GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX)
US3936571013 - Common Stock
Taking everything into account, GBX scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. GBX was compared to 132 industry peers in the Machinery industry. Both the profitability and financial health of GBX have multiple concerns. GBX has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate. GBX also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GBX had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year GBX had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years GBX has always been profitable.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: GBX reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of GBX (2.74%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 8.52%, GBX is in line with its industry, outperforming 54.26% of the companies in the same industry.
GBX has a Return On Invested Capital (5.39%) which is in line with its industry peers.
GBX had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 2.47%. This is significantly below the industry average of 10.72%.
The 3 year average ROIC (2.47%) for GBX is below the current ROIC(5.39%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.74% | ||
| ROE | 8.52% | ||
| ROIC | 5.39% |
ROA(3y)1.25%
ROA(5y)1.53%
ROE(3y)3.71%
ROE(5y)4.1%
ROIC(3y)2.47%
ROIC(5y)3.17%
1.3 Margins
With a Profit Margin value of 2.97%, GBX perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 43.41% of the companies in the same industry.
GBX's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
GBX's Operating Margin of 6.86% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GBX outperforms 45.74% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GBX has declined.
GBX has a worse Gross Margin (13.37%) than 82.95% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GBX has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.86% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.97% | ||
| GM | 13.37% |
OM growth 3Y-0.61%
OM growth 5Y-8.82%
PM growth 3Y-3.34%
PM growth 5Y-23.44%
GM growth 3Y-4.01%
GM growth 5Y-7.19%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
GBX has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, GBX has less shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, GBX has less shares outstanding
GBX has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.00 indicates that GBX is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
GBX has a worse Altman-Z score (2.00) than 65.89% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.33 is on the high side and indicates that GBX has dependencies on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of GBX (1.33) is worse than 87.60% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.33 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 2 |
ROIC/WACC0.69
WACC7.86%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.70 indicates that GBX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
GBX has a worse Current ratio (1.70) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
GBX has a Quick Ratio of 1.70. This is a bad value and indicates that GBX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.83, GBX is doing worse than 74.42% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.7 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.83 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 127.17% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -5.81% on average over the past years.
Looking at the last year, GBX shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 2.60% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing by 9.38% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)127.17%
EPS 3Y14.79%
EPS 5Y-5.81%
EPS growth Q2Q4.04%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.6%
Revenue growth 3Y12.2%
Revenue growth 5Y9.38%
Revenue growth Q2Q-23.11%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 20.92% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -4.50% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y39.57%
EPS Next 2Y20.92%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-9.93%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.5%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 13.29, which indicates a correct valuation of GBX.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of GBX indicates a rather cheap valuation: GBX is cheaper than 80.62% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of GBX to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.28), we can say GBX is valued rather cheaply.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.99 indicates a reasonable valuation of GBX.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GBX indicates a rather cheap valuation: GBX is cheaper than 86.82% of the companies listed in the same industry.
GBX is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 20.88, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.29 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.99 |
4.2 Price Multiples
85.27% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GBX, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.61 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
GBX's earnings are expected to grow with 20.92% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.34
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y20.92%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.25%, GBX has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
GBX's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.73. GBX pays more dividend than 89.15% of the companies in the same industry.
GBX's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.41.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.25% |
5.2 History
The dividend of GBX has a limited annual growth rate of 2.91%.
GBX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
GBX has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.91%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years9
5.3 Sustainability
GBX pays out 34.06% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
GBX's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP34.06%
EPS Next 2Y20.92%
EPS Next 3YN/A
GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC
NYSE:GBX (5/3/2024, 6:00:00 PM)
After market: 52.23 0 (0%)52.23
+1.06 (+2.07%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners
Inst Owner Change
Ins Owners
Ins Owner Change
Market Cap1.63B
Analysts
Price Target
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.25% |
Dividend Growth(5Y)
DP
Div Incr Years
Div Non Decr Years
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)
Avg EPS beat(2)
Min EPS beat(2)
Max EPS beat(2)
EPS beat(4)
Avg EPS beat(4)
Min EPS beat(4)
Max EPS beat(4)
EPS beat(8)
Avg EPS beat(8)
EPS beat(12)
Avg EPS beat(12)
EPS beat(16)
Avg EPS beat(16)
Revenue beat(2)
Avg Revenue beat(2)
Min Revenue beat(2)
Max Revenue beat(2)
Revenue beat(4)
Avg Revenue beat(4)
Min Revenue beat(4)
Max Revenue beat(4)
Revenue beat(8)
Avg Revenue beat(8)
Revenue beat(12)
Avg Revenue beat(12)
Revenue beat(16)
Avg Revenue beat(16)
PT rev (1m)
PT rev (3m)
EPS NQ rev (1m)
EPS NQ rev (3m)
EPS NY rev (1m)
EPS NY rev (3m)
Revenue NQ rev (1m)
Revenue NQ rev (3m)
Revenue NY rev (1m)
Revenue NY rev (3m)
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.29 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.99 | ||
| P/S | |||
| P/FCF | |||
| P/OCF | |||
| P/B | |||
| P/tB | |||
| EV/EBITDA |
EPS(TTM)
EY
EPS(NY)
Fwd EY
FCF(TTM)
FCFY
OCF(TTM)
OCFY
SpS
BVpS
TBVpS
PEG (NY)0.34
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.74% | ||
| ROE | 8.52% | ||
| ROCE | |||
| ROIC | |||
| ROICexc | |||
| ROICexgc | |||
| OM | 6.86% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.97% | ||
| GM | 13.37% | ||
| FCFM |
ROA(3y)
ROA(5y)
ROE(3y)
ROE(5y)
ROIC(3y)
ROIC(5y)
ROICexc(3y)
ROICexc(5y)
ROICexgc(3y)
ROICexgc(5y)
ROCE(3y)
ROCE(5y)
ROICexcg growth 3Y
ROICexcg growth 5Y
ROICexc growth 3Y
ROICexc growth 5Y
OM growth 3Y
OM growth 5Y
PM growth 3Y
PM growth 5Y
GM growth 3Y
GM growth 5Y
F-Score
Asset Turnover0.92
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.33 | ||
| Debt/FCF | |||
| Debt/EBITDA | |||
| Cap/Depr | |||
| Cap/Sales | |||
| Interest Coverage | |||
| Cash Conversion | |||
| Profit Quality | |||
| Current Ratio | 1.7 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.83 | ||
| Altman-Z |
F-Score
WACC
ROIC/WACC
Cap/Depr(3y)
Cap/Depr(5y)
Cap/Sales(3y)
Cap/Sales(5y)
Profit Quality(3y)
Profit Quality(5y)
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)127.17%
EPS 3Y14.79%
EPS 5Y
EPS growth Q2Q
EPS Next Y39.57%
EPS Next 2Y
EPS Next 3Y
EPS Next 5Y
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.6%
Revenue growth 3Y12.2%
Revenue growth 5Y
Revenue growth Q2Q
Revenue Next Year
Revenue Next 2Y
Revenue Next 3Y
Revenue Next 5Y
EBIT growth 1Y
EBIT growth 3Y
EBIT growth 5Y
EBIT Next Year
EBIT Next 3Y
EBIT Next 5Y
FCF growth 1Y
FCF growth 3Y
FCF growth 5Y
OCF growth 1Y
OCF growth 3Y
OCF growth 5Y