FIESTA RESTAURANT GROUP (FRGI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • Nasdaq • NASDAQ:FRGI • US31660B1017

8.49 USD
0 (0%)
At close: Oct 27, 2023
8.495 USD
+0 (+0.06%)
After Hours: 10/27/2023, 8:16:49 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to FRGI. FRGI was compared to 132 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. While FRGI seems to be doing ok healthwise, there are quite some concerns on its profitability. FRGI does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • FRGI had negative earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year FRGI had a positive cash flow from operations.
FRGI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFFRGI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 50M -50M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of -1.44%, FRGI is not doing good in the industry: 67.39% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • FRGI's Return On Equity of -3.40% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. FRGI outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.44%
ROE -3.4%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-1.08%
ROA(5y)-3.25%
ROE(3y)-3.48%
ROE(5y)-12.12%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
FRGI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICFRGI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 -20 -40

1.3 Margins

  • FRGI's Gross Margin of 68.67% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. FRGI outperforms 78.26% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of FRGI has remained more or less at the same level.
  • FRGI does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 68.67%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.38%
GM growth 5Y-0.53%
FRGI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsFRGI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 20 40 60

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4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • FRGI does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • FRGI has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for FRGI has been reduced compared to a year ago.
FRGI Yearly Shares OutstandingFRGI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 5M 10M 15M 20M 25M
FRGI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsFRGI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

2.2 Solvency

  • FRGI has an Altman-Z score of 1.83. This is not the best score and indicates that FRGI is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • FRGI's Altman-Z score of 1.83 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. FRGI outperforms 59.42% of its industry peers.
  • FRGI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.00, FRGI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 89.13% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.83
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.36%
FRGI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFFRGI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.38 indicates that FRGI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • FRGI has a Current ratio of 1.38. This is in the better half of the industry: FRGI outperforms 62.32% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.34 indicates that FRGI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of FRGI (1.34) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.38
Quick Ratio 1.34
FRGI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesFRGI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 20M 40M 60M 80M

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3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for FRGI have decreased strongly by -387.50% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has grown by 8.46% in the past year. This is quite good.
  • Measured over the past years, FRGI shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -10.36% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-387.5%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%157.58%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.46%
Revenue growth 3Y-16.31%
Revenue growth 5Y-10.36%
Sales Q2Q%8.48%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 74.53% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • Based on estimates for the next years, FRGI will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.30% on average per year.
EPS Next Y168%
EPS Next 2Y74.53%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year7.15%
Revenue Next 2Y6.3%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
FRGI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesFRGI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M
FRGI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesFRGI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 0.5 1 1.5

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3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • FRGI reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • FRGI is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.81.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of FRGI is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of FRGI to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.57), we can say FRGI is valued inline with the index average.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 20.81
FRGI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsFRGI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of FRGI indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: FRGI is cheaper than 62.32% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 10.26
FRGI Per share dataFRGI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • FRGI's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as FRGI's earnings are expected to grow with 74.53% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y74.53%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • FRGI does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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FIESTA RESTAURANT GROUP / FRGI FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of FIESTA RESTAURANT GROUP (FRGI) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to FRGI.


What is the valuation status for FRGI stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to FIESTA RESTAURANT GROUP (FRGI). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of FRGI stock?

FIESTA RESTAURANT GROUP (FRGI) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.


What is the financial health of FIESTA RESTAURANT GROUP (FRGI) stock?

The financial health rating of FIESTA RESTAURANT GROUP (FRGI) is 5 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for FRGI stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of FIESTA RESTAURANT GROUP (FRGI) is expected to grow by 168% in the next year.