GREENFIRE RESOURCES LTD (GFR.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

TSX:GFR • CA39525U1075

Current stock price

8.7 CAD
-0.11 (-1.25%)
Last:

This GFR.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. GFR.CA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year GFR was profitable.
  • In the past year GFR had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years GFR reported 4 times negative net income.
  • The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: GFR reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
GFR.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGFR.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M -50M 100M -100M 150M

1.2 Ratios

  • With an excellent Return On Assets value of 10.37%, GFR belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 95.24% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GFR's Return On Equity of 15.39% is amongst the best of the industry. GFR outperforms 92.38% of its industry peers.
  • With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 6.00%, GFR belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 80.95% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.37%
ROE 15.39%
ROIC 6%
ROA(3y)-0.75%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)-1.71%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
GFR.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGFR.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10

1.3 Margins

  • GFR has a better Profit Margin (20.59%) than 87.62% of its industry peers.
  • GFR's Operating Margin of 15.38% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GFR outperforms 63.33% of its industry peers.
  • GFR has a better Gross Margin (78.25%) than 93.33% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 15.38%
PM (TTM) 20.59%
GM 78.25%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
GFR.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGFR.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 60 80

7

2. GFR.CA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), GFR is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, GFR has more shares outstanding
  • GFR has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
GFR.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingGFR.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M
GFR.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGFR.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 3.17 indicates that GFR is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • GFR's Altman-Z score of 3.17 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GFR outperforms 79.05% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of GFR is 3.58, which is a good value as it means it would take GFR, 3.58 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 3.58, GFR belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 86.19% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.36 indicates that GFR is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of GFR (0.36) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.36
Debt/FCF 3.58
Altman-Z 3.17
ROIC/WACC0.71
WACC8.42%
GFR.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGFR.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

  • GFR has a Current Ratio of 2.26. This indicates that GFR is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of GFR (2.26) is better than 81.43% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 2.03 indicates that GFR has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • GFR has a Quick ratio of 2.03. This is amongst the best in the industry. GFR outperforms 80.95% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.26
Quick Ratio 2.03
GFR.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGFR.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

3

3. GFR.CA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 185.80% over the past year.
  • GFR shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 21.26%.
EPS 1Y (TTM)185.8%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-114.63%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)21.26%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-61.38%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, GFR will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 37.20% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to decrease by -47.35% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
EPS Next Y-8.33%
EPS Next 2Y-89.17%
EPS Next 3Y-18.01%
EPS Next 5Y37.2%
Revenue Next Year-30.05%
Revenue Next 2Y-25.65%
Revenue Next 3Y-6.1%
Revenue Next 5Y-47.35%

3.3 Evolution

GFR.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGFR.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 200M 400M 600M 800M
GFR.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGFR.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1 2 3

5

4. GFR.CA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 5.40, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of GFR.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of GFR indicates a rather cheap valuation: GFR is cheaper than 95.24% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • GFR's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.21.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 861.39, which means the current valuation is very expensive for GFR.
  • GFR's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GFR to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.10), we can say GFR is valued expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 5.4
Fwd PE 861.39
GFR.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGFR.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 200 400 600 800

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 83.33% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GFR, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GFR is valued cheaper than 85.24% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 11.86
EV/EBITDA 7.44
GFR.CA Per share dataGFR.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • GFR's earnings are expected to decrease with -18.01% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-89.17%
EPS Next 3Y-18.01%

0

5. GFR.CA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for GFR!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

GFR.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

GREENFIRE RESOURCES LTD

TSX:GFR (4/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

8.7

-0.11 (-1.25%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)03-13
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst OwnersN/A
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.09B
Revenue(TTM)656.80M
Net Income(TTM)135.25M
Analysts76.67
Price Target9.75 (12.07%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-3.93%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)43.27%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 5.4
Fwd PE 861.39
P/S 1.66
P/FCF 11.86
P/OCF 6.73
P/B 1.24
P/tB 1.24
EV/EBITDA 7.44
EPS(TTM)1.61
EY18.51%
EPS(NY)0.01
Fwd EY0.12%
FCF(TTM)0.73
FCFY8.43%
OCF(TTM)1.29
OCFY14.85%
SpS5.24
BVpS7.02
TBVpS7.02
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number15.94
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.37%
ROE 15.39%
ROCE 8.33%
ROIC 6%
ROICexc 6%
ROICexgc 6%
OM 15.38%
PM (TTM) 20.59%
GM 78.25%
FCFM 14.01%
ROA(3y)-0.75%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)-1.71%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.5
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.36
Debt/FCF 3.58
Debt/EBITDA 1.64
Cap/Depr 77.78%
Cap/Sales 10.66%
Interest Coverage 2.35
Cash Conversion 84.82%
Profit Quality 68.02%
Current Ratio 2.26
Quick Ratio 2.03
Altman-Z 3.17
F-Score6
WACC8.42%
ROIC/WACC0.71
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)185.8%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-114.63%
EPS Next Y-8.33%
EPS Next 2Y-89.17%
EPS Next 3Y-18.01%
EPS Next 5Y37.2%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)21.26%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-61.38%
Revenue Next Year-30.05%
Revenue Next 2Y-25.65%
Revenue Next 3Y-6.1%
Revenue Next 5Y-47.35%
EBIT growth 1Y72.73%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year236.54%
EBIT Next 3Y45.75%
EBIT Next 5Y64.52%
FCF growth 1Y37.5%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y66.67%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

GREENFIRE RESOURCES LTD / GFR.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for GFR stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to GFR.CA.


What is the valuation status for GFR stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to GREENFIRE RESOURCES LTD (GFR.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of GFR stock?

GREENFIRE RESOURCES LTD (GFR.CA) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the valuation of GREENFIRE RESOURCES LTD based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for GREENFIRE RESOURCES LTD (GFR.CA) is 5.4 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.24.


Can you provide the financial health for GFR stock?

The financial health rating of GREENFIRE RESOURCES LTD (GFR.CA) is 7 / 10.