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GRACO INC (GGG) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:GGG - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US3841091040 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

84.45  -0.17 (-0.2%)

Fundamental Rating

7

Taking everything into account, GGG scores 7 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. GGG was compared to 128 industry peers in the Machinery industry. GGG gets an excellent profitability rating and is at the same time showing great financial health properties. While showing a medium growth rate, GGG is valued expensive at the moment. These ratings would make GGG suitable for quality investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

9

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

GGG had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year GGG had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years GGG has been profitable.
In the past 5 years GGG always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
GGG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGGG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 16.22%, GGG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 95.31% of the companies in the same industry.
GGG has a Return On Equity of 19.69%. This is amongst the best in the industry. GGG outperforms 83.59% of its industry peers.
GGG has a better Return On Invested Capital (18.12%) than 91.41% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GGG is significantly above the industry average of 10.31%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 16.22%
ROE 19.69%
ROIC 18.12%
ROA(3y)17.66%
ROA(5y)17.52%
ROE(3y)22.12%
ROE(5y)23.57%
ROIC(3y)21.05%
ROIC(5y)21.26%
GGG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGGG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30 40 50

1.3 Margins

GGG's Profit Margin of 22.70% is amongst the best of the industry. GGG outperforms 97.66% of its industry peers.
GGG's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
GGG's Operating Margin of 27.04% is amongst the best of the industry. GGG outperforms 99.22% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GGG has remained more or less at the same level.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 52.76%, GGG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 94.53% of the companies in the same industry.
GGG's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 27.04%
PM (TTM) 22.7%
GM 52.76%
OM growth 3Y0.31%
OM growth 5Y0.9%
PM growth 3Y1.29%
PM growth 5Y1.94%
GM growth 3Y0.7%
GM growth 5Y0.33%
GGG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGGG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30 40 50

9

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

GGG has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, GGG has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for GGG has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, GGG has an improved debt to assets ratio.
GGG Yearly Shares OutstandingGGG Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M
GGG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGGG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

GGG has an Altman-Z score of 18.38. This indicates that GGG is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of GGG (18.38) is better than 97.66% of its industry peers.
GGG has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.05. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.05 years to pay back of all of its debts.
GGG has a Debt to FCF ratio of 0.05. This is amongst the best in the industry. GGG outperforms 90.63% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.01 indicates that GGG is not too dependend on debt financing.
GGG has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.01) than 82.03% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF 0.05
Altman-Z 18.38
ROIC/WACC1.72
WACC10.52%
GGG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGGG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 3.61 indicates that GGG has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
With an excellent Current ratio value of 3.61, GGG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.59% of the companies in the same industry.
GGG has a Quick Ratio of 2.53. This indicates that GGG is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
With an excellent Quick ratio value of 2.53, GGG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.81% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.61
Quick Ratio 2.53
GGG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGGG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

GGG shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -5.07%.
GGG shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 7.75% yearly.
Looking at the last year, GGG shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -0.40% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, GGG shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 5.13% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-5.07%
EPS 3Y4.34%
EPS 5Y7.75%
EPS Q2Q%7.69%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.4%
Revenue growth 3Y2.07%
Revenue growth 5Y5.13%
Sales Q2Q%7.33%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, GGG will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 11.60% on average per year.
GGG is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 10.10% yearly.
EPS Next Y8.57%
EPS Next 2Y8.18%
EPS Next 3Y9.26%
EPS Next 5Y11.6%
Revenue Next Year6.02%
Revenue Next 2Y5.03%
Revenue Next 3Y5.67%
Revenue Next 5Y10.1%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
GGG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGGG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 1B 2B 3B
GGG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGGG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 1 2 3 4

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 30.05, GGG can be considered very expensive at the moment.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, GGG is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 62.50% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.03, GGG is valued at the same level.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 26.15 indicates a quite expensive valuation of GGG.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GGG indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: GGG is more expensive than 64.84% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GGG to the average of the S&P500 Index (21.94), we can say GGG is valued inline with the index average.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 30.05
Fwd PE 26.15
GGG Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGGG Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GGG is valued a bit more expensive than 64.06% of the companies in the same industry.
GGG's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 25.75
EV/EBITDA 20.22
GGG Per share dataGGG EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates GGG does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
GGG has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)3.51
PEG (5Y)3.88
EPS Next 2Y8.18%
EPS Next 3Y9.26%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.28%, GGG has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
GGG's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.83.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.36, GGG's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.28%

