GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP (GO) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • Nasdaq • NASDAQ:GO • US39874R1014

9.41 USD
+0.12 (+1.29%)
At close: Feb 3, 2026
9.39 USD
-0.02 (-0.21%)
After Hours: 2/3/2026, 8:21:14 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to GO. GO was compared to 38 industry peers in the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry. There are concerns on the financial health of GO while its profitability can be described as average. GO has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year GO was profitable.
  • In the past year GO had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • GO had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years GO always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
GO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

  • GO's Return On Assets of -0.13% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GO is outperformed by 65.79% of its industry peers.
  • With a Return On Equity value of -0.37%, GO is not doing good in the industry: 65.79% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • GO has a Return On Invested Capital of 1.76%. This is in the lower half of the industry: GO underperforms 68.42% of its industry peers.
  • GO had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 2.80%. This is significantly below the industry average of 28.25%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.13%
ROE -0.37%
ROIC 1.76%
ROA(3y)2.09%
ROA(5y)2.58%
ROE(3y)5.22%
ROE(5y)6.68%
ROIC(3y)2.8%
ROIC(5y)2.91%
GO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2 4 6 8 10

1.3 Margins

  • GO's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 1.56%, GO is in line with its industry, outperforming 47.37% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GO's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 30.24%, GO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.95% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GO's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 1.56%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 30.24%
OM growth 3Y-14.76%
OM growth 5Y-7.66%
PM growth 3Y-23.58%
PM growth 5Y8.45%
GM growth 3Y-0.62%
GM growth 5Y-0.33%
GO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30

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3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GO is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for GO has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • GO has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • GO has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
GO Yearly Shares OutstandingGO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M
GO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 1.88 indicates that GO is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • GO has a worse Altman-Z score (1.88) than 71.05% of its industry peers.
  • GO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.40. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • GO's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.40 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GO outperforms 57.89% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.4
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.88
ROIC/WACC0.23
WACC7.74%
GO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.30 indicates that GO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • GO has a better Current ratio (1.30) than 65.79% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.25 indicates that GO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • GO has a worse Quick ratio (0.25) than 78.95% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.3
Quick Ratio 0.25
GO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

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4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • GO shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -10.00%.
  • GO shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 15.83% yearly.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.22% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, GO shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 11.30% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10%
EPS 3Y-5.07%
EPS 5Y15.83%
EPS Q2Q%-25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.22%
Revenue growth 3Y12.39%
Revenue growth 5Y11.3%
Sales Q2Q%5.41%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 6.41% on average over the next years.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, GO will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.15% on average per year.
EPS Next Y5.05%
EPS Next 2Y5.23%
EPS Next 3Y5.59%
EPS Next 5Y6.41%
Revenue Next Year7.75%
Revenue Next 2Y6.43%
Revenue Next 3Y6.35%
Revenue Next 5Y6.15%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
GO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2B 4B 6B
GO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0.5 1 1.5

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5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • GO is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 13.07.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, GO is valued cheaper than 86.84% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GO's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 28.18.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 11.04, which indicates a very decent valuation of GO.
  • GO's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GO is cheaper than 86.84% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GO's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 25.51.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.07
Fwd PE 11.04
GO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • GO's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. GO is cheaper than 76.32% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 6.99
GO Per share dataGO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)2.59
PEG (5Y)0.83
EPS Next 2Y5.23%
EPS Next 3Y5.59%

More info and screens

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for GO!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP

NASDAQ:GO (2/3/2026, 8:21:14 PM)

After market: 9.39 -0.02 (-0.21%)

9.41

+0.12 (+1.29%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)11-04
Earnings (Next)02-23
Inst Owners128.3%
Inst Owner Change1.01%
Ins Owners4.62%
Ins Owner Change-1.06%
Market Cap923.50M
Revenue(TTM)4.57B
Net Income(TTM)-4.44M
Analysts73.33
Price Target14.63 (55.47%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)17.99%
Min EPS beat(2)8.09%
Max EPS beat(2)27.88%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)25.46%
Min EPS beat(4)-12.62%
Max EPS beat(4)78.49%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)9.91%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)10.79%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)9.57%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.05%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.24%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.86%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.2%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.24%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.89%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.38%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.96%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.48%
PT rev (1m)-4.62%
PT rev (3m)-13.05%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.08%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-10.11%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.05%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.55%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.08%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.25%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.55%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.07
Fwd PE 11.04
P/S 0.2
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 4.87
P/B 0.77
P/tB 2.75
EV/EBITDA 6.99
EPS(TTM)0.72
EY7.65%
EPS(NY)0.85
Fwd EY9.06%
FCF(TTM)-0.28
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)1.93
OCFY20.55%
SpS46.58
BVpS12.21
TBVpS3.42
PEG (NY)2.59
PEG (5Y)0.83
Graham Number14.07
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.13%
ROE -0.37%
ROCE 2.39%
ROIC 1.76%
ROICexc 1.79%
ROICexgc 2.54%
OM 1.56%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 30.24%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)2.09%
ROA(5y)2.58%
ROE(3y)5.22%
ROE(5y)6.68%
ROIC(3y)2.8%
ROIC(5y)2.91%
ROICexc(3y)2.91%
ROICexc(5y)3.05%
ROICexgc(3y)4.35%
ROICexgc(5y)4.65%
ROCE(3y)3.82%
ROCE(5y)3.98%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-11.62%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-6.99%
ROICexc growth 3Y-9.98%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.14%
OM growth 3Y-14.76%
OM growth 5Y-7.66%
PM growth 3Y-23.58%
PM growth 5Y8.45%
GM growth 3Y-0.62%
GM growth 5Y-0.33%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover1.36
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.4
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 2.48
Cap/Depr 176.08%
Cap/Sales 4.75%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 97.62%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.3
Quick Ratio 0.25
Altman-Z 1.88
F-Score3
WACC7.74%
ROIC/WACC0.23
Cap/Depr(3y)177.07%
Cap/Depr(5y)184.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.06%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.03%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10%
EPS 3Y-5.07%
EPS 5Y15.83%
EPS Q2Q%-25%
EPS Next Y5.05%
EPS Next 2Y5.23%
EPS Next 3Y5.59%
EPS Next 5Y6.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.22%
Revenue growth 3Y12.39%
Revenue growth 5Y11.3%
Sales Q2Q%5.41%
Revenue Next Year7.75%
Revenue Next 2Y6.43%
Revenue Next 3Y6.35%
Revenue Next 5Y6.15%
EBIT growth 1Y-16.8%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.2%
EBIT growth 5Y2.78%
EBIT Next Year107.5%
EBIT Next 3Y33.57%
EBIT Next 5Y21.84%
FCF growth 1Y-116.68%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-41.02%
OCF growth 3Y-12.23%
OCF growth 5Y-3.36%

GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP / GO FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GO.


Can you provide the valuation status for GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP (GO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP?

GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP (GO) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the financial health of GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP (GO) stock?

The financial health rating of GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP (GO) is 3 / 10.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GO stock?

The dividend rating of GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP (GO) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.