10.88 USD
+0.58 (+5.63%)
10.88 USD
0 (0%)
Overall GO gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated GO against 39 industry peers in the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry. There are concerns on the financial health of GO while its profitability can be described as average. GO has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GO had positive earnings in the past year.
GO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
GO had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years GO always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
GO's Return On Assets of -0.13% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GO is outperformed by 64.10% of its industry peers.
GO's Return On Equity of -0.37% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GO is outperformed by 64.10% of its industry peers.
GO has a Return On Invested Capital of 1.76%. This is in the lower half of the industry: GO underperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
GO had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 2.80%. This is significantly below the industry average of 8.76%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.13% | ||
| ROE | -0.37% | ||
| ROIC | 1.76% |
ROA(3y)2.09%
ROA(5y)2.58%
ROE(3y)5.22%
ROE(5y)6.68%
ROIC(3y)2.8%
ROIC(5y)2.91%
1.3 Margins
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GO has grown nicely.
The Operating Margin of GO (1.56%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GO has declined.
GO has a Gross Margin of 30.24%. This is in the better half of the industry: GO outperforms 79.49% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GO has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 1.56% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 30.24% |
OM growth 3Y-14.76%
OM growth 5Y-7.66%
PM growth 3Y-23.58%
PM growth 5Y8.45%
GM growth 3Y-0.62%
GM growth 5Y-0.33%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), GO is destroying value.
GO has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for GO has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
GO has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
GO has an Altman-Z score of 1.90. This is not the best score and indicates that GO is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.90, GO is doing worse than 69.23% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.40 indicates that GO is not too dependend on debt financing.
GO has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.40. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GO outperforms 56.41% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.4 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.9 |
ROIC/WACC0.23
WACC7.67%
2.3 Liquidity
GO has a Current Ratio of 1.30. This is a normal value and indicates that GO is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of GO (1.30) is better than 69.23% of its industry peers.
GO has a Quick Ratio of 1.30. This is a bad value and indicates that GO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GO's Quick ratio of 0.25 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GO is outperformed by 82.05% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.3 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.25 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for GO have decreased by -10.00% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, GO shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 15.83% on average per year.
GO shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 7.22%.
GO shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 11.30% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10%
EPS 3Y-5.07%
EPS 5Y15.83%
EPS Q2Q%-25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.22%
Revenue growth 3Y12.39%
Revenue growth 5Y11.3%
Sales Q2Q%5.41%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 6.41% on average over the next years.
Based on estimates for the next years, GO will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.15% on average per year.
EPS Next Y5.62%
EPS Next 2Y10.84%
EPS Next 3Y11.39%
EPS Next 5Y6.41%
Revenue Next Year8.35%
Revenue Next 2Y6.99%
Revenue Next 3Y7.37%
Revenue Next 5Y6.15%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
GO is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 15.11.
74.36% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GO, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
GO is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.98, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 11.50, which indicates a very decent valuation of GO.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GO indicates a rather cheap valuation: GO is cheaper than 82.05% of the companies listed in the same industry.
GO is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 35.79, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.11 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.5 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of GO indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: GO is cheaper than 76.92% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.5 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates GO does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
PEG (NY)2.69
PEG (5Y)0.95
EPS Next 2Y10.84%
EPS Next 3Y11.39%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GO does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
10.88
+0.58 (+5.63%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners120.88%
Inst Owner Change4.85%
Ins Owners4.65%
Ins Owner Change2.28%
Market Cap1.07B
Revenue(TTM)4.57B
Net Income(TTM)-4.44M
Analysts73.33
Price Target15.98 (46.87%)
Short Float %23.25%
Short Ratio7.35
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)17.99%
Min EPS beat(2)8.09%
Max EPS beat(2)27.88%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)25.46%
Min EPS beat(4)-12.62%
Max EPS beat(4)78.49%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)9.91%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)10.79%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)9.57%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.05%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.24%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.86%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.2%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.24%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.89%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.38%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.96%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.48%
PT rev (1m)-5.05%
PT rev (3m)-1.57%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-8.24%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.78%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.59%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.02%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.63%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.11 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.5 | ||
| P/S | 0.23 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 5.63 | ||
| P/B | 0.89 | ||
| P/tB | 3.18 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.5 |
EPS(TTM)0.72
EY6.62%
EPS(NY)0.95
Fwd EY8.7%
FCF(TTM)-0.28
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)1.93
OCFY17.78%
SpS46.58
BVpS12.21
TBVpS3.42
PEG (NY)2.69
PEG (5Y)0.95
Graham Number14.07
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.13% | ||
| ROE | -0.37% | ||
| ROCE | 2.39% | ||
| ROIC | 1.76% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.79% | ||
| ROICexgc | 2.54% | ||
| OM | 1.56% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 30.24% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)2.09%
ROA(5y)2.58%
ROE(3y)5.22%
ROE(5y)6.68%
ROIC(3y)2.8%
ROIC(5y)2.91%
ROICexc(3y)2.91%
ROICexc(5y)3.05%
ROICexgc(3y)4.35%
ROICexgc(5y)4.65%
ROCE(3y)3.82%
ROCE(5y)3.98%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-11.62%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-6.99%
ROICexc growth 3Y-9.98%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.14%
OM growth 3Y-14.76%
OM growth 5Y-7.66%
PM growth 3Y-23.58%
PM growth 5Y8.45%
GM growth 3Y-0.62%
GM growth 5Y-0.33%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover1.36
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.4 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.48 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 176.08% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.75% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 97.62% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.3 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.25 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.9 |
F-Score3
WACC7.67%
ROIC/WACC0.23
Cap/Depr(3y)177.07%
Cap/Depr(5y)184.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.06%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.03%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10%
EPS 3Y-5.07%
EPS 5Y15.83%
EPS Q2Q%-25%
EPS Next Y5.62%
EPS Next 2Y10.84%
EPS Next 3Y11.39%
EPS Next 5Y6.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.22%
Revenue growth 3Y12.39%
Revenue growth 5Y11.3%
Sales Q2Q%5.41%
Revenue Next Year8.35%
Revenue Next 2Y6.99%
Revenue Next 3Y7.37%
Revenue Next 5Y6.15%
EBIT growth 1Y-16.8%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.2%
EBIT growth 5Y2.78%
EBIT Next Year113.31%
EBIT Next 3Y37.38%
EBIT Next 5Y21.84%
FCF growth 1Y-116.68%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-41.02%
OCF growth 3Y-12.23%
OCF growth 5Y-3.36%
GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP / GO FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for GO stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to GO.
What is the valuation status of GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP (GO) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP (GO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of GO stock?
GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP (GO) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for GO stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP (GO) is 15.11 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.89.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GO stock?
The dividend rating of GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP (GO) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.