5.2 History

The dividend of GGG is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 9.78%!
GGG has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
GGG has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.78%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
GGG Yearly Dividends per shareGGG Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

36.03% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GGG. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
GGG's earnings are growing around the same pace than its dividend. As long as the earnings growth is kept the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP36.03%
EPS Next 2Y8.18%
EPS Next 3Y9.26%
GGG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGGG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
GGG Dividend Payout.GGG Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.GGG Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

GRACO INC

NYSE:GGG (5/22/2025, 12:34:07 PM)

84.45

-0.17 (-0.2%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)04-23 2025-04-23/amc
Earnings (Next)07-22 2025-07-22/amc
Inst Owners90.65%
Inst Owner Change-0.78%
Ins Owners0.85%
Ins Owner Change3.07%
Market Cap14.11B
Analysts70
Price Target90.95 (7.7%)
Short Float %1.62%
Short Ratio2.78
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.28%
Yearly Dividend1.02
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.78%
DP36.03%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date04-14 2025-04-14 (0.275)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-7.66%
Min EPS beat(2)-17.34%
Max EPS beat(2)2.02%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.98%
Min EPS beat(4)-17.34%
Max EPS beat(4)2.02%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-5.21%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.35%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.98%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.63%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.37%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.89%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.64%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.57%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.89%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.5%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.54%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.06%
PT rev (1m)-2.73%
PT rev (3m)-4.03%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.25%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.25%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.54%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.86%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.46%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.46%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.4%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.09%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 30.05
Fwd PE 26.15
P/S 6.57
P/FCF 25.75
P/OCF 22.47
P/B 5.7
P/tB 8.06
EV/EBITDA 20.22
EPS(TTM)2.81
EY3.33%
EPS(NY)3.23
Fwd EY3.82%
FCF(TTM)3.28
FCFY3.88%
OCF(TTM)3.76
OCFY4.45%
SpS12.86
BVpS14.83
TBVpS10.47
PEG (NY)3.51
PEG (5Y)3.88
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 16.22%
ROE 19.69%
ROCE 22.11%
ROIC 18.12%
ROICexc 22.71%
ROICexgc 34.57%
OM 27.04%
PM (TTM) 22.7%
GM 52.76%
FCFM 25.5%
ROA(3y)17.66%
ROA(5y)17.52%
ROE(3y)22.12%
ROE(5y)23.57%
ROIC(3y)21.05%
ROIC(5y)21.26%
ROICexc(3y)26.67%
ROICexc(5y)27.9%
ROICexgc(3y)38.29%
ROICexgc(5y)42.21%
ROCE(3y)25.69%
ROCE(5y)26.03%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-12.63%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-6.63%
ROICexc growth 3Y-11.33%
ROICexc growth 5Y-5.14%
OM growth 3Y0.31%
OM growth 5Y0.9%
PM growth 3Y1.29%
PM growth 5Y1.94%
GM growth 3Y0.7%
GM growth 5Y0.33%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.71
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF 0.05
Debt/EBITDA 0.04
Cap/Depr 87.17%
Cap/Sales 3.73%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 93.33%
Profit Quality 112.31%
Current Ratio 3.61
Quick Ratio 2.53
Altman-Z 18.38
F-Score5
WACC10.52%
ROIC/WACC1.72
Cap/Depr(3y)225.5%
Cap/Depr(5y)206.15%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.62%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.78%
Profit Quality(3y)78.75%
Profit Quality(5y)81.48%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-5.07%
EPS 3Y4.34%
EPS 5Y7.75%
EPS Q2Q%7.69%
EPS Next Y8.57%
EPS Next 2Y8.18%
EPS Next 3Y9.26%
EPS Next 5Y11.6%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.4%
Revenue growth 3Y2.07%
Revenue growth 5Y5.13%
Sales Q2Q%7.33%
Revenue Next Year6.02%
Revenue Next 2Y5.03%
Revenue Next 3Y5.67%
Revenue Next 5Y10.1%
EBIT growth 1Y-7.91%
EBIT growth 3Y2.38%
EBIT growth 5Y6.08%
EBIT Next Year20.82%
EBIT Next 3Y12.54%
EBIT Next 5Y13.65%
FCF growth 1Y124.15%
FCF growth 3Y16.79%
FCF growth 5Y12.12%
OCF growth 1Y43.78%
OCF growth 3Y10.81%
OCF growth 5Y8.23%