GOLDEN OCEAN GROUP LTD (GOGL) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:GOGL - BMG396372051 - Common Stock
7.98 USD
-0.22 (-2.68%)
8 USD
+0.02 (+0.25%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to GOGL. GOGL was compared to 35 industry peers in the Marine Transportation industry. There are concerns on the financial health of GOGL while its profitability can be described as average. GOGL has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GOGL had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year GOGL had a positive cash flow from operations.
GOGL had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years GOGL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
GOGL has a Return On Assets of 3.35%. This is in the better half of the industry: GOGL outperforms 61.11% of its industry peers.
GOGL's Return On Equity of 6.23% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GOGL outperforms 63.89% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 4.92%, GOGL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.33% of the companies in the same industry.
GOGL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 7.46%. This is in line with the industry average of 7.67%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.35% | ||
| ROE | 6.23% | ||
| ROIC | 4.92% |
ROA(3y)8%
ROA(5y)6.84%
ROE(3y)13.89%
ROE(5y)11.79%
ROIC(3y)7.46%
ROIC(5y)7.19%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 13.16%, GOGL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.89% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GOGL has grown nicely.
GOGL has a Operating Margin of 21.92%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GOGL outperforms 58.33% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GOGL has grown nicely.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 42.48%, GOGL is in line with its industry, outperforming 47.22% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GOGL has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 21.92% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.16% | ||
| GM | 42.48% |
OM growth 3Y-10.52%
OM growth 5Y16.22%
PM growth 3Y-19.28%
PM growth 5Y34.33%
GM growth 3Y-6.9%
GM growth 5Y1.39%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GOGL is still creating some value.
GOGL has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for GOGL has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, GOGL has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.13, we must say that GOGL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
GOGL has a Altman-Z score (1.13) which is in line with its industry peers.
GOGL has a debt to FCF ratio of 8.36. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as GOGL would need 8.36 years to pay back of all of its debts.
GOGL has a Debt to FCF ratio of 8.36. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GOGL outperforms 58.33% of its industry peers.
GOGL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.66. This is a neutral value indicating GOGL is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.66, GOGL is not doing good in the industry: 63.89% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.66 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.36 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.13 |
ROIC/WACC0.67
WACC7.3%
2.3 Liquidity
GOGL has a Current Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that GOGL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GOGL has a Current ratio of 0.81. This is in the lower half of the industry: GOGL underperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
GOGL has a Quick Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that GOGL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.81, GOGL is not doing good in the industry: 75.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.81 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for GOGL have decreased strongly by -38.71% in the last year.
GOGL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 30.14% yearly.
Looking at the last year, GOGL shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -7.73% in the last year.
GOGL shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 6.53% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-38.71%
EPS 3Y-23.79%
EPS 5Y30.14%
EPS Q2Q%-166.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.73%
Revenue growth 3Y-6.98%
Revenue growth 5Y6.53%
Sales Q2Q%-27.85%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, GOGL will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -6.41% on average per year.
GOGL is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -3.10% yearly.
EPS Next Y-53.55%
EPS Next 2Y-3.27%
EPS Next 3Y-6.41%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-17.68%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.37%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.1%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 14.00, GOGL is valued correctly.
GOGL's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.13. GOGL is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
GOGL is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.61.
GOGL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. GOGL is cheaper than 63.89% of the companies in the same industry.
GOGL is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.76, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.61 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of GOGL indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: GOGL is more expensive than 61.11% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GOGL is valued a bit cheaper than 63.89% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 9.22 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.93 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of GOGL may justify a higher PE ratio.
GOGL's earnings are expected to decrease with -6.41% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.46
EPS Next 2Y-3.27%
EPS Next 3Y-6.41%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 10.03%, GOGL is a good candidate for dividend investing.
GOGL's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 6.64. GOGL pays more dividend than 91.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.32, GOGL pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 10.03% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of GOGL grows each year by 29.94%, which is quite nice.
GOGL has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
The dividend of GOGL decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)29.94%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
GOGL pays out 184.66% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The Dividend Rate of GOGL has been growing, while earnings will be declining. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP184.66%
EPS Next 2Y-3.27%
EPS Next 3Y-6.41%
7.98
-0.22 (-2.68%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryMarine Transportation
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners35.39%
Inst Owner Change-13.27%
Ins Owners0.01%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.59B
Analysts76.36
Price Target8.44 (5.76%)
Short Float %13.58%
Short Ratio4.81
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 10.03% |
Yearly Dividend1.2
Dividend Growth(5Y)29.94%
DP184.66%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-31.88%
Min EPS beat(2)-36.86%
Max EPS beat(2)-26.9%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-18.69%
Min EPS beat(4)-36.86%
Max EPS beat(4)2.68%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)14.66%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)15.76%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)18.49%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)15.93%
Min Revenue beat(2)15.19%
Max Revenue beat(2)16.68%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)8.72%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.42%
Max Revenue beat(4)16.68%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)9.6%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)18.12%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)22.97%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-26.75%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-32.74%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.97%
EPS NY rev (3m)-35.49%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-10.69%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-7.76%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.61 | ||
| P/S | 1.84 | ||
| P/FCF | 9.22 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.46 | ||
| P/B | 0.87 | ||
| P/tB | 0.87 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.93 |
EPS(TTM)0.57
EY7.14%
EPS(NY)1.05
Fwd EY13.13%
FCF(TTM)0.87
FCFY10.85%
OCF(TTM)1.23
OCFY15.47%
SpS4.33
BVpS9.16
TBVpS9.16
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.46
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.35% | ||
| ROE | 6.23% | ||
| ROCE | 6.23% | ||
| ROIC | 4.92% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.1% | ||
| ROICexgc | 5.1% | ||
| OM | 21.92% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.16% | ||
| GM | 42.48% | ||
| FCFM | 19.99% |
ROA(3y)8%
ROA(5y)6.84%
ROE(3y)13.89%
ROE(5y)11.79%
ROIC(3y)7.46%
ROIC(5y)7.19%
ROICexc(3y)7.79%
ROICexc(5y)7.57%
ROICexgc(3y)7.79%
ROICexgc(5y)7.57%
ROCE(3y)9.45%
ROCE(5y)9.1%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-16.84%
ROICexcg growth 5Y19.87%
ROICexc growth 3Y-16.84%
ROICexc growth 5Y19.87%
OM growth 3Y-10.52%
OM growth 5Y16.22%
PM growth 3Y-19.28%
PM growth 5Y34.33%
GM growth 3Y-6.9%
GM growth 5Y1.39%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.25
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.66 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.36 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.69 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 53.12% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8.52% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 75.11% | ||
| Profit Quality | 151.83% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.13 |
F-Score5
WACC7.3%
ROIC/WACC0.67
Cap/Depr(3y)156.98%
Cap/Depr(5y)170.68%
Cap/Sales(3y)23.29%
Cap/Sales(5y)22.2%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-38.71%
EPS 3Y-23.79%
EPS 5Y30.14%
EPS Q2Q%-166.67%
EPS Next Y-53.55%
EPS Next 2Y-3.27%
EPS Next 3Y-6.41%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.73%
Revenue growth 3Y-6.98%
Revenue growth 5Y6.53%
Sales Q2Q%-27.85%
Revenue Next Year-17.68%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.37%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.1%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-26.42%
EBIT growth 3Y-16.77%
EBIT growth 5Y23.81%
EBIT Next Year-9.8%
EBIT Next 3Y7.29%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-32.86%
FCF growth 3Y31.74%
FCF growth 5Y18.21%
OCF growth 1Y-46.05%
OCF growth 3Y-13.29%
OCF growth 5Y18.19%