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FIRST WATCH RESTAURANT GROUP (FWRG) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:FWRG - US33748L1017 - Common Stock

15.57 USD
+0.14 (+0.91%)
Last: 1/9/2026, 8:00:01 PM
15.57 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 1/9/2026, 8:00:01 PM
Fundamental Rating

2

Overall FWRG gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. We evaluated FWRG against 133 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. FWRG has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. FWRG is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

FWRG had positive earnings in the past year.
FWRG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: FWRG reported negative net income in multiple years.
FWRG had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
FWRG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFFWRG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M 100M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 0.29%, FWRG is in line with its industry, outperforming 41.35% of the companies in the same industry.
FWRG has a Return On Equity of 0.82%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: FWRG outperforms 55.64% of its industry peers.
FWRG's Return On Invested Capital of 1.33% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. FWRG is outperformed by 72.93% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for FWRG is significantly below the industry average of 10.34%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.29%
ROE 0.82%
ROIC 1.33%
ROA(3y)1.29%
ROA(5y)-0.25%
ROE(3y)3.01%
ROE(5y)-1.38%
ROIC(3y)2.26%
ROIC(5y)N/A
FWRG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICFWRG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -5 -10 -15

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 0.42%, FWRG is doing worse than 60.15% of the companies in the same industry.
FWRG has a Operating Margin of 2.55%. This is in the lower half of the industry: FWRG underperforms 71.43% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of FWRG has grown nicely.
With a decent Gross Margin value of 61.75%, FWRG is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.94% of the companies in the same industry.
FWRG's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 2.55%
PM (TTM) 0.42%
GM 61.75%
OM growth 3Y3.02%
OM growth 5Y16.3%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.64%
GM growth 5Y-0.07%
FWRG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsFWRG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40 60

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

FWRG has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, FWRG has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for FWRG has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, FWRG has a worse debt to assets ratio.
FWRG Yearly Shares OutstandingFWRG Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M
FWRG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsFWRG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.12, we must say that FWRG is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of FWRG (1.12) is worse than 60.90% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.41 indicates that FWRG is not too dependend on debt financing.
FWRG has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.41) than 70.68% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.41
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.12
ROIC/WACC0.16
WACC8.3%
FWRG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFFWRG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.25 indicates that FWRG may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
FWRG's Current ratio of 0.25 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. FWRG is outperformed by 90.98% of its industry peers.
FWRG has a Quick Ratio of 0.25. This is a bad value and indicates that FWRG is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.21, FWRG is doing worse than 90.23% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.25
Quick Ratio 0.21
FWRG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesFWRG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for FWRG have decreased strongly by -76.05% in the last year.
FWRG shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 17.27%.
The Revenue has been growing by 18.41% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-76.05%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%47.06%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.27%
Revenue growth 3Y19.11%
Revenue growth 5Y18.41%
Sales Q2Q%25.6%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 18.96% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
FWRG is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 14.55% yearly.
EPS Next Y-50.72%
EPS Next 2Y7.03%
EPS Next 3Y19.72%
EPS Next 5Y18.96%
Revenue Next Year20.64%
Revenue Next 2Y17.8%
Revenue Next 3Y16.2%
Revenue Next 5Y14.55%

3.3 Evolution

The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
FWRG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesFWRG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
FWRG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesFWRG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

FWRG is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 194.63.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, FWRG is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 63.16% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
FWRG's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.19.
FWRG is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 44.71.
FWRG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
FWRG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 23.92.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 194.63
Fwd PE 44.71
FWRG Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsFWRG Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 50 100 150

4.2 Price Multiples

The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as FWRG.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 11.95
FWRG Per share dataFWRG EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as FWRG's earnings are expected to grow with 19.72% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y7.03%
EPS Next 3Y19.72%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for FWRG!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

FIRST WATCH RESTAURANT GROUP

NASDAQ:FWRG (1/9/2026, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 15.57 0 (0%)

15.57

+0.14 (+0.91%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)11-04 2025-11-04/bmo
Earnings (Next)03-09 2026-03-09/amc
Inst Owners115.35%
Inst Owner Change-0.03%
Ins Owners2.2%
Ins Owner Change13.44%
Market Cap950.24M
Revenue(TTM)1.17B
Net Income(TTM)4.97M
Analysts87.06
Price Target22.81 (46.5%)
Short Float %10.02%
Short Ratio4.64
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-35%
Min EPS beat(2)-44.27%
Max EPS beat(2)-25.73%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-63.46%
Min EPS beat(4)-130.75%
Max EPS beat(4)-25.73%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-29.45%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-9.7%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-5.6%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.6%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.53%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.32%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.53%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.58%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.32%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.74%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.4%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.71%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)1.65%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.36%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.11%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.96%
EPS NY rev (3m)-9.47%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.14%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.69%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.81%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 194.63
Fwd PE 44.71
P/S 0.81
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 7.29
P/B 1.56
P/tB 96.29
EV/EBITDA 11.95
EPS(TTM)0.08
EY0.51%
EPS(NY)0.35
Fwd EY2.24%
FCF(TTM)-0.51
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)2.14
OCFY13.72%
SpS19.16
BVpS9.95
TBVpS0.16
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number4.23
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.29%
ROE 0.82%
ROCE 1.93%
ROIC 1.33%
ROICexc 1.35%
ROICexgc 2.22%
OM 2.55%
PM (TTM) 0.42%
GM 61.75%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)1.29%
ROA(5y)-0.25%
ROE(3y)3.01%
ROE(5y)-1.38%
ROIC(3y)2.26%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)2.35%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)4.37%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)3.27%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-0.6%
ROICexgc growth 5Y21.1%
ROICexc growth 3Y7.43%
ROICexc growth 5Y27.07%
OM growth 3Y3.02%
OM growth 5Y16.3%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.64%
GM growth 5Y-0.07%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.68
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.41
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 2.51
Cap/Depr 230.51%
Cap/Sales 13.82%
Interest Coverage 2.24
Cash Conversion 130.5%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.25
Quick Ratio 0.21
Altman-Z 1.12
F-Score4
WACC8.3%
ROIC/WACC0.16
Cap/Depr(3y)204.11%
Cap/Depr(5y)162.05%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.26%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.92%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-76.05%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%47.06%
EPS Next Y-50.72%
EPS Next 2Y7.03%
EPS Next 3Y19.72%
EPS Next 5Y18.96%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.27%
Revenue growth 3Y19.11%
Revenue growth 5Y18.41%
Sales Q2Q%25.6%
Revenue Next Year20.64%
Revenue Next 2Y17.8%
Revenue Next 3Y16.2%
Revenue Next 5Y14.55%
EBIT growth 1Y-38.38%
EBIT growth 3Y22.71%
EBIT growth 5Y37.72%
EBIT Next Year200.38%
EBIT Next 3Y62.2%
EBIT Next 5Y39.98%
FCF growth 1Y-265.62%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y45.93%
OCF growth 3Y22.47%
OCF growth 5Y40.05%

FIRST WATCH RESTAURANT GROUP / FWRG FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of FIRST WATCH RESTAURANT GROUP (FWRG) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to FWRG.


What is the valuation status for FWRG stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to FIRST WATCH RESTAURANT GROUP (FWRG). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for FIRST WATCH RESTAURANT GROUP?

FIRST WATCH RESTAURANT GROUP (FWRG) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


What is the financial health of FIRST WATCH RESTAURANT GROUP (FWRG) stock?

The financial health rating of FIRST WATCH RESTAURANT GROUP (FWRG) is 1 / 10.