GENESCO INC (GCO) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:GCO - US3715321028 - Common Stock
30.2 USD
+0.22 (+0.73%)
30.2 USD
0 (0%)
Overall GCO gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated GCO against 122 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. GCO scores quite bad on profitability, while its financial health is fine. Not spectacular, but in line with the averages. GCO has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GCO had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year GCO had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: GCO reported negative net income in multiple years.
GCO had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
With a Return On Assets value of -1.12%, GCO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 40.98% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -3.02%, GCO is in line with its industry, outperforming 46.72% of the companies in the same industry.
GCO has a Return On Invested Capital of 1.53%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GCO outperforms 42.62% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GCO is significantly below the industry average of 11.93%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.12% | ||
| ROE | -3.02% | ||
| ROIC | 1.53% |
ROA(3y)0.75%
ROA(5y)1.21%
ROE(3y)1.82%
ROE(5y)2.91%
ROIC(3y)3.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With a Operating Margin value of 0.89%, GCO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 41.80% of the companies in the same industry.
GCO's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of GCO (47.05%) is better than 72.95% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GCO has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 0.89% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 47.05% |
OM growth 3Y-51.59%
OM growth 5Y-30.03%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.1%
GM growth 5Y-0.51%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), GCO is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for GCO has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for GCO has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
There is no outstanding debt for GCO. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
2.2 Solvency
GCO has an Altman-Z score of 2.43. This is not the best score and indicates that GCO is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of GCO (2.43) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.22 indicates that GCO is not too dependend on debt financing.
GCO's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.22 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GCO outperforms 62.30% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.22 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.43 |
ROIC/WACC0.15
WACC10.44%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.91 indicates that GCO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.91, GCO belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.61% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.55 indicates that GCO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
GCO has a Quick ratio (0.55) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.91 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.55 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 195.65% over the past year.
GCO shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -28.12% yearly.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.66% in the past year.
GCO shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 1.14% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)195.65%
EPS 3Y-50.35%
EPS 5Y-28.12%
EPS Q2Q%-37.35%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.66%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.35%
Revenue growth 5Y1.14%
Sales Q2Q%3.96%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, GCO will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 46.56% on average per year.
GCO is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.05% yearly.
EPS Next Y69.05%
EPS Next 2Y54.33%
EPS Next 3Y46.56%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1.3%
Revenue Next 2Y1.74%
Revenue Next 3Y2.05%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 44.41 indicates a quite expensive valuation of GCO.
GCO's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.86, GCO is valued quite expensively.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 13.49, which indicates a correct valuation of GCO.
72.95% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GCO, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.32. GCO is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 44.41 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.49 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of GCO indicates a rather cheap valuation: GCO is cheaper than 84.43% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.75 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as GCO's earnings are expected to grow with 46.56% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.64
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y54.33%
EPS Next 3Y46.56%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GCO does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
30.2
+0.22 (+0.73%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners104.76%
Inst Owner Change6.63%
Ins Owners8.06%
Ins Owner Change5.71%
Market Cap326.16M
Analysts74.29
Price Target33.32 (10.33%)
Short Float %9.45%
Short Ratio4.68
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.08%
Min EPS beat(2)-2.34%
Max EPS beat(2)0.18%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)21.84%
Min EPS beat(4)-2.34%
Max EPS beat(4)63.23%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)11.6%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)14.88%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)263.93%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.29%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.9%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.32%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.36%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.9%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.64%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.69%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.31%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.65%
PT rev (1m)33.33%
PT rev (3m)33.33%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-61.21%
EPS NY rev (1m)3.74%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.74%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.25%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.47%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.47%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 44.41 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.49 | ||
| P/S | 0.14 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 15.81 | ||
| P/B | 0.62 | ||
| P/tB | 0.67 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.75 |
EPS(TTM)0.68
EY2.25%
EPS(NY)2.24
Fwd EY7.41%
FCF(TTM)-3.07
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)1.91
OCFY6.33%
SpS217.2
BVpS48.44
TBVpS45.03
PEG (NY)0.64
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.12% | ||
| ROE | -3.02% | ||
| ROCE | 1.94% | ||
| ROIC | 1.53% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.57% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.62% | ||
| OM | 0.89% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 47.05% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)0.75%
ROA(5y)1.21%
ROE(3y)1.82%
ROE(5y)2.91%
ROIC(3y)3.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)3.34%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.53%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)4.05%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-55.02%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-26.41%
ROICexc growth 3Y-54.26%
ROICexc growth 5Y-24.94%
OM growth 3Y-51.59%
OM growth 5Y-30.03%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.1%
GM growth 5Y-0.51%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.67
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.22 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.55 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 101.96% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.29% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.68 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 28.03% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.91 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.55 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.43 |
F-Score4
WACC10.44%
ROIC/WACC0.15
Cap/Depr(3y)113.44%
Cap/Depr(5y)103.5%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.29%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.09%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)195.65%
EPS 3Y-50.35%
EPS 5Y-28.12%
EPS Q2Q%-37.35%
EPS Next Y69.05%
EPS Next 2Y54.33%
EPS Next 3Y46.56%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.66%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.35%
Revenue growth 5Y1.14%
Sales Q2Q%3.96%
Revenue Next Year1.3%
Revenue Next 2Y1.74%
Revenue Next 3Y2.05%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y160.08%
EBIT growth 3Y-52.25%
EBIT growth 5Y-29.24%
EBIT Next Year342.33%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y83.04%
FCF growth 3Y-36.89%
FCF growth 5Y-11.76%
OCF growth 1Y115.46%
OCF growth 3Y-28.45%
OCF growth 5Y-5.59%