GENESCO INC (GCO) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:GCO • US3715321028

Current stock price

27.97 USD
-0.83 (-2.88%)
At close:
27.97 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This GCO fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

3

1. GCO Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • GCO had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year GCO had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: GCO reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: GCO reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
GCO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGCO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 100M -100M 200M -200M

1.2 Ratios

  • GCO has a Return On Assets of 0.00%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GCO outperforms 47.97% of its industry peers.
  • GCO has a Return On Equity (0.01%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • With a Return On Invested Capital value of 1.42%, GCO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 43.09% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GCO is significantly below the industry average of 13.27%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0%
ROE 0.01%
ROIC 1.42%
ROA(3y)-0.58%
ROA(5y)2.11%
ROE(3y)-1.35%
ROE(5y)5.37%
ROIC(3y)1.57%
ROIC(5y)4.52%
GCO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGCO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 10 -10

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of GCO (0.00%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • GCO's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • GCO has a Operating Margin (0.78%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • GCO's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 46.57%, GCO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.36% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GCO's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 0.78%
PM (TTM) 0%
GM 46.57%
OM growth 3Y-36.09%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-43.47%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.98%
GM growth 5Y0.54%
GCO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGCO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 10 20 30 40

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5

2. GCO Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), GCO is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for GCO has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for GCO has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for GCO is higher compared to a year ago.
GCO Yearly Shares OutstandingGCO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 5M 10M 15M 20M
GCO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGCO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • GCO has an Altman-Z score of 2.26. This is not the best score and indicates that GCO is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 2.26, GCO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 56.10% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GCO has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.90. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as GCO would need 3.90 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 3.90, GCO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.73% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GCO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.14. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • GCO's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.14 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GCO outperforms 65.85% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.14
Debt/FCF 3.9
Altman-Z 2.26
ROIC/WACC0.15
WACC9.7%
GCO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGCO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 200M -200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.58 indicates that GCO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • GCO's Current ratio of 1.58 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GCO outperforms 62.60% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.30 indicates that GCO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • GCO's Quick ratio of 0.30 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GCO is outperformed by 74.80% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.58
Quick Ratio 0.3
GCO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGCO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 200M 400M 600M 800M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. GCO Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 42.55% over the past year.
  • GCO shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -38.43% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, GCO shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 4.78% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.40% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)42.55%
EPS 3Y-38.43%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%14.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.78%
Revenue growth 3Y0.71%
Revenue growth 5Y6.4%
Sales Q2Q%7.24%

3.2 Future

  • GCO is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 42.57% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.01% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y53.76%
EPS Next 2Y42.57%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year0.16%
Revenue Next 2Y1.14%
Revenue Next 3Y2.01%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
GCO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGCO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 1B 2B 3B
GCO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGCO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 2 -2 4 6

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6

4. GCO Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 20.87, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of GCO.
  • 65.85% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GCO, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 24.89. GCO is around the same levels.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.58, GCO is valued correctly.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, GCO is valued a bit cheaper than 70.73% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.19. GCO is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.87
Fwd PE 13.58
GCO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGCO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 85.37% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GCO, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • GCO's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. GCO is cheaper than 73.17% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 13.14
EV/EBITDA 5.04
GCO Per share dataGCO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 50 100 150 200

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • GCO's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as GCO's earnings are expected to grow with 42.57% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.39
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y42.57%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. GCO Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • GCO does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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GCO Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

GENESCO INC

NYSE:GCO (3/27/2026, 8:21:37 PM)

After market: 27.97 0 (0%)

27.97

-0.83 (-2.88%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)03-06
Earnings (Next)06-02
Inst Owners94.95%
Inst Owner Change-3.52%
Ins Owners8.01%
Ins Owner Change0.88%
Market Cap301.80M
Revenue(TTM)2.44B
Net Income(TTM)39.00K
Analysts75
Price Target36.72 (31.28%)
Short Float %8.08%
Short Ratio3.11
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.83%
Min EPS beat(2)-11.12%
Max EPS beat(2)9.46%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.95%
Min EPS beat(4)-11.12%
Max EPS beat(4)9.46%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)11.5%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)4.03%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)48.39%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.08%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.38%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.54%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.1%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.9%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.54%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.51%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.37%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.13%
PT rev (1m)-5.26%
PT rev (3m)18.68%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)11.45%
EPS NY rev (1m)-4.78%
EPS NY rev (3m)8.13%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)7.38%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.19%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.29%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.87
Fwd PE 13.58
P/S 0.13
P/FCF 13.14
P/OCF 3.38
P/B 0.59
P/tB 0.63
EV/EBITDA 5.04
EPS(TTM)1.34
EY4.79%
EPS(NY)2.06
Fwd EY7.37%
FCF(TTM)2.13
FCFY7.61%
OCF(TTM)8.28
OCFY29.59%
SpS220.77
BVpS47.62
TBVpS44.26
PEG (NY)0.39
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number37.89
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0%
ROE 0.01%
ROCE 1.8%
ROIC 1.42%
ROICexc 1.46%
ROICexgc 1.51%
OM 0.78%
PM (TTM) 0%
GM 46.57%
FCFM 0.96%
ROA(3y)-0.58%
ROA(5y)2.11%
ROE(3y)-1.35%
ROE(5y)5.37%
ROIC(3y)1.57%
ROIC(5y)4.52%
ROICexc(3y)1.68%
ROICexc(5y)5.52%
ROICexgc(3y)1.75%
ROICexgc(5y)5.94%
ROCE(3y)1.98%
ROCE(5y)5.72%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-33.08%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-32.58%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-36.09%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-43.47%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.98%
GM growth 5Y0.54%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.62
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.14
Debt/FCF 3.9
Debt/EBITDA 0.97
Cap/Depr 123.51%
Cap/Sales 2.78%
Interest Coverage 4.09
Cash Conversion 123.51%
Profit Quality 58902.6%
Current Ratio 1.58
Quick Ratio 0.3
Altman-Z 2.26
F-Score5
WACC9.7%
ROIC/WACC0.15
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)42.55%
EPS 3Y-38.43%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%14.72%
EPS Next Y53.76%
EPS Next 2Y42.57%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.78%
Revenue growth 3Y0.71%
Revenue growth 5Y6.4%
Sales Q2Q%7.24%
Revenue Next Year0.16%
Revenue Next 2Y1.14%
Revenue Next 3Y2.01%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y136.1%
EBIT growth 3Y-35.64%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year150.97%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-55.63%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-0.05%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

GENESCO INC / GCO Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for GCO stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GCO.


Can you provide the valuation status for GENESCO INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to GENESCO INC (GCO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of GCO stock?

GENESCO INC (GCO) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


What is the valuation of GENESCO INC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for GENESCO INC (GCO) is 20.87 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.59.


How financially healthy is GENESCO INC?

The financial health rating of GENESCO INC (GCO) is 5 / 10.