GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP (GO) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:GO • US39874R1014

9.88 USD
+0.07 (+0.71%)
At close: Feb 27, 2026
9.89 USD
+0.01 (+0.1%)
After Hours: 2/27/2026, 8:07:28 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Analyst Ratings Earnings Estimates Financials Ownership News
Fundamental Rating

3

GO gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 38 industry peers in the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry. While GO is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. GO has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • GO had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year GO had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • GO had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years GO had a positive operating cash flow.
GO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -0.13%, GO is doing worse than 65.79% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GO has a Return On Equity of -0.37%. This is in the lower half of the industry: GO underperforms 65.79% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of GO (1.76%) is worse than 68.42% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GO is significantly below the industry average of 28.42%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.13%
ROE -0.37%
ROIC 1.76%
ROA(3y)2.09%
ROA(5y)2.58%
ROE(3y)5.22%
ROE(5y)6.68%
ROIC(3y)2.8%
ROIC(5y)2.91%
GO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2 4 6 8 10

1.3 Margins

  • GO's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • GO has a Operating Margin of 1.56%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GO outperforms 47.37% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GO has declined.
  • GO has a Gross Margin of 30.24%. This is in the better half of the industry: GO outperforms 78.95% of its industry peers.
  • GO's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 1.56%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 30.24%
OM growth 3Y-14.76%
OM growth 5Y-7.66%
PM growth 3Y-23.58%
PM growth 5Y8.45%
GM growth 3Y-0.62%
GM growth 5Y-0.33%
GO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • GO has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, GO has less shares outstanding
  • GO has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, GO has a worse debt to assets ratio.
GO Yearly Shares OutstandingGO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M
GO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • GO has an Altman-Z score of 1.89. This is not the best score and indicates that GO is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • GO has a Altman-Z score of 1.89. This is in the lower half of the industry: GO underperforms 76.32% of its industry peers.
  • GO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.40. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of GO (0.40) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.4
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.89
ROIC/WACC0.23
WACC7.59%
GO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.30 indicates that GO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • GO has a better Current ratio (1.30) than 65.79% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.25 indicates that GO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • GO's Quick ratio of 0.25 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GO is outperformed by 78.95% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.3
Quick Ratio 0.25
GO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for GO have decreased by -10.00% in the last year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 15.83% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
  • GO shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 7.22%.
  • GO shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 11.30% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10%
EPS 3Y-5.07%
EPS 5Y15.83%
EPS Q2Q%-25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.22%
Revenue growth 3Y12.39%
Revenue growth 5Y11.3%
Sales Q2Q%5.41%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, GO will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 6.62% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.21% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y5.05%
EPS Next 2Y5.23%
EPS Next 3Y5.59%
EPS Next 5Y6.62%
Revenue Next Year7.75%
Revenue Next 2Y6.43%
Revenue Next 3Y6.35%
Revenue Next 5Y6.21%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
GO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2B 4B 6B
GO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 13.72, which indicates a correct valuation of GO.
  • 81.58% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GO, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • GO's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 27.10.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.59, the valuation of GO can be described as reasonable.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GO indicates a rather cheap valuation: GO is cheaper than 86.84% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 28.06, GO is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.72
Fwd PE 11.59
GO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GO is valued a bit cheaper than 73.68% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 7.26
GO Per share dataGO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates GO does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
PEG (NY)2.72
PEG (5Y)0.87
EPS Next 2Y5.23%
EPS Next 3Y5.59%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for GO!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP

NASDAQ:GO (2/27/2026, 8:07:28 PM)

After market: 9.89 +0.01 (+0.1%)

9.88

+0.07 (+0.71%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)11-04
Earnings (Next)03-03
Inst Owners128.3%
Inst Owner Change-6.66%
Ins Owners4.62%
Ins Owner Change-0.36%
Market Cap969.62M
Revenue(TTM)4.57B
Net Income(TTM)-4.44M
Analysts72.73
Price Target14.4 (45.75%)
Short Float %27.68%
Short Ratio10.7
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)17.99%
Min EPS beat(2)8.09%
Max EPS beat(2)27.88%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)25.46%
Min EPS beat(4)-12.62%
Max EPS beat(4)78.49%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)9.91%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)10.79%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)9.57%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.05%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.24%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.86%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.2%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.24%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.89%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.38%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.96%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.48%
PT rev (1m)-1.61%
PT rev (3m)-19.72%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.04%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.55%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.32%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.55%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.72
Fwd PE 11.59
P/S 0.21
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 5.11
P/B 0.81
P/tB 2.89
EV/EBITDA 7.26
EPS(TTM)0.72
EY7.29%
EPS(NY)0.85
Fwd EY8.63%
FCF(TTM)-0.28
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)1.93
OCFY19.57%
SpS46.58
BVpS12.21
TBVpS3.42
PEG (NY)2.72
PEG (5Y)0.87
Graham Number14.07
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.13%
ROE -0.37%
ROCE 2.39%
ROIC 1.76%
ROICexc 1.79%
ROICexgc 2.54%
OM 1.56%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 30.24%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)2.09%
ROA(5y)2.58%
ROE(3y)5.22%
ROE(5y)6.68%
ROIC(3y)2.8%
ROIC(5y)2.91%
ROICexc(3y)2.91%
ROICexc(5y)3.05%
ROICexgc(3y)4.35%
ROICexgc(5y)4.65%
ROCE(3y)3.82%
ROCE(5y)3.98%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-11.62%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-6.99%
ROICexc growth 3Y-9.98%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.14%
OM growth 3Y-14.76%
OM growth 5Y-7.66%
PM growth 3Y-23.58%
PM growth 5Y8.45%
GM growth 3Y-0.62%
GM growth 5Y-0.33%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover1.36
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.4
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 2.48
Cap/Depr 176.08%
Cap/Sales 4.75%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 97.62%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.3
Quick Ratio 0.25
Altman-Z 1.89
F-Score3
WACC7.59%
ROIC/WACC0.23
Cap/Depr(3y)177.07%
Cap/Depr(5y)184.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.06%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.03%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10%
EPS 3Y-5.07%
EPS 5Y15.83%
EPS Q2Q%-25%
EPS Next Y5.05%
EPS Next 2Y5.23%
EPS Next 3Y5.59%
EPS Next 5Y6.62%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.22%
Revenue growth 3Y12.39%
Revenue growth 5Y11.3%
Sales Q2Q%5.41%
Revenue Next Year7.75%
Revenue Next 2Y6.43%
Revenue Next 3Y6.35%
Revenue Next 5Y6.21%
EBIT growth 1Y-16.8%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.2%
EBIT growth 5Y2.78%
EBIT Next Year107.5%
EBIT Next 3Y33.57%
EBIT Next 5Y21.77%
FCF growth 1Y-116.68%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-41.02%
OCF growth 3Y-12.23%
OCF growth 5Y-3.36%

GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP / GO FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to GO.


Can you provide the valuation status for GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP (GO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP?

GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP (GO) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the financial health of GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP (GO) stock?

The financial health rating of GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP (GO) is 3 / 10.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GO stock?

The dividend rating of GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP (GO) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.