CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:GOOS - CA1350861060 - Common Stock
12.89 USD
+0.38 (+3.04%)
12.89 USD
0 (0%)
Overall GOOS gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated GOOS against 46 industry peers in the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods industry. There are concerns on the financial health of GOOS while its profitability can be described as average. GOOS is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year GOOS was profitable.
In the past year GOOS had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years GOOS has been profitable.
In the past 5 years GOOS always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
GOOS's Return On Assets of 1.64% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GOOS outperforms 41.30% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of GOOS (6.23%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
GOOS has a Return On Invested Capital of 6.14%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GOOS outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GOOS is below the industry average of 11.99%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.64% | ||
| ROE | 6.23% | ||
| ROIC | 6.14% |
ROA(3y)4.79%
ROA(5y)5.16%
ROE(3y)15.67%
ROE(5y)15.36%
ROIC(3y)8.34%
ROIC(5y)9.05%
1.3 Margins
GOOS has a Profit Margin of 1.92%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GOOS outperforms 43.48% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GOOS has declined.
GOOS has a Operating Margin (6.91%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GOOS has declined.
GOOS's Gross Margin of 70.12% is amongst the best of the industry. GOOS outperforms 97.83% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GOOS has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.92% | ||
| GM | 70.12% |
OM growth 3Y-8.46%
OM growth 5Y-11.15%
PM growth 3Y-6.54%
PM growth 5Y-14.99%
GM growth 3Y1.55%
GM growth 5Y2.46%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), GOOS is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for GOOS has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, GOOS has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for GOOS has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.38 indicates that GOOS is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.38, GOOS is doing worse than 60.87% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GOOS is 3.89, which is a good value as it means it would take GOOS, 3.89 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 3.89, GOOS is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.22% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.66 is on the high side and indicates that GOOS has dependencies on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.66, GOOS is doing worse than 78.26% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.66 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.38 |
ROIC/WACC0.63
WACC9.71%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.89 indicates that GOOS should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of GOOS (1.89) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
GOOS has a Quick Ratio of 1.89. This is a bad value and indicates that GOOS is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of GOOS (0.82) is worse than 67.39% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.89 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.82 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
GOOS shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -3.66%.
The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -3.58% on average over the past years.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.71% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.07% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.66%
EPS 3Y-0.89%
EPS 5Y-3.58%
EPS Q2Q%-380%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.71%
Revenue growth 3Y7.07%
Revenue growth 5Y7.07%
Sales Q2Q%1.79%
3.2 Future
GOOS is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 9.42% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.42% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-3.33%
EPS Next 2Y6.38%
EPS Next 3Y9.42%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year8.54%
Revenue Next 2Y7.28%
Revenue Next 3Y5.42%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
GOOS is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 23.02.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of GOOS is on the same level as its industry peers.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.65. GOOS is around the same levels.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.59, the valuation of GOOS can be described as correct.
GOOS's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 34.45. GOOS is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.02 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.59 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of GOOS is on the same level as its industry peers.
86.96% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GOOS, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 8.64 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.6 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y6.38%
EPS Next 3Y9.42%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for GOOS!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
12.89
+0.38 (+3.04%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryTextiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners72.45%
Inst Owner Change-12.09%
Ins Owners2.33%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.25B
Revenue(TTM)1.37B
Net Income(TTM)26.40M
Analysts76
Price Target14.13 (9.62%)
Short Float %7.53%
Short Ratio4.93
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-15.9%
Min EPS beat(2)-30.56%
Max EPS beat(2)-1.24%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)1.46%
Min EPS beat(4)-30.56%
Max EPS beat(4)41.69%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)46.12%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)46.71%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)92.21%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.78%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.31%
Max Revenue beat(2)13.86%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.92%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.31%
Max Revenue beat(4)13.86%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.57%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.57%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.5%
PT rev (1m)6.27%
PT rev (3m)27.35%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.4%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.4%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.05%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.7%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.7%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.27%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.02 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.59 | ||
| P/S | 1.28 | ||
| P/FCF | 8.64 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.74 | ||
| P/B | 4.16 | ||
| P/tB | 7.94 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.6 |
EPS(TTM)0.56
EY4.34%
EPS(NY)0.88
Fwd EY6.86%
FCF(TTM)1.49
FCFY11.58%
OCF(TTM)1.66
OCFY12.91%
SpS10.04
BVpS3.1
TBVpS1.62
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number6.25
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.64% | ||
| ROE | 6.23% | ||
| ROCE | 8.06% | ||
| ROIC | 6.14% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.65% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.11% | ||
| OM | 6.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.92% | ||
| GM | 70.12% | ||
| FCFM | 14.86% |
ROA(3y)4.79%
ROA(5y)5.16%
ROE(3y)15.67%
ROE(5y)15.36%
ROIC(3y)8.34%
ROIC(5y)9.05%
ROICexc(3y)10.54%
ROICexc(5y)12.3%
ROICexgc(3y)13.29%
ROICexgc(5y)15.83%
ROCE(3y)10.65%
ROCE(5y)11.55%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-4.75%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-7.13%
ROICexc growth 3Y-5.1%
ROICexc growth 5Y-6.39%
OM growth 3Y-8.46%
OM growth 5Y-11.15%
PM growth 3Y-6.54%
PM growth 5Y-14.99%
GM growth 3Y1.55%
GM growth 5Y2.46%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.85
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.66 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.89 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.14 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 18.34% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.72% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.79 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 101.83% | ||
| Profit Quality | 772.73% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.89 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.82 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.38 |
F-Score7
WACC9.71%
ROIC/WACC0.63
Cap/Depr(3y)33.84%
Cap/Depr(5y)35.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.14%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.25%
Profit Quality(3y)190.15%
Profit Quality(5y)242.29%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.66%
EPS 3Y-0.89%
EPS 5Y-3.58%
EPS Q2Q%-380%
EPS Next Y-3.33%
EPS Next 2Y6.38%
EPS Next 3Y9.42%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.71%
Revenue growth 3Y7.07%
Revenue growth 5Y7.07%
Sales Q2Q%1.79%
Revenue Next Year8.54%
Revenue Next 2Y7.28%
Revenue Next 3Y5.42%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-25.76%
EBIT growth 3Y-1.99%
EBIT growth 5Y-4.86%
EBIT Next Year92.25%
EBIT Next 3Y31.84%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y802.66%
FCF growth 3Y33.41%
FCF growth 5Y324.13%
OCF growth 1Y169.35%
OCF growth 3Y24.48%
OCF growth 5Y36.15%
CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC / GOOS FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GOOS.
What is the valuation status of CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of GOOS stock?
CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the financial health of CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) stock?
The financial health rating of CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) is 3 / 10.