CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:GOOS - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - CA1350861060 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Taking everything into account, GOOS scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. GOOS was compared to 48 industry peers in the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods industry. GOOS has an excellent profitability rating, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. GOOS is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GOOS had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year GOOS had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years GOOS has been profitable.
In the past 5 years GOOS always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of GOOS (5.86%) is better than 64.58% of its industry peers.
GOOS has a better Return On Equity (17.52%) than 75.00% of its industry peers.
GOOS's Return On Invested Capital of 9.47% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GOOS outperforms 60.42% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GOOS is below the industry average of 11.45%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (9.47%) for GOOS is above the 3 year average (8.32%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.86% | ||
| ROE | 17.52% | ||
| ROIC | 9.47% |
ROA(3y)4.79%
ROA(5y)5.16%
ROE(3y)15.67%
ROE(5y)15.36%
ROIC(3y)8.32%
ROIC(5y)9.04%
1.3 Margins
GOOS has a Profit Margin of 7.03%. This is in the better half of the industry: GOOS outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
GOOS's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
GOOS has a better Operating Margin (11.48%) than 79.17% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GOOS has declined.
GOOS's Gross Margin of 69.94% is amongst the best of the industry. GOOS outperforms 95.83% of its industry peers.
GOOS's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.48% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.03% | ||
| GM | 69.94% |
OM growth 3Y-8.46%
OM growth 5Y-11.15%
PM growth 3Y-6.54%
PM growth 5Y-14.99%
GM growth 3Y1.55%
GM growth 5Y2.46%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), GOOS is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for GOOS has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for GOOS has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, GOOS has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.69 indicates that GOOS is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a Altman-Z score value of 2.69, GOOS perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 43.75% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GOOS is 2.71, which is a good value as it means it would take GOOS, 2.71 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 2.71, GOOS is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
GOOS has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.21. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.21, GOOS is doing worse than 77.08% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.21 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.71 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.69 |
ROIC/WACC1.28
WACC7.38%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.67 indicates that GOOS has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of GOOS (2.67) is better than 70.83% of its industry peers.
GOOS has a Quick Ratio of 1.50. This is a normal value and indicates that GOOS is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GOOS's Quick ratio of 1.50 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GOOS outperforms 64.58% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.67 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.5 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.84% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, GOOS shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -3.58% on average per year.
GOOS shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 1.09%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.07% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.84%
EPS 3Y-0.89%
EPS 5Y-3.58%
EPS Q2Q%73.68%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.09%
Revenue growth 3Y7.07%
Revenue growth 5Y7.07%
Sales Q2Q%7.43%
3.2 Future
GOOS is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 6.52% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, GOOS will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.00% on average per year.
EPS Next Y1.48%
EPS Next 2Y5.13%
EPS Next 3Y6.52%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year4.46%
Revenue Next 2Y5.14%
Revenue Next 3Y4%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 14.00, the valuation of GOOS can be described as correct.
GOOS's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. GOOS is cheaper than 72.92% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of GOOS to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.35), we can say GOOS is valued slightly cheaper.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 13.75, which indicates a correct valuation of GOOS.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as GOOS.
GOOS's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 22.19.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.75 |
4.2 Price Multiples
GOOS's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. GOOS is cheaper than 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of GOOS indicates a rather cheap valuation: GOOS is cheaper than 87.50% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 5.42 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.64 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of GOOS may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)9.43
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y5.13%
EPS Next 3Y6.52%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for GOOS!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
11.2
-0.01 (-0.09%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryTextiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners70.59%
Inst Owner Change-9.83%
Ins Owners2.4%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.08B
Analysts50
Price Target11.45 (2.23%)
Short Float %20.67%
Short Ratio7.44
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)18.81%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.08%
Max EPS beat(2)41.69%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)59.17%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.08%
Max EPS beat(4)196.12%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)74.08%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)71.42%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)109.44%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.06%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.02%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.13%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.83%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.02%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.13%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.46%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.81%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.28%
PT rev (1m)8.1%
PT rev (3m)19.21%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.58%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.17%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.3%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.7%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.72%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.07%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.75 | ||
| P/S | 1.1 | ||
| P/FCF | 5.42 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.08 | ||
| P/B | 2.75 | ||
| P/tB | 4.41 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.64 |
EPS(TTM)0.8
EY7.14%
EPS(NY)0.81
Fwd EY7.27%
FCF(TTM)2.07
FCFY18.46%
OCF(TTM)2.2
OCFY19.67%
SpS10.16
BVpS4.08
TBVpS2.54
PEG (NY)9.43
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.86% | ||
| ROE | 17.52% | ||
| ROCE | 12.02% | ||
| ROIC | 9.47% | ||
| ROICexc | 12.79% | ||
| ROICexgc | 16.27% | ||
| OM | 11.48% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.03% | ||
| GM | 69.94% | ||
| FCFM | 20.36% |
ROA(3y)4.79%
ROA(5y)5.16%
ROE(3y)15.67%
ROE(5y)15.36%
ROIC(3y)8.32%
ROIC(5y)9.04%
ROICexc(3y)10.51%
ROICexc(5y)12.28%
ROICexgc(3y)13.25%
ROICexgc(5y)15.8%
ROCE(3y)10.62%
ROCE(5y)11.54%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-4.75%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-7.13%
ROICexc growth 3Y-5.1%
ROICexc growth 5Y-6.39%
OM growth 3Y-8.46%
OM growth 5Y-11.15%
PM growth 3Y-6.54%
PM growth 5Y-14.99%
GM growth 3Y1.55%
GM growth 5Y2.46%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.83
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.21 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.71 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.29 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 13.7% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.33% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.99 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 102.42% | ||
| Profit Quality | 289.56% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.67 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.5 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.69 |
F-Score7
WACC7.38%
ROIC/WACC1.28
Cap/Depr(3y)33.84%
Cap/Depr(5y)35.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.14%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.25%
Profit Quality(3y)190.15%
Profit Quality(5y)242.29%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.84%
EPS 3Y-0.89%
EPS 5Y-3.58%
EPS Q2Q%73.68%
EPS Next Y1.48%
EPS Next 2Y5.13%
EPS Next 3Y6.52%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.09%
Revenue growth 3Y7.07%
Revenue growth 5Y7.07%
Sales Q2Q%7.43%
Revenue Next Year4.46%
Revenue Next 2Y5.14%
Revenue Next 3Y4%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y44.4%
EBIT growth 3Y-1.99%
EBIT growth 5Y-4.86%
EBIT Next Year84.71%
EBIT Next 3Y22.95%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y152.53%
FCF growth 3Y33.41%
FCF growth 5Y324.13%
OCF growth 1Y77.64%
OCF growth 3Y24.48%
OCF growth 5Y36.15%