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GENESCO INC (GCO) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:GCO - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US3715321028 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

21.86  +1.49 (+7.31%)

Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to GCO. GCO was compared to 121 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. GCO scores quite bad on profitability, while its financial health is fine. Not spectacular, but in line with the averages. GCO may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

GCO had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year GCO had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: GCO reported negative net income in multiple years.
GCO had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
GCO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGCO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M -100M 200M -200M

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of GCO (-1.41%) is worse than 61.98% of its industry peers.
GCO has a Return On Equity (-3.45%) which is in line with its industry peers.
GCO has a Return On Invested Capital (1.42%) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GCO is significantly below the industry average of 13.13%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.41%
ROE -3.45%
ROIC 1.42%
ROA(3y)0.75%
ROA(5y)1.21%
ROE(3y)1.82%
ROE(5y)2.91%
ROIC(3y)3.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
GCO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGCO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10

1.3 Margins

GCO has a Operating Margin (0.74%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GCO has declined.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 47.17%, GCO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.55% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GCO has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 0.74%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 47.17%
OM growth 3Y-51.59%
OM growth 5Y-30.03%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.1%
GM growth 5Y-0.51%
GCO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGCO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30 40

6

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), GCO is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for GCO has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for GCO has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
There is no outstanding debt for GCO. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
GCO Yearly Shares OutstandingGCO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5M 10M 15M 20M
GCO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGCO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.43 indicates that GCO is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
GCO has a Altman-Z score (2.43) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
There is no outstanding debt for GCO. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Altman-Z 2.43
ROIC/WACC0.13
WACC10.7%
GCO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGCO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.60 indicates that GCO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
GCO has a Current ratio of 1.60. This is in the better half of the industry: GCO outperforms 68.59% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.48 indicates that GCO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.48, GCO is in line with its industry, outperforming 48.76% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.6
Quick Ratio 0.48
GCO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGCO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

GCO shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 371.43%, which is quite impressive.
GCO shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -28.12% yearly.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.85% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.14% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)371.43%
EPS 3Y-50.35%
EPS 5Y-28.12%
EPS Q2Q%2.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.85%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.35%
Revenue growth 5Y1.14%
Sales Q2Q%3.58%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 36.75% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, GCO will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 1.32% on average per year.
EPS Next Y63.86%
EPS Next 2Y47.32%
EPS Next 3Y36.75%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.01%
Revenue Next 2Y0.33%
Revenue Next 3Y1.32%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
GCO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGCO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B
GCO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGCO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 2 -2 4 6

7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 22.08, GCO is valued on the expensive side.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, GCO is valued a bit cheaper than 65.29% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of GCO to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.32), we can say GCO is valued inline with the index average.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.71, the valuation of GCO can be described as very reasonable.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GCO indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: GCO is cheaper than 75.21% of the companies listed in the same industry.
GCO's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 22.13.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 22.08
Fwd PE 10.71
GCO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGCO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of GCO indicates a rather cheap valuation: GCO is cheaper than 93.39% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GCO is valued cheaply inside the industry as 91.74% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 5.04
EV/EBITDA 2.67
GCO Per share dataGCO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 50 100 150 200

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
GCO's earnings are expected to grow with 36.75% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.35
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y47.32%
EPS Next 3Y36.75%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for GCO!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

GENESCO INC

NYSE:GCO (6/16/2025, 1:43:45 PM)

21.86

+1.49 (+7.31%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)06-04 2025-06-04/bmo
Earnings (Next)09-04 2025-09-04/bmo
Inst Owners101.72%
Inst Owner Change6.78%
Ins Owners7.83%
Ins Owner Change4.01%
Market Cap235.65M
Analysts48
Price Target23.97 (9.65%)
Short Float %13.8%
Short Ratio4.24
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)30.45%
Min EPS beat(2)-2.34%
Max EPS beat(2)63.23%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)27.26%
Min EPS beat(4)-2.34%
Max EPS beat(4)63.23%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)6.19%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)62.09%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)279.48%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.13%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.9%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.64%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.27%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.9%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.66%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.54%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.11%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.74%
PT rev (1m)-12.96%
PT rev (3m)-41.25%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.29%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.29%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-34.97%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.16%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.16%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.68%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 22.08
Fwd PE 10.71
P/S 0.1
P/FCF 5.04
P/OCF 2.68
P/B 0.43
P/tB 0.46
EV/EBITDA 2.67
EPS(TTM)0.99
EY4.53%
EPS(NY)2.04
Fwd EY9.33%
FCF(TTM)4.34
FCFY19.84%
OCF(TTM)8.15
OCFY37.3%
SpS215.68
BVpS50.74
TBVpS47.5
PEG (NY)0.35
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.41%
ROE -3.45%
ROCE 1.8%
ROIC 1.42%
ROICexc 1.47%
ROICexgc 1.53%
OM 0.74%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 47.17%
FCFM 2.01%
ROA(3y)0.75%
ROA(5y)1.21%
ROE(3y)1.82%
ROE(5y)2.91%
ROIC(3y)3.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)3.34%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.53%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)4.05%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-55.02%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-26.41%
ROICexc growth 3Y-54.26%
ROICexc growth 5Y-24.94%
OM growth 3Y-51.59%
OM growth 5Y-30.03%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.1%
GM growth 5Y-0.51%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.74
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 78.4%
Cap/Sales 1.77%
Interest Coverage 3.83
Cash Conversion 126.23%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.6
Quick Ratio 0.48
Altman-Z 2.43
F-Score5
WACC10.7%
ROIC/WACC0.13
Cap/Depr(3y)113.44%
Cap/Depr(5y)103.5%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.29%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.09%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)371.43%
EPS 3Y-50.35%
EPS 5Y-28.12%
EPS Q2Q%2.38%
EPS Next Y63.86%
EPS Next 2Y47.32%
EPS Next 3Y36.75%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.85%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.35%
Revenue growth 5Y1.14%
Sales Q2Q%3.58%
Revenue Next Year-1.01%
Revenue Next 2Y0.33%
Revenue Next 3Y1.32%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y1.73%
EBIT growth 3Y-52.25%
EBIT growth 5Y-29.24%
EBIT Next Year326.46%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y35.55%
FCF growth 3Y-36.89%
FCF growth 5Y-11.76%
OCF growth 1Y-7.29%
OCF growth 3Y-28.45%
OCF growth 5Y-5.59%