAL has a worse Current ratio (0.90) than 71.43% of its industry peers.

A Quick Ratio of 0.58 indicates that GRAL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.

The Quick ratio of GRAL (0.58) is comparable to the rest of the industry.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Current Ratio	0.9
Quick Ratio	0.58

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WACC

Debt/Equity

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Altman-Z score

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for GRAL have decreased strongly by -83.06% in the last year.

GRAL shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -22.76% yearly.

GRAL shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -0.19%.

GRAL shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 15.14% yearly.

EPS 1Y (TTM)-83.06%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5Y-22.76%

EPS Q2Q%-119.35%

Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.19%

Revenue growth 3Y13.1%

Revenue growth 5Y15.14%

Sales Q2Q%3.55%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, GRAL will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 111.79% on average per year.

The Revenue is expected to grow by 22.19% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth

EPS Next Y125%

EPS Next 2Y144.95%

EPS Next 3Y111.79%

EPS Next 5YN/A

Revenue Next Year16.85%

Revenue Next 2Y21%

Revenue Next 3Y22.19%

Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 143.00, which means the current valuation is very expensive for GRAL.

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, GRAL is valued a bit more expensive than 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.

GRAL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.07.

Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.58, the valuation of GRAL can be described as correct.

GRAL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.

When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GRAL to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.59), we can say GRAL is valued slightly cheaper.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	143
Fwd PE	15.58

4.2 Price Multiples

71.43% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GRAL, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
P/FCF	N/A
EV/EBITDA	6.76

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.

A more expensive valuation may be justified as GRAL's earnings are expected to grow with 111.79% in the coming years.

PEG (NY)1.14

PEG (5Y)N/A

EPS Next 2Y144.95%

EPS Next 3Y111.79%

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

GRAL does not give a dividend.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	N/A

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GRIFAL SPA

BIT:GRAL (9/8/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

1.43

0 (0%)

Chartmill FA Rating

GICS SectorMaterials

GICS IndustryGroupMaterials

GICS IndustryContainers & Packaging

Earnings (Last)N/A N/A

Earnings (Next)N/A N/A

Inst Owners7.81%

Inst Owner ChangeN/A

Ins OwnersN/A

Ins Owner ChangeN/A

Market Cap16.33M

Analysts82.86

Price Target2.55 (78.32%)

Short Float %N/A

Short RatioN/A

Dividend

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	N/A

Yearly DividendN/A

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A

DP0%

Div Incr YearsN/A

Div Non Decr YearsN/A

Ex-DateN/A

Surprises & Revisions

EPS beat(2)N/A

Avg EPS beat(2)N/A

Min EPS beat(2)N/A

Max EPS beat(2)N/A

EPS beat(4)N/A

Avg EPS beat(4)N/A

Min EPS beat(4)N/A

Max EPS beat(4)N/A

EPS beat(8)N/A

Avg EPS beat(8)N/A

EPS beat(12)N/A

Avg EPS beat(12)N/A

EPS beat(16)N/A

Avg EPS beat(16)N/A

Revenue beat(2)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A

Min Revenue beat(2)N/A

Max Revenue beat(2)N/A

Revenue beat(4)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A

Min Revenue beat(4)N/A

Max Revenue beat(4)N/A

Revenue beat(8)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A

Revenue beat(12)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A

Revenue beat(16)N/A

Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A

PT rev (1m)0%

PT rev (3m)-37.5%

EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A

EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A

EPS NY rev (1m)0%

EPS NY rev (3m)0%

Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A

Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A

Revenue NY rev (1m)0%

Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.21%

Valuation

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	143
Fwd PE	15.58
P/S	0.43
P/FCF	N/A
P/OCF	3.74
P/B	0.9
P/tB	2.14
EV/EBITDA	6.76

EPS(TTM)0.01

EY0.7%

EPS(NY)0.09

Fwd EY6.42%

FCF(TTM)-0.23

FCFYN/A

OCF(TTM)0.38

OCFY26.77%

SpS3.3

BVpS1.59

TBVpS0.67

PEG (NY)1.14

PEG (5Y)N/A

Profitability

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	0.25%
ROE	0.83%
ROCE	4.59%
ROIC	2.74%
ROICexc	2.87%
ROICexgc	4.2%
OM	4.26%
PM (TTM)	0.4%
GM	48.08%
FCFM	N/A

ROA(3y)0.84%

ROA(5y)-0.5%

ROE(3y)2.71%

ROE(5y)-0.69%

ROIC(3y)2.91%

ROIC(5y)N/A

ROICexc(3y)3.2%

ROICexc(5y)N/A

ROICexgc(3y)4.62%

ROICexgc(5y)N/A

ROCE(3y)4.87%

ROCE(5y)N/A

ROICexcg growth 3YN/A

ROICexcg growth 5Y0.37%

ROICexc growth 3YN/A

ROICexc growth 5Y-1.05%

OM growth 3YN/A

OM growth 5Y3.09%

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5Y-31.79%

GM growth 3Y6.38%

GM growth 5Y2.64%

F-Score6

Asset Turnover0.63

Health

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	0.82
Debt/FCF	N/A
Debt/EBITDA	2.68
Cap/Depr	176.11%
Cap/Sales	18.46%
Interest Coverage	250
Cash Conversion	78.64%
Profit Quality	N/A
Current Ratio	0.9
Quick Ratio	0.58
Altman-Z	0.91

F-Score6

WACC5.06%

ROIC/WACC0.54

Cap/Depr(3y)229.95%

Cap/Depr(5y)214.95%

Cap/Sales(3y)20.78%

Cap/Sales(5y)21.05%

Profit Quality(3y)N/A

Profit Quality(5y)N/A

High Growth Momentum

Growth

EPS 1Y (TTM)-83.06%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5Y-22.76%

EPS Q2Q%-119.35%

EPS Next Y125%

EPS Next 2Y144.95%

EPS Next 3Y111.79%

EPS Next 5YN/A

Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.19%

Revenue growth 3Y13.1%

Revenue growth 5Y15.14%

Sales Q2Q%3.55%

Revenue Next Year16.85%

Revenue Next 2Y21%

Revenue Next 3Y22.19%

Revenue Next 5YN/A

EBIT growth 1Y-26.12%

EBIT growth 3YN/A

EBIT growth 5Y18.7%

EBIT Next Year326.9%

EBIT Next 3Y90.55%

EBIT Next 5YN/A

FCF growth 1Y-417.59%

FCF growth 3YN/A

FCF growth 5YN/A

OCF growth 1Y-52.97%

OCF growth 3Y65.79%

OCF growth 5Y21.8%

GRIFAL SPA (GRAL.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

1.2 Ratios

1.3 Margins

More info and screens

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

2.2 Solvency

2.3 Liquidity

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

3.2 Future

3.3 Evolution

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

4.2 Price Multiples

4.3 Compensation for Growth

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

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