CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:GOOS - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - CA1350861060 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Taking everything into account, GOOS scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. GOOS was compared to 50 industry peers in the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods industry. While GOOS has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. GOOS is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GOOS had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year GOOS had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years GOOS has been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years GOOS had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 5.86%, GOOS is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of GOOS (17.52%) is better than 80.00% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of GOOS (9.47%) is better than 66.00% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GOOS is below the industry average of 10.82%.
The 3 year average ROIC (8.34%) for GOOS is below the current ROIC(9.47%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.86% | ||
| ROE | 17.52% | ||
| ROIC | 9.47% |
ROA(3y)4.79%
ROA(5y)5.16%
ROE(3y)15.67%
ROE(5y)15.36%
ROIC(3y)8.34%
ROIC(5y)9.05%
1.3 Margins
GOOS has a Profit Margin of 7.03%. This is amongst the best in the industry. GOOS outperforms 82.00% of its industry peers.
GOOS's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
GOOS has a better Operating Margin (11.48%) than 78.00% of its industry peers.
GOOS's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 69.94%, GOOS belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.00% of the companies in the same industry.
GOOS's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.48% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.03% | ||
| GM | 69.94% |
OM growth 3Y-8.46%
OM growth 5Y-11.15%
PM growth 3Y-6.54%
PM growth 5Y-14.99%
GM growth 3Y1.55%
GM growth 5Y2.46%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GOOS is still creating some value.
GOOS has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
GOOS has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
GOOS has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.68 indicates that GOOS is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
GOOS has a Altman-Z score (2.68) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GOOS is 2.71, which is a good value as it means it would take GOOS, 2.71 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 2.71, GOOS is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.00% of the companies in the same industry.
GOOS has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.21. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.21, GOOS is not doing good in the industry: 74.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.21 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.71 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.68 |
ROIC/WACC1.18
WACC8.05%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.67 indicates that GOOS has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
GOOS has a Current ratio of 2.67. This is in the better half of the industry: GOOS outperforms 72.00% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.50 indicates that GOOS should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
GOOS has a better Quick ratio (1.50) than 72.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.67 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.5 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
GOOS shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 5.38%.
GOOS shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -3.58% yearly.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.09% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, GOOS shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 7.07% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)5.38%
EPS 3Y-0.89%
EPS 5Y-3.58%
EPS Q2Q%-15.19%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.09%
Revenue growth 3Y7.07%
Revenue growth 5Y7.07%
Sales Q2Q%22.36%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 6.52% on average over the next years.
GOOS is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.09% yearly.
EPS Next Y1.48%
EPS Next 2Y5.13%
EPS Next 3Y6.52%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year5.94%
Revenue Next 2Y5.39%
Revenue Next 3Y5.09%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 16.11, the valuation of GOOS can be described as correct.
62.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GOOS, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
GOOS is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.73, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 12.97, which indicates a correct valuation of GOOS.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, GOOS is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 62.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
GOOS's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 34.61.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.11 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.97 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GOOS is valued a bit cheaper than 72.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of GOOS indicates a rather cheap valuation: GOOS is cheaper than 94.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 5.58 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.62 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates GOOS does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
GOOS has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)10.85
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y5.13%
EPS Next 3Y6.52%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GOOS does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
11.44
+0.37 (+3.34%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryTextiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners70.59%
Inst Owner Change-5.55%
Ins Owners2.4%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.11B
Analysts50
Price Target11.3 (-1.22%)
Short Float %19.35%
Short Ratio6.21
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)18.81%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.08%
Max EPS beat(2)41.69%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)59.17%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.08%
Max EPS beat(4)196.12%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)74.08%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)71.42%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)109.44%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.06%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.02%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.13%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.83%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.02%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.13%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.46%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.81%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.28%
PT rev (1m)-1.73%
PT rev (3m)13.14%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.29%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.17%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.17%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.42%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.42%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.11 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.97 | ||
| P/S | 1.14 | ||
| P/FCF | 5.58 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.23 | ||
| P/B | 2.83 | ||
| P/tB | 4.54 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.62 |
EPS(TTM)0.71
EY6.21%
EPS(NY)0.88
Fwd EY7.71%
FCF(TTM)2.05
FCFY17.93%
OCF(TTM)2.19
OCFY19.1%
SpS10.08
BVpS4.04
TBVpS2.52
PEG (NY)10.85
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.86% | ||
| ROE | 17.52% | ||
| ROCE | 12.02% | ||
| ROIC | 9.47% | ||
| ROICexc | 12.79% | ||
| ROICexgc | 16.27% | ||
| OM | 11.48% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.03% | ||
| GM | 69.94% | ||
| FCFM | 20.36% |
ROA(3y)4.79%
ROA(5y)5.16%
ROE(3y)15.67%
ROE(5y)15.36%
ROIC(3y)8.34%
ROIC(5y)9.05%
ROICexc(3y)10.54%
ROICexc(5y)12.3%
ROICexgc(3y)13.29%
ROICexgc(5y)15.83%
ROCE(3y)10.65%
ROCE(5y)11.55%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-4.75%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-7.13%
ROICexc growth 3Y-5.1%
ROICexc growth 5Y-6.39%
OM growth 3Y-8.46%
OM growth 5Y-11.15%
PM growth 3Y-6.54%
PM growth 5Y-14.99%
GM growth 3Y1.55%
GM growth 5Y2.46%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.83
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.21 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.71 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.29 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 13.7% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.33% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.99 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 102.42% | ||
| Profit Quality | 289.56% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.67 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.5 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.68 |
F-Score7
WACC8.05%
ROIC/WACC1.18
Cap/Depr(3y)33.84%
Cap/Depr(5y)35.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.14%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.25%
Profit Quality(3y)190.15%
Profit Quality(5y)242.29%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)5.38%
EPS 3Y-0.89%
EPS 5Y-3.58%
EPS Q2Q%-15.19%
EPS Next Y1.48%
EPS Next 2Y5.13%
EPS Next 3Y6.52%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.09%
Revenue growth 3Y7.07%
Revenue growth 5Y7.07%
Sales Q2Q%22.36%
Revenue Next Year5.94%
Revenue Next 2Y5.39%
Revenue Next 3Y5.09%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y44.4%
EBIT growth 3Y-1.99%
EBIT growth 5Y-4.86%
EBIT Next Year84.71%
EBIT Next 3Y22.94%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y152.53%
FCF growth 3Y33.41%
FCF growth 5Y324.13%
OCF growth 1Y77.64%
OCF growth 3Y24.48%
OCF growth 5Y36.15%