GREENFIRE RESOURCES LTD (GFR.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

TSX:GFR • CA39525U1075

Current stock price

8.08 CAD
-0.6 (-6.91%)
Last:

This GFR.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. GFR.CA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • GFR had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year GFR had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • GFR had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • In multiple years GFR reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
GFR.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGFR.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M -50M 100M -100M 150M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 10.37%, GFR belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 94.81% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GFR's Return On Equity of 15.39% is amongst the best of the industry. GFR outperforms 92.45% of its industry peers.
  • With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 6.00%, GFR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 79.72% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.37%
ROE 15.39%
ROIC 6%
ROA(3y)-0.75%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)-1.71%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
GFR.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGFR.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of GFR (20.59%) is better than 87.26% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 15.38%, GFR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 64.62% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GFR's Gross Margin of 78.25% is amongst the best of the industry. GFR outperforms 93.87% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 15.38%
PM (TTM) 20.59%
GM 78.25%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
GFR.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGFR.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 60 80

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7

2. GFR.CA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GFR is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, GFR has more shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for GFR has been reduced compared to a year ago.
GFR.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingGFR.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M
GFR.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGFR.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.2 Solvency

  • GFR has an Altman-Z score of 3.16. This indicates that GFR is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With a decent Altman-Z score value of 3.16, GFR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 78.77% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GFR has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.58. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as GFR would need 3.58 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • GFR has a Debt to FCF ratio of 3.58. This is amongst the best in the industry. GFR outperforms 84.91% of its industry peers.
  • GFR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.36. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.36, GFR perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.49% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.36
Debt/FCF 3.58
Altman-Z 3.16
ROIC/WACC0.7
WACC8.53%
GFR.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGFR.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.26 indicates that GFR has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • GFR has a Current ratio of 2.26. This is amongst the best in the industry. GFR outperforms 80.19% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 2.03 indicates that GFR has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • GFR has a Quick ratio of 2.03. This is in the better half of the industry: GFR outperforms 79.72% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.26
Quick Ratio 2.03
GFR.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGFR.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. GFR.CA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • GFR shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 185.80%, which is quite impressive.
  • Looking at the last year, GFR shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 21.26%.
EPS 1Y (TTM)185.8%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-114.63%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)21.26%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-61.38%

3.2 Future

  • GFR is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 37.20% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to decrease by -45.57% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
EPS Next Y-8.33%
EPS Next 2Y-89.17%
EPS Next 3Y-18.01%
EPS Next 5Y37.2%
Revenue Next Year-30.05%
Revenue Next 2Y-17.26%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5Y-45.57%

3.3 Evolution

GFR.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGFR.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2023 2024 2025 2026 2028 200M 400M 600M 800M
GFR.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGFR.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1 2 3

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5

4. GFR.CA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 5.02, the valuation of GFR can be described as very cheap.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, GFR is valued cheaper than 94.34% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GFR is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.70, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 800.00, GFR can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • GFR's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • GFR's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 23.84.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 5.02
Fwd PE 800
GFR.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGFR.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 200 400 600

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GFR is valued cheaply inside the industry as 83.49% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GFR is valued cheaper than 84.43% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 11.01
EV/EBITDA 7.43
GFR.CA Per share dataGFR.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • GFR's earnings are expected to decrease with -18.01% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-89.17%
EPS Next 3Y-18.01%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. GFR.CA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for GFR!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

GFR.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

GREENFIRE RESOURCES LTD

TSX:GFR (3/13/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

8.08

-0.6 (-6.91%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)11-03
Earnings (Next)03-25
Inst Owners9.91%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners2.99%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.01B
Revenue(TTM)656.80M
Net Income(TTM)135.25M
Analysts45
Price Target9.75 (20.67%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0.3%
PT rev (3m)-2.53%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)43.27%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 5.02
Fwd PE 800
P/S 1.54
P/FCF 11.01
P/OCF 6.25
P/B 1.15
P/tB 1.15
EV/EBITDA 7.43
EPS(TTM)1.61
EY19.93%
EPS(NY)0.01
Fwd EY0.13%
FCF(TTM)0.73
FCFY9.08%
OCF(TTM)1.29
OCFY15.99%
SpS5.24
BVpS7.02
TBVpS7.02
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number15.94
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.37%
ROE 15.39%
ROCE 8.33%
ROIC 6%
ROICexc 6%
ROICexgc 6%
OM 15.38%
PM (TTM) 20.59%
GM 78.25%
FCFM 14.01%
ROA(3y)-0.75%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)-1.71%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.5
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.36
Debt/FCF 3.58
Debt/EBITDA 1.64
Cap/Depr 77.78%
Cap/Sales 10.66%
Interest Coverage 2.35
Cash Conversion 84.82%
Profit Quality 68.02%
Current Ratio 2.26
Quick Ratio 2.03
Altman-Z 3.16
F-Score6
WACC8.53%
ROIC/WACC0.7
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)185.8%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-114.63%
EPS Next Y-8.33%
EPS Next 2Y-89.17%
EPS Next 3Y-18.01%
EPS Next 5Y37.2%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)21.26%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-61.38%
Revenue Next Year-30.05%
Revenue Next 2Y-17.26%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5Y-45.57%
EBIT growth 1Y72.73%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year236.54%
EBIT Next 3Y45.75%
EBIT Next 5Y64.52%
FCF growth 1Y37.5%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y66.67%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

GREENFIRE RESOURCES LTD / GFR.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for GFR stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to GFR.CA.


What is the valuation status for GFR stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to GREENFIRE RESOURCES LTD (GFR.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for GREENFIRE RESOURCES LTD?

GREENFIRE RESOURCES LTD (GFR.CA) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of GREENFIRE RESOURCES LTD (GFR.CA) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for GREENFIRE RESOURCES LTD (GFR.CA) is 5.02 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.15.


What is the earnings growth outlook for GREENFIRE RESOURCES LTD?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GREENFIRE RESOURCES LTD (GFR.CA) is expected to decline by -8.33% in the next year.