GENESCO INC (GCO) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:GCO • US3715321028

Current stock price

34.58 USD
-1.45 (-4.02%)
At close:
34.58 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This GCO fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. GCO Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year GCO was profitable.
  • In the past year GCO had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: GCO reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • GCO had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
GCO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGCO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 100M -100M 200M -200M

1.2 Ratios

  • GCO has a Return On Assets (0.95%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of GCO (2.34%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • GCO's Return On Invested Capital of 1.97% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GCO outperforms 42.28% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GCO is significantly below the industry average of 13.24%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (1.57%) for GCO is below the current ROIC(1.97%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.95%
ROE 2.34%
ROIC 1.97%
ROA(3y)-0.58%
ROA(5y)2.11%
ROE(3y)-1.35%
ROE(5y)5.37%
ROIC(3y)1.57%
ROIC(5y)4.52%
GCO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGCO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 10 -10

1.3 Margins

  • With a Profit Margin value of 0.54%, GCO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 49.59% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GCO has declined.
  • The Operating Margin of GCO (1.04%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • GCO's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of GCO (46.26%) is better than 73.17% of its industry peers.
  • GCO's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 1.04%
PM (TTM) 0.54%
GM 46.26%
OM growth 3Y-36.09%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-43.47%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.98%
GM growth 5Y0.54%
GCO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGCO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 10 20 30 40

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6

2. GCO Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • GCO has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for GCO has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • GCO has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, GCO has a worse debt to assets ratio.
GCO Yearly Shares OutstandingGCO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 5M 10M 15M 20M
GCO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGCO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • GCO has an Altman-Z score of 2.56. This is not the best score and indicates that GCO is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • GCO has a Altman-Z score (2.56) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • GCO has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.04. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.04 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • GCO has a better Debt to FCF ratio (0.04) than 84.55% of its industry peers.
  • GCO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.01. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.01, GCO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 74.80% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF 0.04
Altman-Z 2.56
ROIC/WACC0.2
WACC9.93%
GCO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGCO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 200M -200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.64 indicates that GCO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of GCO (1.64) is better than 67.48% of its industry peers.
  • GCO has a Quick Ratio of 1.64. This is a bad value and indicates that GCO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.49, GCO is in line with its industry, outperforming 42.28% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.64
Quick Ratio 0.49
GCO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGCO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 200M 400M 600M 800M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. GCO Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • GCO shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 42.55%, which is quite impressive.
  • Measured over the past years, GCO shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -38.43% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, GCO shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 4.78% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.40% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)42.55%
EPS 3Y-38.43%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%14.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.78%
Revenue growth 3Y0.71%
Revenue growth 5Y6.4%
Sales Q2Q%7.24%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 34.80% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • Based on estimates for the next years, GCO will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.01% on average per year.
EPS Next Y60.92%
EPS Next 2Y43.71%
EPS Next 3Y34.8%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year0.16%
Revenue Next 2Y1.14%
Revenue Next 3Y2.01%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
GCO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGCO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 1B 2B 3B
GCO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGCO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 2 -2 4 6

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6

4. GCO Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 25.81, GCO can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of GCO is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of GCO to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.54), we can say GCO is valued inline with the index average.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.04 indicates a correct valuation of GCO.
  • 65.85% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GCO, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • GCO is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 21.68, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 25.81
Fwd PE 16.04
GCO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGCO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of GCO indicates a rather cheap valuation: GCO is cheaper than 93.50% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GCO is valued cheaply inside the industry as 94.31% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 4.49
EV/EBITDA 3.48
GCO Per share dataGCO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 50 100 150 200

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • GCO's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as GCO's earnings are expected to grow with 34.80% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.42
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y43.71%
EPS Next 3Y34.8%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. GCO Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for GCO!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

GCO Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

GENESCO INC

NYSE:GCO (4/29/2026, 8:18:36 PM)

After market: 34.58 0 (0%)

34.58

-1.45 (-4.02%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Industry Strength72.05
Industry Growth50.93
Earnings (Last)03-06
Earnings (Next)05-21
Inst Owners94.92%
Inst Owner Change-2.1%
Ins Owners7.97%
Ins Owner Change3.89%
Market Cap375.54M
Revenue(TTM)2.44B
Net Income(TTM)13.27M
Analysts75
Price Target36.72 (6.19%)
Short Float %8.54%
Short Ratio2.98
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-3.91%
Min EPS beat(2)-11.12%
Max EPS beat(2)3.29%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)0.45%
Min EPS beat(4)-11.12%
Max EPS beat(4)9.46%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)13.86%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)4.28%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)46.68%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.38%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.19%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.42%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.38%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.54%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.07%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.5%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.19%
PT rev (1m)-5.26%
PT rev (3m)2.13%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-41.18%
EPS NY rev (1m)4.66%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.35%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.9%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.19%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 25.81
Fwd PE 16.04
P/S 0.15
P/FCF 4.49
P/OCF 2.58
P/B 0.66
P/tB 0.71
EV/EBITDA 3.48
EPS(TTM)1.34
EY3.88%
EPS(NY)2.16
Fwd EY6.24%
FCF(TTM)7.71
FCFY22.29%
OCF(TTM)13.42
OCFY38.81%
SpS224.32
BVpS52.21
TBVpS48.78
PEG (NY)0.42
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number39.6768 (14.74%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.95%
ROE 2.34%
ROCE 2.5%
ROIC 1.97%
ROICexc 2.2%
ROICexgc 2.29%
OM 1.04%
PM (TTM) 0.54%
GM 46.26%
FCFM 3.44%
ROA(3y)-0.58%
ROA(5y)2.11%
ROE(3y)-1.35%
ROE(5y)5.37%
ROIC(3y)1.57%
ROIC(5y)4.52%
ROICexc(3y)1.68%
ROICexc(5y)5.52%
ROICexgc(3y)1.75%
ROICexgc(5y)5.94%
ROCE(3y)1.98%
ROCE(5y)5.72%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-33.08%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-32.58%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-36.09%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-43.47%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.98%
GM growth 5Y0.54%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.75
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF 0.04
Debt/EBITDA 0.04
Cap/Depr 116.37%
Cap/Sales 2.55%
Interest Coverage 5.83
Cash Conversion 185.19%
Profit Quality 630.84%
Current Ratio 1.64
Quick Ratio 0.49
Altman-Z 2.56
F-Score7
WACC9.93%
ROIC/WACC0.2
Cap/Depr(3y)105.58%
Cap/Depr(5y)116.41%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.3%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.33%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)42.55%
EPS 3Y-38.43%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%14.72%
EPS Next Y60.92%
EPS Next 2Y43.71%
EPS Next 3Y34.8%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.78%
Revenue growth 3Y0.71%
Revenue growth 5Y6.4%
Sales Q2Q%7.24%
Revenue Next Year0.16%
Revenue Next 2Y1.14%
Revenue Next 3Y2.01%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y47.38%
EBIT growth 3Y-35.64%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year146.14%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y79.04%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-8.93%
OCF growth 1Y65.85%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-1.56%

GENESCO INC / GCO Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for GCO stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to GCO.


Can you provide the valuation status for GENESCO INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to GENESCO INC (GCO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for GENESCO INC?

GENESCO INC (GCO) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for GCO stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GENESCO INC (GCO) is expected to grow by 60.92% in the next year.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GCO stock?

The dividend rating of GENESCO INC (GCO) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.