CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:GOOS - CA1350861060 - Common Stock
12.65 USD
-0.15 (-1.17%)
12.65 USD
0 (0%)
Overall GOOS gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated GOOS against 45 industry peers in the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods industry. While GOOS is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. GOOS has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year GOOS was profitable.
GOOS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years GOOS has always been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years GOOS had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
GOOS's Return On Assets of 1.64% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GOOS outperforms 42.22% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Equity value of 6.23%, GOOS perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 48.89% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 6.14%, GOOS perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 51.11% of the companies in the same industry.
GOOS had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.34%. This is below the industry average of 11.80%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.64% | ||
| ROE | 6.23% | ||
| ROIC | 6.14% |
ROA(3y)4.79%
ROA(5y)5.16%
ROE(3y)15.67%
ROE(5y)15.36%
ROIC(3y)8.34%
ROIC(5y)9.05%
1.3 Margins
With a Profit Margin value of 1.92%, GOOS perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 44.44% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GOOS has declined.
GOOS has a Operating Margin (6.91%) which is in line with its industry peers.
GOOS's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
GOOS has a better Gross Margin (70.12%) than 97.78% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GOOS has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.92% | ||
| GM | 70.12% |
OM growth 3Y-8.46%
OM growth 5Y-11.15%
PM growth 3Y-6.54%
PM growth 5Y-14.99%
GM growth 3Y1.55%
GM growth 5Y2.46%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
GOOS has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
GOOS has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, GOOS has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, GOOS has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
GOOS has an Altman-Z score of 2.38. This is not the best score and indicates that GOOS is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
GOOS has a worse Altman-Z score (2.38) than 60.00% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GOOS is 3.89, which is a good value as it means it would take GOOS, 3.89 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GOOS (3.89) is better than 64.44% of its industry peers.
GOOS has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.66. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.66, GOOS is not doing good in the industry: 80.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.66 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.38 |
ROIC/WACC0.61
WACC10.07%
2.3 Liquidity
GOOS has a Current Ratio of 1.89. This is a normal value and indicates that GOOS is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GOOS has a Current ratio of 1.89. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GOOS outperforms 46.67% of its industry peers.
GOOS has a Quick Ratio of 1.89. This is a bad value and indicates that GOOS is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GOOS's Quick ratio of 0.82 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GOOS is outperformed by 68.89% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.89 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.82 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
GOOS shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -3.66%.
Measured over the past years, GOOS shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -3.58% on average per year.
GOOS shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 3.71%.
Measured over the past years, GOOS shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 7.07% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.66%
EPS 3Y-0.89%
EPS 5Y-3.58%
EPS Q2Q%-380%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.71%
Revenue growth 3Y7.07%
Revenue growth 5Y7.07%
Sales Q2Q%1.79%
3.2 Future
GOOS is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 5.95% yearly.
GOOS is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 7.24% yearly.
EPS Next Y-6.97%
EPS Next 2Y2.67%
EPS Next 3Y5.95%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year8.84%
Revenue Next 2Y7.48%
Revenue Next 3Y7.24%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
GOOS is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 22.19.
62.22% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GOOS, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.55, GOOS is valued at the same level.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 15.01, which indicates a correct valuation of GOOS.
GOOS's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. GOOS is cheaper than 62.22% of the companies in the same industry.
GOOS is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.78, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.19 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.01 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of GOOS is on the same level as its industry peers.
GOOS's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GOOS is cheaper than 86.67% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 8.28 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.59 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y2.67%
EPS Next 3Y5.95%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for GOOS!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
12.65
-0.15 (-1.17%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryTextiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners65.13%
Inst Owner Change-12.09%
Ins Owners2.12%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.23B
Revenue(TTM)1.37B
Net Income(TTM)26.40M
Analysts74.67
Price Target14.2 (12.25%)
Short Float %8.72%
Short Ratio5.95
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-15.9%
Min EPS beat(2)-30.56%
Max EPS beat(2)-1.24%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)1.46%
Min EPS beat(4)-30.56%
Max EPS beat(4)41.69%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)46.12%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)46.71%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)92.21%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.78%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.31%
Max Revenue beat(2)13.86%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.92%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.31%
Max Revenue beat(4)13.86%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.57%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.57%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.5%
PT rev (1m)-0.48%
PT rev (3m)2.88%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.4%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.4%
EPS NY rev (1m)-3.77%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.8%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.7%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.7%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.27%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.27%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.19 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.01 | ||
| P/S | 1.23 | ||
| P/FCF | 8.28 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.42 | ||
| P/B | 3.99 | ||
| P/tB | 7.61 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.59 |
EPS(TTM)0.57
EY4.51%
EPS(NY)0.84
Fwd EY6.66%
FCF(TTM)1.53
FCFY12.08%
OCF(TTM)1.7
OCFY13.47%
SpS10.28
BVpS3.17
TBVpS1.66
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number6.38
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.64% | ||
| ROE | 6.23% | ||
| ROCE | 8.06% | ||
| ROIC | 6.14% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.65% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.11% | ||
| OM | 6.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.92% | ||
| GM | 70.12% | ||
| FCFM | 14.86% |
ROA(3y)4.79%
ROA(5y)5.16%
ROE(3y)15.67%
ROE(5y)15.36%
ROIC(3y)8.34%
ROIC(5y)9.05%
ROICexc(3y)10.54%
ROICexc(5y)12.3%
ROICexgc(3y)13.29%
ROICexgc(5y)15.83%
ROCE(3y)10.65%
ROCE(5y)11.55%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-4.75%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-7.13%
ROICexc growth 3Y-5.1%
ROICexc growth 5Y-6.39%
OM growth 3Y-8.46%
OM growth 5Y-11.15%
PM growth 3Y-6.54%
PM growth 5Y-14.99%
GM growth 3Y1.55%
GM growth 5Y2.46%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.85
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.66 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.89 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.14 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 18.34% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.72% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.79 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 101.83% | ||
| Profit Quality | 772.73% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.89 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.82 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.38 |
F-Score7
WACC10.07%
ROIC/WACC0.61
Cap/Depr(3y)33.84%
Cap/Depr(5y)35.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.14%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.25%
Profit Quality(3y)190.15%
Profit Quality(5y)242.29%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.66%
EPS 3Y-0.89%
EPS 5Y-3.58%
EPS Q2Q%-380%
EPS Next Y-6.97%
EPS Next 2Y2.67%
EPS Next 3Y5.95%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.71%
Revenue growth 3Y7.07%
Revenue growth 5Y7.07%
Sales Q2Q%1.79%
Revenue Next Year8.84%
Revenue Next 2Y7.48%
Revenue Next 3Y7.24%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-25.76%
EBIT growth 3Y-1.99%
EBIT growth 5Y-4.86%
EBIT Next Year87.97%
EBIT Next 3Y29.25%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y802.66%
FCF growth 3Y33.41%
FCF growth 5Y324.13%
OCF growth 1Y169.35%
OCF growth 3Y24.48%
OCF growth 5Y36.15%
CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC / GOOS FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GOOS.
What is the valuation status of CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of GOOS stock?
CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the financial health of CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) stock?
The financial health rating of CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) is 3 / 10.