GOL LINHAS AEREAS INTEL-ADR (GOL) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:GOL - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US38045R2067 - ADR - Currency: USD
We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to GOL. GOL was compared to 23 industry peers in the Passenger Airlines industry. GOL may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. GOL has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GOL had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year GOL had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years GOL always reported negative net income.
GOL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
GOL's Return On Assets of -20.89% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GOL is outperformed by 80.00% of its industry peers.
GOL's Return On Invested Capital of 23.88% is amongst the best of the industry. GOL outperforms 96.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -20.89% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 23.88% |
ROA(3y)-35.36%
ROA(5y)-23.46%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
GOL has a better Operating Margin (7.05%) than 68.00% of its industry peers.
GOL's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
GOL's Gross Margin of 23.37% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GOL outperforms 48.00% of its industry peers.
GOL's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 7.05% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 23.37% |
OM growth 3Y-43.65%
OM growth 5Y-22.24%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-10.87%
GM growth 5Y-5.85%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
GOL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
GOL has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The debt/assets ratio for GOL has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
GOL has an Altman-Z score of -1.19. This is a bad value and indicates that GOL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of -1.19, GOL is not doing good in the industry: 80.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GOL is 17.81, which is on the high side as it means it would take GOL, 17.81 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
GOL has a Debt to FCF ratio of 17.81. This is in the better half of the industry: GOL outperforms 72.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 17.81 | ||
| Altman-Z | -1.19 |
ROIC/WACC2.04
WACC11.71%
2.3 Liquidity
GOL has a Current Ratio of 0.24. This is a bad value and indicates that GOL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GOL has a worse Current ratio (0.24) than 84.00% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.18 indicates that GOL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.18, GOL is not doing good in the industry: 84.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.24 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.18 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
GOL shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -60.91%.
GOL shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 85.98%.
The Revenue has been growing by 8.03% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-60.91%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-77.51%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)85.98%
Revenue growth 3Y3.11%
Revenue growth 5Y8.03%
Sales Q2Q%52.78%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, GOL will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 40.47% on average per year.
GOL is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 94.46% yearly.
EPS Next Y115.08%
EPS Next 2Y54.25%
EPS Next 3Y40.47%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year529.76%
Revenue Next 2Y158.11%
Revenue Next 3Y94.46%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
GOL reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 39.79 indicates a quite expensive valuation of GOL.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as GOL.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.13. GOL is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 39.79 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of GOL is on the same level as its industry peers.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GOL is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 80.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 16.6 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.48 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
GOL's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
GOL's earnings are expected to grow with 40.47% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y54.25%
EPS Next 3Y40.47%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GOL has a yearly dividend return of 0.02%, which is pretty low.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.83, GOL pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.40, GOL's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.02% |
5.2 History
GOL does not have a reliable dividend history as it only pays dividend since a couple or years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
DPN/A
EPS Next 2Y54.25%
EPS Next 3Y40.47%
NYSE:GOL (1/25/2024, 8:25:54 PM)
2.715
+0.08 (+3.23%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryPassenger Airlines
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners0%
Inst Owner Change5.7%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap4.34B
Analysts42
Price Target3.34 (23.02%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.02% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)2330.57%
Min EPS beat(2)1557.89%
Max EPS beat(2)3103.24%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)896.73%
Min EPS beat(4)-748.57%
Max EPS beat(4)3103.24%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)589.54%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)352.37%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)158.56%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.93%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.01%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.84%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.15%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.24%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.84%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.55%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-8.65%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-6.81%
PT rev (1m)-2.67%
PT rev (3m)-5.02%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.01%
EPS NY rev (1m)-67.65%
EPS NY rev (3m)-64.13%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.83%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.07%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 39.79 | ||
| P/S | 1.26 | ||
| P/FCF | 16.6 | ||
| P/OCF | 10.38 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.48 |
EPS(TTM)-0.45
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.07
Fwd EY2.51%
FCF(TTM)0.16
FCFY6.02%
OCF(TTM)0.26
OCFY9.63%
SpS2.15
BVpS-2.68
TBVpS-2.91
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -20.89% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 37.75% | ||
| ROIC | 23.88% | ||
| ROICexc | 29.84% | ||
| ROICexgc | 73% | ||
| OM | 7.05% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 23.37% | ||
| FCFM | 7.61% |
ROA(3y)-35.36%
ROA(5y)-23.46%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-57.09%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-25.82%
ROICexc growth 3Y-47.97%
ROICexc growth 5Y-20.34%
OM growth 3Y-43.65%
OM growth 5Y-22.24%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-10.87%
GM growth 5Y-5.85%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.99
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 17.81 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 7.06 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 44.82% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.56% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.09 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 70.65% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.24 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.18 | ||
| Altman-Z | -1.19 |
F-Score5
WACC11.71%
ROIC/WACC2.04
Cap/Depr(3y)48.09%
Cap/Depr(5y)66.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)8.88%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.27%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-60.91%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-77.51%
EPS Next Y115.08%
EPS Next 2Y54.25%
EPS Next 3Y40.47%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)85.98%
Revenue growth 3Y3.11%
Revenue growth 5Y8.03%
Sales Q2Q%52.78%
Revenue Next Year529.76%
Revenue Next 2Y158.11%
Revenue Next 3Y94.46%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y136.15%
EBIT growth 3Y-41.9%
EBIT growth 5Y-15.99%
EBIT Next Year104.74%
EBIT Next 3Y39.26%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y254.17%
FCF growth 3Y-3.99%
FCF growth 5Y39.66%
OCF growth 1Y719.4%
OCF growth 3Y-4.13%
OCF growth 5Y26.38%