GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:GEF - US3976241071 - Common Stock
58.47 USD
+0.95 (+1.65%)
58.47 USD
0 (0%)
GEF gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 22 industry peers in the Containers & Packaging industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of GEF get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. GEF has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively. Finally GEF also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GEF had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year GEF had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years GEF has been profitable.
GEF had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 2.82%, GEF is in line with its industry, outperforming 54.55% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 8.66%, GEF is in line with its industry, outperforming 59.09% of the companies in the same industry.
With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 6.68%, GEF is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.64% of the companies in the same industry.
GEF had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 9.92%. This is above the industry average of 7.62%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.82% | ||
| ROE | 8.66% | ||
| ROIC | 6.68% |
ROA(3y)5.65%
ROA(5y)5.13%
ROE(3y)17.58%
ROE(5y)17.6%
ROIC(3y)9.92%
ROIC(5y)9.37%
1.3 Margins
GEF has a Profit Margin (3.65%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
GEF's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
GEF has a Operating Margin (8.77%) which is in line with its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GEF has declined.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 21.35%, GEF is in line with its industry, outperforming 54.55% of the companies in the same industry.
GEF's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.77% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.65% | ||
| GM | 21.35% |
OM growth 3Y-5.49%
OM growth 5Y-4.05%
PM growth 3Y-11.14%
PM growth 5Y5.8%
GM growth 3Y-0.03%
GM growth 5Y-1.21%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
GEF has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, GEF has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for GEF has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, GEF has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 1.99 indicates that GEF is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.99, GEF is in line with its industry, outperforming 59.09% of the companies in the same industry.
GEF has a debt to FCF ratio of 8.24. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as GEF would need 8.24 years to pay back of all of its debts.
GEF has a better Debt to FCF ratio (8.24) than 77.27% of its industry peers.
GEF has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.21. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
GEF has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.21. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GEF outperforms 59.09% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.21 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.24 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.99 |
ROIC/WACC0.76
WACC8.83%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.41 indicates that GEF should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
GEF has a Current ratio of 1.41. This is in the better half of the industry: GEF outperforms 63.64% of its industry peers.
GEF has a Quick Ratio of 1.18. This is a normal value and indicates that GEF is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GEF has a better Quick ratio (1.18) than 77.27% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.18 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
GEF shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -26.07%.
Measured over the past 5 years, GEF shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 0.05% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, GEF shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -2.55% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.46% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-26.07%
EPS 3Y-10.83%
EPS 5Y0.05%
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.55%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.65%
Revenue growth 5Y3.46%
Sales Q2Q%-21.97%
3.2 Future
GEF is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 13.79% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, GEF will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.39% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-18.25%
EPS Next 2Y3.88%
EPS Next 3Y5.14%
EPS Next 5Y13.79%
Revenue Next Year-17.26%
Revenue Next 2Y-9.81%
Revenue Next 3Y-5.86%
Revenue Next 5Y3.39%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
GEF is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 16.90.
GEF's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.06, GEF is valued a bit cheaper.
GEF is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.65.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as GEF.
GEF's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 32.73.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.9 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.65 |
4.2 Price Multiples
90.91% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GEF, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GEF is valued cheaply inside the industry as 95.45% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 8.32 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.71 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)334.93
EPS Next 2Y3.88%
EPS Next 3Y5.14%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.89%, GEF has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.56, GEF pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.37, GEF pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.89% |
5.2 History
The dividend of GEF has a limited annual growth rate of 3.55%.
GEF has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
GEF has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.55%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years28
5.3 Sustainability
65.79% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GEF. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
GEF's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP65.79%
EPS Next 2Y3.88%
EPS Next 3Y5.14%
58.47
+0.95 (+1.65%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryContainers & Packaging
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners90.97%
Inst Owner Change3.74%
Ins Owners3.04%
Ins Owner Change-2.38%
Market Cap2.78B
Revenue(TTM)5.20B
Net Income(TTM)190.00M
Analysts74
Price Target75.28 (28.75%)
Short Float %3%
Short Ratio3.73
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.89% |
Yearly Dividend2.57
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.55%
DP65.79%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years28
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-6.35%
Min EPS beat(2)-18.52%
Max EPS beat(2)5.83%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-20.77%
Min EPS beat(4)-47.21%
Max EPS beat(4)5.83%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)11.21%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)9.38%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)12.69%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-7.94%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.92%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.96%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.26%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.92%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.34%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.55%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-4.28%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.87%
PT rev (1m)-3.4%
PT rev (3m)-3.4%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-9.75%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-41.01%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.67%
EPS NY rev (3m)-21.31%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.01%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-28.8%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-12.29%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.9 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.65 | ||
| P/S | 0.53 | ||
| P/FCF | 8.32 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.66 | ||
| P/B | 1.27 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.71 |
EPS(TTM)3.46
EY5.92%
EPS(NY)4.28
Fwd EY7.33%
FCF(TTM)7.03
FCFY12.02%
OCF(TTM)10.33
OCFY17.66%
SpS109.54
BVpS46.19
TBVpS-7.47
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)334.93
Graham Number59.97
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.82% | ||
| ROE | 8.66% | ||
| ROCE | 8.57% | ||
| ROIC | 6.68% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.03% | ||
| ROICexgc | 13.23% | ||
| OM | 8.77% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.65% | ||
| GM | 21.35% | ||
| FCFM | 6.41% |
ROA(3y)5.65%
ROA(5y)5.13%
ROE(3y)17.58%
ROE(5y)17.6%
ROIC(3y)9.92%
ROIC(5y)9.37%
ROICexc(3y)10.28%
ROICexc(5y)9.67%
ROICexgc(3y)20.61%
ROICexgc(5y)19.31%
ROCE(3y)11.85%
ROCE(5y)11.22%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9.92%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.38%
ROICexc growth 3Y-12.41%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.33%
OM growth 3Y-5.49%
OM growth 5Y-4.05%
PM growth 3Y-11.14%
PM growth 5Y5.8%
GM growth 3Y-0.03%
GM growth 5Y-1.21%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.77
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.21 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.24 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.67 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 59.04% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.01% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 67.96% | ||
| Profit Quality | 175.63% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.18 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.99 |
F-Score5
WACC8.83%
ROIC/WACC0.76
Cap/Depr(3y)84.36%
Cap/Depr(5y)74.47%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.54%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.26%
Profit Quality(3y)102.26%
Profit Quality(5y)132.55%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-26.07%
EPS 3Y-10.83%
EPS 5Y0.05%
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y-18.25%
EPS Next 2Y3.88%
EPS Next 3Y5.14%
EPS Next 5Y13.79%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.55%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.65%
Revenue growth 5Y3.46%
Sales Q2Q%-21.97%
Revenue Next Year-17.26%
Revenue Next 2Y-9.81%
Revenue Next 3Y-5.86%
Revenue Next 5Y3.39%
EBIT growth 1Y2.75%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.11%
EBIT growth 5Y-0.73%
EBIT Next Year42.67%
EBIT Next 3Y14.2%
EBIT Next 5Y19.41%
FCF growth 1Y-37.04%
FCF growth 3Y-12.96%
FCF growth 5Y-6.29%
OCF growth 1Y-33.05%
OCF growth 3Y-3.53%
OCF growth 5Y-1.78%
GREIF INC-CL A / GEF FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GREIF INC-CL A?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to GEF.
What is the valuation status of GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to GREIF INC-CL A (GEF). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) stock?
GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
How financially healthy is GREIF INC-CL A?
The financial health rating of GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) is 5 / 10.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GEF stock?
The dividend rating of GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 65.79%.