Logo image of GFR.CA

GREENFIRE RESOURCES LTD (GFR.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:GFR - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA39525U1075 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

6.11  -0.09 (-1.45%)

Fundamental Rating

5

Overall GFR gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated GFR against 207 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of GFR get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. GFR is valued quite cheap, while showing a decent growth score. This is a good combination! This makes GFR very considerable for value investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year GFR was profitable.
GFR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years GFR reported 4 times negative net income.
In multiple years GFR reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
GFR.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGFR.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M -50M 100M -100M 150M

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of GFR (14.57%) is better than 94.69% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 22.08%, GFR belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 94.69% of the companies in the same industry.
GFR has a better Return On Invested Capital (9.36%) than 89.37% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 14.57%
ROE 22.08%
ROIC 9.36%
ROA(3y)-0.75%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)-1.71%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
GFR.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGFR.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of GFR (23.92%) is better than 86.47% of its industry peers.
GFR's Operating Margin of 19.79% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GFR outperforms 71.98% of its industry peers.
GFR has a Gross Margin of 80.02%. This is amongst the best in the industry. GFR outperforms 93.24% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 19.79%
PM (TTM) 23.92%
GM 80.02%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
GFR.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGFR.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 60 80

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GFR is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for GFR has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
GFR has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
GFR.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingGFR.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M
GFR.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGFR.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.2 Solvency

GFR has an Altman-Z score of 2.39. This is not the best score and indicates that GFR is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
GFR's Altman-Z score of 2.39 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GFR outperforms 74.40% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GFR is 4.25, which is a neutral value as it means it would take GFR, 4.25 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
GFR has a better Debt to FCF ratio (4.25) than 77.78% of its industry peers.
GFR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.38. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.38, GFR is in line with its industry, outperforming 54.11% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.38
Debt/FCF 4.25
Altman-Z 2.39
ROIC/WACC0.89
WACC10.55%
GFR.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGFR.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

GFR has a Current Ratio of 1.65. This is a normal value and indicates that GFR is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GFR's Current ratio of 1.65 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GFR outperforms 79.23% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.51 indicates that GFR should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.51, GFR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 76.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.65
Quick Ratio 1.51
GFR.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGFR.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 185.86% over the past year.
Looking at the last year, GFR shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 21.26%.
EPS 1Y (TTM)185.86%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%133.82%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)21.26%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-12.87%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 44.91% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
GFR is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.80% yearly.
EPS Next Y15.63%
EPS Next 2Y38.01%
EPS Next 3Y51.59%
EPS Next 5Y44.91%
Revenue Next Year-7.5%
Revenue Next 2Y3.8%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

GFR.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGFR.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2023 2024 2025 2026 200M 400M 600M 800M
GFR.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGFR.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1 2 3 4

9

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

GFR is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 2.36.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, GFR is valued cheaply inside the industry as 98.55% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.29, GFR is valued rather cheaply.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 3.31, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of GFR.
94.69% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GFR, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
GFR is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 21.74, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 2.36
Fwd PE 3.31
GFR.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGFR.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GFR is valued cheaper than 90.82% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GFR is valued cheaper than 95.17% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 5.34
EV/EBITDA 3.22
GFR.CA Per share dataGFR.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
GFR's earnings are expected to grow with 51.59% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.15
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y38.01%
EPS Next 3Y51.59%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for GFR!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

GREENFIRE RESOURCES LTD

TSX:GFR (7/4/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

6.11

-0.09 (-1.45%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)05-06 2025-05-06/amc
Earnings (Next)08-12 2025-08-12
Inst Owners26.03%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners6.05%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap427.21M
Analysts80
Price Target11.07 (81.18%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)180.69%
Min EPS beat(2)153.03%
Max EPS beat(2)208.35%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)128.21%
Min EPS beat(4)48.51%
Max EPS beat(4)208.35%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-21.46%
PT rev (3m)-25.33%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)9.9%
EPS NY rev (3m)-45.85%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.23%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 2.36
Fwd PE 3.31
P/S 0.55
P/FCF 5.34
P/OCF 2.62
P/B 0.51
P/tB 0.51
EV/EBITDA 3.22
EPS(TTM)2.59
EY42.39%
EPS(NY)1.85
Fwd EY30.22%
FCF(TTM)1.14
FCFY18.73%
OCF(TTM)2.33
OCFY38.15%
SpS11.06
BVpS11.99
TBVpS11.99
PEG (NY)0.15
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 14.57%
ROE 22.08%
ROCE 13%
ROIC 9.36%
ROICexc 9.36%
ROICexgc 9.36%
OM 19.79%
PM (TTM) 23.92%
GM 80.02%
FCFM 10.35%
ROA(3y)-0.75%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)-1.71%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.61
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.38
Debt/FCF 4.25
Debt/EBITDA 1.35
Cap/Depr 97.65%
Cap/Sales 10.73%
Interest Coverage 3.4
Cash Conversion 68.49%
Profit Quality 43.24%
Current Ratio 1.65
Quick Ratio 1.51
Altman-Z 2.39
F-Score7
WACC10.55%
ROIC/WACC0.89
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)185.86%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%133.82%
EPS Next Y15.63%
EPS Next 2Y38.01%
EPS Next 3Y51.59%
EPS Next 5Y44.91%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)21.26%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-12.87%
Revenue Next Year-7.5%
Revenue Next 2Y3.8%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y72.73%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year234.62%
EBIT Next 3Y101.17%
EBIT Next 5Y76.92%
FCF growth 1Y4778.36%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y9632.16%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A