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FIRST WATCH RESTAURANT GROUP (FWRG) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:FWRG - US33748L1017 - Common Stock

17.7 USD
-0.39 (-2.16%)
Last: 12/5/2025, 8:23:48 PM
17.7 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 12/5/2025, 8:23:48 PM
Fundamental Rating

2

Taking everything into account, FWRG scores 2 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. FWRG was compared to 131 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. FWRG has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. FWRG is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

FWRG had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year FWRG had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: FWRG reported negative net income in multiple years.
Of the past 5 years FWRG 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
FWRG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFFWRG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M 100M

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of FWRG (0.29%) is worse than 60.61% of its industry peers.
FWRG has a Return On Equity (0.82%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
FWRG has a worse Return On Invested Capital (1.33%) than 75.00% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for FWRG is significantly below the industry average of 10.43%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.29%
ROE 0.82%
ROIC 1.33%
ROA(3y)1.29%
ROA(5y)-0.25%
ROE(3y)3.01%
ROE(5y)-1.38%
ROIC(3y)2.26%
ROIC(5y)N/A
FWRG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICFWRG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -5 -10 -15

1.3 Margins

FWRG has a worse Profit Margin (0.42%) than 61.36% of its industry peers.
With a Operating Margin value of 2.55%, FWRG is not doing good in the industry: 71.97% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of FWRG has grown nicely.
FWRG has a better Gross Margin (61.75%) than 75.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of FWRG has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 2.55%
PM (TTM) 0.42%
GM 61.75%
OM growth 3Y3.02%
OM growth 5Y16.3%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.64%
GM growth 5Y-0.07%
FWRG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsFWRG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40 60

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), FWRG is destroying value.
FWRG has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for FWRG has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for FWRG is higher compared to a year ago.
FWRG Yearly Shares OutstandingFWRG Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M
FWRG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsFWRG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

FWRG has an Altman-Z score of 1.19. This is a bad value and indicates that FWRG is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
FWRG's Altman-Z score of 1.19 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. FWRG is outperformed by 61.36% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.41 indicates that FWRG is not too dependend on debt financing.
FWRG has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.41. This is in the better half of the industry: FWRG outperforms 70.45% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.41
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.19
ROIC/WACC0.16
WACC8.32%
FWRG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFFWRG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.25 indicates that FWRG may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of FWRG (0.25) is worse than 93.18% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.21 indicates that FWRG may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of FWRG (0.21) is worse than 93.18% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.25
Quick Ratio 0.21
FWRG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesFWRG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

FWRG shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -76.05%.
Looking at the last year, FWRG shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 17.27% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, FWRG shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 18.41% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-76.05%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%47.06%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.27%
Revenue growth 3Y19.11%
Revenue growth 5Y18.41%
Sales Q2Q%25.6%

3.2 Future

FWRG is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 18.96% yearly.
FWRG is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 14.55% yearly.
EPS Next Y-50.24%
EPS Next 2Y7.03%
EPS Next 3Y19.94%
EPS Next 5Y18.96%
Revenue Next Year20.64%
Revenue Next 2Y17.8%
Revenue Next 3Y16.18%
Revenue Next 5Y14.55%

3.3 Evolution

Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
FWRG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesFWRG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
FWRG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesFWRG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 221.25, which means the current valuation is very expensive for FWRG.
FWRG's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. FWRG is more expensive than 64.39% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.49, FWRG is valued quite expensively.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 50.82 indicates a quite expensive valuation of FWRG.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as FWRG.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of FWRG to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.69), we can say FWRG is valued expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 221.25
Fwd PE 50.82
FWRG Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsFWRG Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 50 100 150 200

4.2 Price Multiples

The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as FWRG.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 13.25
FWRG Per share dataFWRG EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as FWRG's earnings are expected to grow with 19.94% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y7.03%
EPS Next 3Y19.94%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for FWRG!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

FIRST WATCH RESTAURANT GROUP

NASDAQ:FWRG (12/5/2025, 8:23:48 PM)

