GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC (GDEN) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:GDEN - US3810131017 - Common Stock
29.82 USD
-0.11 (-0.37%)
29.82 USD
0 (0%)
Overall GDEN gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated GDEN against 132 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of GDEN get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. GDEN has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GDEN had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year GDEN had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years GDEN 4 years were profitable.
In the past 5 years GDEN always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
With a Return On Assets value of 1.46%, GDEN perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 42.42% of the companies in the same industry.
GDEN has a Return On Equity of 3.45%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GDEN outperforms 54.55% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 3.47%, GDEN is doing worse than 61.36% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GDEN is below the industry average of 10.59%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.46% | ||
| ROE | 3.45% | ||
| ROIC | 3.47% |
ROA(3y)9.25%
ROA(5y)5.82%
ROE(3y)27.19%
ROE(5y)9.51%
ROIC(3y)5.89%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 2.35%, GDEN is in line with its industry, outperforming 47.73% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GDEN has declined.
GDEN has a Operating Margin (6.98%) which is in line with its industry peers.
GDEN's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 54.18%, GDEN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.64% of the companies in the same industry.
GDEN's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.98% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.35% | ||
| GM | 54.18% |
OM growth 3Y-22.49%
OM growth 5Y6.45%
PM growth 3Y-19.81%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.15%
GM growth 5Y5.94%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
GDEN has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
GDEN has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
GDEN has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for GDEN has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.51, we must say that GDEN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.51, GDEN perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GDEN is 8.67, which is on the high side as it means it would take GDEN, 8.67 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 8.67, GDEN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 64.39% of the companies in the same industry.
GDEN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.95. This is a neutral value indicating GDEN is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
GDEN has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.95) than 61.36% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.95 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.67 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.51 |
ROIC/WACC0.42
WACC8.21%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.12 indicates that GDEN should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
GDEN has a Current ratio (1.12) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
GDEN has a Quick Ratio of 1.03. This is a normal value and indicates that GDEN is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.03, GDEN is in line with its industry, outperforming 59.09% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.12 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.03 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
GDEN shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -45.45%.
GDEN shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -59.56% yearly.
The Revenue for GDEN has decreased by -36.68% in the past year. This is quite bad
The Revenue has been decreasing by -7.29% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-45.45%
EPS 3Y-59.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-200%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-36.68%
Revenue growth 3Y-15.28%
Revenue growth 5Y-7.29%
Sales Q2Q%-3.98%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 49.35% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.67% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y22.66%
EPS Next 2Y48.97%
EPS Next 3Y49.35%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-3.48%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.7%
Revenue Next 3Y0.67%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 165.67 indicates a quite expensive valuation of GDEN.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of GDEN indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: GDEN is more expensive than 65.15% of the companies listed in the same industry.
GDEN's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 25.51.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 39.52 indicates a quite expensive valuation of GDEN.
GDEN's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
GDEN's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 34.98.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 165.67 | ||
| Fwd PE | 39.52 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of GDEN indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: GDEN is cheaper than 70.45% of the companies listed in the same industry.
79.55% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GDEN, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 15.72 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.56 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates GDEN does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
GDEN's earnings are expected to grow with 49.35% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)7.31
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y48.97%
EPS Next 3Y49.35%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GDEN has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.38%.
GDEN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 4.58. GDEN pays more dividend than 87.12% of the companies in the same industry.
GDEN's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 2.44.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.38% |
5.2 History
GDEN has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
GDEN pays out 178.95% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP178.95%
EPS Next 2Y48.97%
EPS Next 3Y49.35%
29.82
-0.11 (-0.37%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners70.86%
Inst Owner Change1.92%
Ins Owners26.81%
Ins Owner Change16.03%
Market Cap780.09M
Revenue(TTM)666.82M
Net Income(TTM)15.28M
Analysts77.14
Price Target33.41 (12.04%)
Short Float %6.32%
Short Ratio3.08
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.38% |
Yearly Dividend0.77
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP178.95%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-16.87%
Min EPS beat(2)-28.43%
Max EPS beat(2)-5.3%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)13.07%
Min EPS beat(4)-53.76%
Max EPS beat(4)139.77%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-155%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-113.38%
EPS beat(16)3
Avg EPS beat(16)-79.05%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.03%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.4%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.67%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.77%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.44%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.58%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.62%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.9%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.16%
PT rev (1m)-2.96%
PT rev (3m)-7.09%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-36.04%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-172.4%
EPS NY rev (1m)-4.94%
EPS NY rev (3m)-25.93%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.26%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.99%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.14%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.79%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 165.67 | ||
| Fwd PE | 39.52 | ||
| P/S | 1.2 | ||
| P/FCF | 15.72 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.57 | ||
| P/B | 1.76 | ||
| P/tB | 2.56 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.56 |
EPS(TTM)0.18
EY0.6%
EPS(NY)0.75
Fwd EY2.53%
FCF(TTM)1.9
FCFY6.36%
OCF(TTM)3.48
OCFY11.67%
SpS24.84
BVpS16.95
TBVpS11.65
PEG (NY)7.31
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number8.28
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.46% | ||
| ROE | 3.45% | ||
| ROCE | 4.73% | ||
| ROIC | 3.47% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.67% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.33% | ||
| OM | 6.98% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.35% | ||
| GM | 54.18% | ||
| FCFM | 7.64% |
ROA(3y)9.25%
ROA(5y)5.82%
ROE(3y)27.19%
ROE(5y)9.51%
ROIC(3y)5.89%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)6.55%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)7.84%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)8.03%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-28.43%
ROICexgc growth 5Y7.12%
ROICexc growth 3Y-26.95%
ROICexc growth 5Y8.75%
OM growth 3Y-22.49%
OM growth 5Y6.45%
PM growth 3Y-19.81%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.15%
GM growth 5Y5.94%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.62
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.95 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.67 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.12 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 45.87% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.37% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.54 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 67.13% | ||
| Profit Quality | 324.92% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.12 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.03 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.51 |
F-Score6
WACC8.21%
ROIC/WACC0.42
Cap/Depr(3y)67.78%
Cap/Depr(5y)52.03%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.74%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.63%
Profit Quality(3y)72.25%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-45.45%
EPS 3Y-59.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-200%
EPS Next Y22.66%
EPS Next 2Y48.97%
EPS Next 3Y49.35%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-36.68%
Revenue growth 3Y-15.28%
Revenue growth 5Y-7.29%
Sales Q2Q%-3.98%
Revenue Next Year-3.48%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.7%
Revenue Next 3Y0.67%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-31.97%
EBIT growth 3Y-34.33%
EBIT growth 5Y-1.31%
EBIT Next Year29.7%
EBIT Next 3Y12.74%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-34.43%
FCF growth 3Y-45.79%
FCF growth 5Y45.1%
OCF growth 1Y-43.11%
OCF growth 3Y-32.16%
OCF growth 5Y-4.11%
GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC / GDEN FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GDEN.
What is the valuation status of GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC (GDEN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC (GDEN). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of GDEN stock?
GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC (GDEN) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
How financially healthy is GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC?
The financial health rating of GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC (GDEN) is 5 / 10.
Is the dividend of GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC sustainable?
The dividend rating of GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC (GDEN) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 178.95%.