GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:GBX - US3936571013 - Common Stock
45.57 USD
-0.19 (-0.42%)
45.57 USD
0 (0%)
Overall GBX gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated GBX against 130 industry peers in the Machinery industry. There are concerns on the financial health of GBX while its profitability can be described as average. GBX is cheap, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year GBX was profitable.
GBX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years GBX has been profitable.
In multiple years GBX reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
GBX has a Return On Assets of 5.26%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GBX outperforms 57.69% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 15.22%, GBX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.38% of the companies in the same industry.
GBX has a Return On Invested Capital (7.83%) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GBX is significantly below the industry average of 10.01%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (7.83%) for GBX is above the 3 year average (4.87%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.26% | ||
| ROE | 15.22% | ||
| ROIC | 7.83% |
ROA(3y)2.18%
ROA(5y)1.81%
ROE(3y)6.76%
ROE(5y)5.31%
ROIC(3y)4.87%
ROIC(5y)3.92%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 6.48%, GBX is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.92% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GBX has grown nicely.
GBX has a Operating Margin (11.16%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GBX has grown nicely.
GBX has a worse Gross Margin (18.53%) than 76.15% of its industry peers.
GBX's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.16% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.48% | ||
| GM | 18.53% |
OM growth 3Y56.84%
OM growth 5Y11.71%
PM growth 3Y34.43%
PM growth 5Y14.02%
GM growth 3Y5.95%
GM growth 5Y5.45%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), GBX is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for GBX has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, GBX has less shares outstanding
GBX has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 1.92 indicates that GBX is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
GBX's Altman-Z score of 1.92 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GBX is outperformed by 67.69% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GBX is 23.13, which is on the high side as it means it would take GBX, 23.13 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 23.13, GBX is doing worse than 66.92% of the companies in the same industry.
GBX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.17. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of GBX (1.17) is worse than 80.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.17 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 23.13 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.92 |
ROIC/WACC0.93
WACC8.44%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.44 indicates that GBX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
GBX has a worse Current ratio (1.44) than 77.69% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.78 indicates that GBX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.78, GBX is doing worse than 77.69% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.44 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.78 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
GBX shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 77.83%, which is quite impressive.
GBX shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 10.92% yearly.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 0.70% in the past year.
GBX shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.16% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)77.83%
EPS 3Y65.82%
EPS 5Y10.92%
EPS Q2Q%75.47%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.7%
Revenue growth 3Y26.57%
Revenue growth 5Y3.16%
Sales Q2Q%2.74%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 0.55% on average over the next years.
GBX is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -5.01% yearly.
EPS Next Y28.94%
EPS Next 2Y0.55%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-7.22%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.01%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 6.45, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of GBX.
GBX's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GBX is cheaper than 96.92% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.77, GBX is valued rather cheaply.
GBX is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.07.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, GBX is valued cheaply inside the industry as 96.15% of the companies are valued more expensively.
GBX's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 23.23.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.45 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.07 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GBX is valued cheaper than 97.69% of the companies in the same industry.
72.31% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GBX, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 18.47 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.83 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
GBX's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)0.22
PEG (5Y)0.59
EPS Next 2Y0.55%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.82%, GBX has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
GBX's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.80. GBX pays more dividend than 90.77% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.36, GBX has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.82% |
5.2 History
The dividend of GBX has a limited annual growth rate of 3.82%.
GBX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
GBX has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.82%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years10
5.3 Sustainability
17.04% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GBX. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of GBX is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP17.04%
EPS Next 2Y0.55%
EPS Next 3YN/A
45.57
-0.19 (-0.42%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners103.23%
Inst Owner Change0.04%
Ins Owners1.82%
Ins Owner Change-0.59%
Market Cap1.41B
Revenue(TTM)3.53B
Net Income(TTM)228.90M
Analysts46.67
Price Target54.57 (19.75%)
Short Float %8.03%
Short Ratio7.68
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.82% |
Yearly Dividend1.24
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.82%
DP17.04%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years10
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)36.87%
Min EPS beat(2)-13.23%
Max EPS beat(2)86.96%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)41.3%
Min EPS beat(4)-13.23%
Max EPS beat(4)86.96%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)24.58%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)23.35%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)23.32%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.92%
Min Revenue beat(2)-16.02%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.19%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1%
Min Revenue beat(4)-16.02%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.19%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.41%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.46%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.04%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.96%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)7.18%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.84%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.52%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.45 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.07 | ||
| P/S | 0.4 | ||
| P/FCF | 18.47 | ||
| P/OCF | 3.92 | ||
| P/B | 0.94 | ||
| P/tB | 1.05 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.83 |
EPS(TTM)7.06
EY15.49%
EPS(NY)5.02
Fwd EY11.03%
FCF(TTM)2.47
FCFY5.42%
OCF(TTM)11.62
OCFY25.5%
SpS114.43
BVpS48.7
TBVpS43.59
PEG (NY)0.22
PEG (5Y)0.59
Graham Number87.96
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.26% | ||
| ROE | 15.22% | ||
| ROCE | 12.03% | ||
| ROIC | 7.83% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.53% | ||
| ROICexgc | 9.73% | ||
| OM | 11.16% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.48% | ||
| GM | 18.53% | ||
| FCFM | 2.16% |
ROA(3y)2.18%
ROA(5y)1.81%
ROE(3y)6.76%
ROE(5y)5.31%
ROIC(3y)4.87%
ROIC(5y)3.92%
ROICexc(3y)5.53%
ROICexc(5y)4.74%
ROICexgc(3y)6.3%
ROICexgc(5y)5.45%
ROCE(3y)7.54%
ROCE(5y)6.11%
ROICexgc growth 3Y91.91%
ROICexgc growth 5Y10.27%
ROICexc growth 3Y91.04%
ROICexc growth 5Y11.88%
OM growth 3Y56.84%
OM growth 5Y11.71%
PM growth 3Y34.43%
PM growth 5Y14.02%
GM growth 3Y5.95%
GM growth 5Y5.45%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.81
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.17 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 23.13 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.41 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 230.59% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.7 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 69.41% | ||
| Profit Quality | 33.29% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.44 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.78 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.92 |
F-Score7
WACC8.44%
ROIC/WACC0.93
Cap/Depr(3y)352.81%
Cap/Depr(5y)251.47%
Cap/Sales(3y)11.07%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.71%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)77.83%
EPS 3Y65.82%
EPS 5Y10.92%
EPS Q2Q%75.47%
EPS Next Y28.94%
EPS Next 2Y0.55%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.7%
Revenue growth 3Y26.57%
Revenue growth 5Y3.16%
Sales Q2Q%2.74%
Revenue Next Year-7.22%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.01%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y54.58%
EBIT growth 3Y98.52%
EBIT growth 5Y15.24%
EBIT Next Year77.98%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y136.88%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y100.28%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A