15.91 USD
-0.3 (-1.85%)
15.91 USD
0 (0%)
FWRG gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 133 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. FWRG may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. While showing a medium growth rate, FWRG is valued expensive at the moment.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year FWRG was profitable.
FWRG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years FWRG reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
FWRG had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of FWRG (0.29%) is worse than 60.15% of its industry peers.
FWRG has a Return On Equity (0.82%) which is in line with its industry peers.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 1.33%, FWRG is not doing good in the industry: 74.44% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
FWRG had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 2.26%. This is significantly below the industry average of 10.41%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.29% | ||
| ROE | 0.82% | ||
| ROIC | 1.33% |
ROA(3y)1.29%
ROA(5y)-0.25%
ROE(3y)3.01%
ROE(5y)-1.38%
ROIC(3y)2.26%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 0.42%, FWRG is doing worse than 60.15% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Operating Margin value of 2.55%, FWRG is not doing good in the industry: 72.18% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
FWRG's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
FWRG has a Gross Margin of 61.75%. This is in the better half of the industry: FWRG outperforms 75.19% of its industry peers.
FWRG's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 2.55% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.42% | ||
| GM | 61.75% |
OM growth 3Y3.02%
OM growth 5Y16.3%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.64%
GM growth 5Y-0.07%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
FWRG has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for FWRG has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
FWRG has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for FWRG is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
FWRG has an Altman-Z score of 1.14. This is a bad value and indicates that FWRG is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
FWRG has a worse Altman-Z score (1.14) than 60.90% of its industry peers.
FWRG has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.41. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.41, FWRG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 69.92% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.41 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.14 |
ROIC/WACC0.16
WACC8.33%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.25 indicates that FWRG may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.25, FWRG is not doing good in the industry: 91.73% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.21 indicates that FWRG may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
FWRG's Quick ratio of 0.21 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. FWRG is outperformed by 90.98% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.25 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.21 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
FWRG shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -76.05%.
The Revenue has grown by 17.27% in the past year. This is quite good.
The Revenue has been growing by 18.41% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-76.05%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%47.06%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.27%
Revenue growth 3Y19.11%
Revenue growth 5Y18.41%
Sales Q2Q%25.6%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 18.96% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, FWRG will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 14.55% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-50.72%
EPS Next 2Y7.03%
EPS Next 3Y19.72%
EPS Next 5Y18.96%
Revenue Next Year20.64%
Revenue Next 2Y17.8%
Revenue Next 3Y16.2%
Revenue Next 5Y14.55%
3.3 Evolution
The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
FWRG is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 198.88.
63.16% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than FWRG, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of FWRG to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.61), we can say FWRG is valued expensively.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 45.68, which means the current valuation is very expensive for FWRG.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as FWRG.
FWRG is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 24.01, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 198.88 | ||
| Fwd PE | 45.68 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as FWRG.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.34 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A more expensive valuation may be justified as FWRG's earnings are expected to grow with 19.72% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y7.03%
EPS Next 3Y19.72%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
FWRG does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
15.91
-0.3 (-1.85%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners115.4%
Inst Owner Change3.72%
Ins Owners2.2%
Ins Owner Change-5.4%
Market Cap970.99M
Revenue(TTM)1.17B
Net Income(TTM)4.97M
Analysts87.06
Price Target22.81 (43.37%)
Short Float %9.22%
Short Ratio4.16
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-35%
Min EPS beat(2)-44.27%
Max EPS beat(2)-25.73%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-63.46%
Min EPS beat(4)-130.75%
Max EPS beat(4)-25.73%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-29.45%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-9.7%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-5.6%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.6%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.53%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.32%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.53%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.58%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.32%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.74%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.4%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.71%
PT rev (1m)0.41%
PT rev (3m)1.65%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.36%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.11%
EPS NY rev (1m)-11.2%
EPS NY rev (3m)-10.99%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.14%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.69%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.72%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.81%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 198.88 | ||
| Fwd PE | 45.68 | ||
| P/S | 0.83 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 7.45 | ||
| P/B | 1.6 | ||
| P/tB | 98.4 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.34 |
EPS(TTM)0.08
EY0.5%
EPS(NY)0.35
Fwd EY2.19%
FCF(TTM)-0.51
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)2.14
OCFY13.43%
SpS19.16
BVpS9.95
TBVpS0.16
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number4.23
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.29% | ||
| ROE | 0.82% | ||
| ROCE | 1.93% | ||
| ROIC | 1.33% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.35% | ||
| ROICexgc | 2.22% | ||
| OM | 2.55% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.42% | ||
| GM | 61.75% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)1.29%
ROA(5y)-0.25%
ROE(3y)3.01%
ROE(5y)-1.38%
ROIC(3y)2.26%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)2.35%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)4.37%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)3.27%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-0.6%
ROICexgc growth 5Y21.1%
ROICexc growth 3Y7.43%
ROICexc growth 5Y27.07%
OM growth 3Y3.02%
OM growth 5Y16.3%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.64%
GM growth 5Y-0.07%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.68
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.41 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.51 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 230.51% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 13.82% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.24 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 130.5% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.25 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.21 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.14 |
F-Score4
WACC8.33%
ROIC/WACC0.16
Cap/Depr(3y)204.11%
Cap/Depr(5y)162.05%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.26%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.92%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-76.05%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%47.06%
EPS Next Y-50.72%
EPS Next 2Y7.03%
EPS Next 3Y19.72%
EPS Next 5Y18.96%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.27%
Revenue growth 3Y19.11%
Revenue growth 5Y18.41%
Sales Q2Q%25.6%
Revenue Next Year20.64%
Revenue Next 2Y17.8%
Revenue Next 3Y16.2%
Revenue Next 5Y14.55%
EBIT growth 1Y-38.38%
EBIT growth 3Y22.71%
EBIT growth 5Y37.72%
EBIT Next Year201.79%
EBIT Next 3Y61.63%
EBIT Next 5Y39.98%
FCF growth 1Y-265.62%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y45.93%
OCF growth 3Y22.47%
OCF growth 5Y40.05%
FIRST WATCH RESTAURANT GROUP / FWRG FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of FIRST WATCH RESTAURANT GROUP (FWRG) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to FWRG.
What is the valuation status of FIRST WATCH RESTAURANT GROUP (FWRG) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to FIRST WATCH RESTAURANT GROUP (FWRG). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for FIRST WATCH RESTAURANT GROUP?
FIRST WATCH RESTAURANT GROUP (FWRG) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
How financially healthy is FIRST WATCH RESTAURANT GROUP?
The financial health rating of FIRST WATCH RESTAURANT GROUP (FWRG) is 1 / 10.