After market: 17.7 0 (0%)

17.7

-0.39 (-2.16%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)11-04 2025-11-04/bmo
Earnings (Next)03-09 2026-03-09/amc
Inst Owners115.4%
Inst Owner Change3.72%
Ins Owners2.2%
Ins Owner Change-5.4%
Market Cap1.08B
Revenue(TTM)1.17B
Net Income(TTM)4.97M
Analysts87.06
Price Target22.81 (28.87%)
Short Float %8.92%
Short Ratio3.97
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-35%
Min EPS beat(2)-44.27%
Max EPS beat(2)-25.73%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-63.46%
Min EPS beat(4)-130.75%
Max EPS beat(4)-25.73%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-29.45%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-9.7%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-5.6%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.6%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.53%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.32%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.53%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.58%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.32%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.74%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.4%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.71%
PT rev (1m)0.41%
PT rev (3m)1.65%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.16%
EPS NQ rev (3m)4.54%
EPS NY rev (1m)-10.33%
EPS NY rev (3m)-10.13%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.81%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.72%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.89%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 221.25
Fwd PE 50.82
P/S 0.92
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 8.29
P/B 1.78
P/tB 109.47
EV/EBITDA 13.25
EPS(TTM)0.08
EY0.45%
EPS(NY)0.35
Fwd EY1.97%
FCF(TTM)-0.51
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)2.14
OCFY12.07%
SpS19.16
BVpS9.95
TBVpS0.16
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number4.23
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.29%
ROE 0.82%
ROCE 1.93%
ROIC 1.33%
ROICexc 1.35%
ROICexgc 2.22%
OM 2.55%
PM (TTM) 0.42%
GM 61.75%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)1.29%
ROA(5y)-0.25%
ROE(3y)3.01%
ROE(5y)-1.38%
ROIC(3y)2.26%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)2.35%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)4.37%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)3.27%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-0.6%
ROICexgc growth 5Y21.1%
ROICexc growth 3Y7.43%
ROICexc growth 5Y27.07%
OM growth 3Y3.02%
OM growth 5Y16.3%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.64%
GM growth 5Y-0.07%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.68
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.41
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 2.51
Cap/Depr 230.51%
Cap/Sales 13.82%
Interest Coverage 2.24
Cash Conversion 130.5%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.25
Quick Ratio 0.21
Altman-Z 1.19
F-Score4
WACC8.32%
ROIC/WACC0.16
Cap/Depr(3y)204.11%
Cap/Depr(5y)162.05%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.26%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.92%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-76.05%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%47.06%
EPS Next Y-50.24%
EPS Next 2Y7.03%
EPS Next 3Y19.94%
EPS Next 5Y18.96%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.27%
Revenue growth 3Y19.11%
Revenue growth 5Y18.41%
Sales Q2Q%25.6%
Revenue Next Year20.64%
Revenue Next 2Y17.8%
Revenue Next 3Y16.18%
Revenue Next 5Y14.55%
EBIT growth 1Y-38.38%
EBIT growth 3Y22.71%
EBIT growth 5Y37.72%
EBIT Next Year201.79%
EBIT Next 3Y61.63%
EBIT Next 5Y39.98%
FCF growth 1Y-265.62%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y45.93%
OCF growth 3Y22.47%
OCF growth 5Y40.05%

FIRST WATCH RESTAURANT GROUP / FWRG FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of FIRST WATCH RESTAURANT GROUP (FWRG) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to FWRG.


What is the valuation status of FIRST WATCH RESTAURANT GROUP (FWRG) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to FIRST WATCH RESTAURANT GROUP (FWRG). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for FIRST WATCH RESTAURANT GROUP?

FIRST WATCH RESTAURANT GROUP (FWRG) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


How financially healthy is FIRST WATCH RESTAURANT GROUP?

The financial health rating of FIRST WATCH RESTAURANT GROUP (FWRG) is 1 / 10.