GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:GBX - US3936571013 - Common Stock
42.27 USD
-0.84 (-1.95%)
42.27 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, GBX scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. GBX was compared to 130 industry peers in the Machinery industry. There are concerns on the financial health of GBX while its profitability can be described as average. GBX has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth. Finally GBX also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year GBX was profitable.
In the past year GBX had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years GBX has always been profitable.
In multiple years GBX reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
GBX has a Return On Assets (4.68%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
GBX has a better Return On Equity (13.32%) than 70.77% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 6.50%, GBX is in line with its industry, outperforming 49.23% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GBX is below the industry average of 10.27%.
The 3 year average ROIC (6.26%) for GBX is below the current ROIC(6.50%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.68% | ||
| ROE | 13.32% | ||
| ROIC | 6.5% |
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)2.44%
ROE(3y)9.98%
ROE(5y)7.22%
ROIC(3y)6.26%
ROIC(5y)4.32%
1.3 Margins
GBX has a Profit Margin (6.30%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GBX has grown nicely.
GBX has a Operating Margin of 10.62%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GBX outperforms 56.15% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GBX has grown nicely.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 18.75%, GBX is doing worse than 74.62% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GBX has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.3% | ||
| GM | 18.75% |
OM growth 3Y57.6%
OM growth 5Y14.86%
PM growth 3Y58.73%
PM growth 5Y29.12%
GM growth 3Y22.19%
GM growth 5Y8.19%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
GBX has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for GBX has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, GBX has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for GBX has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 1.81 indicates that GBX is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.81, GBX is not doing good in the industry: 70.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.14 is on the high side and indicates that GBX has dependencies on debt financing.
GBX has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.14. This is in the lower half of the industry: GBX underperforms 78.46% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.14 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.81 |
ROIC/WACC0.8
WACC8.14%
2.3 Liquidity
GBX has a Current Ratio of 1.53. This is a normal value and indicates that GBX is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GBX has a Current ratio of 1.53. This is in the lower half of the industry: GBX underperforms 73.08% of its industry peers.
GBX has a Quick Ratio of 1.53. This is a bad value and indicates that GBX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.85, GBX is doing worse than 72.31% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 26.76% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 26.18% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue has decreased by -8.59% in the past year.
GBX shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.02% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.76%
EPS 3Y65.49%
EPS 5Y26.18%
EPS Q2Q%-39.58%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.59%
Revenue growth 3Y2.86%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-27.87%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -13.20% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -5.77% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-30.66%
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-7.45%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.77%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
GBX is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 6.71.
GBX's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GBX is cheaper than 96.92% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of GBX to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.35), we can say GBX is valued rather cheaply.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.68 indicates a reasonable valuation of GBX.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GBX indicates a rather cheap valuation: GBX is cheaper than 94.62% of the companies listed in the same industry.
GBX is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 33.72, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.71 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.68 |
4.2 Price Multiples
GBX's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GBX is cheaper than 96.92% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.1 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A cheap valuation may be justified as GBX's earnings are expected to decrease with -13.20% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.26
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GBX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.00%.
GBX's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.85. GBX pays more dividend than 92.31% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.36, GBX pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3% |
5.2 History
The dividend of GBX has a limited annual growth rate of 3.42%.
GBX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
GBX has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.42%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years10
5.3 Sustainability
GBX pays out 19.40% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP19.4%
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3YN/A
42.27
-0.84 (-1.95%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners103.23%
Inst Owner Change0.64%
Ins Owners1.82%
Ins Owner Change14.33%
Market Cap1.31B
Revenue(TTM)3.24B
Net Income(TTM)204.10M
Analysts46.67
Price Target54.57 (29.1%)
Short Float %7.88%
Short Ratio8.98
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3% |
Yearly Dividend1.28
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.42%
DP19.4%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years10
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)42.15%
Min EPS beat(2)-2.67%
Max EPS beat(2)86.96%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)29.63%
Min EPS beat(4)-13.23%
Max EPS beat(4)86.96%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)25.42%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)19.81%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)21.16%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.3%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.59%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.19%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.33%
Min Revenue beat(4)-16.02%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.19%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.83%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.59%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.12%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-34.37%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-34.37%
EPS NY rev (1m)-13.07%
EPS NY rev (3m)-13.07%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-21.63%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-21.63%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-4.83%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.83%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.71 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.68 | ||
| P/S | 0.4 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 4.91 | ||
| P/B | 0.85 | ||
| P/tB | 0.95 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.1 |
EPS(TTM)6.3
EY14.9%
EPS(NY)4.37
Fwd EY10.33%
FCF(TTM)-0.48
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)8.6
OCFY20.36%
SpS104.93
BVpS49.63
TBVpS44.54
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.26
Graham Number83.87
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.68% | ||
| ROE | 13.32% | ||
| ROCE | 10.32% | ||
| ROIC | 6.5% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.09% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.01% | ||
| OM | 10.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.3% | ||
| GM | 18.75% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)2.44%
ROE(3y)9.98%
ROE(5y)7.22%
ROIC(3y)6.26%
ROIC(5y)4.32%
ROICexc(3y)6.97%
ROICexc(5y)4.88%
ROICexgc(3y)7.92%
ROICexgc(5y)5.54%
ROCE(3y)10.03%
ROCE(5y)6.91%
ROICexgc growth 3Y47.87%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.94%
ROICexc growth 3Y47.88%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.04%
OM growth 3Y57.6%
OM growth 5Y14.86%
PM growth 3Y58.73%
PM growth 5Y29.12%
GM growth 3Y22.19%
GM growth 5Y8.19%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.74
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.14 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.76 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 230.78% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8.65% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.19 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 57.05% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.81 |
F-Score8
WACC8.14%
ROIC/WACC0.8
Cap/Depr(3y)305.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)285.45%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.69%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.96%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.76%
EPS 3Y65.49%
EPS 5Y26.18%
EPS Q2Q%-39.58%
EPS Next Y-30.66%
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.59%
Revenue growth 3Y2.86%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-27.87%
Revenue Next Year-7.45%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.77%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y10.53%
EBIT growth 3Y62.11%
EBIT growth 5Y18.32%
EBIT Next Year23.75%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y78.6%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-19.39%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-0.49%
GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC / GBX FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for GBX stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GBX.
Can you provide the valuation status for GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC?
GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the valuation of GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) is 6.71 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.85.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GBX stock?
The dividend rating of GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 19.4%.