CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:GOOS - CA1350861060 - Common Stock
13.93 USD
+0.22 (+1.6%)
13.93 USD
0 (0%)
GOOS gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 48 industry peers in the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of GOOS get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. GOOS has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year GOOS was profitable.
GOOS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years GOOS has always been profitable.
In the past 5 years GOOS always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
With a Return On Assets value of 3.07%, GOOS perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.17% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of GOOS (10.89%) is better than 60.42% of its industry peers.
GOOS has a Return On Invested Capital (7.68%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
GOOS had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.34%. This is below the industry average of 12.23%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.07% | ||
| ROE | 10.89% | ||
| ROIC | 7.68% |
ROA(3y)4.79%
ROA(5y)5.16%
ROE(3y)15.67%
ROE(5y)15.36%
ROIC(3y)8.34%
ROIC(5y)9.05%
1.3 Margins
With a Profit Margin value of 3.44%, GOOS perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.17% of the companies in the same industry.
GOOS's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 8.19%, GOOS is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 64.58% of the companies in the same industry.
GOOS's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
GOOS has a Gross Margin of 69.93%. This is amongst the best in the industry. GOOS outperforms 97.92% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GOOS has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.19% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.44% | ||
| GM | 69.93% |
OM growth 3Y-8.46%
OM growth 5Y-11.15%
PM growth 3Y-6.54%
PM growth 5Y-14.99%
GM growth 3Y1.55%
GM growth 5Y2.46%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
GOOS has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
GOOS has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, GOOS has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, GOOS has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.67 indicates that GOOS is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
GOOS has a Altman-Z score of 2.67. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GOOS outperforms 41.67% of its industry peers.
GOOS has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.62. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as GOOS would need 2.62 years to pay back of all of its debts.
GOOS has a Debt to FCF ratio of 2.62. This is in the better half of the industry: GOOS outperforms 70.83% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.47 is on the high side and indicates that GOOS has dependencies on debt financing.
GOOS has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (1.47) than 79.17% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.47 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.62 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.67 |
ROIC/WACC0.81
WACC9.5%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.02 indicates that GOOS has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 2.02, GOOS is doing good in the industry, outperforming 60.42% of the companies in the same industry.
GOOS has a Quick Ratio of 2.02. This is a bad value and indicates that GOOS is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GOOS's Quick ratio of 0.89 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GOOS is outperformed by 60.42% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.02 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.89 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
GOOS shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 5.38%.
GOOS shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -3.58% yearly.
Looking at the last year, GOOS shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 2.32% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, GOOS shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 7.07% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)5.38%
EPS 3Y-0.89%
EPS 5Y-3.58%
EPS Q2Q%-15.19%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.32%
Revenue growth 3Y7.07%
Revenue growth 5Y7.07%
Sales Q2Q%22.36%
3.2 Future
GOOS is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 9.66% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.55% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-3.33%
EPS Next 2Y6.38%
EPS Next 3Y9.66%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year8.54%
Revenue Next 2Y7.28%
Revenue Next 3Y5.55%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 19.90, GOOS is valued on the expensive side.
GOOS's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.10, GOOS is valued a bit cheaper.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 15.68, which indicates a correct valuation of GOOS.
GOOS's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.52. GOOS is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.9 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.68 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as GOOS.
GOOS's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GOOS is cheaper than 91.67% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 6.88 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.93 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y6.38%
EPS Next 3Y9.66%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GOOS does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
13.93
+0.22 (+1.6%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryTextiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners72.45%
Inst Owner Change1.21%
Ins Owners2.33%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.35B
Revenue(TTM)1.37B
Net Income(TTM)47.00M
Analysts76
Price Target14.38 (3.23%)
Short Float %9.57%
Short Ratio4.36
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)20.23%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.24%
Max EPS beat(2)41.69%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)58.12%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.08%
Max EPS beat(4)196.12%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)71.44%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)70.44%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)108.22%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)10%
Min Revenue beat(2)6.13%
Max Revenue beat(2)13.86%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)4.22%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.02%
Max Revenue beat(4)13.86%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.92%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.18%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.45%
PT rev (1m)-3.7%
PT rev (3m)22.28%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-50.19%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.74%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.4%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.91%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.9 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.68 | ||
| P/S | 1.38 | ||
| P/FCF | 6.88 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.48 | ||
| P/B | 4.39 | ||
| P/tB | 8.28 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.93 |
EPS(TTM)0.7
EY5.03%
EPS(NY)0.89
Fwd EY6.38%
FCF(TTM)2.03
FCFY14.55%
OCF(TTM)2.15
OCFY15.44%
SpS10.06
BVpS3.17
TBVpS1.68
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number7.07
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.07% | ||
| ROE | 10.89% | ||
| ROCE | 9.82% | ||
| ROIC | 7.68% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.11% | ||
| ROICexgc | 11.52% | ||
| OM | 8.19% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.44% | ||
| GM | 69.93% | ||
| FCFM | 20.14% |
ROA(3y)4.79%
ROA(5y)5.16%
ROE(3y)15.67%
ROE(5y)15.36%
ROIC(3y)8.34%
ROIC(5y)9.05%
ROICexc(3y)10.54%
ROICexc(5y)12.3%
ROICexgc(3y)13.29%
ROICexgc(5y)15.83%
ROCE(3y)10.65%
ROCE(5y)11.55%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-4.75%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-7.13%
ROICexc growth 3Y-5.1%
ROICexc growth 5Y-6.39%
OM growth 3Y-8.46%
OM growth 5Y-11.15%
PM growth 3Y-6.54%
PM growth 5Y-14.99%
GM growth 3Y1.55%
GM growth 5Y2.46%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.89
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.47 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.62 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.63 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 13.16% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.24% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.05 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 121.22% | ||
| Profit Quality | 586.17% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.02 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.67 |
F-Score5
WACC9.5%
ROIC/WACC0.81
Cap/Depr(3y)33.84%
Cap/Depr(5y)35.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.14%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.25%
Profit Quality(3y)190.15%
Profit Quality(5y)242.29%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)5.38%
EPS 3Y-0.89%
EPS 5Y-3.58%
EPS Q2Q%-15.19%
EPS Next Y-3.33%
EPS Next 2Y6.38%
EPS Next 3Y9.66%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.32%
Revenue growth 3Y7.07%
Revenue growth 5Y7.07%
Sales Q2Q%22.36%
Revenue Next Year8.54%
Revenue Next 2Y7.28%
Revenue Next 3Y5.55%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-2.78%
EBIT growth 3Y-1.99%
EBIT growth 5Y-4.86%
EBIT Next Year92.25%
EBIT Next 3Y32.44%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y403.66%
FCF growth 3Y33.41%
FCF growth 5Y324.13%
OCF growth 1Y181.52%
OCF growth 3Y24.48%
OCF growth 5Y36.15%
CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC / GOOS FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GOOS.
What is the valuation status of CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of GOOS stock?
CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the financial health of CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) stock?
The financial health rating of CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) is 4 / 10.