GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:GEF - US3976241071 - Common Stock
65.31 USD
-1.69 (-2.52%)
65.31 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, GEF scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. GEF was compared to 22 industry peers in the Containers & Packaging industry. GEF has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. GEF is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year GEF was profitable.
In the past year GEF had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years GEF has always been profitable.
GEF had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
GEF has a Return On Assets of 2.82%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GEF outperforms 59.09% of its industry peers.
GEF's Return On Equity of 8.66% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GEF outperforms 59.09% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of GEF (6.68%) is better than 63.64% of its industry peers.
GEF had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 9.92%. This is above the industry average of 7.30%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.82% | ||
| ROE | 8.66% | ||
| ROIC | 6.68% |
ROA(3y)5.65%
ROA(5y)5.13%
ROE(3y)17.58%
ROE(5y)17.6%
ROIC(3y)9.92%
ROIC(5y)9.37%
1.3 Margins
GEF has a Profit Margin (3.65%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
GEF's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
GEF has a Operating Margin (8.77%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
GEF's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of GEF (21.35%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
GEF's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.77% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.65% | ||
| GM | 21.35% |
OM growth 3Y-5.49%
OM growth 5Y-4.05%
PM growth 3Y-11.14%
PM growth 5Y5.8%
GM growth 3Y-0.03%
GM growth 5Y-1.21%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), GEF is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, GEF has more shares outstanding
GEF has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
GEF has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
The Debt to FCF ratio of GEF is 8.09, which is on the high side as it means it would take GEF, 8.09 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GEF (8.09) is better than 77.27% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.19 is on the high side and indicates that GEF has dependencies on debt financing.
GEF has a Debt to Equity ratio (1.19) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.19 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.09 | ||
| Altman-Z | N/A |
ROIC/WACC0.84
WACC7.91%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.41 indicates that GEF should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
GEF has a Current ratio of 1.41. This is in the better half of the industry: GEF outperforms 68.18% of its industry peers.
GEF has a Quick Ratio of 1.18. This is a normal value and indicates that GEF is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With an excellent Quick ratio value of 1.18, GEF belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 81.82% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.18 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for GEF have decreased strongly by -26.07% in the last year.
GEF shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 0.05% yearly.
GEF shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -2.55%.
GEF shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.46% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-26.07%
EPS 3Y-10.83%
EPS 5Y0.05%
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.55%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.65%
Revenue growth 5Y3.46%
Sales Q2Q%-21.97%
3.2 Future
GEF is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 13.79% yearly.
GEF is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.39% yearly.
EPS Next Y4.1%
EPS Next 2Y15.57%
EPS Next 3Y11.17%
EPS Next 5Y13.79%
Revenue Next Year-5.66%
Revenue Next 2Y2.93%
Revenue Next 3Y2.95%
Revenue Next 5Y3.39%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 18.88, the valuation of GEF can be described as rather expensive.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as GEF.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.13, GEF is valued a bit cheaper.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.32, the valuation of GEF can be described as correct.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GEF indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: GEF is cheaper than 68.18% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.76. GEF is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.88 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.32 |
4.2 Price Multiples
95.45% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GEF, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
GEF's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GEF is cheaper than 95.45% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 9.23 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.11 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)4.61
PEG (5Y)374.12
EPS Next 2Y15.57%
EPS Next 3Y11.17%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.43%, GEF has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
GEF's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.15.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.32, GEF pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.43% |
5.2 History
The dividend of GEF has a limited annual growth rate of 3.55%.
GEF has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
GEF has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.55%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years28
5.3 Sustainability
GEF pays out 65.79% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
GEF's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP65.79%
EPS Next 2Y15.57%
EPS Next 3Y11.17%
65.31
-1.69 (-2.52%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryContainers & Packaging
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners89.49%
Inst Owner Change-1.32%
Ins Owners3.42%
Ins Owner Change-2.17%
Market Cap3.10B
Analysts74
Price Target77.93 (19.32%)
Short Float %2.35%
Short Ratio2.55
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.43% |
Yearly Dividend2.57
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.55%
DP65.79%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years28
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-6.35%
Min EPS beat(2)-18.52%
Max EPS beat(2)5.83%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-20.77%
Min EPS beat(4)-47.21%
Max EPS beat(4)5.83%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)11.21%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)9.38%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)12.69%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-7.94%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.92%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.96%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.26%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.92%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.34%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.55%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-4.28%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.87%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)7%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-16.09%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-12.88%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.2%
EPS NY rev (3m)5.18%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-12.02%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-14.56%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.8%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.88 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.32 | ||
| P/S | 0.6 | ||
| P/FCF | 9.23 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.29 | ||
| P/B | 1.41 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.11 |
EPS(TTM)3.46
EY5.3%
EPS(NY)5.3
Fwd EY8.12%
FCF(TTM)7.08
FCFY10.84%
OCF(TTM)10.38
OCFY15.9%
SpS109.64
BVpS46.23
TBVpS-7.47
PEG (NY)4.61
PEG (5Y)374.12
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.82% | ||
| ROE | 8.66% | ||
| ROCE | 8.57% | ||
| ROIC | 6.68% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.03% | ||
| ROICexgc | 13.23% | ||
| OM | 8.77% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.65% | ||
| GM | 21.35% | ||
| FCFM | 6.46% |
ROA(3y)5.65%
ROA(5y)5.13%
ROE(3y)17.58%
ROE(5y)17.6%
ROIC(3y)9.92%
ROIC(5y)9.37%
ROICexc(3y)10.28%
ROICexc(5y)9.67%
ROICexgc(3y)20.61%
ROICexgc(5y)19.31%
ROCE(3y)11.85%
ROCE(5y)11.22%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-9.92%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-3.38%
ROICexc growth 3Y-12.41%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.33%
OM growth 3Y-5.49%
OM growth 5Y-4.05%
PM growth 3Y-11.14%
PM growth 5Y5.8%
GM growth 3Y-0.03%
GM growth 5Y-1.21%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.77
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.19 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.09 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.63 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 59.04% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.01% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 68.26% | ||
| Profit Quality | 176.79% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.18 | ||
| Altman-Z | N/A |
F-Score5
WACC7.91%
ROIC/WACC0.84
Cap/Depr(3y)84.36%
Cap/Depr(5y)74.47%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.54%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.26%
Profit Quality(3y)102.26%
Profit Quality(5y)132.55%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-26.07%
EPS 3Y-10.83%
EPS 5Y0.05%
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y4.1%
EPS Next 2Y15.57%
EPS Next 3Y11.17%
EPS Next 5Y13.79%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.55%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.65%
Revenue growth 5Y3.46%
Sales Q2Q%-21.97%
Revenue Next Year-5.66%
Revenue Next 2Y2.93%
Revenue Next 3Y2.95%
Revenue Next 5Y3.39%
EBIT growth 1Y2.75%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.11%
EBIT growth 5Y-0.73%
EBIT Next Year66.44%
EBIT Next 3Y24.36%
EBIT Next 5Y19.41%
FCF growth 1Y-36.62%
FCF growth 3Y-12.96%
FCF growth 5Y-6.29%
OCF growth 1Y-32.75%
OCF growth 3Y-3.53%
OCF growth 5Y-1.78%