FIESTA RESTAURANT GROUP (FRGI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:FRGI • US31660B1017

8.49 USD
0 (0%)
At close: Oct 27, 2023
8.495 USD
+0 (+0.06%)
After Hours: 10/27/2023, 8:16:49 PM

This FRGI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, FRGI scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. FRGI was compared to 126 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. FRGI scores quite bad on profitability, while its financial health is fine. Not spectacular, but in line with the averages. FRGI does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. FRGI Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • FRGI had negative earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year FRGI had a positive cash flow from operations.
FRGI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFFRGI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 50M -50M

1.2 Ratios

  • FRGI's Return On Assets of -1.44% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. FRGI is outperformed by 67.39% of its industry peers.
  • FRGI has a Return On Equity (-3.40%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.44%
ROE -3.4%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-1.08%
ROA(5y)-3.25%
ROE(3y)-3.48%
ROE(5y)-12.12%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
FRGI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICFRGI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 -20 -40

1.3 Margins

  • FRGI's Gross Margin of 68.67% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. FRGI outperforms 78.26% of its industry peers.
  • FRGI's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for FRGI so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 68.67%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.38%
GM growth 5Y-0.53%
FRGI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsFRGI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 20 40 60

4

2. FRGI Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • FRGI does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • FRGI has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • FRGI has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
FRGI Yearly Shares OutstandingFRGI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 5M 10M 15M 20M 25M
FRGI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsFRGI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

2.2 Solvency

  • FRGI has an Altman-Z score of 1.83. This is not the best score and indicates that FRGI is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • FRGI has a Altman-Z score (1.83) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • FRGI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • FRGI has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.00. This is amongst the best in the industry. FRGI outperforms 89.13% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.83
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.36%
FRGI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFFRGI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M

2.3 Liquidity

  • FRGI has a Current Ratio of 1.38. This is a normal value and indicates that FRGI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • FRGI has a better Current ratio (1.38) than 62.32% of its industry peers.
  • FRGI has a Quick Ratio of 1.34. This is a normal value and indicates that FRGI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • FRGI's Quick ratio of 1.34 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. FRGI outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.38
Quick Ratio 1.34
FRGI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesFRGI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 20M 40M 60M 80M

3

3. FRGI Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • FRGI shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -387.50%.
  • FRGI shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 8.46%.
  • FRGI shows a very negative growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -10.36% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-387.5%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%157.58%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.46%
Revenue growth 3Y-16.31%
Revenue growth 5Y-10.36%
Sales Q2Q%8.48%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, FRGI will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 74.53% on average per year.
  • FRGI is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.30% yearly.
EPS Next Y168%
EPS Next 2Y74.53%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year7.15%
Revenue Next 2Y6.3%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
FRGI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesFRGI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M
FRGI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesFRGI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 0.5 1 1.5

3

4. FRGI Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for FRGI. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.81, the valuation of FRGI can be described as rather expensive.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as FRGI.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 24.65. FRGI is around the same levels.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 20.81
FRGI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsFRGI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, FRGI is valued a bit cheaper than 62.32% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 10.26
FRGI Per share dataFRGI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • FRGI's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • FRGI's earnings are expected to grow with 74.53% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y74.53%
EPS Next 3YN/A

0

5. FRGI Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • FRGI does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

FRGI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

FIESTA RESTAURANT GROUP

NASDAQ:FRGI (10/27/2023, 8:16:49 PM)

After market: 8.495 +0 (+0.06%)

8.49

0 (0%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)08-07
Earnings (Next)11-09
Inst Owners0.07%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners4.84%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap222.35M
Revenue(TTM)403.47M
Net Income(TTM)-5.03M
Analysts82.86
Price Target14.28 (68.2%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.96%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.96%
Max EPS beat(2)-1.96%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-849.02%
Min EPS beat(4)-1468.63%
Max EPS beat(4)-1.96%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.79%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.85%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.27%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.25%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.95%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.27%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 20.81
P/S 0.55
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 12.29
P/B 1.5
P/tB 2.43
EV/EBITDA 10.26
EPS(TTM)-0.39
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.41
Fwd EY4.81%
FCF(TTM)-0.14
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.69
OCFY8.14%
SpS15.41
BVpS5.65
TBVpS3.5
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.44%
ROE -3.4%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 68.67%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-1.08%
ROA(5y)-3.25%
ROE(3y)-3.48%
ROE(5y)-12.12%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.38%
GM growth 5Y-0.53%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.16
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 0.02
Cap/Depr 114.45%
Cap/Sales 5.37%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion 98.75%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.38
Quick Ratio 1.34
Altman-Z 1.83
F-Score6
WACC9.36%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)71.26%
Cap/Depr(5y)94.58%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.6%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.69%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-387.5%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%157.58%
EPS Next Y168%
EPS Next 2Y74.53%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.46%
Revenue growth 3Y-16.31%
Revenue growth 5Y-10.36%
Sales Q2Q%8.48%
Revenue Next Year7.15%
Revenue Next 2Y6.3%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y95.11%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year730.78%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-125.32%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-44.87%
OCF growth 3Y-38.09%
OCF growth 5Y-21.21%

FIESTA RESTAURANT GROUP / FRGI FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of FIESTA RESTAURANT GROUP (FRGI) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to FRGI.


What is the valuation status for FRGI stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to FIESTA RESTAURANT GROUP (FRGI). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of FRGI stock?

FIESTA RESTAURANT GROUP (FRGI) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.


What is the financial health of FIESTA RESTAURANT GROUP (FRGI) stock?

The financial health rating of FIESTA RESTAURANT GROUP (FRGI) is 5 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for FRGI stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of FIESTA RESTAURANT GROUP (FRGI) is expected to grow by 168% in the next year.